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Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney speaks about the trade dispute with the United States at the Davie Shipyard in Levis, Quebec, Canada on August 24, 2026.

OTTAWA – Prime Minister Mark Carney rebuffed U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick’s recent comments that Canada pulled out of trade talks with the U.S. due to political reasons.

“I don’t think, with all respect, appointed, unelected cabinet members in the United States are experts on Canadian politics,” said Carney, during an announcement in Thunder Bay, Ont., on Thursday.

Carney was in the northern Ontario city announcing a $4.7-billion contract to build over 300 new Via Rail passenger rail cars.

The prime minister’s comments come after Lutnick claimed the reasons Canada blew up trade talks last month were “manufactured” and had to do with the Quebec provincial election and Alberta’s referendum.

Both the Canadian and American governments have blamed each other for the breakdown in negotiations.

Carney said several last-minute conditions on the U.S. side of negotiations made accepting a deal untenable.

He cited the addition of language on auto industry tariffs, such as a failure by the U.S. to reduce tariffs on heavy-duty trucks like the ones produced in auto plants in Southern Ontario. He also cited “efforts to restrict our protections of our language, our culture, and in effect, our sovereignty.”

Lutnick and United States Trade Representative Jamieson Greer have both said the French language provisions were not a red line for American negotiators.

On Wednesday, Lutnick told CNBC a Canadian minister did not deny it when asked if Canadian negotiators were trying to “blow up” trade talks on Aug. 21.

Lutnick also claimed Canada had made several last-minute demands of its own.

Carney said the Americans have changed their stances since negotiations halted.

“I’ll say one other thing, which is that there are a few issues that the United States was arguing right up to the last hour, red lines weren’t going to change, boom, it’s in there, you know, our way or the highway, take it or leave it, you know, attitude,” he said.

“Some of what they’re saying now is different than what they were drawing the line on, and we are always going to stand up for what’s in the best interest of Canada workers, Canadian families,” Carney added.

The prime minister said his government is not looking for an easy win, but said a deal is still possible with the U.S.

“The deal that’s possible, that’s in the interests of Canadian workers, families, and businesses, is also the deal that is in the interests of American families, American businesses, American consumers,” said Carney.

“We’re ready to sit down and strike that deal when the Americans are ready,” he added.

In addition to the Section 232 tariffs on Canadian steel, aluminum, autos and lumber, Canada also faces a 50-per-cent tariff under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, which applies to $28 billion worth of Canadian exports to the U.S.

In response to the Section 338 tariffs, Canada has promised to retaliate with tariffs ranging from 15 to 50 per cent on $27.6 billion worth of U.S. products, affective Sept. 8.

National Post

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A new Leger survey suggests that happiness for Canadians rests on what the polling company's report calls

By self-reporting their happiness at greater than seven out of 10 on average, a significant increase over last year, Canadians are at their cheeriest and most optimistic place in several years, according to a new poll .

It is a tricky thing to measure, but these findings are the latest in the novel science of happiness studies, which has grown rapidly from a niche academic interest into a major factor in economic policy development, including an important new priority of Statistics Canada.

“I don’t think it’s a stretch to say that things in the country overall are closer to the pre-pandemic norm,” said Andrew Enns, executive vice-president, Central Canada, for Leger, which conducted the new poll.

It found the happiest provinces are Quebec, by a wide margin of almost five points, followed by Newfoundland and Labrador and New Brunswick.

“There’s something about Quebec, they love the moment,” Enns said. “It’s a cultural trait.”

The happiest cities are Montreal, Brampton, and Toronto. The least happy provinces are Nova Scotia and Prince Edward Island, and the least happy of the ten largest cities are Winnipeg, Edmonton, and Ottawa.

Financial pressure was the most common barrier to happiness that people reported, at 57 per cent of respondents, followed by physical health at 32 per cent, and mental health and uncertainty about the future, both at 23 per cent. The political situation, work-life balance, the cost of leisure activities, and loneliness were also common answers.

But with such robust findings of widespread happiness, buoyed by a comparable sense of optimism for the future, the poll suggests that happiness for Canadians rests on “deeply human dimensions,” as Leger’s report calls them, such as caring for one’s health, maintaining close friendships, trusting neighbours, having a sense of purpose, and feeling secure.

The comparison with last year’s version of the same poll is particularly revealing for how the state of the world at large can affect individual happiness, Enns said.

“When you look at what 2025 was presenting the country, we had (U.S. President Donald) Trump in full flight, we had a federal election under way, we had gone from a very unpopular prime minister to one who turned out to be very popular,” Enns said in an interview.

But the poll also shows people tend to evaluate their own happiness on an extremely local level. “People may think the world is going to hell in a handbasket,” Enns said, “but the closer your perspective gets, the better it seems.”

“Happiness to some degree is reflected by your community around you, your local group of peers, whether neighbours, colleagues. There’s a sense of trust, reliance, comfort in that support,” Enns said. Being able to say hello to a neighbour when you take out the garbage, or feeling that you trust the people around you, “some of those things bring as much happiness as having money left over from a paycheque…. That’s how people can report high happiness, while also expressing pessimism about the world.”

Asked to give a maximum of three factors that contribute to their happiness in their community, the most common response was a sense of safety and security at 46 per cent.

The next most common answer was green spaces, parks and access to nature, at 40 per cent, which was significantly higher than any of the other less common factors, such as quality of neighbourhood life (27 per cent), cleanliness and attractiveness of the area (22 per cent), and affordability, shops transit, infrastructure.

Enns said this shows that “as citizens, we’re actually sending mixed messages here, and that makes it hard for policy makers.” Voters tend to downplay the importance of the “soft sides” of life in a city, like parks and walking trails, “but their presence makes people happy, it improves their quality of life.”

This sort of counterintuitive finding is typical of the scientific field of happiness studies, which has a colourful history that runs through Canada.

Books about “hedonic psychology,” about what truly makes people happy, were all the rage in publishing in the early 2000s, and policy makers soon took note.

The most famous and quirkiest example was Bhutan, the tiny Himalayan country, which made itself into a unique science experiment by becoming the first country to track its Gross National Happiness, and it was reporting interesting results.

Until then, to economists, happiness had seemed mostly separate from the central goals of fiscal governance, such as gross domestic product. In contrast, happiness and well-being seemed either irrelevant or impossible to measure or both.

But this interest in happiness caught on at the highest levels, thanks largely to the work of John F. Helliwell, a professor emeritus at the University of British Columbia, who ran a seminal research program on Social Interactions, Identity and Well-Being at the Canadian Institute For Advanced Research.

He had shown, for example, that rising income has only a limited and relative effect on happiness, and that one of the best predictors of a random person’s happiness is how much they trust their neighbours. If happiness and well-being were going to be primary goals of governments, some of the old purely financial metrics would have to be updated.

Economists and policy makers started to take notice. In 2012, the first World Happiness Report had Canada ranked fifth overall.

The newest World Happiness Report 2026, of which Helliwell remains an editor, ranks Canada 25th, its lowest place ever since tracking began in 2010. Historically, Canada’s average life evaluation score has shown a modest but steady decline over the last 15 years.

Now, the field boasts a robust track record of data, and a generation of policy makers who have grown up with happiness in the forefront of their minds.

Statistics Canada started a Quality of Life program in 2021 to track life satisfaction among Canadians, and in its most recent review said it “has made substantial progress in establishing itself as a truly horizontal effort with clear links to the federal policy cycle.”

StatCan does not have a prepandemic measure, but it began in 2021 with a quite low initial measure of 42 per cent of Canadians saying they had a high life satisfaction.

This rose above 50 per cent and stayed there before plunging ten points to 45 per cent in the fourth fiscal quarter of 2022. Then it returned to the 50 per cent baseline again before falling to 40 per cent in the second quarter of 2024, and since then has stayed a few points below 50 per cent.

The same chart for people reporting a high sense of meaning and purpose follows a similar historical shape, with coinciding dips in 2022 and 2024, but with numbers about ten points higher. The most recent measure shows 55.7 per cent of Canadians report a high sense of meaning and purpose.

“All those things can provide a sense of how a person feels about their current situation,” Enns said

The online survey was conducted by Leger in June of this year among 63,710 Canadians, of whom about half were in Quebec, and the results have been weighted according to age, gender and region. A true margin of error cannot be calculated for this kind of online panel poll, but to compare, this many respondents in a probability sample would give a margin of error of plus or minus 0.39 per cent 19 times out of 20.

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U.S. Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) greets supporters outside the Kittery Trading Post, the first stop of a weekend re-election campaign bus tour of the state of Maine, on Aug. 14, 2026 in Kittery, Maine.

WASHINGTON, D.C. — The last time Maine voted for a Republican presidential candidate was in 1988 for George H. W. Bush, yet in every U.S. Senate race since 1996, the Pine Tree State has elected Republican Senator Susan Collins.

Even in 2020, when Democrats tied the race to a broader referendum on Donald Trump — and polls predicted she would lose to Democrat Sara Gideon — Collins prevailed. Some Mainers split their tickets, voting for both her and Joe Biden.

But now, with President Donald Trump’s approval ratings low and tensions with Canada worsening, many pollsters and analysts wonder if Collins’s political fortunes will fade this November.

“I was cautiously optimistic that Susan Collins — after Graham Platner was such a disaster — was going to pull this off in Maine, and then Trump does this,” said Andrew Hale, fellow for Advancing American Freedom, referring to the reignited tariff war with Ottawa.

Hale noted how Collins has worked to put space between herself and Trump.

“She shrewdly has distanced herself from the president and J.D. Vance, who are not popular there,” he said. “She’s articulated why (the tariffs) are wrong for Maine voters … and has actually done quite a lot when it comes to trade to oppose President Trump’s trade war.”

On August 24, Collins did not attend Vice President JD Vance’s event in Brewer, Maine, where he defended Trump’s tariff war with Canada while campaigning for Republicans. Her campaign cited a scheduling conflict, and Hale called Vance’s trip “really, really unhelpful to Susan Collins.”

The senator has written to U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, seeking clarity on the tariffs and urging a resumption of U.S.-Canada trade talks. She has also voted in the Senate to rescind some of Trump tariffs.

But pollsters and analysts are unsure whether that will be enough to help Collins win the crossover votes she needs from some Democrats and Independents this cycle.

A July University of New Hampshire Survey Center poll found Democrat Troy Jackson leading Collins, 49 per cent to 46 per cent. A Fox News Poll conducted by Democratic pollster Beacon Research and Republican pollster Shaw & Company Research in early August found Jackson leading Collins 48 to 46 per cent.

Sabato’s Crystal Ball, a nonpartisan weekly online political newsletter, lists the race as a toss-up, while Inside Elections rates it Tilt Republican and the Cook Political Report rates it Lean Republican.

“It’s gonna be hard for her to win,” said Andrew Smith, director of the UNH Survey Center, but noted that she could still pull it off. “I don’t want to dismiss her,” he said, noting how she would need more than 60 per cent of the Independent voters and probably 10 per cent of Democratic voters to do it.

Nathan Gonzales, editor and publisher of Inside Elections, explains why it’s tough to predict the Collins race. “The senator has earned the right to be given the benefit of the doubt in her races,” he said. “In 2020, she was behind in most of the polls and won in a race that wasn’t particularly close.”

Likewise, Chris Stirewalt, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, said, “I think we’re all a little snakebit by 2020 because her overperformance was so remarkable.” But he also acknowledged 2026 will be harder.

“She’s a remarkable survivor, but this is definitely her toughest test yet,” Stirewalt added.

Gonzales said Collins faces a tougher task holding onto crossover support.

“Voters are just less likely to go against the partisan lean of their state,” he said.

But Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, still thinks non-Republican Mainers who have voted for Collins in the past may continue to do so.

“There might be just something about Maine that makes it more open to splitting its tickets,” Kondik said.

Stirewalt believes Collins’ personal popularity could produce an unusually large bloc of late deciders. “There are going to be a larger than usual portion of Maine voters who hem and haw over that race because they do like Collins, and they do trust her, and think that she is a good person.”

“It’s gonna be harder for them to flip the switch in their brains,” he added.

Democrats are framing this and other races around affordability — a major issue this midterm season for all voters — and in Maine and other border states, Trump’s tariff policies are likely to play into that.

On Tuesday, Sen. Chuck Schumer introduced a bill called the “End Trump’s Tariff Tax Act” that Democrats say would revoke the administration’s newest tariffs and refund duties already paid. The legislation faces steep odds, thanks to the Republican-controlled Congress, but it’s meant to give Democrats a way to pressure Republicans over the tariffs before the midterms.

“Tariffs are a huge part of the conversation in Maine right now,” said Stirewalt.

“This tariff war totally makes (the affordability crisis) worse,” said Hale. “It has the potential to make it so much worse.”

“It’s ruinous for people who are trying to get elected in border states,” he added.

Both Hale and Kondik argued that Trump’s Canada policy was politically damaging to Republican candidates.

“If Trump were actively trying to undermine Republicans, would he be doing anything different? I don’t know if he would be,” said Kondik.

“If he cared anything about Republican candidates trying to get elected in the midterms, he would end this,” said Hale, referring to the U.S.-Canada trade tensions.

Stirewalt said he expects Republicans to push back hard on the affordability narrative and that “the cavalry is already there and will continue to come in for Collins.”

Republicans’ strategy will focus on “making Troy Jackson an unacceptable choice,” he said.

So could a deal be forged that would help Republicans, including Collins, before the midterms ?

Most analysts say a deal would help Republicans, but it would need to be soon.

“If before the end of September the dispute with Canada was resolved, it would be in time to help Susan Collins,” Stirewalt said.

Gonzales, however, thinks it may already be too late. “A challenge is that voter sentiment is rarely sudden,” he said. So while the president may say there’s a deal, “it will likely take time to have a real-world impact for voters to change their mind on what’s happening.”

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US President Donald Trump speaks during a meeting with travel industry executives in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC, on September 2, 2026.

OTTAWA — A free-market think tank is calling on Canadian policymakers to turn the other cheek as the United States ramps up its cross-border tariffs.

“When you’re in a trade impasse like the one we’re in with the U.S., what works is being able to outlast the other guy,” said Vincent Geloso, a senior economist at the Montreal Economic Institute and the author of a new research note on the ineffectiveness of counter-tariffs.

“Eventually, there’ll be an opportunity to act at the right time in the right way,” said Geloso.

The Carney government has been scrambling to respond to U.S. President Donald Trump’s use of Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 to put 50 per cent tariffs on a host of Canadian goods. The tariffs took effect on Aug. 22, after last-minute trade talks collapsed.

Last week, Prime Minister Mark Carney announced counter-tariffs on $27.6 billion worth of imports from the U.S., which are set to take effect on Sept. 8.

But Geloso says that Carney would be smart to learn from Canada’s response to the U.S.’s first use of the Tariff Act during the Great Depression.

“In the ’30s we did counter-tariffs. We actually did two rounds of retaliation, (both) of which did absolutely nothing,” said Geloso.

The U.S. raised tariffs by an average of 20 per cent on more than 800 Canadian products under the 1930 Tariff Act, prompting retaliation from Liberal prime minister Mackenzie King and his Conservative successor R.B. Bennett. Bennett was especially aggressive in his response, putting matching counter-tariffs on roughly 30 per cent of U.S. exports to Canada.

Geloso says that these measures had no perceptible effect on the American economy or the direction of U.S. trade policy. However, they did substantial harm to Canada’s economy.

He estimates that falling prices for goods Canada sold to other countries caused about half of Canada’s losses during the Great Depression, with counter-tariffs being a key driver of this effect.

Geloso said that what ultimately resolved the impasse was a change in government in the U.S., with Democrat Franklin Delano Roosevelt winning a massive mandate in the 1932 presidential election. He added that Roosevelt demonstrated his commitment to open markets by naming free-trade evangelist Cordell Hull his first secretary of state.

“Naming Cordell Hull in that position was about as radical of a pro-free trade signal (Roosevelt) could have sent at the time,” said Geloso.

The Roosevelt government quickly restored cross-border trade relations, signing a reciprocal trade agreement with Canada in 1935.

Geloso admits that the situation is somewhat different this time around, with Canada facing punitive, targeted cross-border tariffs, rather than ones the U.S. has broadly applied to all its trade partners. Section 338 has never before been invoked in the Tariff Act’s 96-year history.

However, he says this doesn’t change the fundamental dynamics of the Canada-U.S. relationship.

“What worked then is what will work now, and that’s being patient,” said Geloso.

Geloso said he supported Carney’s decision to walk away from negotiations but said the prime minister needs to avoid being goaded into a tit-for-tat tariff war that Canada cannot win.

“(Carney) can either play the jingoist card or the adult card,” said Geloso. “And the adult card would be to exercise patience and wait for the other guy to tire himself out of the shenanigans he’s doing.”

He noted that Trump’s job approval rating is at a historic low and said he expected Trump to be a “lame duck” after November’s midterm elections.

Geloso said that, for the time being, Carney should focus on implementing measures that mitigate the immediate damage of the tariffs and make Canada’s economy more resilient, such as reducing red tape for businesses.

He added that Carney is in a good position to dig in for extended trade interruption, with a majority government and the strong backing of Canadians on the Canada-U.S. relations file.

National Post
rmohamed@postmedia.com

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Chief of the Defence Staff Gen. Jennie Carignan and Commander of U.S. Pacific Command, Admiral Samuel J. Paparo take questions from reporters Sept. 2 at a conference on Indo-Pacific security.

A question to a U.S. admiral about the possibility of military action against Canada was met with incredulity from the military leader, who called it “preposterous” and added: “Would you ask me please, also, what my attack plans are for the Martians?”

General Jennie Carignan, Canada’s chief of the defence staff, and Admiral Samuel J. Paparo, commander of the U.S. Pacific Command, were holding a joint news conference on Wednesday as the three-day annual Indo-Pacific Chiefs of Defence conference came to a close.

Most of the questions dealt with cooperation between Canada and U.S. military forces and the upcoming decision about the potential purchase of F-35 fighter jets, as well as issues both countries face in the western Pacific region.

However, midway through the event, a reporter asked, “With all due respect, under what circumstances would you obey an order to launch military action against Canada?”

Paparo looked flustered and stammered for several seconds before replying: “I find that scenario to be absolutely and utterly preposterous.” He added: “I follow the orders of the commander-in-chief, but that is a needlessly emotional question,” before concluding that “Canada is a close ally.”

The reporter replied: “You didn’t answer the question.”

Paparo started to repeat his earlier remarks before adding: “Would you ask me please, also, what my attack plans are for the Martians?”

The reporter then responded: “If you want to dismiss it, by all means.”

Paparo said: “Yes, sir. I don’t dismiss you, but I do dismiss the question.”

The reporter continued: “You belittle it, and I don’t think that’s the right approach at all. This is a serious question about a serious issue. We’ve had threats of annexation. I know it’s a hypothetical, but nonetheless if you’ve not thought about it, maybe you should.”

At this point, the event moderator thanked the reporter and moved on to another question. The press conference wrapped up several minutes later.

U.S. President Donald Trump has spoken openly of making Canada the “51st state,” even insinuating during trade talks that it was something Canada wanted. He has also talked about annexing Greenland and “taking back” control of the Panama Canal.

Trump also recently threatened to attack Oman, an ally of the United States for more than 200 years , saying last month that if Oman “gets in the way” of his efforts to reach an agreement with Iran, “we’ll bomb the shit out of them.”

In 1840, Oman sent an emissary to the United States, the first Arab diplomat accredited there. In 1980, it became the first Gulf Arab state to formally allow U.S. military access to its airfields and ports, allowing it to operate and resupply without relying on the Strait of Hormuz.

The president has also talked recently about pulling back military support from South Korea, a major U.S. partner in the Asia-Pacific region.

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The Fraser Valley Institution for Women in Abbotsford, B.C.

The federal government has acknowledged that two transgender inmates incarcerated in women’s prisons faced sexual-assault charges following complaints made by female inmates.

On Monday, the government filed its statement of defence in an ongoing constitutional challenge to Correctional Service Canada’s (CSC) policy allowing some “gender diverse” inmates to be transferred to women’s prisons. The CSC uses the term “gender diverse” to describe identities or expressions that differ from expectations based on sex assigned at birth, including non-binary, transgender and two-spirited.

According to the filing, one inmate was charged with one count of sexual assault and one count of criminal harassment in May 2020 after a female inmate filed a complaint. Another inmate was charged with two counts of sexual assault after a female inmate filed a complaint in October 2024.

The inmate charged in 2020 was alleged to be an instigator in an additional five incidents against three women inmates, but the government said in its filing that they were not involved in four of these, while a “cisgender woman” inmate was also found to be an instigator in the fifth.

The government uses the term “cisgender women” to refer to “individuals whose gender identity corresponds to the gender assigned to them at birth.”

The inmate charged in after the 2024 complaint was also identified in another incident, but this was a false allegation, the government said.

Responding to a demand for particulars, the plaintiff in the case identified 45 cisgender women inmates who were allegedly impacted in 59 incidences of harm. For 45 of the 59 alleged incidences, the government says, “insufficient particulars were provided to allow Canada to respond.”

Of the remaining 14 claims, 10 took place at Grand Valley Institution for Women, Ont., three took place at Fraser Valley Institution, B.C., and one at the Okimaw Ohci Healing Lodge, Sask. These include a 2018 complaint that led to a police investigation but no charges, a 2019 report of sexual assault, and a 2021 complaint alleging sexual and physical assault.

The constitutional challenge brought against the federal government concerns CSC’s Commissioner’s Directive 100: Gender Diverse Offenders , and was launched in 2025 by the Justice Centre for Constitutional Freedoms (JCCF).

CSC introduced its policy on “gender diverse” offenders in May 2022. The directive states: “Throughout their sentence, offenders may apply for a voluntary transfer to a men’s or a women’s institution according to their gender identity or expression.” It adds that all transfers are assessed on a case-by-case basis, and that the Deputy Commissioner for Women is the final decision-maker for transfers to women’s institutions.

Data previously obtained by the Investigative Journalism Bureau found that, between 2017 and 2025, 57 transgender women made 129 requests to transfer to a women’s prison. During that period, 35 requests were approved, and more than 70 requests were denied by CSC.

As of October 2025, there are 90 transgender women in federal prison — 73 housed in men’s prisons and 17 in women’s prisons. Of the 17, eight have had gender-affirming surgery.

Lawyers funded by the JCCF brought the lawsuit on behalf of Canadian Women’s Sex-Based Rights (CAWSBAR), arguing that allowing transgender inmates to be housed in women’s prisons exposes female inmates to physical and psychological harm and violates their Charter rights.

Ottawa denies that its policy violates female inmates’ Charter right to life, liberty, and security of the person, stating: “In each specific factual context, CD 100 has been implemented in good faith and consistent with the principles of fundamental justice, including not being arbitrary, overbroad, or grossly disproportionate.”

Also in the filing, the federal government “wholly denies that any alleged harm to inmates housed in women’s institutions flowed from the implementation of CD 100” and maintains that its individualized assessment process provides an appropriate framework for managing risks.

In a JCCF news release Tuesday, constitutional lawyer Chris Fleury said the government’s defence shows that female inmates have raised serious complaints about their experiences in women’s prisons, some of which resulted in sexual-assault charges.

“Female inmates are being exposed to real risks and real harm,” he said. “This case is about protecting their safety, dignity, and constitutional rights.”

In total, the government responded to allegations involving 13 gender diverse inmates who are alleged to have “taken and will continue to take advantage of CD 100.” For four of these inmates, there were no specific allegations provided, with the statement of defence reading: “rather, it is their mere presence in a women’s institution that is alleged to cause harm to cisgender women inmates.”

In May 2026, the Federal Court rejected the government’s attempt to strike the lawsuit and granted CAWSBAR public interest standing, allowing the constitutional challenge to proceed. The federal government is now asking the court to dismiss the claim with costs.

The case follows a separate Federal Court decision in July, which saw a transgender inmate lose a bid to be transferred to a women’s prison.

Amanda Joy Cooper, 59, has been incarcerated since 2001 and is convicted of four sexual assaults, forcible confinement and other crimes against adult women and one girl, mostly in Montreal. All those crimes were committed long before Cooper’s 2020 diagnosis of gender dysphoria and 2024 surgery to construct female genitalia and breasts.

Cooper was at the Atlantic Institution in New Brunswick before asking to be moved to a women’s prison, and instead was moved last October to Millhaven Institution in Ontario, a maximum-security prison for men.

Justice Janet Fuhrer ruled that CSC had not acted unreasonably in refusing the transfer request.

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Among MAGA Republicans, 47 per cent approve of U.S. President Donald Trump's executive order to rename Lake Ontario to Lake America in the U.S.

Americans are becoming increasingly divided on their feelings about their northern neighbours and the freshly stoked trade war, according to new polls released this week.

Polling conducted by YouGov for The Economist found that 38 per cent of Republican voters “now view Canada as unfriendly or an enemy, by far the highest level in the past decade” and up from 22 per cent in February polling. Only 12 per cent of Republicans felt the same way in April 2024, before U.S. President Donald Trump began his second term.

Meanwhile, only eight per cent of self-identified Democrats viewed Canada in the same light, up from three per cent this February.

Overall, a majority of Americans (net 64 per cent) describe Canada as either an ally (39 per cent) or friendly (25 per cent). Less than a quarter (net 22 per cent) now see Canada as unfriendly (19 per cent) or an enemy (three per cent) — “a new high since 2016.”

YouGov also polled respondents about Trump’s renaming of Lake Ontario to Lake America in the U.S., finding most citizens (68 per cent) strongly or somewhat disapproved of the move.

The 17 per cent who strongly or somewhat approved were predominantly Republicans, but Republicans more broadly were divided, with 41 per cent disapproving and 37 per cent endorsing it.

“The exception is MAGA Republicans: 47 per cent approve of the renaming and 29 per cent disapprove,” YouGov wrote, “while non-MAGA Republicans disapprove by 67 per cent to 22 per cent.”

A similar pattern emerged on a question regarding Canada’s trade treatment of the U.S.

 U.S. President Donald Trump speaks with Prime Minister Mark Carney at a working lunch with leaders of G7 and the Middle East on June 16 in Evian-les-Bains, France.

Asked whether they felt Canada was treating the U.S. unfairly in trade, 45 per cent said no, 28 per cent said yes and the remaining 27 per cent were unsure. Republicans (49 per cent) were more likely than Democrats (11 per cent) to say Canada was being unfair.

But fewer Republicans who identified as non-MAGA (33 per cent) judged Canada to be unfair, compared to 58 per cent of MAGA Republicans.

Polling by Ipsos also explored Americans’ feelings on the new 50 per cent tariffs enacted by the Trump administration last month, finding more Republicans support (44 per cent) than oppose (33 per cent) the sanctions, with 22 per cent unsure.

Republicans were similarly split on who was most responsible for the trade hostilities — Canada (31 per cent), the U.S. (19 per cent) or both equally (30 per cent). A fifth of respondents (20 per cent) were unsure.

And when it comes to ending the trade dispute, the majority of respondents (68 per cent) said the U.S. should be willing to “make tradeoffs with Canada even if it means it doesn’t get most of what it wants.” Only a quarter of respondents (25 per cent) want team Trump to “take a tough stance with Canada and insist on getting most of what it wants.”

Across political lines, while Democrat voters are overwhelmingly (88 per cent) in favour of concessions that would leave the U.S. short of its desires, Republicans were largely split on the matter — 47 per cent on the side of trade-offs and 50 per cent in support of holding firm.

Ipsos also asked about the contentious Lake Ontario-Lake America issue, garnering results similar to Leger’s.

More Republicans oppose (43 per cent) than support (33 per cent) the change, but 24 per cent remain unsure. Across the board, 63 per cent of Americans are against Trump’s executive order.

 Donald Trump’s Truth Social post about renaming Lake Ontario to Lake America.

A third poll, conducted by Abacus Data , explored “the political consequences of the trade war in the five states most likely to determine Senate control” following the upcoming U.S. midterm elections — Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Maine and South Carolina, where 500 people were polled, respectively.

It found that those “voters have not turned on Canada.”

Positive impressions of Canada are highest in Maine (81 per cent), “where cross-border ties are part of daily life,” but even the low water mark was still high at 66 per cent in Ohio.

Their “feelings toward the Canadian people are warmer still,” landing between a low of 74 per cent in South Carolina to 87 per cent in Michigan and 88 per cent in Maine.

“Americans are drawing a line between a government dispute and a neighbouring people they continue to like,” Abacus wrote. “For Canadian readers, the audience on the other side of the border is not hostile, it is more conflicted about its own government’s policy.”

Data also indicated that Trump’s own approval rating in every state is higher than approval of how he’s handled trade with Canada — even in the red state of South Carolina, where his approval reaches 46 per cent.

“When one of the president’s signature economic initiatives polls behind the president himself in his strongest state, the initiative is not building his coalition. It is borrowing from it,” the pollster wrote.

Most respondents also predicted the tariffs will be “mostly bad” and hurt the American economy, workers, farmers, their own states and their own households.

“Across 25 combinations of measure and state, ‘mostly bad’ beats ‘mostly good’ every single time, usually by wide margins,” Abacus said.

And given the chance to have the Canada-U.S. relationship return to what it was before Trump, three times as many respondents said they would prefer that to the present fracturing.

“The current state of relations with Canada is not an equilibrium Americans in these states have accepted,” they wrote. “It is a condition most of them want reversed.”

South Carolinans were the only ones on side with the current White House strategy, and only by two points (33 to 35 per cent), “a policy defended likely out of loyalty and a weaker bond with Canada.”

The overall sample of YouGov’s poll, conducted among 1,592 U.S. citizens between Aug. 28-31, has a margin of error of roughly 3.5 per cent, as did Ipsos’ poll of 1,023 people, conducted Aug. 28-30.

Abacus’s survey of 2,500 voters was conducted Aug. 26-28. The overall sample carries a margin of error of 4.4 per cent, while the margin for a probability sample of 500 is two per cent.

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Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick speaks with OpenAI founder Sam Altman during the G20 Innovation Ministerial on September 2, 2026 in Chapel Hill, North Carolina.

OTTAWA — U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said a Canadian minister did not deny it when asked if Canadian negotiators were trying to “blow up” trade negotiations last month.

Lutnick, the brash Trump cabinet member who is a close advisor to U.S. President Donald Trump, made the claim during an interview on CNBC Wednesday morning when discussing the end of negotiations late Friday Aug. 21.

“Friday at 4 o’clock, the Canadians call. They start adding crazy ideas to the mix. So, I said to one of the ministers, ‘are you actually trying to blow this up?’ And his answer to me was, ‘I’m not allowed to say that.’ And they blew it up for political reasons only,” Lutnick said.

The only minister present at the negotiations with the U.S. was Canada-U.S. Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc. LeBlanc’s office did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Lutnick’s comments were the latest salvo in an escalating war of words between the U.S. and Canadian federal governments since trade talks fell through on Aug. 21.

The Canadian and U.S. governments have consistently blamed the other side for blowing up recent trade negotiations aimed at avoiding new tit-for-tat tariffs and reducing ongoing U.S. tariffs on key Canadian sectors.

The day after instructing Canadian negotiators to leave the table and come home, Carney told reporters the U.S. had added a series of last-minute unacceptable conditions to draft deal text that pushed him to cut negotiations.

He cited the addition of language on auto industry tariffs, such as a failure by the U.S. to reduce tariffs on heavy-duty trucks such as those produced in auto plants in Southern Ontario. He also cited “efforts to restrict our protections of our language, our culture, and in effect, our sovereignty.”

In response, U.S. Trade Representative Jameson Greer and Lutnick have accused the Canadians of cutting talks off for political reasons.

Days after talks ended, Greer attributed the collapse to Canada ultimately wanting more than what his administration was willing to give, noting that the proposed agreement included halving U.S. tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, reducing tariffs on Canadian autos and tariff relief on Canadian softwood lumber.

The USTR said it was the best market access to the U.S. compared to any other country in the world.

“They wanted more,” said Greer. “I don’t know if it was political for them, it certainly doesn’t make economic sense, but perhaps for political reasons, they have some byelections coming up,” Greer said in reference to three federal by-elections that occurred Monday Aug. 31. The Liberals won all three.

National Post also recently reported a senior Canadian government official noting that the country’s negotiators pulled out because Ontario Premier Doug Ford “was not on board.” A key Canadian concession in the negotiations was that all provincial liquor boards would resume stocking U.S. alcohol.

Speaking to reporters on Tuesday, Carney said “no” when asked if Doug Ford had any role in the failure of the negotiations.

“We consult with the premiers, take into account their views,” Carney said. “The decisions on trade are the decisions of the government of Canada. I’m the prime minister. Ultimately, I am responsible with the Cabinet for those decisions.”

“Those of us who are at the table, or next to the table if you will, know exactly why an accumulation of issues, each of them (were) serious enough… to not have a deal.”

National Post

cnardi@postmedia.com

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A mural at Townline Park welcomes visitors to Lake Ontario in the village of Wilson, N.Y., on Aug. 27, 2026.

Apple has changed the name of Lake Ontario to Lake America on the web version of its Apple Maps, but only for U.S. users of the service.

The decision by the tech giant took place on Tuesday, the same day John Ternus officially took over as CEO, succeeding Tim Cook, who had led the company for 15 years.

It follows a move by Google’s parent company, Alphabet, to change the name of the lake on its Google Maps, also for U.S. users.

“These updates follow our long-standing policy for bodies of water with names that vary from country to country, and are starting to roll out now,” Google said in a statement announcing its change. “People using Maps in the U.S. will see ‘Lake America,’ those in Canada will continue to see ‘Lake Ontario,’ and those outside of the U.S. and Canada will see both names.”

U.S. President Donald ‌Trump signed an executive order on Thursday to rename the lake, which was given its original title, Ontari:io , millennia ago by Indigenous people and means “the lake is beautiful, the lake is big.” European settlers in the 1600s started using the word, which also became the official name of the adjoining province in 1867.

In an ‌interview on Fox Business’ Mornings with Maria program on Monday, U.S. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum said Trump had reached out to Apple directly, “so I’m sure that we may be seeing that change coming up soon to Lake America.”

This comes even as a new poll finds that almost two-thirds of Americans oppose the renaming.

The Ipsos poll reported that 63 per cent of Americans were against the new name, with only 14 per cent in favour and another 21 per cent unsure. Democrats and independents were most likely to be opposed (84 and 65 per cent respectively) but even among Republican voters, just 33 per cent were in favour and 43 per cent against.

The Google change caused confusion and consternation in Canada, as maps on sites run by Hydro One, Metrolinx, Infrastructure Ontario, the LCBO and others all displayed the American name over the weekend.

However, Ontario government agencies have restored Lake Ontario to their websites, with Metrolinx telling National Post on Monday that “the issue has since been resolved, and our maps once again show Lake Ontario.”

The international boundary running between the U.S. and Canada means that about 52 per cent of the surface area of Lake Ontario is in Canada, with the remainder in New York State. However, Trump has pointed out that, due to the varying depth of the water, more of Lake Ontario by volume is on the American side.

The naming issue mirrors that of the Gulf of Mexico, which Trump ordered to be renamed the Gulf of America early last year. Both Google and Apple subsequently revised their map apps to reflect the change for U.S. users.

New York’s Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul responded to Trump’s latest renaming saying that her state would not follow the new naming, adding in a social media post : “An acronym for the Great Lakes used to be HOMES. Thanks to Donald Trump, it’s now SHAME.”

Trump has posted several AI-generated videos on social media, including a clip of him kicking over a Lake Ontario sign and replacing it with another that says “Welcome to Lake America.” Ontario Premier Doug Ford responded by placing a real sign on the shore, declaring the body of water “Lake Ontario now and forever.”

Meanwhile, MapQuest, a free web mapping service, said on social media : “We’re not changing the name of Lake Ontario. Name it whatever you want at your leisure.” It included an image with the lake labelled: “Lake Are We Doing This Again?”

News reports noted that MapQuest became one of the most-downloaded applications on both sides of the border following the change. Forbes reported it had “ soared to the top of Apple’s App Store rankings,” while other reports said it had reached second-place among Canadian downloads over the weekend.

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Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne speaks with the press at the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors' meeting in Asheville, North Carolina, on September 1, 2026.

OTTAWA — Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne will announce an extension of the gas tax holiday until the end of January, according to a government source.

The previously announced pause on the federal fuel excise tax was set to end on Sept. 7, adding 10 cents per litre of gas and four cents per litre of diesel after Labour Day.

Champagne is scheduled to hold a press conference in Ottawa on Wednesday at a Canadian Tire store, where he will announce the move.

Prime Minister Mark Carney announced the pause on the tax in April as the conflict between the United States and Iran sparked an increase in gas prices.

Polling showed that nearly two-thirds of Canadians disapproved of the plan to let the pause end next week.

The move will likely not sway Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre who has called on the government to remove “all taxes on gas” until at least July 1 2027.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford wrote to Carney last month to ask him to extend the pause on the federal fuel excise tax until at least the end of the year to help Canadians navigate the impact of additional U.S. tariffs.

On Wednesday, Ford welcomed news of the extension of the gas tax holiday. “Now let’s make it permanent,” he wrote on X.

More to come.

National Post

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