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From left, President of China Xi Jinping and U.S. president Donald Trump arrive for a tour of the National Archives Museum on Sept. 25, 2026, in Washington, DC.

An ambitious new poll by British-based Ashcroft Polls surveyed 10,098 Canadian adults on a wide range of topics , from their thoughts on who is the country’s No. 1 enemy to their top kitchen-table issue. Here are the key findings.

Threats to Canada

After a trade war with the Americans (47 per cent), the most serious threat to Canadians as a whole was the risk of a new economic and financial crisis (38 per cent) followed by immigration (32 per cent). Climate change was fourth overall, followed by loss of jobs to robotics, AI and machine learning.

Allies or adversaries?

The U.K, Australia and France were more likely to be seen as allies of Canada, while Russia, Iran and the U.S. were the most likely to be seen as an adversary or threat.

In 2022, 73 per cent of Canadians saw the U.S. as an ally. Today, only 25 per cent do.

The U.S. vs China: Who should Canada stand up to?

When asked if they had to choose, 72 per cent of Canadians as a whole said they’d prefer a government that stands up to the United States versus 28 per cent who said the government should seek accommodations with the U.S.

By comparison, 59 per cent of Canadians would prefer to seek cooperation with China rather than stand up to Beijing (41 per cent).

Trump will still be a threat even after he’s no longer in the White House

Most Canadians feel the same tensions with the U.S. will exist even after Donald Trump is no longer president by the time of the next federal election in 2029: 40 per cent said managing the Canada-U.S. relationship will be as important as it is now, with a further 42 per cent saying it will be even more important.

The party and their leader’s approval ratings

Canadians are more likely to have a net positive view of Mark Carney than of the Liberal party: 60 per cent had a positive view of Carney, compared to 55 per cent who had a positive view of the Liberals.

The reverse was true for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, who scored a lower positive score (43 per cent) than his party (49 per cent).

Who would you never vote for?

A slightly higher proportion of voters said they would never vote for the Conservatives (27 per cent) than said the same for the Liberals (24 per cent) or NDP (22 per cent).

What are the most important issues facing Canada today?

The cost of living was chosen by 60 per cent of respondents as the most important issue facing Canada today, followed by health care, the economy and jobs, housing, and trade and tariffs with the U.S.

Source: Ashcroft Polls interviewed 10,098 Canadian adults online between July 31 and Aug. 17 A poll sample of this size has a margin of error or plus or minus one percentage point.

National Post

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Police continue to investigate a shooting outside of Belleville's Sons of Jacob Synagogue, Tuesday September 22, 2026.

Not even two weeks after a hate-motivated attack on a synagogue in Belleville, Ont., antisemitic flyers were distributed in the city’s east end, according to police.

Norman Weddum, the president of the synagogue that was targeted, called it “disgusting.”

“It was so soon after the shooting,” he said. “What’s going on here?”

The Jewish community in the area is still recovering from the Sept. 20 shooting at Sons of Jacob Synagogue, which left Const. Jeff Smith seriously injured. He was stationed outside the building on Yom Kippur, the holiest day in the Jewish calendar, when 29-year-old Sean Ward opened fire.

 Bullets holes are seen in a window at the Sons of Jacob synagogue in Belleville, Ont., after a shooting on Sunday, Sept. 20, 2026.

Weddum was inside with around 25 congregants for the evening prayer service. Doug Lobel was also attending that service when dozens of shots rang out.

“Just over a week ago, I was there that night of the shooting, and like many in our community, I had only begun the process of trying to heal and regain a sense of safety,” he told National Post.

“Seeing these flyers posted around the east side of Belleville near the synagogue yesterday has brought that night and all those emotions rushing back. Yesterday was a very difficult day.”

Weddum said he’s not sure how many people were involved with handing out the flyers, or if it was only one person, but there were “a lot” distributed.

Copies of the flyers shared with National Post showed messaging that promoted conspiracy theories blaming the Jewish community for the COVID-19 pandemic, abortion, gun control and mass immigration.

The synagogue shooter reportedly “spouted” a theory that blamed Jews for COVID and was discharged from the Canadian Armed Forces due to his refusal to receive the COVID vaccine. After the attack, police shared a video where Ward could be heard shouting “You are going to die for the Jews” before shooting at Smith.

 Sean Ward, the suspect in a shooting at a Belleville, Ont., synagogue.

Police said the shooting deliberately targeted the Jewish community and Ward had the “means, the motive and the mechanisms” to carry out a bigger attack.

Ward later died in hospital. Smith is in critical but stable condition.

The Belleville Police Service said it was aware of “flyers being distributed in the east end of Belleville containing antisemitic messaging” on Oct. 1. It is asking anyone with information or video evidence to share it. Police have been in contact with community leaders and are “taking proactive steps to support the safety and well-being of residents.”

Increased patrols are continuing in Belleville at places of worship as well as other community gathering spaces.

Jewish advocacy groups, the Centre for Israel and Jewish Affairs and the UJA Federation of Greater Toronto released a statement on X saying that the flyers are “more than hateful rhetoric.”

“Libels and conspiracies about Jews and Israelis are fuelling hate and violence against Canadians,” it said. “Canada’s security services have sounded the alarm of the current situation in which acts of antisemitism become so prevalent and frequent that they create an environment that influence extremists toward more violent pathways.”

Meanwhile, several fundraisers have been set up for the synagogue to rebuild as well as for the police officers who initially confronted Ward.

A GoFundMe for Smith has raised nearly $1 million on behalf of the Canadian Jewish community.

 Belleville Police Service officer Const. Jeff Smith, left, with his wife, Ashley, right, and their children.

Another GoFundMe was launched for Const. Mike McCurdy, who arrived at the scene minutes after the shooting started. It has raised more than $11,000.

Although McCurdy was not injured, the description of the fundraiser online says “the emotional toll of this experience is significant, and mental recovery is just as vital as physical healing.”

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The chart shows the top 12 countries in the study, which put Canada in 10th place.

A report on “global intelligence” has placed Canada 10th in a list of 80 countries that were analyzed, eight places ahead of its neighbour the United States, but trailing the U.K., Australia and first-place Singapore.

The report was produced by TradingPlatforms, a financial comparison website.

To create its ranking, researchers combined several pieces of information. One was data from the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA), an international study by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) that tests the skills and knowledge of 15-year-old students in various countries.

They also looked at the per capita publication of high-quality scientific publications last year, and the average IQ scores from the International IQ Test , a website that has been active since 2018 and gathered more than 1.2 million scores last year alone.

Canada’s PISA scores were relatively high, and it placed 6th in the number of scientific publications and 18th when adjusted for population. Its IQ averaged 102.09, putting it in 11th place in that category among a cluster of countries with scores between 102 and 103.

Combined, these figures gave Canada a “smartness score” of 59.36 and a ranking of 10th place. Singapore topped the list with a score of 87.13, while New Zealand (59.9) and Britain (60.6) narrowly edged out Canada.

The United States was 18th with a score of 53.88 and trailed Canada in all the categories. Although it remains the world leader in scientific papers published, it drops to 23rd place in that category when adjusted for population.

Canada actually scored its worst-ever PISA numbers in 2025 , but remained ahead of the OECD average, which has also been dropping.

“The teenagers performed particularly well in science, scoring 510 points, while mathematics and reading scores stood at 485 and 490, respectively,” the study noted. “Canada also scored 525 points in the new computational problem-solving assessment, which measures students’ ability to use digital tools to solve problems.”

It added: “Canada is undoubtedly a scientific powerhouse, with its institutions producing 5,647 high-quality scientific publications in 2025, (but) while this remains a strong result, it falls well below the elite levels produced by Switzerland (507.12), Singapore (411.12) and Denmark (374.86).” Canada’s per-capita publication rate was 139.54.

China was excluded from the ranking, the study noted, in part because the OECD only tests a subset of Chinese provinces and municipalities, “which cannot be reliably compared to whole-country results elsewhere in this dataset.”

Canada has recently made a push to attract researchers from the U.S. and elsewhere, with more than $500 million in government funding behind the move, which brought 64 scientists into the country.

Diliana Hristova, a data analyst behind the study, lauded that move as a smart way to turn the uncertainty surrounding U.S. universities and research funding under the Trump administration into an opportunity. But there is an obvious question hanging over the move: Why is a country with such a strong higher education system having to go abroad for talent in the first place?

She added: “Canada already produces the sixth-highest volume of scientific research among the 80 countries we analyzed, yet it has spent years losing talented researchers in fields such as AI and quantum computing to better-funded labs overseas.

“Recruiting 60-odd scientists will undoubtedly add firepower to Canada’s research base, but it does not solve the problem that created the talent gap in the first place. If Canada wants to compete at the highest level in science, it needs to make staying just as attractive as coming.”

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Gas prices are displayed at the corner of Wellington and Exeter Roads in London, Ont., on Monday, July 27, 2026.

As gas prices remain stubbornly high across Canada, gas taxes at both the federal and provincial level vary from high to non-existent, as groups like the Canadian Taxpayers Federation (CTF) call for relief.

A Nova Scotia flashpoint

The CTF is calling on Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston to suspend the province’s gas tax amid continued high prices at the pumps. This comes as several other provinces as well as the federal government have enacted full or partial rollbacks on gasoline taxes.

The CTF notes that the Nova Scotia gas tax amounts to 15.5 cents per litre on gasoline, the highest in Atlantic Canada. “Houston has never cut it,” Devin Drover, CTF’s Atlantic Director and General Counsel, told National Post by email.

He added: “The government has never given a real reason. When affordability comes up, the Houston government points to its one-point HST cut, but it has never touched the 15.5-cent-per-litre provincial gas tax.”

National Post has reached out to the premier’s office for comment.

Suspending the provincial gas tax would save Nova Scotians almost $10 on a 64-litre minivan fill-up, according to the CTF.

Drover said the fuel tax brings in about $297 million a year, per the province’s own budget estimates “A four-month suspension like P.E.I.’s would run roughly a third of that, about $100 million.”

Alberta takes a three-month break

Last month, Alberta Premier Danielle Smith announced that her government would eliminate its fuel tax for three months to help fight costs. The cut took effect yesterday, Oct. 1, and amounts to a 13-cent-a-litre savings on gasoline and diesel fuel.

“Every fill-up will cost Alberta families and businesses less,” Smith said last week at a speech to the Calgary Chamber of Commerce.

In June she opted to keep the tax but instead invited Albertans to apply for a $100 energy rebate cheque, available for households making less than $225,000. But Smith admitted the program was not well received, noting: “We have to be willing to take criticism and adjust and change course.”

Albertans still have until Oct. 31 to apply for the rebate, after the province extended the deadline.

Ontario, Newfoundland make change permanent

Newfoundland and Labrador had cut its provincial gas tax by 8.05 cents per litre in June 2022, and this year passed legislation to make that decrease permanent, a move applauded by the Retail Council of Canada . It keeps the province’s gasoline taxes at 7.5 cents per litre of gas and 9.5 cents for diesel.

Ontario made a similar move in the same timeframe, cutting taxes on a gas by 5.7 cents and on diesel by 5.3. The rate is now nine cents per litre for both.

P.E.I.’s temporary rollback

Prince Edward Island, meanwhile, has announced a four-month hiatus on gasoline taxes. The cut took effect Sept. 26 and lasts until Jan. 31, 2027. The change saves Islanders 8.47 cents per litre on gasoline and 14.15 cents per litre on diesel until then.

P.E.I.’s move follows a decision by the federal government to extend its own moratorium on gas taxes. Ottawa had already announced in April that the federal tax of 10 cents a litre on gasoline and four cents on diesel would be removed until Sept. 7.

Five days before the end of that period came another announcement that the suspension would continue until Jan. 31, 2027. At that point, the tax will come back at a 50 per cent rate through March 31.

“This will bring down everyday costs for Canadians, including truckers and businesses in the food, agriculture, housing, construction, and delivery sectors,” the government said in a release .

A politically agnostic choice

Nova Scotia has a Conservative government, but Drover said cutting gas taxes is not a party-dependant decision. The Liberal government in Ottawa suspended its tax in April, while Progressive Conservative premiers did it in P.E.I. and Ontario. In Newfoundland and Labrador, a Liberal government cut the tax in 2022 and a Conservative government later made the cut permanent.

“And Manitoba’s NDP ran a full-year fuel tax holiday in 2024, then brought the tax back 10 per cent lower,” he noted.

Taxes on taxes

Even with the federal gas tax suspended, taxes make up 26 per cent of the price at the pumps in Nova Scotia, according to CTF’s recent Gas Tax Honesty Report . Nova Scotia drivers also pay a tax-on-tax of about three cents per litre, because sales taxes are charged on top of all the per-litre taxes.

That report also noted that Montreal has the highest gas taxes in the country at 61 cents per litre, or 35 per cent of the price of gasoline. Drivers in Montreal pay a transit tax when fuelling up in the city, in addition to provincial and federal levies. The rest of Quebec had gas taxes amounting to 33 per cent of the total price.

Similarly, drivers in Vancouver and Victoria also pay transit taxes at the pumps, and had total taxes of 28 and 25 per cent, respectively. Manitobans pay just 17 per cent tax on their gas, with Saskatchewan at 18 per cent.

Meanwhile, Nova Scotia has just instituted a tax on electric vehicles , with owners charged a $500 levy in addition to their vehicle registration fee. Plug-in hybrid vehicle owners will pay $250.

“Ottawa, P.E.I., Alberta and Newfoundland and Labrador have all delivered meaningful relief at the pumps,” said Drover. “Houston controls Nova Scotia’s gas tax and he needs to suspend it now.”

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While the poll found support for the way Prime Minister Mark Carney is handling U.S. President Donald Trump, people were more likely to worry the country is off track.

Canadians are feeling relatively “jaunty” in the face of a trade war with a country they now view as an adversary and no friend, even while saying they feel worse off than they did a year ago, according to a new poll of more than 10,000 Canadian adults.

Most believe Prime Minister Mark Carney and his Liberal government are best suited to handle trade negotiations and American designs on Canada, and most voters overall feel the Liberals are making headway and “doing some good things” — or they’re at least giving them the benefit of the doubt that they will.

But while Carney is polling stronger than his party, which isn’t the case for Pierre Poilievre, the high cost of living and other bread-and-butter issues were ranked as more personally pressing than the trade war.

According to the poll, Carney leads on attributes like “understands the lives of people like me,” though only 32 per cent thought this was true of him, according to U.K.-based pollster, Lord Ashcroft Polls.

“If living standards continue to stagnate, it’s easy to see how an air of calm authority could, over time, turn into aloof technocracy,” Lord Michael Ashcroft, a British businessman, philanthropist and former deputy chair of the British Conservative party, wrote in a commentary for National Post.

While found 47 per cent of Canadians think the country is heading in the wrong direction compared to 40 per cent who believe Canada is on the proper path, the numbers are notably less pessimistic than in other western nations, Ashcroft wrote.

“Overall, Canadians say the country is on the wrong track by a margin of just seven points — positively jaunty numbers compared to their equivalents in Europe and the U.S.”

Recent U.S. polls put the “wrong direction” camp ahead by 20 to 30 points, with a similar picture in Britain.

U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs and bombastic rhetoric “didn’t just help to swing the 2025 election; they continue to shape Canadian politics” Ashcroft wrote. “Many see Carney almost as a wartime leader, his economic credentials making him the man for the times.”

In all, 10,098 adults in Canada were surveyed online between July 31 and Aug. 17. A poll sample of this size has a margin of error or plus or minus one percentage point.

In addition, 16 focus groups involving 128 participants — equal numbers of men and women drawn from a range of backgrounds — were held in four locations in B.C, Alberta, Quebec and Ontario.

While the poll found support for the way Carney is handling Trump, people were more likely to worry the country is off track, a finding that surprised Carleton University’s Richard Nimijean, given more recent polls have reported more upbeat results, with the “right direction” overtaking the wrong. It could come down to timing, said Nimijean, an associate professor of Canadian studies.

The Ashcroft poll was conducted at a time “when people were feeling pretty tired of and stressed by” the trade conflict, Nimijean said.

Days after the Ashcroft polling stopped, Carney pulled his negotiating team out of the trade talks, telling reporters: “You’re at war when you get attacked. We got attacked.”

The prime minister’s rallying call might have marked an important mood shift that could explain why more recent polls found higher optimism, and why the jaunty sentiment has continued, Nimijean said.

Still, when asked whether they feel better or worse off than they did a year ago, 45 per cent of Ashcroft poll respondents said they felt worse off, rather than better (17 per cent); 37 per cent said they felt about the same.

Those aged 45-54, the most hard-pressed group, felt worse, rather than better off, by a 37-point margin: only 15 per cent said they felt better off, versus 52 per cent who said they feel worse off.

Despite the “we won’t be bullied sentiment,” issues around affordability, housing and cost of living still deeply matter, Nimijean said. “Getting affordable housing hasn’t gone away. Accessible health care as an issue hasn’t gone away,” and people in vulnerable sectors are legitimately worried about their jobs, he said. This week, steelmaker Stelco Holdings announced plans to lay off up to 500 workers at its Hamilton and Lake Erie facilities.

When looking at political party affiliation, one third of Liberal voters (32 per cent) said they feel worse off than they did a year ago. More than half (57 per cent) of Conservative voters shared that sentiment.

On the economic outlook, while people were more likely to say they expect the economy will do poorly over the next year for Canada as a whole, they were more optimistic about how things will fare for themselves personally.

It’s a phenomenon seen globally, according to the pollster. People feel they have no control over issues like tariffs, the Iran war and international uncertainty. “But closer to home, when people think about their own lives and careers and prospects, things feel somewhat less gloomy and more within their power to determine,” the Ashcroft team said in an email.

Men tend to be more bullish about the economy, and women more guarded, according to the poll.

Canadians across all age groups and parties named the cost of living as the top concern facing Canada today. Housing was the second most important issue for voters up to age 44. Health care took second spot for the 45 and older.

Conservatives were more likely to name immigration and border control, followed by the economy and jobs.

Trade and tariffs came in fifth spot for Canadians as a whole.

When asked which party, regardless of how they intend to vote, does the best job handling issues they consider most important, “the economy was the most tightly contested issue among those who named it as a priority,” according to the poll. The Conservatives had a slight lead (43 per cent) over the Liberals (42 per cent).

On energy and natural resources, 71 per cent of those polled said they’d rather have a government that lets Canada use its own natural resources to reduce energy costs over a government that preserves its natural resources “even at a time of higher energy prices.”

Even a majority of NDP voters (57 per cent) preferred using natural resources to keep energy bills down.

In focus groups, a new oil pipeline to the West Coast drew mixed reviews. “Some saw it as a welcome and overdue investment that would promote energy independence and economic resilience, while others — particularly those who had switched from the NDP (in the last federal election) — worried about the environmental impact and the effect on First Nations,” according to the poll.

“I know sometimes it doesn’t seem like the woke options, but I feel like a lot of people don’t think about the alternative being to buy from countries like Saudi Arabia where they have terrible human rights,” remarked one Liberal participant from the B.C. focus group.

“I also think there are ways to get oil here where Indigenous people are partners and there is responsible stewardship of the land. And with gas being like $1.80, it’s really important to have our own supply.”

Overall, 51 per cent of respondents said they see the U.S. as an “adversary or threat,” and just 25 per cent viewed their southern neighbour as a friend or ally.

Four years ago, in 2022, the opposite was true: 73 per cent of Canadians saw the U.S. as an ally; 23 per cent saw the Americans as a threat.

“Those who voted Conservative in 2025 were the only group more likely to call the U.S. an ally than an adversary” by a four-point margin, according to the poll.

Focus groups supported the push to make the country more economically self-sufficient “though many felt this was long overdue and regretted that it had taken the Trump presidency to force action on this front,” according to the poll.

A closer relationship with China, however, was slightly more worrisome.

For Canadians as a whole, including for Liberal, Bloc and NDP voters, a trade war with the U.S. was the most serious threat to Canada. For Conservatives, it was immigration, followed second by trade tensions.

More than eight in 10 people polled (82 per cent) said managing relations with the U.S., even after Trump is no longer in office, would be at least as important as it is now in deciding their vote in Canada’s next federal election, “partly because they see Trump as a symptom as much as a cause of the movements in American politics over the last decade or more,” the Ashcroft team said in an email. Among the Republican Party, whoever succeeds Trump could have a similar agenda.

Overall, Canadians have a generally positive view of Carney and the Liberal government: 42 per cent, including one in five Conservative voters, said the Liberals are “making progress and doing some good things.”

Only just over a quarter, including just over half (52 per cent) of Conservative voters, said the Carney Liberals “won’t achieve anything good” and want them out as soon as possible.

On the leadership question, 34 per cent of Canadians as a whole said they would be more likely to consider voting Conservative in the next election if someone other than Pierre Poilievre led the party.

Among those who said there was some chance they’d vote Conservative in the next election, but probably won’t, 34 per cent said what most put them off was that “I don’t like Pierre Poilievre.”

Roughly another third said the party feels too close to engaging in U.S.-style politics; 23 per cent said they worry about what the Conservatives would do in government.

“The Conservatives have struggled to find a narrative or a story to tell Canadians that speaks to the moment, that speaks to how Canadians are feeling,” Nimijean said. “The challenge for Mr. Poilievre is, how do you reach out more to the centre or to the moderates while also speaking to the base you have? It’s not easy.”

The poll echoes what an annual public survey — the Confederation of Tomorrow survey of 5,600 adults — has found when Canadians are asked if they are satisfied, or not, with the way things are going. “It’s basically 50-50,” said Charles Breton, executive director of the Centre of Excellence on the Canadian Federation in Montreal.

What isn’t clearly captured by the new poll “is that Canadians still feel a relationship with the U.S. is an important relationship — not the way things are going now. We do not want that relationship,” Breton said.

“But it is an important relationship, nonetheless.”

National Post

What ‘threat’ worries Canadians most and other key findings of State of the Nation poll

An ambitious new poll by British-based Ashcroft Polls surveyed 10,098 Canadian adults on a wide range of topics, from their thoughts on who is the country’s No. 1 enemy to their top kitchen table issue. Here are the key findings.

Threats to Canada

After a trade war with the Americans (47 per cent), the most serious threat to Canadians as a whole was the risk of a new economic and financial crisis (38 per cent) followed by immigration (32 per cent). Climate change was fourth overall, followed by loss of jobs to robotics, AI and machine learning.

Allies or adversaries?

The U.K, Australia and France were more likely to be seen as allies of Canada, while Russia, Iran and the U.S. were the most likely to be seen as an adversary or threat.

In 2022, 73 per cent of Canadians saw the U.S. as an ally. Today, only 25 per cent do.

The U.S. vs China: Who should Canada stand up to?

When asked if they had to choose, 72 per cent of Canadians as a whole said they’d prefer a government that stands up to the United States versus 28 per cent who said the government should seek accommodations with the U.S.

By comparison, 59 per cent of Canadians would prefer to seek cooperation with China rather than stand up to Beijing (41 per cent).

Trump will still be a threat even after he’s no longer in the White House

Most Canadians feel the same tensions with the U.S. will exist even after Donald Trump is no longer president by the time of the next federal election in 2029: 40 per cent said managing the Canada-U.S. relationship will be as important as it is now, with a further 42 per cent saying it will be even more important.

The party and their leader’s approval ratings

Canadians are more likely to have a net positive view of Mark Carney than of the Liberal party: 60 per cent had a positive view of Carney, compared to 55 per cent who had a positive view of the Liberals.

The reverse was true for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, who scored a lower positive score (43 per cent) than his party (49 per cent).

Who would you never vote for?

A slightly higher proportion of voters said they would never vote for the Conservatives (27 per cent) than said the same for the Liberals (24 per cent) or NDP (22 per cent).

What are the most important issues facing Canada today?

The cost of living was chosen by 60 per cent of respondents as the most important issue facing Canada today, followed by health care, the economy and jobs, housing and trade and tariffs with the U.S.

Source: Ashcroft Polls interviewed 10,098 Canadian adults online between July 31 and Aug. 17 A poll sample of this size has a margin of error or plus or minus one percentage point.

National Post

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our newsletters here.


Simran Preet Panesar is suspected of moving gold stolen at Toronto's Pearson airport in 2023, or proceeds from it, through businesses in India.

A man wanted for his alleged insider role in the high-value Toronto airport gold heist cannot return to Canada to face trial because Indian authorities won’t let him leave over suspicions he brought the loot to India to secretly sell, documents allege.

Law enforcement and court documents from India, obtained by National Post, say Simran Preet Panesar is suspected of moving stolen gold or proceeds from it through businesses in India, where he has been living since resigning from his job with Air Canada after the heist.

Peel Regional Police, west of Toronto, consider him a wanted fugitive and allege he was an inside man who abused his position at the Air Canada cargo warehouse to pull off Canada’s biggest gold heist, in 2023, when a crate filled with nearly pure gold and foreign cash — worth more than $22 million — was stolen without anyone noticing shortly after arriving on a flight from Switzerland.

Canada has requested Panesar’s arrest and extradition from India.

India’s Directorate of Enforcement, the country’s national enforcement agency for combating financial crimes, calls the 2023 theft “a sophisticated gold heist” and notes its connection to suspects of Indian origin who worked for Air Canada.

“Indo-Canadian employees Pampal Sidhu and Simran Preet Panesar played key roles in the heist,” alleges the document signed last year by two senior directorate officials based in Chandigarh, in India’s northwest.

“Simran Preet Panesar is in India and is suspected of laundering the stolen gold proceeds through various activities,” the report says. “It is suspected that a large portion of the stolen gold has been melted down and sold in markets that are flushed with gold, such as India or Dubai.

“Investigation is required to be conducted to ascertain the total proceeds of crime generated, layered, and integrated in the form of movable and immovable properties and identify all the persons/entities who is involved or knowingly assisted,” the directorate’s report says.

While Panesar is under investigation by the directorate for suspicion of money laundering he is prevented from leaving the country, according to an Indian court document.

As part of the directorate’s investigation, officers searched Panesar’s home in a suburb of Chandigarh and seized unspecified electronic devices and Indian currency valued around $3,000.

A lawyer in India representing Panesar filed petitions in court to end the directorate’s probe, seeking to quash authorizations for the search and the freezing of Panesar’s assets and requesting the return of seized items.

The lawyer complained that Panesar was interrogated eight times by directorate officers on eight different days over the course of nearly a month, starting Feb. 21, 2025, and ending March 18, 2025, without any charges being filed against him.

During proceedings, the directorate told court that a Look Out Circular, known as a LOC, had been issued against Panesar, according to the filing. A LOC is an internal alert for authorities to monitor, trace or prevent its subject from leaving or entering India.

The filing says that while the LOC is in place, “it is impossible for Mr. Panesar to travel out of The Republic of India.”

The outcome of Panesar’s petitions in India are not known. The lawyer did not respond to National Post’s requests for comment over several days.

Panesar’s lawyer in Canada, however, said the information found in the Indian documents is consistent with his understanding of his client’s situation.

Greg Lafontaine, a Toronto lawyer who represents Panesar in the gold heist case, said the Indian authorities’ actions prevent his client from appearing in court in Canada alongside co-accused who are scheduled to face separate trials, one starting Monday and the other next month.

Lafontaine said his client should not be viewed as a fugitive in hiding to avoid justice.

“If he’s hiding, he’s hiding in plain daylight,” Lafontaine said in an interview. “He’s in India. He’s always said he’s in India. We’ve never kept that back.”

Lafontaine said Panesar was in India working on a movie project. The directorate’s report said he is producing music videos with his wife and managing a recording business.

“We thought we had a little time to get his affairs cleaned up because he’d been doing things there. But suddenly the enforcement directorate of the Indian government has stepped in and commenced an investigation.

“That has caused him to be unable to leave India. He’s not here now to face the charges. He wants to be, but he’s not permitted to,” Lafontaine said. “He’s been stuck dealing with the Indian legal system ever since.

“He’s not a fugitive. He didn’t flee from anything. He was there, doing his thing for a period of months before the charges were laid. He’s been portrayed as actively avoiding coming to Canada, which is far from the truth.”

Insp. Mike Mavity, who was the major case manager for Peel police’s gold heist investigation, said Canadian law enforcement has been in periodic contact with India’s Directorate of Enforcement but said he could not confirm whether Panesar was being prevented from returning to Canada or not.

 Air Canada Cargo at Toronto Pearson International Airport, where millions in gold bars and cash was stolen.

Mavity did dispute whether Panesar should be called a fugitive.

“I still consider him one. Panesar is wanted on a Canada-wide warrant,” Mavity said.

A trial is set to begin Monday in the Ontario Superior Court of Justice in Brampton for one of nine men originally alleged to be behind the gold heist.

Parmpal Sidhu, 56, who worked at the Air Canada cargo warehouse along with Panesar, was arrested in Canada on April 5, 2024, almost two weeks before police announced arrests in the high-profile case.

Next month, a trial is scheduled for Archit Grover, 39, who allegedly owned the truck used to haul the shipment from the airport. Grover was arrested May 6, 2024, at Toronto airport after flying back from India.

Each is accused of conspiring with others to commit theft over $5,000, and of stealing gold and bank notes worth more than $5,000 that were the property of the Toronto Dominion Centre, the global headquarters for the TD Bank. Lawyers for both men say their clients are pleading not guilty.

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A Newfoundland judge has granted Rodney Philpott an absolute discharge for hanging a seven-year-old boy on a coat hook.

A Newfoundland bridal shop owner convicted of assaulting a rambunctious seven-year-old by hanging him from a coat hook until his face turned purple has been granted an absolute discharge.

Rodney Philpott, who co-owns a bridal shop in Grand Falls, N.L., was convicted this past summer for assaulting the son of a customer’s fiancé in March 2025.

“I appreciate it is rare to impose a discharge in a case involving the assault of a child. But the unique circumstances of this offence and this offender satisfy the court that a discharge would not be contrary to the public interest,” Provincial Court Judge Lloyd Strickland wrote in a recent decision.

Philpott was serving a woman, who had her fiancé’s son in tow while she searched for a wedding gown on March 25, 2025.

“The boy was hyper and probably a distraction,” the judge said in his Sept. 24 decision.

Philpott lifted the boy “and hung him by his coat hood on a hanger in the dressing room,” said the judge, who called the act “an ill-considered, misguided continuation of horseplay.”

“The boy struggled to breathe; presumably the collar of his coat was pressed firmly against his throat.”

The court heard the child had been running around in the dressing room, “tormenting” Philpott, who was bringing the woman dresses.

The woman and another adult family member testified Philpott grabbed the boy, turned the hood of his coat inside out and hung him on a coat hook on the wall, taking him down when the child’s face turned purple.

The boy also testified, telling the court the man who gave the bride the dresses had hung him on a hook, and he felt a pinch on his throat as he was hanging.

A bruise was later discovered on the boy’s neck.

His father told the court the boy “had neck pain and missed a few days of school recovering.”

The boy “has had issues sleeping and has expressed a fear of returning to the mall where the bridal shop is located,” according to his dad.

The Crown recommended a suspended sentence and probation. Prosecutors also asked that Philpott be supervised by a probation officer, attend counselling, and be prohibited from having any contact with the boy or his family.

Philpott’s lawyer argued successfully for an absolute discharge. She asked the court to consider the “specific detrimental impact of a conviction. Mr. Philpott would be limited in his ability to gain entry to other countries such as the United States. He routinely travels to attend bridal fashion trade shows.”

Philpott, 54, “has been a businessman locally and abroad for quite some time,” Strickland said.

He’s “maintained his innocence,” said the judge. “That is his right.”

According to Strickland, “the most evident aggravating factor in this case is the age of the victim. If the court is tasked with the responsibility of protecting the public, there must be specific attention paid to the safety of those most in need of protection.”

Further aggravating, said the judge, is the injury the lad suffered.

Philpott “cannot be said to have been in a traditional position of trust with respect to the boy,” Strickland said. “Nonetheless, children do tend to implicitly trust adults. Though they had just met, there was evidence of playful interaction between (the boy) and the offender.”

Nobody “testified that the boy resisted when he was lifted and placed on the hook,” said the judge.

“I expect (the boy) did not anticipate the possibility that Mr. Philpott would place him at risk of harm. Adults must accept that even without a familial relation, children do tend to trust grown-ups.”

Mitigating factors in Philpott’s case include his lack of a previous criminal record, Strickland said.

“He has been a contributing member of the community and a respected businessman for some time.”

Philpott didn’t strike out at the child in anger, said the judge, who said he had no reason to believe the bridal shop owner meant to cause the boy any harm.

“There may have been a degree of frustration with (the boy’s) behaviour, but the reaction and testimony of the witnesses who were in the dressing room indicate that the assault was a continuation of ongoing horseplay between the offender and the boy.”

Strickland said he had “no difficulty concluding that a discharge would be in Mr. Philpott’s best interests. This would be the case for any offender. But I do recognize that the person before the court is a middle-aged businessman with no record of criminal wrongdoing. I expect he will be very hesitant to ever handle a child again.”

Philpott’s “diminished moral blameworthiness” plays in his favour, Strickland said. “He did not act in anger or with an intention to harm. He has never been convicted before, and the circumstances of this case give me no reason to believe he is a risk to anyone’s safety going forward.”

The judge couldn’t see any reasons why he should put conditions on Philpott’s discharge.

“His actions were misguided but not malicious and I am not concerned he may do anything of the sort again. A probation order would serve no purpose.”

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U.S. Customs and Border Protection is yet to provide clear guidance on whether travellers can cross the border with Canadian-made alcohol.

The Canadian Snowbird Association (CSA) has issued a warning to travellers to the U.S., advising against packing alcoholic beverages and some dairy products when travelling south of the border.

The guidance comes alongside a new U.S. import ban on some Canadian goods — including alcohol and whey products — that took effect on Tuesday. U.S. President Donald Trump announced the ban on Sept. 8, the same day Canadian retaliatory tariffs on nearly $28 billion worth of U.S. imports were imposed.

The CSA said : “For Canadian snowbirds, the changes are particularly important when packing wine, beer and other alcoholic beverages for the trip south. The new import ban covers a wide range of Canadian-origin alcoholic beverages, including packaged beer, sparkling wine, many table wines, cider, sake, rum, vodka, gin and certain whiskies and other spirits.”

And though the dairy-related import ban is more limited, the CSA warns it could impact whey protein products, certain other whey products, molasses and non-alcoholic beer.

As a result, the organization is advising Canadians travelling to the U.S. to check their vehicles and luggage for Canadian-origin products that are subject to the new import bans.

 Cars wait in line to enter the United States at a border crossing in Blackpool, Que.

Evan Rachkovsky, director of research and communications at the CSA, told National Post in an email: “At this time, U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) has not provided clear guidance confirming that Canadian travellers carrying Canadian-origin alcoholic beverages or other affected products for personal use are exempt from the new import restrictions.”

He explained that travellers should declare “all alcohol and other applicable products” when entering the U.S., and be prepared for CBP officers to determine whether they are permitted entry. “These items could potentially be refused entry or seized at the border,” he said.

Rachkovsky added that the CSA is advising travellers to avoid bringing these products into the U.S. altogether as a precaution “until clearer guidance is available.”

Meanwhile, a CBP spokesperson told National Post in an email that U.S. residents age 21 or older “may bring back one litre of alcohol for personal use duty-free when returning from abroad, including from Canada.”

They did not clarify whether this guidance applies to Canadians entering the U.S. with Canadian-made alcohol.

The spokesperson added that travellers must declare any alcohol to CBP and that amounts above the duty-free limit are subject to review. They said that a 50 per cent tariff would generally apply to alcoholic beverages that are above the one litre limit and covered by Proclamation 11061, which is the directive that excludes certain Canadian alcohol from importation into the U.S.

“If the 50 percent tariff does not apply, the amount owed depends on the specific product and circumstances,” they said.

 Canadian whiskey is offered for sale at a grocery store in Chicago, Illinois, on September 29, 2026.

The new import ban is the latest development in a continually escalating trade war between Canada and the U.S., which previously saw Trump impose 50 per cent tariffs on $28 billion worth of Canadian goods. The new tariffs came into effect after trade talks between Canada and the U.S. broke down on Aug. 21.

Prime Minister Mark Carney announced Canada was walking away from negotiations due to last-minute changes to the draft deal from the U.S. side, and subsequently imposed retaliatory tariffs of 15 to 50 per cent on U.S. goods.

When Trump announced the recent import ban, Prime Minister Mark Carney said he doesn’t believe in escalating the trade conflict following Canada’s retaliatory response.

“That’s not constructive,” he said during a video address released on Sept. 8. “But our tariffs are necessary to protect our workers, protect our companies, and our communities.”

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Former Alberta deputy premier Thomas Lukaszuk speaks about the threat of Alberta separatism at an Economic Club of Canada event in Toronto on Thursday, Oct. 1, 2026.

The most striking moment in former Alberta deputy premier Thomas Lukaszuk’s speech to a Toronto business audience about the perils of Alberta separatism came when he mentioned Thursday’s breaking news that Prime Minister Mark Carney will fast-track a new Pacific Link pipeline from Alberta to the West Coast as a project of national interest.

It was striking because there was no applause, not even a murmur of assent or a rustle of emotional reaction for this pipeline that is being styled as a marquee nation-building project for a divided and imperilled nation, strategically announced 18 days before Alberta votes on whether to hold a sovereignty referendum.

If anyone was looking for a case against Alberta going it alone, this was it.

So the downtown Toronto audience’s silence was an illustration of a recurring theme, that some of Alberta’s beef with the rest of Canada, especially central Canada, is the attitude.

This came up first in the speech to the Economic Club of Canada by Lukaszuk, a staunch anti-separatist and a former cabinet minister in the Progressive Conservative governments of Ed Stelmach and Alison Redford. And it came up again in the following roundtable discussion led by former Ontario premier Dalton McGuinty.

“It’s time to admit that some of those grievances are real,” Lukaszuk said. Alberta contributes substantially to Canada as a whole and has legitimate concerns that equalization payments to the provinces give Albertans short shrift. “A certain amount of gratitude is not too much to ask.”

He said the separatist movement is boosted by unequal representation in the Senate, and by the tendency for national elections to be decided before polls even close in the West. Lukaszuk said he has had the deflating experience of hearing CBC declare a majority while he was still waiting in line to vote in Alberta.

“To us, it feels like our votes don’t matter,” he said. It is fodder for separatism, but it also encourages Albertans who are merely frustrated with their place in Canada to vote with the separatists just to send a message.

“It’s a message the rest of Canada needs to listen to,” he said. “Please don’t pat us on the head with the promise of a pipeline, thinking that’s enough.”

Albertan separatism is based on “unsubstantiated claims and magical thinking” and it is hampered by squabbling factions, Lukaszuk said. Polling in the last few days has shown separatist sentiment to be low and falling, and pegged the remain vote as high as 70 per cent.

But Lukaszuk is concerned this is a recipe for low voter turnout, with the remainers lacking the conviction and motivation of the leavers.

“Fervent separatists will crawl across broken glass to make their vote count,” he said. “This is a genie in a bottle that magically will not be put back in. It will take strong leadership to convince Albertans that Alberta belongs in Canada.”

In Alberta, he said this current high water point for the long-running separatist movement is dividing families, dragging away investment and causing Albertan businesses to consider relocating.

“It should be enough to make people throw up their hands in despair,” he said. “And yet something else has happened.”

He credited the trade war brought by U.S. President Donald Trump with “the rekindling of Canadian pride and healthy patriotism,” and he spoke of a “uniquely Canadian combination of pride, persistence and hope.”

Last year, Lukaszuk launched a petition called Alberta Forever Canada that got more than 400,000 signatures in 90 days in favour of Alberta remaining in Canada. This year he has campaigned across the province against separatism in a recreational vehicle styled as the Unity Bus.

After his keynote address, he took questions from McGuinty alongside Martha Hall Findlay, a former Liberal MP now with the University of Calgary’s School of Public Policy, and Andrew Leach, professor of economics and law at the University of Alberta.

Hall Findlay recently published a report for the government of Alberta on the potential costs of separation, which concluded it could cost as much as $170 billion over five years.

“Those were only the five year out numbers,” she said. Her analysis ran several models, including one that assumed separation went completely smoothly, which suggested over 20 years there was “potentially a little upside,” thanks to a more efficient civil service and other factors.

But with the assumption of a turbulent separation, for example with pushback from Ottawa, the downside is “really big,” she said, with a potential provincial debt of close to $400 billion.

She compared Albertan separatism to the British Brexit movement, in the sense that then Prime Minister David Cameron thought a failed vote would take the wind out of the Brexiteers’ sails, but the momentum got away from him, and it cost him his leadership.

She spoke of an ignorance among central Canadians for how things work in Alberta, and how much it contributes to the country, such as the Trans Mountain Pipeline expansion project that added fully half a point to national GDP when it opened in 2024. She described an “incredibly arrogant” framing of pipeline approvals as basically gifts from Ottawa, an attitude that would never be taken with infrastructure projects in Quebec, where separatism is also a perennial threat to national unity.

“Remember, we’re only 15 years removed from the federal government putting out loans to restart an asbestos mine in Quebec,” said Leach. “That mentality was very different when it came to Alberta’s business,” he said. It looked more like Ottawa thinking its job is to save Albertans from themselves, he said.

He urged the audience to consider what he has experienced in Edmonton, when an oil boom goes bust as in 2014, and how it must feel for an oil patch worker to hear the federal government say, “Oh but there might be solar panels manufactured in Medicine Hat, you’ll be fine.”

Lukaszuk said the separatist sentiment falls with Alberta’s economic successes and rises with its failures. He thinks it is driven predominantly by younger men in the oil and gas industry, overleveraged by debt, with limited transferable skills, who are noticing the economy is pivoting on them.

“Now they fear for their future, and the fear is real,” Lukaszuk said. He described this dynamic as “infectious” and catching on in Saskatchewan and British Columbia.

“If we don’t inoculate this now in Alberta, we will be dealing with it on a wider scope, maybe with different industries,” he said.

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British Columbia Premier David Eby arrives for a First Ministers meeting in Charlottetown, PEI Thursday July 23, 2026.

Despite the resignation of B.C.’s Conservative leader, and the appointment of an interim one, British Columbians find themselves in the middle of a snap election.

NDP leader David Eby, hoping to capitalize on an opposition in turmoil, is sending B.C. voters to the polls one week after a province-wide municipal election.

Vancouver Sun columnist Vaughn Palmer joins host Dave Breakenridge to talk about the fallout from Kerry-Lynne Findlay’s resignation, how the election call may have bolstered the Conservatives’ prospects, and how the municipal vote has become an issue in the provincial race.

Background reading:Vaughn Palmer: First few days of B.C. campaign a disaster for David Eby

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