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Pete Hoekstra says the U.S. doesn't need Canada, warning that trade choices could reshape CUSMA renegotiations.

U.S. Ambassador to Canada Pete Hoekstra delivered another blunt assessment of the Canada-U.S. relationship during a wide-ranging radio interview this week, saying the U.S “does not need Canada,” even as he praised the nations’ deep economic relationship.

Hoekstra, speaking with host Elias Makos on

Montreal’s CJAD 800

, defended recent rhetoric from President Donald Trump that the U.S. could easily replace Canadian-made products.

“The problem is, we don’t need their product. We don’t need cars made in Canada, we don’t need cars made in Mexico, we want to make them here,”

Trump told reporters

while visiting a Ford factory in Michigan on Tuesday.

“No, we don’t need Canada,” Hoekstra told Markos when pressed on Trump’s latest comment and similar ones he’s made about lumber, steel, energy and more.

He added, however, that businesses on both sides of the border have elected to integrate their supply chains under the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and its successor, the Canada-U.S-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA), under which they’ve created “a tremendous amount of prosperity and wealth and a tremendous number of high-quality, high-paying jobs.”

During his auto-plant stop, Trump, as he has repeatedly in the past, suggested the deal — which he took credit for instituting in 2016 during his first term in office — wasn’t as important to the U.S. as it is to Canada and Mexico, even calling it “irrelevant.” The agreement requires a mandatory review this year and will be extended for 16 years if all three countries agree to renewal. If they fail to do so, joint reviews will be required annually until CUSMA expires in 2036. Any of the counties is also free to leave as long as they provide six months’ notice to the others.

“Hopefully this fall we will have a new outline of how we do business together and whether those relationships that we have put in place… will foster and grow or whether Canadian companies and American companies will go their separate ways because of the decisions that are made by their governments,” Hoekstra said.

“There are key indications that the president recognizes the value of these relationships, but at the same time… we’ve got to get to a new agreement.”

Makos repeatedly turned to what he described as a growing sense of alienation among Canadians, citing polls showing declining favourability toward the U.S. and boycotts of American products.

A Nanos Research Group poll

in December found that 70 per cent of Canadians support keeping U.S. wine and spirits off the liquor store shelves, a move made by several provinces and territories as trade tensions mounted in early 2025.

Hoekstra pushed back, saying Canada is free to take whatever steps it believes strengthen its negotiating position, but warned such measures “kind of sets a tone for the relationship.”

“We haven’t banned any Canadian products in America,” he said, noting that the president, his administration and individual governors are not following suit with calls to boycott Canadian goods.

Asked about Trump’s own tone regarding Canada, Hoekstra said, “The president is his own messenger.”

He also accused Canadian premiers of engaging in unwarranted personal attacks on Trump, noting nobody on the American side is doing the same to Prime Minister Mark Carney.

“You have folks that just absolutely trash the president who are key government officials,” Hoekstra said without identifying anyone in particular. “I don’t like it, but if that’s what they want to do, that’s what they can do.”

Unprompted by Makos, the ambassador also touched on the subject of pre-clearance, which allows U.S. Customs and Border Protection officers to operate within Canadian airports to inspect and clear travellers before they head to the U.S., allowing them to bypass customs on arrival. He said if air traffic between the two countries continues to drop, as has been widely reported, the U.S. might have to re-examine the program.

“I’d have to report to Washington and say our resources may be better spent somewhere else,” he said. “That’s not a threat. It’s just a pure business analysis.”

As their conversation went on, Hoekstra warned against dumping — the practice of flooding a market with cheap goods. He said if Canada, “as a sovereign country,” wants to do business with China, which is its prerogative, it should expect a U.S. response if Chinese-made products are allowed to enter North America through Canadian channels.

“If you’re allowing EVs and other vehicles to come in from China, I would say don’t necessarily expect that the U.S. border is going to be porous,” he said.

Carney is in China for meetings this week and while

no deal had been struck to remove Canadian tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles

as of Thursday, the two nations had made progress on items such as energy, lumber and public safety.

Meanwhile, Hoekstra dismissed speculation that the U.S., following on Trump’s desire to acquire Greenland to keep it from falling into Russia or China’s hands, might intervene in Canada’s north. He highlighted the new agreement between the U.S., Canada and Finland

to advance the construction of ice breakers to patrol the waterways

indicate that the countries “are in lock step.”

Overall, Hoekstra, acknowledging “a little tension” at the moment, struck a reasonably optimistic tone and said he is “hopeful we end up in a good place.”

He said Canadians are welcome to “make it an emotional issue” and “debate the things that the president has said,” but his focus is on what’s good for American business.

“That’s my objective. I’m assuming that Mark Carney and his team are negotiating for what’s best in Canada and in eight or nine months, we’ll see exactly where that ends up.”

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Soldiers from the Royal Regiment of Canada walk with shovels on a snow-covered street on Jan. 15, 1999, Toronto.

On Thursday, Torontonians woke to a blanket of snow over the city with more coming down. Closures in the Greater Toronto Area included schools, universities, the Toronto Zoo and even the Don Valley Parkway, after black ice accumulated on the road. TTC routes and the airport were affected as Environment Canada issued a yellow alert, then upgraded it to orange.

But at least the city didn’t have to call in the army.

The memory of that day will remain as long as there are seasons. (Even if Toronto tries to forget, the rest of the country won’t.) It was almost exactly 27 years ago — Jan. 14, 1999 — and Toronto had just been hit with a walloping 41 centimetres of snow.

The blizzard of ’99 reached across the entire Quebec-City-to-Windsor corridor and down into the U.S., with Chicago getting more than 50 cm of the white stuff, and South Haven, Mich., more than 70.

Only Toronto, however, took the unprecedented step of bringing in troops to shovel it.

To be fair, it wasn’t just the blizzard that Toronto was dealing with. A record 118 cm of snow had fallen there in the first two weeks of January. And so on Jan. 13, Mayor Mel Lastman phoned federal defence minister Art Eggleton (himself a former Toronto mayor) to ask for help. More than 300 local reservists answered the call, as did 438 troops dispatched from Petawawa, Ont.

“Look, you don’t know how much snow there was,” Lastman told National Post in 2019 on the 20th anniversary of the event. “I took a drive with my driver through the residential streets in downtown Toronto. You couldn’t get an ambulance down there. You couldn’t get a fire truck through there. They were saying on the radio there was going to be another 50 cm of snow or something.”

 Soldiers from Royal Regiment of Canada shovel snow on Jan. 15, 1999, in downtown Toronto.

He added that it wasn’t even his idea.

“It wasn’t me who came up with it,” he said. “It was my wife. When I told her what the heck was going on, she said, ‘Call in the army!’ I would have been kicking myself in the ass if I hadn’t.”

Eggleton noted: “The military — the reserve military, particularly — had been called out on many emergency circumstances right across the country: floods, ice storms, forest fires. It’s not uncommon for the military to be brought in to support and supplement what the first responders and local citizens are doing.”

Be that as it may, the rest of Canada had a field day with scenes of soldiers shovelling sidewalks and steering armoured personnel carriers through downtown intersections. One clip showed Lastman himself riding in what looked like a tank. A second blizzard — of snark — fell on the city.

“Mayor Mel dials 911,” jeered a headline in Vancouver’s The Province.

“Toronto crippled — again — by snow,” sneered another in The Saskatoon StarPhoenix.

It was front-page news in the Ottawa Citizen, which wrote: “Embarrassed Toronto struggles while rest of country hides a smile.”

Prince Edward Island, an entire province with a population less than a tenth of Toronto’s, offered to help.

“I saw on CTV just the extent of the snow that Toronto had received in five or six days,” Mike Currie, P.E.I. Minister of Transportation at the time, recalled. “I had discussions with some staff here, and by the evening I contacted Toronto and said, ‘If you want, we’ll put together a team.’ They said, ‘Please, because we don’t have anything.’”

His team chartered a bus, crossed the recently opened Confederation Bridge, drove through the night and arrived in Toronto the next day, ready to pitch in. They stayed for two weeks, and Torontonians applauded the help.

 Canadian Army officer John Dunn patrols downtown Toronto on Jan. 15, 1999, in an armoured personnel carrier following heavy snow and frigid temperatures in eastern and central Canada.

“It was a great gift for P.E.I.,” said Currie. “For many years to come, a lot of people from Toronto and Ontario patronized our tourism industry, our seafood industry. We benefitted from it for a long time after, and still do.”

He added: “I felt bad for them, because a lot of people were making fun of Toronto. I just didn’t think it was the right thing to do at the time.”

Maybe not, but it continues. Lastman, who died in 2021, told National Post in 2019: “I was in a taxi the other day. The taxi driver says, ‘I came the year you brought in the army!’ It was really funny. It happens to me all the time now.”

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This video grab taken on Jan. 14, 2026 from UGC images posted on social media on Jan. 9, 2026 shows cars set on fire during a protest on Saadat Abad Square in Tehran.

Foreign minister Anita Anand in a social post on Thursday said a Canadian citizen has died in Iran.

“Peaceful protests by the Iranian people — asking that their voices be heard in the face of the Iranian regime’s repression and ongoing human rights violations — has led the regime to flagrantly disregard human life. This violence must end. Canada condemns and calls for an immediate end to the Iranian regime’s violence,” she posted on X.

Anand extended her deepest condolences and said the officials are in contact with the victim’s family in Canada.

— More to come

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New Democrat MP Leah Gazan.

OTTAWA — Winnipeg MP Leah Gazan says she’s backing activist Avi Lewis as the NDP’s next leader, becoming the first of the party’s seven-member caucus to endorse a leadership candidate.

Gazan said in a

video released Thursday morning

that Lewis was the right person to lead the party in a “critical moment” for Canada and the world.

“I’m supporting Avi (Lewis) because he can blow open the doors of our movement, making it a home for everyone who believes in economic, social and environmental justice,” said Gazan.

Gazan has been critical of Lewis’s moderate rival, Edmonton MP Heather McPherson. She wrote in

a September social media

post that McPherson’s suggestion that the NDP subjected would-be joiners to a “purity test” was an implicit rebuke of calls for justice from the various “marginalized communities” that the party has historically fought for.

Lewis

said on social media

that it was a “profound honour” to pick up the endorsement from Gazan.

Lewis is widely considered

the most hard-left

of the major candidates in the race, calling for a national wealth tax, more government control of food distribution and the

phasing-out of fossil fuels

.

He and wife Naomi Klein, a fellow activists, are two of the authors of

the 2015 Leap Manifesto

, a document calling for the NDP to embrace a radical social and ecological justice agenda.

McPherson

picked up a key endorsement

from former Timmins, Ont. MP Charlie Angus earlier this week and has also been endorsed by Rachel Notley, the former NDP premier of Alberta.

Lewis, McPherson and union leader Rob Ashton are considered the three top contenders in the NDP leadership race, with the party’s next leader to be announced on Mar. 29 in Winnipeg.

National Post

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Prime Minister Mark Carney is presented with flowers from Lu You Ci, 11, as he is officially welcomed to Beijing, China on Wednesday, Jan. 14, 2026.

BEIJING — Prime Minister Mark Carney ushered in what he called a “new era” in the Canada-China relationship Thursday by renewing and updating a series of old expired non-binding agreements with the Asian superpower on energy and public safety.

In the regal Great Hall of the People in Beijing, Carney and Chinese Premier Li Qiang — the second most powerful figure in the country — watched as their minister signed over a half-dozen memoranda of understanding (MOU) and letters of intent Thursday afternoon.

The countries also signed a Canada-China economic and trade cooperation “roadmap” that sets the foundation of how both countries plan to reignite trade after years of frigid relations.

“China is prepared to work with Canada to follow through on the important consensus between our leaders and move forward our strategic forward on a trajectory of healthy, steady and sustainable development,” Qiang said through a translator.

“This is indeed a very important meeting and the most auspicious start to the new year and a new era of relations between Canada and China. We are heartened by the leadership of President Xi Jinping,” Carney responded.

China is a key part of Carney’s plan to double non-U.S. exports within 10 years in order to reduce Canada’s dependence on the American market. Industry Minister Mélanie Joly noted Thursday that trade discussions with the Chinese are “more predictable and stable” than with Canada’s southern neighbour.

But there was no sign of tariff relief on Chinese electric vehicles or Canadian canola from either country on the first full day of Carney’s trip.

Canada imposed 100 per cent tariffs on Chinese EVs in 2024, earning a stark rebuke from China in the form of 75 to 100 per cent tariffs on Canadian canola imports and 25 per cent border levies on pork and seafood.

The tariffs on canola have effectively halted all Canadian exports to China, which was the industry’s second biggest international market, dealing it a massive blow.

With Carney and Li them overlooking them, ministers Joly, Anita Anand, Tim Hodgson, Maninder Sidhu and Heath MacDonald as well as Canada’s ambassador to China Jennifer May signed the agreements with their counterparts Thursday.

The six MOUs signed Thursday cover a range of industries such as energy, lumber, policing and public safety, culture and tourism. The two governments also signed a new agreement to facilitate inter-country trade and inspection of pet food and the trade roadmap.

But many of the MOUs were renewals or updates of previous deals that had expired during the years of diplomatic row between China and Canada beginning in 2018.

The energy MOU re-upped a 2017 memorandum on energy cooperation and another on nuclear energy signed in 2014. It aims to deepen cooperation between both countries’ energy sectors by re-establishing formal communication channels between their respective resource ministries. It specifically mentions crude oil, liquefied natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas.

But the agreement does not include purchasing commitments by either country.

“They are very clear that they would like more Canadian energy products,” Energy Minister Tim Hodgson told reporters Thursday evening. He added there would be many more trips to China in the future.

Both governments also renewed a previous deal between the RCMP and China’s Ministry of Public Security to exchange intelligence and evidence in a host of investigations such as counter-terrorism, cybercrime, organized crime and drugs.

One goal of these agreements is to signal to businesses in each country which sectors are primed for new investments.

“If they’re going to invest in our country, they need to make sure that our companies are able to invest and have access to stability and have access to a form of certainty,” Joly told reporters.

She said that she would be meeting with Canadian auto parts company Magna International, Manulife and BMO on Friday.

But the biggest meeting Friday will be Carney’s bilateral with Chinese President Xi Jinping, the first such meeting for a Canadian prime minister in China since 2017.

Before the document signing and dinner with Qiang, Carney and a couple of his ministers met with six major Chinese private and state-run enterprises Thursday.

The companies included e-commerce and investment mastodon Alibaba, state-run giants China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) and Industrial & Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), electric vehicle battery and grid storage manufacturer CATL, investment firm Primavera and wind energy company Envision.

Each of those organizations are among the biggest in the world in their respective fields.

The Prime Minister’s Office does not share readouts of Carney’s meetings with businesses.

Speaking to press before a meeting with his Canadian counterpart Anand, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said in Mandarin that both countries are “doing the right things” diplomatically.

He also described Carney’s visit to China as a “turning point” after years of frigid diplomatic relations.

Much like her successor on Wednesday, Joly refused to say if she still believed China was an “increasingly disruptive” force in the global market, as described in the 2022 Indo-Pacific strategy she spearheaded.

Chinese media’s coverage of Carney’s trip has been relatively muted so far, with a few brief articles from state-run websites noting the prime minister’s arrival.

National Post

cnardi@postmedia.com

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A Toronto lawyer facing a string of weapons charges has seen his license to practice law in Ontario suspended.

A Toronto lawyer charged last year with a string of criminal offences, including allegedly driving with a suspended licence with a machete in his car and threatening people at a store with a box cutter, has seen his licence to practice law in Ontario suspended temporarily.

The Law Society of Ontario learned last August that Behrouz Shafiei-Sararoodi, who goes by Shafiei, was facing criminal charges that he hadn’t told them about.

“There is no dispute that Mr. Shafiei has struggled with mental health and substance abuse difficulties. It appears likely that these difficulties have resulted in alleged criminal conduct and eviction from his residence,” according to a recent decision from a Law Society Tribunal.

“What is clear is that Mr. Shafiei’s life has been chaotic and that this appears to be connected to mental health and substance abuse. While Mr. Shafiei’s position is that this has not affected his clients, the complaint from (one who was convicted for driving while under suspension and operating a motor vehicle without insurance after Shafiei failed to show up to defend him at trial) suggests otherwise.”

His participation in the tribunal hearing “was chaotic,” said the decision dated Jan. 7.

“He failed to comply with directions concerning filing evidence and, in the end, failed to provide any reliable evidence in support of his position. He asked that the motion be held down until his lawyer appeared, but no lawyer appeared and no explanation was provided.”

The tribunal concluded “that the evidence and Mr. Shafiei’s conduct in this proceeding demonstrates reasonable grounds for believing that there is a significant risk of harm to members of the public, and to the public interest in the administration of justice if an order is not made.”

Shafiei’s “essential position is that the chaos that has plagued him since the spring of 2025 has ended and that he has put a proper plan in place such that he should be permitted to practise with restrictions,” said the tribunal.

“We disagree.”

The tribunal indicated it has no “medical evidence supporting this claim of change. Nor is there any evidence to support his claim that he has a plan of support in place that can be relied on to reasonably ensure that the change is maintained and that clients and the public interest in the administration of justice are not at risk. ”

The tribunal suspended his licence to practice law on an interlocutory basis.

“Mr. Shafiei appears thoughtful and … he appears to be doing his best to cope with and surmount important and difficult challenges,” said the tribunal.

“While we are unable to conclude on the evidence that he is at a point that continued practice should be permitted even with restrictions, we note that (an) interlocutory suspension or restriction order may be varied or cancelled on the basis of fresh evidence or a material change in circumstances.”

Shafiei “disputes the criminal allegations made against him,” said the decision.

But he “does not dispute that he has struggled with mental health and substance abuse difficulties. He acknowledges that he has experienced a crisis,” it said.

Police charged Shafiei on April 22, 2025, with possession of a weapon for a dangerous purpose, when he was allegedly caught driving with “an accessible machete” in his vehicle.

When a Law Society investigator interviewed him last September, Shafiei “claimed that it was there because he had been helping his mother with landscaping.”

He also “claimed that he did not know that his driver’s licence had been suspended,” said the tribunal’s decision.

Police charged Shafiei on July 24, 2025, with possession of a weapon for a dangerous purpose and uttering threats, for allegedly threatening people in a Shoppers Drug Mart while armed with a box cutter.

He told the investigator that the box cutter incident started with a store employee following him around.

“Mr. Shafiei stated that he confronted the employee, claiming that the employee was discriminating against him, at which point the employee called a manager. Mr. Shafiei stated that, in the interim, he picked up a box cutter from either the floor, or a shelf, because he ‘needed to open something.’”

He “claimed that the manager was aggressive with him from the outset. Mr. Shafiei stated that the manager accused Mr. Shafiei of holding a weapon, referring to the box cutter. Mr. Shafiei appeared to deny holding the box cutter as a weapon and blamed the store for leaving the box cutter out,” said the decision.

He was charged July 28, 2025, with possession of a weapon for a dangerous purpose “for allegedly possessing a hammer while threatening to fight people.”

Of that incident, Shafiei “stated that he was camping on the beach alone when he was confronted by a crowd of people who were playing volleyball and who rushed at him,” said the decision.

“He stated that he became defensive and yelled at them to back up. Mr. Shafiei acknowledged having a hammer, claiming that he was using it to set up a tent.”

He “denied running around the beach with a hammer chasing or attacking people,” said the decision.

“Mr. Shafiei acknowledged possessing what he believed was crystal methamphetamine. Mr. Shafiei advised that he had not consumed the drug when he was arrested and charged. He advised that the drug charge was later withdrawn.”

Shafiei said of the beach incident that “a large group of people suddenly confronted and surrounded (him), accusing him of attempting to break into a car; he maintains that he was the one under threat and that the narrative was inverted when the police were called.”

The Law Society heard from another lawyer last fall who had known Shafiei since 2022, said the decision. “She advised that sometime in 2024, his behaviour changed.”

Around October 2024, she’d seen Shafiei “lying on the ground in a park near his apartment building. Mr. Shafiei was ‘completely disoriented’ and ‘out of it,’” said the decision. “She saw a shattered glass drug pipe near him. She shook him awake, and he did not recognize her. He then walked home, wobbling.”

When the investigator went to Shafiei’s apartment last October “representatives of the building’s property management confirmed that eviction proceedings had been initiated against Mr. Shafiei.”

The landlord had obtained two eviction orders for Shafiei: one for “non-payment of rent. The second order was for substantial interference with the interests of the landlord concerning clutter and junk being stored in and around the parking area and damage and vandalism to the walls around the parking space.”

Shafiei asked for and was denied an adjournment at his second eviction hearing on Sept. 22, 2025, after he “alleged a medical diagnosis that would provide additional information” for the adjudicator.

“Specifically, Mr. Shafiei said that he has ongoing mental health issues, including depression and hoarding.”

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here.


U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping react after posing for photos ahead of a bilateral meeting at Gimhae Air Base in Busan, South Korea, on Oct. 30, 2025.

WASHINGTON, D.C. — It’s been nearly a decade since a Canadian prime minister set foot in Beijing. Now, sensing an opportunity, Prime Minister Mark Carney

has arrived in the Chinese capital

, where he will meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Friday and attempt to reset Canada-China relations following years of tensions between the two countries. His visit is also meant to signal that Ottawa is ready to carve its own foreign policy, independent of Washington.

But the trip comes at a volatile time for Canada, when its ties to both China and the U.S. are strained. From

the Huawei affair

and tit-for-tat trade sanctions with Beijing to U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs on Canadian steel, lumber, and copper, his 51st state rhetoric — plus the looming renegotiation of the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) — pressure is building for Ottawa to bolster and expand its trade ties.

Carney has said his visit is an opportunity to continue diversifying Canadian trade away from its overwhelming reliance on the United States in a way that benefits both Canada and China.

“China is our second-largest trading partner, and the world’s second-largest economy,” Carney posted on X before his flight on Tuesday. “A pragmatic and constructive relationship between our nations will create greater stability, security, and prosperity on both sides of the Pacific.”

Forging warmer economic ties with Beijing, however, poses challenges that range from security issues to not overstepping in ways that might offend the White House. Is Carney up to the task?

Beijing’s bid

Beijing has little to lose and much to gain by hosting Carney.

Xi sees Carney’s election as prime minister as an opportunity to repair relations between the two countries, which collapsed after the 2018 Huawei arrest and the “two Michaels” crisis. Xi and former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau were known for their

frosty exchanges

.

“China sees Carney’s succession as an opportunity to patch up relations after years of deterioration,” said Dominic Chiu, senior analyst at Eurasia Group. “It wants to bring Canada closer to its economic orbit — though it knows there are limits.”

Still, China is looking to attract U.S. partners and expand its trade ties in ways that give it more leverage in those countries. In Canada’s case, it wants to see tariffs on its electric vehicles eased and to normalize trade conditions with a G7 economy, Chiu explained.

He said China’s goal is to build closer economic links and encourage strategic independence in Ottawa’s policymaking, but other experts warn that Canada risks being used as a diplomatic “wedge state” against the U.S.

“Beijing’s goal is to create wedges — between the U.S. and Canada, but also Japan, Korea, and Taiwan,” said Stephen Nagy, a senior fellow at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute and professor of politics and international studies at the International Christian University.

“(Beijing) would like to pull Canada into a tighter economic relationship … but they understand that if they just pull Canadian trade three or four per cent away from the United States, that this increases Chinese interest in Canada.”

Strengthening the bilateral relationship depends upon economic interdependence for China, said Colin Tessier-Kay, research fellow and program manager with the China Center at Hudson Institute.

“Right now, Beijing’s aiming to promote cooperation across trade — the energy and agriculture sectors, in particular,” he said, noting that Chinese officials are expecting discussions to broaden cooperation in areas that are mutually beneficial while also seeking progress on alleviating commercial obstacles, like the existing EV tariffs.

The trouble, Nagy points out, is that “deep economic relations with China are often weaponized,” as seen with South Korea, Japan, Lithuania, Norway, France, Australia, Germany, and many other countries.

“We have to be very cautious about how we engage,” he added, referring to Canada.

Risks and rewards for Canada

Carney’s willingness to engage signals both his electoral pragmatism and frustration with Washington’s unpredictability over the past year.

“Standing up to the United States goes down well with voters,” said Andrew Hale, fellow at Washington-based Advancing American Freedom, referring to Carney’s tough-on-America — aka “Elbows Up” — campaign and how Trump’s rhetoric netted the Liberals a surprise win last year.

“Whether it’s economically wise or not — that’s another story,” Hale added.

Carney is looking for a reset in relations and an opportunity to secure relief from China’s steep duties on Canadian canola, which have effectively closed the Chinese market to Canadian farmers from Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba.

The prime minister is facing pressure from these Western provinces that rely on trade with China. He wants to help those farmers and avoid appearing anti-West.

Getting that movement, however, will be tough, said Chiu.

“China will want Canada to lower tariffs on its EVs before conceding on or reciprocating by lowering tariffs on canola products,” he said, pointing to China’s strict quid pro quo on that front.

But, Nagy said, Carney is unlikely to see any movement from China this week because he has arrived in Beijing without any real leverage.

“The relationship with the United States is shaky, and (Carney) hasn’t signed any trade or economic security agreements with close partners like Japan and South Korea,” said Nagy.

Such agreements might have given Beijing reason to play ball, he explained, questioning the timing and sequence of Carney’s diplomatic efforts.

Xi and Carney are both aware of each other’s limitations and are likely just looking at this as a baby step toward rebuilding ties.

“This is just a starting point for (Canada) to actually engage in a much more meaningful way … It’s about re-establishing trust between both sides,” said Reza Hasmath, a politics professor at the University of Alberta.

Trump’s red lines

Trying to draw Beijing closer to Ottawa, however, risks angering Trump, who tends to react poorly to perceived betrayal, and this comes just months before this summer’s tariffs renegotiation.

The president already

shared some harsh words

about CUSMA this week, just as Carney was setting off on this trip.

“There’s no real advantage to (CUSMA), it’s irrelevant,” Trump said on Tuesday in Detroit. “Canada would love it. They need it.”

So what would set Trump off? Canada eliminating tariffs on Chinese EVs would be a red line for Washington, Chiu said, as would any concessions on national security intelligence, critical minerals, or dual-use technologies, to a point where it could jeopardize U.S. national security.

“A strategic partnership must not be a blank check,” said Hale, noting how any movement on tariffs will take time. “It should be calibrated with security safeguards, reciprocity, and principles based on democratic norms.”

So deep trade concessions are off the table — as are any agreements related to critical minerals, security, and technology, which narrows any room for deal-making.

“This is the impossible task,” said Nagy. “If he signs anything significant with China, the Trump administration’s going to be quite upset with Canada and accuse Canada of being a liability to the United States.”

That is why none of the experts are expecting a breakthrough this week.

“I would lower my expectations significantly,” said Hasmath, noting that just speaking to each other is an accomplishment after so many years of strained relations.

Chiu agreed: “This is not the grand finale; it’s the end of the beginning of improved ties between Canada and China.”

Still, Nagy sees room for hope that Canada can strategically engage with Beijing in the long term without China being able to weaponize its economy and economic relations to shape Ottawa’s behaviour.

Canada, he said, can balance closer ties with China by quietly strengthening deterrence with Taiwan, Japan, Southeast Asia, and the U.S. — and prioritizing non-weaponizable sectors to avoid coercion.

National Post

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Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, left, attends a bilateral meeting with Quebec Premier Francois Legault in Montreal, Friday March 15, 2024.

OTTAWA — Quebec Premier François Legault unexpectedly announced on Wednesday

he would soon be resigning as leader

just as his party, the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), is expected to face a crushing defeat in an election year.

Sounds familiar? That is because, around this time last year, a deeply unpopular Prime Minister Justin Trudeau also announced he would step down as leader of the Liberal Party of Canada as soon as a successor was chosen. Former bank governor Mark Carney ended up replacing him weeks later, and the Liberals were re-elected for a fourth term.

However, the CAQ does not appear to have someone like Carney waiting in the wings.

In his address on Wednesday, Legault said he hopes the next provincial election, set to happen in October, will be focused on Quebec’s challenges instead of a desire for change.

“For the good of the party but above all the good of Quebec, I am announcing that I am resigning my role as Quebec premier,” he said.

Legault added he would stay in place as long as the CAQ finds someone to replace him. The party’s executive is expected to meet Wednesday evening to decide the road ahead.

“Being the premier of Quebec has been the greatest honour of my life,” he said.

Legault’s departure could have deep political ramifications at a time when the separatist Parti Québécois is dominating in the polls, and the Liberal Party of Quebec is searching for a new leader. So, why did he resign, and what does it mean for the future of the province?

Why did François Legault resign?

The news came just as another devastating public opinion poll showed that the CAQ is battling for last place in Quebec.

The

Pallas Data poll, produced for The Walrus,

shows that the Parti Québécois is in the lead with 34 per cent support, followed by the Quebec Liberals with 24 per cent support — despite not having a leader — and the Quebec Conservatives with 16 per cent.

The CAQ and Québec solidaire are tied for fourth place with 11 per cent of the votes.

Philippe J. Fournier, founder of the poll aggregating website Qc125,

notes that the CAQ finds itself last

outside of Montreal and Quebec City and among francophones — to the point where the CAQ could be completely decimated in the next election.

On a personal level, Legault remains the most unpopular premier in Canada.

Overall, 2025 was an

annus horribilis

for the Legault government.

After tabling a budget with a historic deficit of $13.6 billion,

S&P Global downgraded Quebec’s credit rating

for the first time in 30 years.

Quebec’s auditor general also revealed that a digital modernization by Quebec’s auto insurance corporation went half a billion dollars over budget — leading to the resignation of the minister of cybersecurity and digital affairs and prompting a public inquiry.

Finally, Quebec’s contentious Bill 2 caused the province’s doctors to revolt and to threaten to quit the province altogether. The adoption of the bill and the backtracking of its most contentious parts caused two of Legault’s closest ministers and allies to resign.

Despite all this, Legault continued to claim in year-end interviews that he would be staying on as Quebec premier and would be fighting to serve a third term in October.

The news of his resignation was kept under wraps until the very last instant. Only a handful of people knew he would be leaving before a news conference was called that morning.

Who could potentially replace Legault?

Because the news of his resignation was unexpected, there is no clear successor in sight.

It is also unclear whether the future CAQ leader will come from the inside or the outside.

What further complicates things is that only Legault has been at the helm of the party since its creation in 2011 and after it merged with the Action démocratique du Québec (ADQ) in 2012. Legault’s goal, when he took power in 2018, was to end the divisive battle on Quebec sovereignty that had dominated the political landscape in the province for 50 years.

For years, CAQ ministers Geneviève Guilbault and Simon Jolin-Barrette were viewed as natural successors to take on the party. But Guilbault’s reputation has been tainted in the fiasco over Quebec’s auto insurance corporation. For his part, Jolin-Barrette has tabled some of the CAQ’s most controversial reforms like Bill 21 and the Quebec constitution.

In separate statements on Wednesday, Guilbault said it was a “great privilege” to have learned so much from Legault, while Jolin-Barrette called Legault a “mentor.” They did not address if they intended to seek the leadership of the party after Legault’s resignation.

CAQ ministers Sonia LeBel and Christine Fréchette are also seen as rising stars and have taken on tough files in government. Their names have been floated as possible successors, but both women have so far given no indicators that they were interested in the job.

Another name that was floated as a possible successor was Mario Dumont, who founded the ADQ in 1994 and is now enjoying a prolific career as TV host in Quebec. But Dumont reiterated on Wednesday that he had

no intention of making a return to provincial politics.

Dumont said “nothing” would make him change his mind.

What does this mean for the PQ?

As things stand, the Parti Québécois could strive to form a majority government next fall and keep its promise to hold another referendum in a first mandate.

However,

as Abacus Data pollster David Coletto points out in a new Substack post

, public appetite for Quebec to separate from the rest of Canada is limited and recent polling shows that most Quebecers would vote “no” if there was another referendum on the issue.

PQ Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon will be facing two different opponents in the next election.

The Quebec Liberals are poised to choose a new leader in March. Nearly everything indicates that will be former business executive Charles Milliard who has never been elected to public office. Second, the CAQ will be choosing their new leader in a timeline that has yet to be determined, and it remains to be seen if they can change the tides.

“The CAQ does not need to be loved to come back. It needs to be seen as the safer choice in a high-stakes moment,” writes Coletto. “The real question now is whether the party can seize this opening fast enough, and credibly enough, before voter fatigue hardens into something more final.”

“There’s a lesson in the Trudeau exit and Carney rise that I think applies to Quebec.”

National Post

calevesque@postmedia.com

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An Iranian refugee in Canada who is known as Morticia Addams (not her real name) lights a cigarette with an image of Iran's leader, Ali Khamenei, in a picture taken in Richmond Hill.

It was an iconic image: A photogenic young Iranian woman filmed herself lighting a cigarette with a picture of Iran’s leader, an evocative protest against the misogynistic clerics who run Iran.

It grabbed the attention of a world captivated by the Iranian uprisings, quickly inspiring copycats — including other young women and American politicians — and stylized artwork as well as AI knockoffs.

Social media fans called her “iconic” and “cool,” and praised her bravery: “Young Iranian women are leading the revolution against the Islamic regime,” said one user who shared the short video.

It wasn’t initially clear where the video was taken; it showed snow and a suburban building behind her.

But a 23-year-old Iranian refugee in Richmond Hill, Ont., has now confirmed to National Post it’s her, and that she was herself inspired by a similar protest a few days earlier.

She says she does not want to be identified out of fear of reprisals. “A lot of spies, a lot of Islamic Republic fans are here,” she said from Richmond Hill, a city north of Toronto.

The X account

where she posted the picture calls her Morticia Addams, after a character from The Addams Family.

In her X account she also refers to herself as a “radical feminist” and includes a reference to “52Hz,” the nickname of a whale that speaks in a language all its own, as documented in the film

The Loneliest Whale

.

Morticia, as we’ll call her, grew up in Iran but ran into trouble with the regime when she was a teenager. During the 2019 protests also known as Bloody November, she participated in marches against the regime, and even spent a night in a detention centre after being picked up by police.

Then in 2024, after then-president Ebrahim Raisi died in a helicopter crash, Morticia said she was arrested at her parents’ home.

“I was taken in for interrogation, actually, and I was subject to severe humiliation and physical abuse,” she said. “And after two days of interrogation, they let me go. I don’t know why they released me. And so I fled to Turkey and then to Canada, because I had my student visa.” She then applied for refugee status in Canada.

“Canada, it’s my saviour,” she said of her new home. “It was my hero and saved me from the Islamic regime. And I might live in Canada even afterwards … because I’m not sure what is happening in Iran.”

The image she shared is a powerful one. A screenshot from a short video, it,

 

shows her, head tilted and a cigarette between her lips, grasping and leaning into a burning photograph of Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader. The video,

Reuters has confirmed

, was taken in Richmond Hill, just north of Toronto.

It was filmed by her boyfriend, whom she said is Persian, the main ethnic group in Iran.

Since she

posted it to X

, where it had 1.4 million views as of this writing, the image has been copied and modified and replicated. So too has the act itself, with

many others taking part

around the world in what one commentator called “the only cigarette that is not harmful to your health.”

One of the images of Morticia even replicates the style of the Barack Obama “Hope” poster of 2008, with the colours of the Iranian flag washing over the image.

Of course, nothing exists in a vacuum. In 2022 and even earlier, Iranian woman could be seen burning their headscarves in protests over compulsory wearing of the hijab. Morticia said she had seen

a similar image to hers on X

recently and wanted to post her own version, though she had no idea it would receive the attention it did.

“I didn’t think so, because I was about to let my friends know in Iran that I am still with them. I am still fighting, and I’m so sorry that I cannot fight beside them right now, because I had to flee.”

She continued: “And suddenly it was everywhere. I just wanted my friends to see it and realize that I’m still standing with them, even though I’m really far from them. And sadly the only people who haven’t seen my picture were the same friends, because that very same night the blackout happened.”

Iran imposed a communications and internet blackout when the latest protests began, making it difficult for messages to get in and out of the country.

Morticia said her hope for Iran is simple. “I only hope for the removal of the Islamic regime, and replacement with a democratic government that brings peace and security to my people.”

She is optimistic as well as hopeful. “Actually, it was a really big movement during the past 47 years,” she said, referring to the 1989 death of the Ayatollah Khomeini. “So yes, I guess it’s likely to happen soon. I hope.”

She is also hopeful that her act of defiance can have a part to play in that change, that it “drags all the attention to Iran.”

“This is the only thing that matters to me,” she said. “People are … just getting killed with no one to answer about their life. It’s the biggest crime in Iran, against humanity.”

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Erfan Soltani, a 26-year-old Iranian shopkeeper facing hanging on Wednesday, is pictured in this undated Facebook photo. He is accused by the Islamic Republic's government of participating in protests.

Iran plans to execute Erfan Soltani, 26, for participating in anti-government protests.

U.S. president Donald Trump has threatened strong action against Iran’s ruling regime if protesters are executed.

A 26-year-old Iranian shopkeeper, Soltani “is the first protester to be sentenced to execution,” the U.S. State department said on X. The public execution was reportedly set to take place on Wednesday, but due to the Iranian regime’s blackout of the internet, that hasn’t been confirmed.

The family has been granted only one final visit with Soltani prior to the planned execution. Soltani’s sister, who is a lawyer, tried to intervene but was told by authorities there was nothing to pursue, according to Norway-based rights group,

Hengaw

.

Soltani’s family was not told how his planned execution would be carried out, but the most common method in Iran is hanging, Hengaw told

CBS New

s. Meanwhile, Trump said to CBS: “If they hang them, you’re going to see some things… We will take very strong action if they do such a thing.”

Soltani is a clothing seller whose family lives near Tehran, according to

Hengaw

. A spokesperson for the group states, “his family has said he was not a political activist, but he was a dissident of the government.”

The

number of deaths among the protesters has grown to more than 2,600

 according to Norway-based NGO Iran Human Rights (IHR). An Iranian state official 

told Reuters on Tuesday

 that about 2,000 people had been killed. Police have been shooting into crowds of protesters, reports the

New York Times.

 Protesters demonstrate outside the Iranian Embassy on January 14, 2026 in London, England.

IHR says Soltani’s family was informed on Monday that he was arrested in Fardis, a city west of Tehran, on Jan. 8 and sentenced to death, reports

The Independent

.

Meanwhile, Soltani has not been allowed to counter any charges against him in a fair trial. Nor is it even clear what the charges against him are.

“The Islamic Republic regime didn’t even bother with its usual 10-minute sham trial; Erfaneh was sentenced to execution without any legal process or defence lawyer,” the U.S. State department said on X.

Hengaw

confirmed that “Soltani has been deprived of his most basic rights, including access to legal counsel, the right to a defence, and other fundamental due process guarantees.”

 FILE: In this photo obtained by The Associated Press, Iranians attend an anti-government protest in Tehran, Iran, Friday, Jan. 9, 2026.

Islamic Republic officials have described protesters as “mohareb” (a legal term meaning “war against God”), terrorists and agitators, Hengaw says. The regime has suggested the protesters are linked to Israel and the United States, committing offences punishable by death.

The protests began more than two weeks ago, sparked by Iran’s ailing economy and eventually growing to target the theocratic regime than runs the country.

The

BBC reports

that Iran’s Judiciary chief Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei said the protesters will be “dealt with seriously and severely.” And prosecutors have said some will be charged with “enmity against God”, a national security offence that carries the death penalty.

 This video grab taken on January 14, 2026 from UGC images posted on social media on January 9, 2026 shows cars set on fire during a protest on Saadat Abad Square in Tehran.

Earlier this week, Trump posted on Truth Social that “until the senseless killing of protesters STOPS. HELP IS ON ITS WAY.” Top Iranian official, Ali Larijani, responded by naming the U.S. president and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as “the main killers of the people of Iran.”

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