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Canadians are divided, with 41 per cent saying they trust Prime Minister Mark Carney, left, to manage Canada's relationship with the U.S. under U.S President Donald Trump, and 40 per cent saying they don't trust Carney to defend the country against Trump's political and financial decisions, according a Leger poll.

Canadians

are growing impatient with the lack of progress in Canada-U.S. trade relations, a new Leger poll suggests.

Confidence also appears to be waning over whether Canadians can trust Prime Minister Mark Carney to defend Canada against U.S. President Donald Trump’s political firestorms.

“I think time has not been kind to Prime Minister Carney, at this point anyway, in terms of not really showing that he is the man for the job,” said Andrew Enns, executive vice-president of Leger’s Central Canada operations.

The dollar-for-dollar response to Trump’s tariffs against Canadian imports signalled the Liberal government was prepared to hit back at Trump’s protectionist measures, Enns said.

“I think what’s problematic now, we’re not necessarily seeing action. And I think Canadians are starting to question the effectiveness of the government’s response,” he said.

“It’s harder to put your finger on, what exactly are we doing? It doesn’t feel like we’re really even responding.”

The poll exploring how Canadians are feeling about U.S relations and tariffs as the country ends out 2025 also found Canadians are more pessimistic than optimistic about what 2026 holds: 41 per cent expect trade relations to worsen, compared to 20 per cent who expect things will improve. Twenty-eight per cent foresee no change.

“It’s a very measured Canadian population going into 2026 in terms of expectations,” Enns said.

Saying it’s no longer time for “elbows up,” Carney announced in August that Canada was removing 25 per cent counter tariffs on $40 billion in goods imported into Canada from the U.S., except for those on steel, aluminum and autos.

Carney said the move was designed to match the U.S. decision not to levy tariffs on goods compliant with the trilateral Canada-U.S.-Mexico (CUSMA) agreement, saying the countries had restored free trade on a “vast majority of our goods.”

Canada failed to reach a trade deal before Trump abruptly terminated talks in October over Ontario’s controversial anti-tariff ad featuring clips of former U.S. president Ronald Reagan, a staunch supporter of free trade.

 U.S. President Donald Trump stands beneath a portrait of former President Ronald Reagan in the Oval Office of the White House on October 10, 2025, in Washington, D.C.

According to the new Leger poll, 82 per cent of Canadians believe the U.S. tariffs have had a very (42 per cent) or somewhat (40 per cent) significant impact on the Canadian economy, while just 11 per cent said the impact has been “not very” or not at all significant.

Liberal voters were more likely (89 per cent) to say the impact was significant, followed by Bloc Québécois and NDP voters, at 88 per cent each, and Conservative supporters (82 per cent).

When asked how they have personally weathered the Trump tariffs storm, more than half of Canadians (56 per cent) said the tariffs have had a very or somewhat significant impact on their household finances and lifestyle, according to the poll. The proportion was higher still (63 per cent) among Conservative voters.

However, when polled on the same question in June, more Canadians (66 per cent) felt the tariffs would have a major or moderate impact on their household finances.

Enns said it’s difficult to separate out what’s creating the hardships meeting household budgets. “Is it the tariffs? Or is it this relentless inflation in the cost of living,” with grocery prices alone increasing

4.7 per cent year-over-year in November

, the biggest increase since December 2023.

He said he was also struck by the level of distrust in Carney. Canadians are divided, with 41 per cent saying they trust Carney to manage Canada’s relationship with the U.S. under Trump, and 40 per cent saying they don’t trust Carney to defend the country against Trump’s political and financial decisions. Nineteen per cent were undecided.

Support for Carney was higher among Liberal voters (89 per cent), older Canadians aged 55 plus (49 per cent) and those who believe the tariffs are causing a significant blow to the economy (45 per cent).

“I thought (support for Carney) would be higher,” Enns said.

When it comes to how satisfied they are with the Liberal government’s response to U.S. tariffs, again Canadians are somewhat split: 44 per cent are “very” or “somewhat” satisfied, and 43 per cent are dissatisfied.

That compares to a Leger poll in early March, when the Carney Liberals announced its dollar-for-dollar response. Support for that policy tracked at 74 per cent.

Canadians’ patience is starting to be tested, Enns said, “in terms of, are we seeing results, in terms of the strategy and in terms of, are we making real progress here?”

“The prime minister has had a good half year in the office, technically a bit more, but certainly since the election, he’s had some time. The results haven’t been really great,” Enns said. “Depending who you talk to, some would say we’ve retreated on a few fronts with respect to how we’re dealing with President Trump and the White House administration.”

Conservative supporters “were already pretty much convinced, ‘This ain’t our guy,’” Enns said. But Carney had latitude with NDP and Bloc supporters who trusted Carney was the best man for the job. Now, trust in Carney to manage U.S. relations is below 40 per cent among the NDP (38 per cent) and the Bloc (25 per cent).

Only 11 per cent of Conservative voters said they trust Carney to defend Canada against Trump’s demands, according to the poll.

“There is a bit of pressure building on the prime minister and his team to start to demonstrate some progress, which is really hard because I don’t think they necessarily are dictating the next steps here fully,” Enns said.

However, with expectations for a rosier 2026 low, “for the prime minister’s office and the government, there is a potential to sort of exceed expectations if we can suddenly get into what appears to be a fairly productive round of negotiations around the CUSMA agreement, for example.”

The online survey of 1,519 respondents aged 18 and older was conducted between Dec. 12 and 14. For comparison purposes, a probability sample of this size yields a margin of error no greater than plus or minus 2.5 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

National Post, with additional reporting from Christopher Nardi

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here.


Private citizens in Canada do not need to clear meetings with foreign governments with the Canadian government.

OTTAWA — Federal officials say that Alberta separatists going around Ottawa and repeatedly meeting with U.S. officials to advance their cause is legal for Canadians, within certain limits, even though similar behaviour could be prohibited elsewhere.

When separatist organizer Jeffrey Rath

claimed last week he was meeting with officials connected to the White House

to garner support for Alberta’s independence, Edmonton talk show host Ryan Jespersen responded by saying, “In a lot of countries, this tomfoolery would get you strung up for treason.”

But unlike the U.S., whose

little-used Logan Act

criminalizes

so-called private diplomacy

, Canada has no law on the books stopping private citizens from meeting with representatives of foreign governments.

“The short answer would be ‘no’, we don’t have a Logan law,” said Global Affairs spokesman John Babcock in an email to National Post.

Nor do private citizens need to clear such foreign talks with the federal government, Babcock added.

However, a spokesman for the federal Justice Department, Ian McLeod, said that, while private citizens are free to speak with foreign officials, these talks are nonetheless subject to criminal laws prohibiting espionage, sedition and the sharing of state secrets.

“A determination of whether any activity violates these … offences, or any other criminal offence relating to threats to the security of Canada, is a determination for law enforcement,” wrote McLeod in an email.

Rath and his fellow organizers with the pro-independence Alberta Prosperity Project (APP) have visited Washington, D.C. three times this year, most recently reporting they

met with unnamed officials

inside the U.S. State Department’s headquarters earlier this month.

The APP says

the talks have covered

U.S. recognition of a successful independence referendum in the province, defence and trade co-operation in case of separation, cross-border oil pipeline routes and a possible multibillion-dollar loan to help Alberta transition to an independent jurisdiction.

Former Alberta premier Jason Kenney earlier this year

referred to Rath as a “treasonous kook”

after the separatist appeared on Fox News in the U.S. to promote his cause. (Kenney is a board member of Postmedia Network, which owns National Post, but plays no role in day-to-day editorial processes.)

The APP is the primary group pushing for an Alberta independence vote in 2026 and is set

to start collecting signatures

this week in support of its referendum question. Elections Alberta last week officially approved the group’s Citizen Initiative Petition application that would, if the petition is successful, ask Albertans the question, “Do you agree that the Province of Alberta should cease to be part of Canada to become an independent state?”

Rath, himself a lawyer, said his group did its homework before booking the flights to Washington, D.C.

“We researched all of this extensively before meeting with anyone in the U.S. We are not engaged in any activity that is unlawful,” said Rath.

Cameron Davies, leader of the separatist Republican Party of Alberta, has travelled separately to Pennsylvania, Washington, D.C. and President Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago Club in Florida, to court U.S. allies for his cause. He was in Phoenix, Ariz. earlier this month to attend America Fest, the annual conference of Turning Point USA, the Republican-friendly activist group founded by Charlie Kirk, who was assassinated in September.

Davies said he plans to visit El Salvador and Argentina in the spring for what he calls exploratory talks

with “freedom-minded governments.”

He ran unsuccessfully for a seat in Alberta’s legislature this summer, finishing third with 18 per cent of the vote in a rural byelection that was widely

seen as a bellwether

for the province’s independence movement.

Davies said he’s also taken steps to ensure he stays on the right side of relevant Canadian laws.

“I’ve sought legal counsel (and) we’re staying well within the conversations of a private citizen. Any ideas that are floated are purely speculative,” said Davies.

Both Rath and Davies said they’ve made it clear to foreign contacts that they don’t have the authority to make agreements on behalf of Alberta or Canada.

Canada’s existing legal framework of criminal laws prohibiting treason, sedition and espionage set the bar for prosecution so high as to make prosecution almost inconceivable with regard to the Albertans’ meetings, said Yuan Yi Zhu, a Canadian professor of international relations and law at the University of Leiden in the Netherlands.

“They’d pretty much have to be caught on tape helping Donald Trump plan an invasion of Canada” to be prosecuted, said Zhu.

Prosecutions of private Canadian citizens for crimes against the state have been virtually unheard of in

the post-Second World War era.

Zhu said that the lack of a popular mandate for Alberta separation — with no open separatists currently holding elected office and polls showing

most Albertans opposed to the idea

 — is legally irrelevant.

“There’s no law against being a crank,” said Zhu.

Adrienne Davidson, a political science professor at McMaster University, said the legality of these talks could become a more complicated question once a referendum campaign is officially underway.

“I think, legally, it could raise some really interesting questions (surrounding) interference into electoral processes or referendums … I think that’s where the real question of foreign interference would come in,” said Davidson.

The federal government

passed legislation

beefing up provisions against foreign interference in June 2024, including the creation of a Foreign Influence Transparency Commissioner to whom groups and individuals working with foreign governments in some contexts would have to report. However, the commissioner has not yet been appointed.

National Post

With files from Tracy Moran

rmohamed@postmedia.com

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here.


Some federal government benefits and tax credits are set to go up. (POSTMEDIA ARCHIVES)

As a new year nears, Canadians can look forward to more money from Ottawa. Annual increases in some federal government benefits and credits are coming based on its practice (since 2018) of indexing these amounts to keep up with inflation.

In 2026, the

increase will be two per cent

, based on the

Consumer Price Index

.

Here are some of increasing benefits and credits:

Ottawa sends out the

GST/HST credit

payments in January, April, July and October to help recover some of the sales tax they pay on everyday items. For the 2026-27 benefit year, the

maximum credit for a single adult

is increasing to $544. Couples can receive up to $712, plus an additional $187 for each child. This credit follows a July-to-June benefit year, so your increase will come into effect in July, based on this year’s tax return. There are still two more payments left for the current benefit year, in January and April.

The

Canada Child Benefit

is a monthly tax-free payment that helps parents and guardians cover the cost of raising children. It’s based on household income, how many children in a parent’s/guardian’s care and their ages. Starting in July 2026, the

maximum annual CCB will incre
ase

to $8,157 per child under age 6 and $6,883 for kids aged 6 to 17. That’s a yearly boost of $160 and $135, respectively, over this year’s rates. The new amounts work out to a maximum of $679.75 a month for younger kids, and $573.58 monthly at age 6 and above. These new rates take effect in July, with the first monthly payment set to arrive on July 20, 2026.

The

Child Disability Benefit

is a tax-free supplement paid monthly for families raising a child under 18 with a severe, prolonged disability. For the 2026-27 benefit year, the maximum Child Disability Benefit amount is increasing to $3,480 per eligible child — up from $3,411 this year. That works out to a maximum of $290 per eligible child each month. These changes will take effect with the start of the new benefit year in July. The updated amounts will show up in your monthly CCB payment on July 20, 2026, based on your 2025 tax return.

The

Canada Workers Benefit

is a refundable tax credit that supports low-earning Canadians. (Non-refundable credits which can only reduce your tax bill to zero, while refundable credits are paid out in full.) The CWB is tied to the tax year, so the increase in 2026 will actually reflect last year’s inflation-based increase of 2.7 per cent. The

maximum benefit

for single individuals with no children will be $1,665 in 2026, up from $1,633 in 2025. The maximum benefit for families will be $2,869 in 2026, up $56 from $2,813 in 2025. The maximum CWB disability supplement (available to Canadians who qualify for the disability tax credit) will increase by $17 from $843 to $860 in 2026.

The

Canada Disability Benefit

is a new monthly payment introduced in July 2025 to support working-age adults with disabilities. It’s available to Canadians aged 18 to 64 who are approved for the Disability Tax Credit, and the amount you receive depends on your income. The maximum annual payment now is $2,400, or $200 per month. Like other benefit increases that follow the benefit year, going forward it will go up each July. Assuming a two per cent increase, the new maximum for 2026-27 would be roughly $2,448 annually — or $204 per month. The first CDB payment at the new rate is set to land on July 20, 2026.

The

Canada Pension Plan

is a monthly taxable benefit. The amount depends on your contributions while working, how long you’ve paid into the system, and when you start collecting. Once you’re eligible, you’ll receive payments for life. CPP benefits are indexed every January to keep up with inflation. For 2026, Service Canada has announced that payments are increasing by two per cent, based on the consumer price index.

Old Age Security

is a monthly pension payment from Service Canada for Canadians aged 65 and up. Unlike other pension programs like the Canada Pension Plan, your work history is not a factor in OAS eligibility. OAS is reviewed four times a year — in January, April, July and October — and adjusted as needed to keep up with inflation. The payment amount won’t go down, even if the cost of living does.

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here.


The Royal Canadian Navy Halifax-class frigate HMCS Vancouver on Sept. 20, 2022.

More than 18 months after Canada labelled Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) a terrorist organization, the Middle East nation has done the same to the Royal Canadian Navy.

Iran’s foreign ministry said its decision was made “within the framework of reciprocity” as it relates to

Ottawa’s 2024 decision

to classify the IRGC as a terrorist entity, a move it said in

a statement

is “contrary to the fundamental principles of international law.”

It cited a piece of Iranian legislation enacted in 2019 that allows the country to apply the designation to “all countries that in any way comply with or support the decision of the United States of America to declare the (IRGC) as a terrorist organization.”

Formed after the 1979 Iranian revolution and now considered a “pillar” of the nation’s armed forces, the IRGC is a militia that controls vast business empires and operates armed and intelligence forces with little to no civilian oversight. Its more than 150,000 members oversee Iran’s missile program and nuclear efforts.

The U.S. first listed the IRGC as a foreign terrorist organization in

April 2019

, during President Donald Trump’s first term. Canada, advancing its own efforts to rebuke the Iranian regime’s “unlawful actions and its support of terrorism,” followed suit last June.

“The Government of Canada has concluded after a deliberative process based on very, very strong and compelling evidence that the cabinet received that now is the time to list the IRGC as a criminal organization,” the Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc told reporters in Ottawa.

Canada had already designated Quds Force, a branch of the IRGC, as a terrorist entity

in 2012

, because it provides weapons, money and training to groups such as Hamas, Hezbollah, the Taliban, the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine-General Command (PFLP-GC).

According to the

U.S. Counter Terrorism Guide

, Quds Force “is one of the Iranian regime’s primary organizations responsible for conducting covert lethal activities outside Iran, including asymmetric and terrorist operations.”

While not specifically stated by Ottawa, one of the key factors in offering the 2024 designation was Iran’s downing of Ukraine International Airlines Flight PS752, which led to the deaths of all 176 passengers and crew, 85 Canadian citizens and permanent residents. The Guard admitted it was responsible, but said the aircraft was mistaken for a hostile target.

 Debris from Ukraine International Airlines Flight PS752, which was shot down after take-off from Iran’s Imam Khomeini airport, killing 85 Canadian citizens and permanent residents.

Despite calls from within and outside Canada to apply the terrorist label to the parent IRGC, the Liberals resisted for several years, citing potential unintended consequences on Iranians who were forced into mandatory service or sent money home from Canada.

Then Justice Minister Arif Virani said an individual’s willingness and intent must be considered under the Criminal Code.

“If an individual was conscripted at one point in time and no longer serves with the IRGC, that would affect the analysis and inform the analysis,”

Virani said last year.

“If the person who is sending the money does not know what it is going to be used for and is, in fact, kept in the dark about that information, that would also affect the analysis.”

In addition to the U.S. and Canada, Sweden, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia also list IRGC as a terrorist group. Late last month, Australia also listed the Guard as

“a state sponsor of terrorism

.”

 

Iran’s foreign ministry did not detail the practical consequences of the designation on Canada’s Navy.

National Post has contacted Iran’s ministry and Global Affairs Canada for comment and more information.

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here.


Prime Minister Mark Carney speaks at an event in Montreal,  Nov. 14, 2025.

OTTAWA — As Canada prepares to enter 2026 which could see the Parti Québécois (PQ) take power in Quebec and enact its promise of a third referendum, it remains unclear what, if anything, Prime Minister Mark Carney’s government intends to do about it.

The PQ has been riding high in the polls in Quebec for the past two years and could aspire to form a majority government after the October election. Its leader, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, has vowed to hold a referendum in his first mandate — before 2030.

Liberal sources told the National Post that former Quebec lieutenant Steven Guilbeault had started to map out a federal strategy to respond to the PQ, but it was very early stages.

“He was starting to see what their posture should be. Should they have some messages? Should they make some (media) appearances? If so, what kind of appearances? So, he was still at the beginning of the elaboration of a strategy,” said one source.

But Guilbeault resigned from his cabinet positions in late November, including his role as Quebec lieutenant. A spokesperson for his office said he was unavailable for an interview.

His successor, Joël Lightbound, is expected to settle into his role in the new year and to take the lead on all things Quebec — including the PQ. A spokesperson for Lightbound also refused an interview, citing a lack of time.

But sources described Lightbound as having a more “discreet” approach, not one that would be outright confrontational and could direct too much attention toward Ottawa.

Jonathan Kalles, who served as Quebec adviser to then Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and is now a vice president at McMillan Vantage, said Carney’s team will need to figure out who are his main spokespeople in terms of responding to the PQ.

“Most important, that it be coordinated and not individual ministers or members making comments without being part of a larger plan,” he warned.

Back in November, Industry Minister Mélanie Joly accused the PQ leader of wanting

to throw Quebec “into the arms of Donald Trump”

after he called for a “closer relationship” with the United States if Quebec were to become an independent country.

Quebec Liberal MP Angelo Iacono went even further a day later, claiming that

an independent Quebec would be at risk of being invaded

by the U.S.

Kalles said there will also be moments when St-Pierre Plamondon might say or do things that could damage his electoral chances, and the federal government “would be wise to pick and choose the moments when to respond and when not to respond.”

One of those moments was when St-Pierre Plamondon called out

the cultural sector in the province as being “disloyal” to Quebec

after some of them congratulated Marc Miller’s appointment as federal culture minister. The PQ leader ultimately apologized for his comments.

The PQ subsequently dropped four points in a Léger-Québecor poll

— from 39 per cent of decided voters to 35 — despite the Quebec Liberal Party being embroiled in scandal.

“That’s clearly a result of people reacting to (St-Pierre Plamondon)’s attacks on the cultural milieu, which were over the top and ridiculous,” said Kalles.

Michel Breau, associate vice president at the Wellington Dupont Public Affairs, said Carney’s team would be wise to weigh their efforts made to alleviate the threat of Western alienation versus the real threat of Quebec electing a separatist government in 2026.

“There’s already been stretches of time when the Quebec government felt it was prepared to suddenly run an independent country’s government. That isn’t the case in Alberta,” he said.

Breau, who worked for Quebec Liberal ministers for a decade, said events such as Guilbeault’s departure from cabinet because of the Alberta MOU and

naming investment banker Mark Wiseman as ambassador to the U.S. despite Quebec opposition

could eventually add up.

“You can start to have a little bit of a drip, drip, drip, in terms of stuff that seeps a little bit, I think, into the woodwork of, does Mark Carney really get Quebec?”

 Joël Lightbound, above, Prime Minister Mark Carney’s new Quebec lieutenant, is said to be taking a more “discreet” approach to the job than his predecessor, Steven Guilbeault, did.

The federal government is not “blind” to the fact that the PQ is leading in the polls in Quebec at the moment, said one source close to Carney’s thinking speaking on a not-for-attribution basis.

However, they remain convinced that the Quebec election is “anybody’s game” — pointing to the unpredictable turn of events at the federal level in 2025. They also said that the uncertainty around the CUSMA review in 2026 could sway Quebecers to stay within Canada.

In any case, the federal public service is likely quietly working in the background to prepare for all scenarios — including a majority PQ win.

In an interview, former clerk of the Privy Council Michael Wernick said he thinks “pretty soon, it would be time to start doing that quiet prep work.”

“The prime minister’s focus is going to be pulled mostly to Canada-U.S. stuff and trade and security and building those houses and infrastructure projects and all that kind of stuff. So, this could become quite a drain of focus and attention,” he said.

Wernick, who was assistant deputy minister at the department now known as Intergovernmental Affairs during the 1995 referendum, said the federal government will “always have to find a working relationship with the federalists within Quebec.”

For now, the whiff of scandal has cast a chill between Liberals in Ottawa and Quebec City.

Publicly, most federal Liberals are steering clear of provincial politics — seeing that their former colleague, Pablo Rodriguez, recently resigned as leader of the Liberal Party of Quebec after facing a criminal investigation by the province’s anti-corruption police.

At an unrelated announcement on Dec. 16, Lightbound even contradicted a reporter for suggesting the Liberal parties of Canada and Quebec were somewhat related.

“It is neither the little brother nor the big brother. There is no connection between both parties, and there hasn’t been a connection for decades,” he said.

Privately, the federal Liberals are keeping a close eye on the person who could succeed Rodriguez as leader of the provincial party: Charles Milliard, former head of the Quebec Federation of Chambers of Commerce.

Philippe J. Fournier, founder of

the polling aggregator website Qc125

, said that while Milliard has no political experience, it might work in his favour against political opponents who might struggle to find ways to undermine him or uncover “skeletons in the closet.”

Even though the PQ has been steadily polling in first place, Fournier predicts it is too early to tell what might happen come October given how divided the Quebec electorate is.

“There is no precedent. … So, I believe it is completely unpredictable, even if the PQ is the favourite,” he said.

National Post

calevesque@postmedia.com

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our politics newsletter, First Reading, here.


A man whose teenage daughter was kidnapped on Christmas Day found the girl by using his cellphone’s parental controls to track her location.

A teenage girl police said was kidnapped on Christmas Day in Texas was located by her father using his phone’s parental controls.

The 15-year-old girl from Porter, an unincorporated community north of Houston, was reported missing when she didn’t return from walking her dog at the usual time, leading her parents to become concerned, the Montgomery County Sheriff’s Office explained in

a news release

.

Her father used parental controls to track the location of his daughter’s phone to a “secluded, partially wooded area” about three kilometres away in adjacent Harris County.

Police said he found her and the dog “inside a maroon-coloured pickup truck with a partially nude” man. He helped his daughter escape and contacted the police.

The girl told police the man had threatened her with a knife when he abducted her from the street.

With the help of witnesses at the scene, police located the truck and identified the driver, a 23-year-old Porter resident. He was located, taken into custody and has been charged with aggravated kidnapping and indecency with a child.

He’s being held in the county jail without bond while the major crimes unit continues its investigation.

Under the state’s penal code, a conviction on the kidnapping charge, a first-degree felony, carries a prison term of five to 99 years or life imprisonment and/or a fine up to $10,000, according to

Dunham Law. 

Cases involving indecency with a child, meanwhile, are a second-degree felony punishable by between two and a maximum of 20 years in prison and/or a fine up to $10,000 if found guilty, per defence lawyer

E. Jason Leach

.

The family, who have not been publicly identified, told CBS News affiliate

KHOU

off-camera that they do not know the suspect.

“Christmas is a day meant for joy, but this man chose to shatter that joy by targeting a child,” Sheriff Wesley Doolittle stated.

“I am incredibly proud of our deputies and detectives who worked tirelessly to ensure this dangerous predator was swiftly apprehended and is now off our streets.”

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here.


Few could have predicted that former prime minister Justin Trudeau, left, would be romantically involved with international pop-star Katy Perry in the months after he left office.

There were several clear signs that many Canadians were growing tired of Justin Trudeau as prime minister and Liberal leader as fall turned to winter in 2024.

He’d

lost a pair of byelections

and the

support of the NDP

, was facing

mounting dissent within his own caucus

, and watched as his

approval ratings plunged

and Pierre Poilievre’s soared. Things turned from bad to worse when long-time senior minister

Chrystia Freeland abruptly resigned

, citing policy friction with Trudeau.

The already beleaguered prime minister was even told to

“please get the f— out of B.C.”

by a woman who recognized him at a ski resort last Christmas. (Trudeau replied with a chuckle and wished the woman “a wonderful day.”)

Suffice it to say, there were plenty of red flags and Trudeau, to his credit, seemed to notice them. He

tendered his resignation

in January and handed the reins to Mark Carney in March.

 Mark Carney, Leader of the Liberal Party of Canada, embraces Prime Minister Justin Trudeau after being announced the winner at the Liberal leadership convention in Ottawa, on Sunday, March 9, 2025.

And while other past prime ministers have largely quietly exited the spotlight to seek out whatever degree of a private citizen’s life is available to them, nine months after his departure, Trudeau can’t seem to stay out of the limelight.

But unlike those prime ministers before him who found “fame,” per se, through their tenure as the head of government, Trudeau has been famous since birth.

“When he was born, this was like the biggest front page news in the country,” Nelson Wiseman, political science professor emeritus at the University of Toronto, told National Post in an interview.

“Whereas normally, I think it would have been noted, it wouldn’t have been as big a thing as it was because not only was he the son of Pierre Trudeau, around which a mystique had already developed, but Trudeau’s wife was so young.”

The late Trudeau and former prime minister was 51 when he married the 22-year-old Margaret Sinclair in 1971 and Justin, their first of three children together, was born on Christmas Day that year.

He spent most of his early youth living at 24 Sussex Drive and accompanied his father, often with brothers Alexandre “Sacha” and Michel, to various events and appearances, forcing all of them into the public eye.

 Prime Minister Pierre Elliott Trudeau walks off a boat in Port Alberni, B.C., while holding a four-year-old Justin Trudeau in May 1976.

After a low-key adolescence and early adulthood thanks to his father’s departure from office in 1984, he returned to the public eye in his late 20s when he delivered

the eulogy for his father in 2000

.

By 2008, and despite previously

telling CTV in 1995 that he would never enter politics

, he ran and was narrowly elected for the first time in Montreal. The rest is Canadian history as the 44-year-old former school teacher became the nation’s second-youngest prime minister in 2015 and the first sired by a previous prime minister. (His father’s brief successor, Joe Clark, became the youngest at 39 in 1979, but served less than a year before his Progressive Conservative government was defeated by the elder Trudeau in 1980.)

His inherited fame is a view also endorsed by Acadia political science professor Alex Marland, who says to understand Trudeau “is to look at him first and foremost as a celebrity.”

“Once you look at him as a celebrity, you start to understand him in a very different way than other prime ministers, other politicians,” Marland told National Post.

Whereas other prime ministers were “just another citizen” before being elected to the highest office in Canada, Trudeau’s “normal is as a celebrity.”

Marland, without opining on the specifics, added that some of the things that have put Trudeau back in the headlines since his somewhat unceremonious exit “are consistent with that theory.”

The Monday after Carney’s ascension, Trudeau took a trip to Canadian Tire to shop for utensils and appliances,

sharing his outing on Instagram

, one of the social media platforms he had strategically embraced throughout his political career.

 Justin Trudeau posted a selfie on Instagram, showing him while he went shopping at Canadian Tire on March 17, 2025. It was his first post since Mark Carney became Canada’s new prime minister.

While his predecessor, Stephen Harper, governed during the advent of social media, it wasn’t a tool employed by the Conservatives at the time.

“There was never anybody that he ran into that he wasn’t willing to take a selfie with,” Wiseman said of Trudeau. “In fact, a relative of mine has a selfie of herself and him — I’m not even sure she’s a Liberal.”

Outside of campaigning for his replacement in Papineau, Que., Trudeau was mostly off the radar post-politics until he showed up to King Charles II’s throne speech in May wearing

a pair of green and orange Adidas sneakers

with his two-piece suit. The casual attire in the presence of royalty reportedly led to some

“outrage” in the U.K.

In the weeks that followed, he shared images from individual vacations he took with the three children he shares with ex-wife Sophie Grégoire Trudeau — Xavier, 18, Ella Grace, 16, and Hadrien, 11.

Since their separation after 18 years of marriage in 2023, the former couple appear to have maintained a co-parenting relationship, even vacationing and spending some holidays together, including as recently as

this Thanksgiving.

 A view of former prime minister Justin Trudeau’s Adidas shoes as he arrives ahead of the Speech from the Throne by King Charles on May 27, 2025, in Ottawa.

Amidst those moments, however, came an event that could not have been on anyone’s 2026 Bingo card: Trudeau and Grammy-nominated international pop star Katy Perry were spotted having dinner together at Le Violon, a swanky Montreal restaurant. He also accompanied his daughter to Perry’s sold-out show at the Bell Centre.

The July revelation followed up with more

Trudeau and Perry sightings

: kissing atop her yacht in a California harbour, a date caught by Paris paparazzi and Trudeau joining her on tour in Europe.

They became “Instagram official” in early December when Perry

shared photos and video of herself and Trudeau in Tokyo

, where her world tour just ended. On the same trip, the pair

dined with former Japanese prime minister Fumio Kishida

and his wife, Yuko.

Marland reasons Trudeau’s inherent celebrity status will mean the interest may never wane.

“When we see a photograph of him having dinner with an American pop singer in Montreal, is that because he made it known that he was there? Or is that because he actually wanted his privacy,” he pondered.

 From the left, former prime minister Justin Trudeau and Katy Perry pose for a photo in front of a Christmas tree with Yuko and Fumio Kishida, the former Japanese prime minister.

It’s not clear if Trudeau and his ex-wife spent time together this Christmas. He shared

a single photo with the kids

on his social media, while Grégoire Trudeau

shared an image of herself staring into a sunset

in a post that mentions neither Trudeau nor her children.

“I welcome this new year the way I welcome the horizon — with trust, open arms, and a heart that knows its own rhythm,” she wrote. “I’m choosing presence over pressure, depth over noise, and the quiet courage it takes to stay true to myself.”

Perry, meanwhile, was silent on social media over the holidays.

Professionally speaking, Trudeau hasn’t had nearly as much scrutiny as he has personally and romantically.

He said nothing of his post-political intentions in his

resignation speech

, nor in the one he delivered at the

Liberal leadership convention

, but he did offer some candid insight in a 2023 interview with

Quebec news station Noovo.

“I see myself working with young people, going back to teaching or as a professor in university, a speaker, maybe on technology in relation to our democracy,” he said when asked specifically about life after public office.

“I’m excited for the next chapter, but not right away.”

Not unlike other politicians before him, part of that involves speaking engagements and Trudeau is represented by the Speaker Booking Agency, which quotes his

in-person appearances starting at $100,000

.

It’s not immediately clear how many he’s booked through the firm, but his first known and documented speech came when he

delivered the keynote address

at the 26th World Knowledge Forum in September. About a month later, the Chicago Council on Global Affairs awarded him the 2025 Global Leader honours.

As for what his “next chapter” will include, Wiseman said Trudeau is unique in that he’s still a relatively young man, making him the youngest at time of departure (53) since Arthur Meighen in 1926. (John Sparrow David Thompson, Canada’s fourth prime minister, was just 49 when his term ended in 1894.)

Harper, meanwhile, was only 56 when he was voted out of office on Trudeau’s first majority win as Liberal leader in 2015, but the former prime minister was anything but a media darling during his two terms.

Marland said Harper is the only modern leader to whom Trudeau can be compared, but there’s a huge contrast between the two.

“Harper really didn’t seem to enjoy the camera, even when he was prime minister. He was far more interested in policy and almost used the media when he needed to,” he said.

“The same thing has happened when he’s out of power, that he’s really not appearing a lot in the news. It’s much more selective and careful.”

 Former prime ministers Justin Trudeau, left, and Stephen Harper share a laugh ahead of King Charles delivering the speech from the throne in the Senate in Ottawa on Tuesday, May 27, 2025.

After leaving office, Harper returned to Alberta, where he launched a global strategic business consulting firm, co-founded an investment fund, chaired various organizations, and did speaking engagements around the world,

according to the province.

Wiseman isn’t convinced Trudeau will follow suit.

“My feeling is that Trudeau doesn’t need the money and he doesn’t care that much about that,” he suggested.

While Trudeau’s precise net worth is unclear, he stands to make up to $8.4 million in pension payments, according to the

Canadian Taxpayers’ Federation. 

Other past prime ministers who’ve pivoted to consulting include Jean Chrétien, Brian Mulroney and Trudeau’s father, all of whom did so at law firms.

 Pierre Trudeau is seen walking to his office in Montreal in 1992.

Whatever Trudeau chooses to do with his time in the years to come, Marland doesn’t think a normal life is in the cards.

“It was already done for him,” he said. “He could never ever be just another citizen.”

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Igor Makarov has failed to convince the Federal Court of Appeal to lift Canadian sanctions imposed on the billionaire and former Russian oligarch.

A billionaire and former Russian oligarch who renounced his Russian citizenship in the summer of 2023 has failed in his bid to get Canadian sanctions against him lifted.

Igor Viktorovich Makarov’s case wound up at the Federal Court of Appeal after Canada added the oil and gas magnate’s name to the sanctions list aimed at punishing those associated with Russia’s war on Ukraine. Canada reportedly froze $145 million of Makarov’s assets in 2022.

“Mr. Makarov became a billionaire from his business activities in Russia, some of which were state assisted, or state associated, with connections, some close, to Russian governmental officials. Thus, the Governor in Council added him to the sanctions list,” Justice David Stratas wrote in a recent decision out of Toronto from the three-judge panel.

Makarov

founder of the ARETI International Group and once a major shareholder in

Calgary-based Spartan Delta Corp. —

 had asked Canada’s then foreign affairs minister Mélanie Joly to remove him from the list, but his request was refused.

He took his case to the federal court and lost, then appealed.

“We must dismiss Mr. Makarov’s appeal,” Stratas wrote.

 Canada’s former foreign affairs minister Mélanie Joly.

Many of Makarov’s “submissions use the language of legal principle,” said the judge.

“But, in reality, Mr. Makarov asks us to reweigh the evidence and redo the Minister’s job. Indeed, Mr. Makarov goes further. He asks us to make our own decision and impose it on the Minister. Under reasonableness review and the granting of remedies, this is not our normal task.”

Makarov is a former professional cyclist and member of the USSR national cycling team. In March 2023, Forbes pegged his net worth at US$2.2 billion.

Joly provided “ample and detailed” support for her decision to keep Makarov on the sanctions list, Stratas said in his decision dated Dec. 9.

“Mr. Makarov was heavily involved in Russian gas sectors through his company, ITERA. He was connected to Russian oligarchs and controllers of Russian state-sponsored and state-owned companies,” said the judge.

“As well, he was a senior sports official in Russia and had dealings with the Russian President, Vladimir Putin.”

Makarov, 63, is now a citizen of Cyprus.

According to Forbes, he founded Itera, Russia’s first independent gas company.

“In the late 1990s, Itera was Russia’s main exporter of gas from Turkmenistan, where Makarov was born,” the magazine reported.

”In 2012 Itera entered into a joint venture with Rosneft, the state-controlled oil company; the next year, Rosneft bought out Itera for $2.9 billion.”

Makarov was appointed as an energy adviser to the president of Turkmenistan in 2019.

Makarov “argued that he is no longer an associate of the Russian regime,” Stratas said.

“He says he was forced to sell his oil and gas business, ITERA; he renounced his Russian citizenship; his relationship with certain figures was adversarial. He also says he has never been politically involved and that he does not currently support President Vladimir Putin. He says he has spoken against the Ukraine war and has made humanitarian contributions to vulnerable Ukranians.”

But Joly wasn’t buying it.

“The Minister considered Mr. Makarov’s attempts to distance himself from the Russian regime to be superficial, not meaningful. The Minister found that nothing really changed between the decision to list Mr. Makarov, which was supported by a constellation of evidence of association, and his application to be delisted,” said the appeal decision.

“The Minister did not consider Mr. Makarov’s renunciation of citizenship a genuine effort to separate himself from the regime. He had not publicly denounced the Government of Russia or President Vladimir Putin, something that might help to rebut his past associations and activities. As well, the Minister found the extent of Mr. Makarov’s humanitarian efforts difficult to substantiate. The Minister considered the purposes of this sanctions regime, drew upon an appreciation of international affairs, noted the decisions of other states to sanction Mr. Makarov, and concluded that Mr. Makarov had not made out a case for delisting.”

The appeal court sided with Joly.

“The Minister’s decision was made based on evidence existing at the time of this decision,” Stratas said.

“If there is new evidence such that the legislative threshold of a ‘material change in circumstances’ is met, Mr. Makarov can apply again to the Minister and the Minister must consider the matter afresh.”

New Zealand removed Makarov from its Russia Sanctions Register this past September, joining the United Kingdom and Australia in reversing measures initially imposed in 2022.

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A trail sign at the Sunshine Village Ski Resort in Banff. A woman died on Saturday, possibly by asphyxiation, after falling into deep, fresh snow while skiing the Banff Avenue green run.

A woman who fell into a pocket of deep, soft, fresh snow while skiing in Banff on Saturday may have died by suffocation, according to a local ski resort.

The victim was later identified by her brother as 47-year-old Farah Merchant of Toronto.

“She was a loving and devoted mother to her son, Liam, a cherished daughter, sister, aunt, cousin, friend,”

Faiz Merchant wrote in a Facebook post

confirmed by National Post. “She had a kind soul and touched so many lives with her love, warmth, and compassion. She will be deeply missed by all who knew her.”

The ski patrol team at the Sunshine Village Ski Resort in Alberta responded to a call about an unresponsive skier on Banff Avenue, a green run in the lower mountain area, in the afternoon and arrived within three minutes, as reported by the

Rocky Mountain Outlook.

With wide, gentle and groomed slopes, green runs are considered the easiest terrain for skiers.

Another skier tried to help Merchant after witnessing her fall, said Kendra Scurfield, the resort’s director of brand and communications, in a statement to the Outlook.

The ski patrol spent two hours trying to resuscitate her to no avail, she said.

Scurfield said it appeared the woman didn’t fall into a tree well — an area around the base of a tree where unconsolidated snow creates a hazard similar to quicksand — but still ended up in a “deep snow immersion” situation.

“It looked like she had fallen into deep snow and there may have been either asphyxiation due to the snow or cardiac arrest,” Scurfield said.

According to

Back Country Skiing Canada,

snow immersion suffocation (SIS) can occur when someone falls into deep, loose snow and becomes immobilized, usually in a head-first position.

“In an inverted position you can become trapped under the snow. Breathing becomes difficult as the loose snow packs in around you.

“If a partner is not there for immediate rescue, the skier or rider may die very quickly from suffocation — in many cases, he or she can die as quickly as someone can drown in water.”

It’s not clear if Merchant was skiing with a partner at the time.

The woman’s body was sent to Calgary for autopsy, the RCMP told the Outlook.

 

The resort also extended its sympathies to her family.

“We understand how hard it must be for them, and we’d also like to thank our ski patrol team for their work,” Scrufield stated.

On Dec. 26, Sunshine Village said it had already received 258 centimetres, making it the fifth snowiest month in its recorded history. Another 11 centimetres fell the night before Merchant’s death.

National Post has contacted the resort and the RCMP for comment and more information.

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President Donald Trump speaks at his Mar-a-Lago club, Monday, Dec. 22, 2025, in Palm Beach, Fla.

WASHINGTON, D.C. — ‘Tis the season for renaming – everything from a cultural hub dedicated to a beloved slain president to new destroyers to 2025 itself. No, President Donald Trump hasn’t labeled the year with his name, but his U.S. Trade Representative, in a new op-ed, just dubbed it the “year of the tariff.”

“The year 2025 will be remembered as the year of the tariff, regardless of one’s economic ideology,” Jamieson Greer wrote.  “International trade is neither good nor bad — it just is. The real question is whether trade patterns serve the national interest. For President Donald Trump and his administration, that means a trade policy that accelerates re-industrialisation.”

This year, Trump declared national emergencies related to fentanyl trafficking and the trade deficit as justification for his tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), and litigants — and businesses and consumers around the globe — are awaiting a Supreme Court ruling over whether these tariffs are constitutional.

The high court fast-tracked litigation to hear oral arguments this autumn, and a verdict is now expected early next year. So will 2026 be the year the IEEPA tariffs die, and if so, what will it mean for Canada and Trump’s trade war?

Reading the signals

While the administration has said it expects the court to rule in the president’s favour, most trade experts do not.

Clark Packard, a research fellow in the Cato Institute’s Herbert A. Stiefel Center for Trade Policy Studies, believes there are indications the Supreme Court will rule against the president.

“I think there’s a skepticism on separation of powers grounds — that the president shouldn’t have this much (power),” Packard said, noting how the justices have referred to a tariff as a tax.

“If it’s a tax, then that power resides with Congress to set those rates.”

Packard noted that the betting markets see the decision going this way, but he acknowledged the court might rule in favour of Trump.

Andrew Hale, a senior policy fellow at Heritage Foundation in Washington, D.C., doesn’t see any chance of a win for the White House.

“It’s a foregone conclusion,” he said. “They’re going to vote down IEEPA.”

Hale noted the economy has begun to feel the effects of the tariffs and that it will only get worse. Republicans, no matter how loyal they are to Trump, are getting burned by tariffs, he said, noting how he’s even heard from a Heritage Foundation donor and Republican fundraiser about having to lay off people because of the costs of the tariffs.

When asked to consider the court ruling for the president, Hale said he couldn’t even try.

“I can’t even envision that,” he said. “It’s so fundamentally illegal, and I think that the way the justices of the Supreme Court were questioning the lawyers for the administration, (suggests opposition to it).”

Packard, on the other hand, could, and he suggested that it would be bad news for America’s trading partners, particularly Canada and Mexico.

Winning and losing

“If the administration wins this case, my general sense is that these will serve as a baseline for tariffs,” Packard said, suggesting that today’s rates would grow.

With the renegotiation of the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) getting underway next summer, Packard also noted that continued IEEPA tariffs would be bad news for Canadian and Mexican negotiators.

“It sort of poisons the well in terms of those negotiations,” he said, because “the president could pivot pretty quickly to announce more national security tariffs.”

“If the IEEPA tariffs remain in place, I think it makes those negotiations way more difficult.”

Trump and Greer have both publicly suggested that the U.S. could undermine or end the CUSMA, which has left stakeholders in all three countries on edge.

But CUSMA was deemed the “gold standard” of trade deals under the first Trump administration, Hale pointed out.

“He’ll make the threat, but … (CUSMA is) going to get passed in some form,” Hale said, noting how Canada is already ramping up Canadian military spending in response to U.S. demands.

Those demands, however, are likely to continue.

“That’s going to be a recurring theme throughout this process. They’re going to weaponize it in other ways,” he warned, pointing to likely requests for more defence expenditures and pipelines.

But even a loss for the administration wouldn’t necessarily mean relief for businesses or consumers hit by the tariffs.

Beyond IEEPA

Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, has said that a verdict against the president, which would make the administration liable for repaying roughly $100 billion, is unlikely to lead to widespread refunds.

Hale said he thinks the litigants in this case — educational toy importer Learning Resources, Inc. and importer V.O.S. Selections, Inc. — will get their tariff money back. But he thinks the administration will refuse others, leading to more litigation.

“It’ll be up for the others to make claims,” he said, pointing to Costco’s recently filed claim.

Whatever the Supreme Court decides, the White House has made it abundantly clear it will pull other levers at its disposal to impose tariffs.

Packard points to Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, which the president can use to address balance‑of‑payments deficits, imposing global tariffs of up to 15 percent for 150 days. This can be extended by Congress, but Packard said the White House may opt to let it lapse and then reimpose it, letting it go on indefinitely.

Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 could be another arrow Trump pulls from his quiver. “It allows the United States to pick an individual trading partner and then document what it believes are unfair practices that discriminate against American commerce, and then the United States can respond.”

The legislation allows the president to impose tariffs without a statutory maximum rate on the total value of affected goods.

“Those are the two statutes the administration has cited,” said Packard, but his “biggest fright” is that Trump’s team will dust off Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff.

It has been blamed for worsening the Great Depression, and it was supplanted by Section 301 but remains on the books.

Using Section 338 would let the president impose tariffs up to 50 per cent on imports that the U.S. deems discriminatory against its commerce compared to other countries. While the U.S. would struggle to prove that Canada — or any other major trading partner — was discriminating in such a matter, the law is ambiguous and allows for a high tariff.

Legal matters

Everything from getting IEEPA refunds to fighting the potential use of Section 338 tariffs would require filing suit in U.S. courts, so it seems that 2025 and 2026 (and perhaps beyond) will also be the years of tariff litigation.

Hale said we should welcome these battles.

“I expect a lot of litigation, and it’s necessary because we don’t want to set these dangerous precedents that future presidents can abuse this kind of power, because it is an abuse of power,” he said.

“No matter what, more litigation.”

National Post

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