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An Iranian pilgrim carrying a flag with a portrait of Iran's slain supreme leader Ali Khamenei, walks toward Karbala to participate in the Arbaeen pilgrimage after crossing through the Iraq-Iran border at Zurbatiyah, south of Baghdad on July 29, 2026.

Five months after the latest war with Iran began, it is becoming apparent that this conflict is about far more than missiles, sanctions or oil tankers. It is exposing a deeper truth about modern warfare: democratic nations often struggle to understand the strategic culture of authoritarian regimes .

Western governments have long assumed that economic hardship eventually forces political compromise. That assumption has shaped decades of sanctions policy against Iran. Yet history repeatedly demonstrates that revolutionary regimes frequently value ideological survival over economic prosperity. They are often willing to impose extraordinary hardship on their own populations if doing so preserves their hold on power.

Iran is proving that lesson once again. The country’s economy has suffered severe damage. Oil exports have been constrained, inflation has accelerated, and Iran’s official currency, the rial, has lost much of its value. Ordinary Iranians are bearing the cost through rising prices, declining purchasing power and growing economic uncertainty. Yet despite these pressures, Tehran continues to prosecute the war with determination.

The conflict has also reminded the world why stability in the Persian Gulf matters. The Strait of Hormuz used to carry approximately 20 million barrels of oil every day, representing roughly 20 per cent of global oil and liquefied natural gas. Even the threat of disrupting that vital artery has sent shockwaves through international energy markets and global supply chains.

This should not surprise us. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps was never designed to maximize economic growth or improve living standards. Its purpose is to preserve the Islamic Republic and defend the revolutionary ideology on which it was founded. As long as that objective remains intact, economic suffering alone is unlikely to change its strategic calculations.

This distinction is critical because successful military strategy begins with identifying an adversary’s true centre of gravity. Carl von Clausewitz, the famed 19th-century Prussian military theorist, described this as the source of an opponent’s strength and cohesion. Too often, western governments mistake economic infrastructure for political will. They assume that enough financial pain will eventually produce political moderation. Sometimes it does. Often it does not.

History offers numerous examples of authoritarian governments enduring extraordinary economic deprivation while maintaining political control. National resolve, ideological conviction and coercive state institutions can sustain a regime long after outside observers believe collapse is inevitable.

The broader lesson extends well beyond Iran. Russia has demonstrated a similar capacity to absorb sanctions while continuing its war in Ukraine. China, meanwhile, has spent decades preparing its economy, industrial base and political institutions for prolonged strategic competition with the West. These governments understand that modern conflict is not simply a contest of military power. It is equally a contest of endurance, industrial capacity and political will. That reality has been reflected in financial markets, where Brent crude briefly climbed above US$100 (C$140) per barrel as investors priced in the risk of prolonged disruption to Middle Eastern energy supplies.

For Canada and its allies, this demands a more sophisticated approach to national security. Economic sanctions remain an important policy tool, but they are rarely decisive on their own. They must form part of a broader strategy that integrates diplomacy, military deterrence, intelligence, cyber capabilities and sustained economic resilience. Perhaps the most important lesson is psychological. Democratic societies often project their own values onto their adversaries. We assume that others will calculate costs and benefits as we would. They frequently do not. Strategic success requires understanding an adversary as it understands itself, not as we wish it to be.

Wars are ultimately contests of political will. Five months into the Iran conflict, that lesson has become impossible to ignore. The battlefield has become a classroom, reminding us that wars are rarely won by economic pressure alone. They are won by accurately identifying the political, military and ideological sources of an opponent’s strength and by developing strategies that address them directly. As Canada confronts an increasingly unstable international environment, from Russia to Iran to China’s growing ambitions, that may be the most valuable lesson of all.

National Post


An Iranian pilgrim carrying a flag with a portrait of Iran's slain supreme leader Ali Khamenei, walks toward Karbala to participate in the Arbaeen pilgrimage after crossing through the Iraq-Iran border at Zurbatiyah, south of Baghdad on July 29, 2026.

Five months after the latest war with Iran began, it is becoming apparent that this conflict is about far more than missiles, sanctions or oil tankers. It is exposing a deeper truth about modern warfare: democratic nations often struggle to understand the strategic culture of authoritarian regimes .

Western governments have long assumed that economic hardship eventually forces political compromise. That assumption has shaped decades of sanctions policy against Iran. Yet history repeatedly demonstrates that revolutionary regimes frequently value ideological survival over economic prosperity. They are often willing to impose extraordinary hardship on their own populations if doing so preserves their hold on power.

Iran is proving that lesson once again. The country’s economy has suffered severe damage. Oil exports have been constrained, inflation has accelerated, and Iran’s official currency, the rial, has lost much of its value. Ordinary Iranians are bearing the cost through rising prices, declining purchasing power and growing economic uncertainty. Yet despite these pressures, Tehran continues to prosecute the war with determination.

The conflict has also reminded the world why stability in the Persian Gulf matters. The Strait of Hormuz used to carry approximately 20 million barrels of oil every day, representing roughly 20 per cent of global oil and liquefied natural gas. Even the threat of disrupting that vital artery has sent shockwaves through international energy markets and global supply chains.

This should not surprise us. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps was never designed to maximize economic growth or improve living standards. Its purpose is to preserve the Islamic Republic and defend the revolutionary ideology on which it was founded. As long as that objective remains intact, economic suffering alone is unlikely to change its strategic calculations.

This distinction is critical because successful military strategy begins with identifying an adversary’s true centre of gravity. Carl von Clausewitz, the famed 19th-century Prussian military theorist, described this as the source of an opponent’s strength and cohesion. Too often, western governments mistake economic infrastructure for political will. They assume that enough financial pain will eventually produce political moderation. Sometimes it does. Often it does not.

History offers numerous examples of authoritarian governments enduring extraordinary economic deprivation while maintaining political control. National resolve, ideological conviction and coercive state institutions can sustain a regime long after outside observers believe collapse is inevitable.

The broader lesson extends well beyond Iran. Russia has demonstrated a similar capacity to absorb sanctions while continuing its war in Ukraine. China, meanwhile, has spent decades preparing its economy, industrial base and political institutions for prolonged strategic competition with the West. These governments understand that modern conflict is not simply a contest of military power. It is equally a contest of endurance, industrial capacity and political will. That reality has been reflected in financial markets, where Brent crude briefly climbed above US$100 (C$140) per barrel as investors priced in the risk of prolonged disruption to Middle Eastern energy supplies.

For Canada and its allies, this demands a more sophisticated approach to national security. Economic sanctions remain an important policy tool, but they are rarely decisive on their own. They must form part of a broader strategy that integrates diplomacy, military deterrence, intelligence, cyber capabilities and sustained economic resilience. Perhaps the most important lesson is psychological. Democratic societies often project their own values onto their adversaries. We assume that others will calculate costs and benefits as we would. They frequently do not. Strategic success requires understanding an adversary as it understands itself, not as we wish it to be.

Wars are ultimately contests of political will. Five months into the Iran conflict, that lesson has become impossible to ignore. The battlefield has become a classroom, reminding us that wars are rarely won by economic pressure alone. They are won by accurately identifying the political, military and ideological sources of an opponent’s strength and by developing strategies that address them directly. As Canada confronts an increasingly unstable international environment, from Russia to Iran to China’s growing ambitions, that may be the most valuable lesson of all.

National Post


People post in front of Maurizio Cattelan's

There is no specific date on which to pin the advent of the postmodern age. The term was coined in reference to painting in 1870, and first cited as a descriptor for contemporary social and cultural thought in 1939. In 1960, the sociologist Daniel Bell published “The End of Ideology,” heralding a “post-industrial society” and laying the groundwork for postmodern thought as a guiding light in academia. Jacques Derrida and Michel Foucault followed from the mid-’60s, cementing the philosophical base for postmodernism and popular derivatives like Edward Said’s postcolonial theory.

However you want to define its origins, it’s safe to say that by the 1990s postmodernism was the dominant school of thought on Western university campuses, and that by the 2000s, its students had made their way into all aspects of society, bringing postmodernism’s dogmas along with them. Between then and now, those ideas and ideologies have come to dominate our culture in virtually every aspect, from art and architecture to politics and popular culture.

But philosophies and ideologies have shelf lives. Nothing lasts forever, and while it is not an exact science, the histories of previous ages of thought suggest that postmodernism has already passed its best-before date. The Enlightenment ran for around 200 to 250 years; Romanticism took the next 100 or so years; Modernism dominated for about 70 years. In all cases, dominant social and cultural ideas were borne out of a crisis of confidence in the school of thought that immediately preceded it. The same will happen to postmodernism, too. It is inevitable.

One might convincingly argue that it is already happening. Postmodernism is so entrenched in our lives today that its origins — no matter whether we date it to 60 or 80 or 150 years ago — are becoming less and less visible. Its foundations are no longer debated in popular culture and academia; they are seen simply as common sense. Postmodern innovation and institutionalization are far behind us, and it is hard to see how our culture could become any more saturated in its ideals.

Intellectual movements are successful because they solve problems created by previous frameworks. They flounder as new questions emerge, and ultimately give way to something new when they can no longer explain the world we are living in. Whatever ideas we do retain — and there are always a few — are folded into the successor. The Enlightenment destabilized the medieval period by rejecting inherited authority, divine order and the primacy of institutions, while holding onto the basic notion that the meaning of life is intertwined with larger moral and spiritual orders. Romanticism preserved the Enlightenment’s ideas of individual dignity and its focus on freedom and creativity, but rejected an excessive fealty to calculation and rationalism.

On the timeline of popular thought, we are nearing, or have already reached, the next inflection point, the moment when the transition truly begins — when exhaustion with current dogma gives way to dissatisfaction and ultimately something new. That change is always motivated by technology, from the invention of the printing press to the atom bomb to the Internet. The rise of AI and tech-aided misinformation may very well be the next stimulant of intellectual evolution.

So what comes next?

With history as our guide, a post-postmodern framework might retain sensitivities to the notions of power and exclusion, and a recognition that institutions are not neutral players, but restore stronger concepts of objective reality and confidence in empirical science. It would still pay attention to historical contingency, the idea that history is not inevitable, while exploring the possibility of shared civic narratives and the search for meaning beyond identity categorizations as a salve to the endemic loneliness of our times. The underlying claim that power shapes social knowledge and institutions could — and should — survive, but the postmodern notion that there is no basis for shared truth and meaning would disappear as society seeks shared assumptions that lead to more stability in our lived lives. Postmodernism taught us to be skeptical of truth; its successor will seek to uncover or rediscover truths that we can all believe in.

Some things never change, though. Racism always manages to adapt to the dominant ideas of the times. Antisemitism, for example, may change in form: today, it is rooted in the postmodern framing of anti-colonialism and anti-Zionism, tomorrow it could take a more technocratic form, where AI and an increasingly networked society drive an updated hatred based on conspiracies of the Jews as an elite unto their own. If postmodernism is replaced by a widespread return to religion, antisemitism will marinate in broader theological hostilities that are ages old. In some far-right circles where postmodernism has long been rejected, this is already the case.

Israel, the Jewish state, might no longer be judged along the colonizer-colonized binary, but it could face new scrutiny that is more legalistic and institutional in nature. A post-postmodern world may very well accept Israel as a sovereign nation-state, and judge it more harshly on the level of state performance, a country like all others, and subject to the same rights and responsibilities. Seventy-five years from now, a mantra that focuses on civilizational belonging could widely celebrate Israel as a beacon for everything that is right — the revival of an ancient language, the return to ancestral homelands and the preservation of distinctive civilization — while placing new pressures on diaspora Jewry.

We have a saying for this in Canada, where it often feels like we are subject to the whims of Western dogmas, rather than active creators of it: plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose . As we approach the next intellectual inflection point, there is an opportunity to lead rather than follow, or at least to devise a Canadian version that makes sense to us. History may be inevitable, but our place in it does not have to be.

National Post


People post in front of Maurizio Cattelan's

There is no specific date on which to pin the advent of the postmodern age. The term was coined in reference to painting in 1870, and first cited as a descriptor for contemporary social and cultural thought in 1939. In 1960, the sociologist Daniel Bell published “The End of Ideology,” heralding a “post-industrial society” and laying the groundwork for postmodern thought as a guiding light in academia. Jacques Derrida and Michel Foucault followed from the mid-’60s, cementing the philosophical base for postmodernism and popular derivatives like Edward Said’s postcolonial theory.

However you want to define its origins, it’s safe to say that by the 1990s postmodernism was the dominant school of thought on Western university campuses, and that by the 2000s, its students had made their way into all aspects of society, bringing postmodernism’s dogmas along with them. Between then and now, those ideas and ideologies have come to dominate our culture in virtually every aspect, from art and architecture to politics and popular culture.

But philosophies and ideologies have shelf lives. Nothing lasts forever, and while it is not an exact science, the histories of previous ages of thought suggest that postmodernism has already passed its best-before date. The Enlightenment ran for around 200 to 250 years; Romanticism took the next 100 or so years; Modernism dominated for about 70 years. In all cases, dominant social and cultural ideas were borne out of a crisis of confidence in the school of thought that immediately preceded it. The same will happen to postmodernism, too. It is inevitable.

One might convincingly argue that it is already happening. Postmodernism is so entrenched in our lives today that its origins — no matter whether we date it to 60 or 80 or 150 years ago — are becoming less and less visible. Its foundations are no longer debated in popular culture and academia; they are seen simply as common sense. Postmodern innovation and institutionalization are far behind us, and it is hard to see how our culture could become any more saturated in its ideals.

Intellectual movements are successful because they solve problems created by previous frameworks. They flounder as new questions emerge, and ultimately give way to something new when they can no longer explain the world we are living in. Whatever ideas we do retain — and there are always a few — are folded into the successor. The Enlightenment destabilized the medieval period by rejecting inherited authority, divine order and the primacy of institutions, while holding onto the basic notion that the meaning of life is intertwined with larger moral and spiritual orders. Romanticism preserved the Enlightenment’s ideas of individual dignity and its focus on freedom and creativity, but rejected an excessive fealty to calculation and rationalism.

On the timeline of popular thought, we are nearing, or have already reached, the next inflection point, the moment when the transition truly begins — when exhaustion with current dogma gives way to dissatisfaction and ultimately something new. That change is always motivated by technology, from the invention of the printing press to the atom bomb to the Internet. The rise of AI and tech-aided misinformation may very well be the next stimulant of intellectual evolution.

So what comes next?

With history as our guide, a post-postmodern framework might retain sensitivities to the notions of power and exclusion, and a recognition that institutions are not neutral players, but restore stronger concepts of objective reality and confidence in empirical science. It would still pay attention to historical contingency, the idea that history is not inevitable, while exploring the possibility of shared civic narratives and the search for meaning beyond identity categorizations as a salve to the endemic loneliness of our times. The underlying claim that power shapes social knowledge and institutions could — and should — survive, but the postmodern notion that there is no basis for shared truth and meaning would disappear as society seeks shared assumptions that lead to more stability in our lived lives. Postmodernism taught us to be skeptical of truth; its successor will seek to uncover or rediscover truths that we can all believe in.

Some things never change, though. Racism always manages to adapt to the dominant ideas of the times. Antisemitism, for example, may change in form: today, it is rooted in the postmodern framing of anti-colonialism and anti-Zionism, tomorrow it could take a more technocratic form, where AI and an increasingly networked society drive an updated hatred based on conspiracies of the Jews as an elite unto their own. If postmodernism is replaced by a widespread return to religion, antisemitism will marinate in broader theological hostilities that are ages old. In some far-right circles where postmodernism has long been rejected, this is already the case.

Israel, the Jewish state, might no longer be judged along the colonizer-colonized binary, but it could face new scrutiny that is more legalistic and institutional in nature. A post-postmodern world may very well accept Israel as a sovereign nation-state, and judge it more harshly on the level of state performance, a country like all others, and subject to the same rights and responsibilities. Seventy-five years from now, a mantra that focuses on civilizational belonging could widely celebrate Israel as a beacon for everything that is right — the revival of an ancient language, the return to ancestral homelands and the preservation of distinctive civilization — while placing new pressures on diaspora Jewry.

We have a saying for this in Canada, where it often feels like we are subject to the whims of Western dogmas, rather than active creators of it: plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose . As we approach the next intellectual inflection point, there is an opportunity to lead rather than follow, or at least to devise a Canadian version that makes sense to us. History may be inevitable, but our place in it does not have to be.

National Post


Alto opponents protest against the high-speed rail project on Wednesday, June 10, 2026, in Ottawa, Ont.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford shouldn’t sit around while the federal government burns taxpayer money on a high-speed rail line in his backyard. He should try to stop it.

The proposed Alto high-speed rail line would be 1,000 kilometres long, running from Toronto to Quebec City. The feds say the line would cost taxpayers up to $90 billion . That’s $2,170 per Canadian or $8,680 for a family of four. But there are lots of reasons not to trust the government’s estimate.

Alto has yet to come up with a concrete plan for the high-speed rail line. The company has only demarcated a 10-kilometre-wide corridor that the line could hypothetically run through. No route has been decided on, and the Carney government hasn’t determined how many stops the line will have.

The feds originally announced Alto stops in Toronto, Peterborough, Ottawa, Montreal, Laval, Trois Rivières and Quebec City. But now the government is considering adding a stop in Kingston , which would add at least 51.9 kilometres to the line, as well as $3.9 billion in costs. That’s a conservative estimate: big high-speed rail lines tend to be plagued with cost overruns.

California politicians pitched a high-speed rail line from Los Angeles to San Francisco in 2008. The line was supposed to cost US$33 billion (C$46 billion) and was scheduled for completion in 2020. Now California’s high-speed rail line is scheduled to complete construction in 2032 and is estimated to cost US$231 billion, over seven times the original estimate.

Cost overruns for big Canadian transit projects are nothing new. Ford has had a front-row seat for a few of these boondoggles himself.

When Toronto taxpayers were pitched on a light-rail line called the Eglinton Crosstown in 2007, then-mayor David Miller said the project would cost $2.2 billion with a completion date in 2020. Years of cost revisions and delays led the Eglinton Crosstown to open in February 2026 at a cost of $13 billion .

Ford even pitched his own big transit project — the Ontario Line — to taxpayers in 2019. He promised it would cost taxpayers $10.9 billion , and that it would be complete in 2027. But after delays and cost overruns, the Ontario Line is now projected to cost at least $27.2 billion and won’t open until the 2030s .

The premier should know better than anyone that big cost overruns are the name of the game when building transit megaprojects. And the federal government would not only burn mountains of cash on the Alto line. It would have to take Ontarians’ property too.

Prime Minister Mark Carney changed the federal Expropriation Act in 2026 to allow the government to expropriate property without an attempt to negotiate a fair price for the land.

The minister of transport only has to issue an order to take someone’s land under the new law instead of trying to negotiate with the property owner before resorting to expropriation. And the government is no longer required to hold public hearings for anyone who objects to their land being taken from them.

Many Ontario homeowners and farmers will be in the federal government’s crosshairs. As their premier, Ford is responsible for protecting them.

Taxpayers can’t afford this costly project that will separate Canadians from their property. Especially when the federal government is drowning in debt. The federal government says it plans to borrow $65 billion this year, driving up its total debt to $1.4 trillion.

After having first-hand experience with delayed, over-budget transit projects, Ford should recognize the Alto project is a boondoggle in the making.

Other politicians are already taking notice. One of them, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, is opposing the Alto project.

“We as Conservatives would rather save the $90 billion, let our farmers keep their land, let our communities enjoy their peace and tranquillity,” Poilievre told a crowd protesting the rail line in June.

Both the Parti Québécois and Bloc Québécois are opposing the Alto project as well. Parti Québécois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon says if his party wins the coming provincial election, the Quebec government will block the Alto project from advancing.

But taxpayers shouldn’t have to depend on the results of a coin-flip election in Quebec. Ford can step in and block the project whenever he wants to. So far, he has offered tepid support for the Alto project, but has rightfully expressed concerns for farmers’ property rights.

Sitting on the fence is not the place for the premier of Ontario. Right now, he has the chance to single-handedly save taxpayers billions and protect property owners from having their land taken away. That means opposing the federal Alto project and passing legislation to block it from moving forward.

National Post

Noah Jarvis is the Ontario Director of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation


Alto opponents protest against the high-speed rail project on Wednesday, June 10, 2026, in Ottawa, Ont.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford shouldn’t sit around while the federal government burns taxpayer money on a high-speed rail line in his backyard. He should try to stop it.

The proposed Alto high-speed rail line would be 1,000 kilometres long, running from Toronto to Quebec City. The feds say the line would cost taxpayers up to $90 billion . That’s $2,170 per Canadian or $8,680 for a family of four. But there are lots of reasons not to trust the government’s estimate.

Alto has yet to come up with a concrete plan for the high-speed rail line. The company has only demarcated a 10-kilometre-wide corridor that the line could hypothetically run through. No route has been decided on, and the Carney government hasn’t determined how many stops the line will have.

The feds originally announced Alto stops in Toronto, Peterborough, Ottawa, Montreal, Laval, Trois Rivières and Quebec City. But now the government is considering adding a stop in Kingston , which would add at least 51.9 kilometres to the line, as well as $3.9 billion in costs. That’s a conservative estimate: big high-speed rail lines tend to be plagued with cost overruns.

California politicians pitched a high-speed rail line from Los Angeles to San Francisco in 2008. The line was supposed to cost US$33 billion (C$46 billion) and was scheduled for completion in 2020. Now California’s high-speed rail line is scheduled to complete construction in 2032 and is estimated to cost US$231 billion, over seven times the original estimate.

Cost overruns for big Canadian transit projects are nothing new. Ford has had a front-row seat for a few of these boondoggles himself.

When Toronto taxpayers were pitched on a light-rail line called the Eglinton Crosstown in 2007, then-mayor David Miller said the project would cost $2.2 billion with a completion date in 2020. Years of cost revisions and delays led the Eglinton Crosstown to open in February 2026 at a cost of $13 billion .

Ford even pitched his own big transit project — the Ontario Line — to taxpayers in 2019. He promised it would cost taxpayers $10.9 billion , and that it would be complete in 2027. But after delays and cost overruns, the Ontario Line is now projected to cost at least $27.2 billion and won’t open until the 2030s .

The premier should know better than anyone that big cost overruns are the name of the game when building transit megaprojects. And the federal government would not only burn mountains of cash on the Alto line. It would have to take Ontarians’ property too.

Prime Minister Mark Carney changed the federal Expropriation Act in 2026 to allow the government to expropriate property without an attempt to negotiate a fair price for the land.

The minister of transport only has to issue an order to take someone’s land under the new law instead of trying to negotiate with the property owner before resorting to expropriation. And the government is no longer required to hold public hearings for anyone who objects to their land being taken from them.

Many Ontario homeowners and farmers will be in the federal government’s crosshairs. As their premier, Ford is responsible for protecting them.

Taxpayers can’t afford this costly project that will separate Canadians from their property. Especially when the federal government is drowning in debt. The federal government says it plans to borrow $65 billion this year, driving up its total debt to $1.4 trillion.

After having first-hand experience with delayed, over-budget transit projects, Ford should recognize the Alto project is a boondoggle in the making.

Other politicians are already taking notice. One of them, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, is opposing the Alto project.

“We as Conservatives would rather save the $90 billion, let our farmers keep their land, let our communities enjoy their peace and tranquillity,” Poilievre told a crowd protesting the rail line in June.

Both the Parti Québécois and Bloc Québécois are opposing the Alto project as well. Parti Québécois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon says if his party wins the coming provincial election, the Quebec government will block the Alto project from advancing.

But taxpayers shouldn’t have to depend on the results of a coin-flip election in Quebec. Ford can step in and block the project whenever he wants to. So far, he has offered tepid support for the Alto project, but has rightfully expressed concerns for farmers’ property rights.

Sitting on the fence is not the place for the premier of Ontario. Right now, he has the chance to single-handedly save taxpayers billions and protect property owners from having their land taken away. That means opposing the federal Alto project and passing legislation to block it from moving forward.

National Post

Noah Jarvis is the Ontario Director of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation


Billy Bishop airport in Toronto.

Only Mark Carney and Doug Ford know if there was actually a deal between them to each support a major transportation infrastructure project that the other had championed.

Maybe it wasn’t quite that formal, but The Toronto Star reported this week that it very much was: An agreement that the federal Liberals would wave through the Ontario PC plans for a massive expansion of Toronto’s island airport, and in exchange members of the Ford caucus would give their tacit blessing to Carney’s Alto high-speed rail vision. The pact was made between the two leaders at the premier’s Toronto home. There was reportedly a handshake and everything.

That arrangement was certainly given credence this week, when no sooner did the Liberals shelve Ford’s Billy Bishop dreams than a bunch of his MPPs in eastern Ontario — 11 of them, including two members of Cabinet and the government House leader — went public with a letter that declared their constituents needed to be fully consulted on Alto before it goes much further. The Ford caucus is tightly controlled, comms-wise, and there’s no way that letter sees the light of day without the blessing of the premier’s office. The timing cannot be a coincidence.

But while there are valid questions to be asked about whether Carney balked on his apparent deal with Ford to help his party in an upcoming Toronto byelection, and what that might do to their working relationship in the future, there’s an even bigger question that needs asking: what in blazes were they doing making that kind of deal in the first place?

It is, in a word, insane.

Both the proposed Billy Bishop expansion and the Alto high-speed rail concept are massive undertakings. The rail plan, such as it is to this point, is many magnitudes larger than Ford’s airport vision, but each involves many billions of dollars and years of investment. It is simply alarming that the two leaders would agree to some kind of quid pro quo on infrastructure projects of this scale without any, you know, facts. It is staggering. It’s unconscionable. Someone needs to invent a new word, because ridiculous does not begin to cut it.

We are used to Ford shooting for the moon with some of his ideas, for example the tunnel under Highway 401 that is currently in the middle of the world’s most pointless feasibility study. But Carney is supposed to be a business-school pragmatist. What is the point of the shiny new Major Projects Office if an airport expansion can simply be traded for a train line?

The fairest criticism of the Billy Bishop proposal at this point in its existence is that it lacked details. Proponents talked about the jobs it would create and the economic benefits it would bring, predictions that were highly speculative, but how it might work was left for another day. How big would the runway need to be? Where would the expanded terminal fit? How could the congested foot of Bathurst Street possibly deal with a quadrupling or more of passenger volumes arriving at the gateway to the island? None of that stuff, among many more questions, had been answered. And yet, we are to believe, the federal government was fine with all that as long as they got their train thing moving.

Not that the provincial government comes away looking any more discerning. The problems that the MPPs raised in their letter — chief among them, land expropriation along the train corridor — have been there all along, as have countless other concerns. (Readers have been well-informed by colleague Chris Selley in this regard .) And yet, until Tuesday, Ford’s caucus, even the rural members, had been quiet as church mice on the rail plan.

As this country embarks on tremendous infrastructure spending that was spooked by a broken trade relationship with the United States, is this seriously how major projects are going to be decided? Do the merits of any such project matter less than whether leaders can quietly fist-bump over the broad strokes of a proposal at dinner?

You’d like to imagine that the particulars of a given multi-billion dollar plan would matter a great deal to any leader before giving it an endorsement, tacit or otherwise. You would be wrong, evidently. (Lest anyone argue that this is what Carney has done by pulling his support, his transport minister cited public feedback as the reason for their decision, not doubts about the viability of the plan.)

Even at their most basic level, both proposals deserved skepticism. Would an expanded island airport really drive economic growth, or just move flights from one Toronto airport to another? And would an incredibly costly high-speed rail corridor really be a wise investment in a province that has struggled to build even the simplest of light-rail commuter lines?

Even those doubts weren’t enough to scare off either the premier or the prime minister, it would seem.

You back my project and I’ll back yours, details TBD. They might as well have written “big jets = speedy choo-choos” on a napkin and been done with it.

It seems like a crazy way to run a country. But here we are.

sstinson@postmedia.com


Billy Bishop airport in Toronto.

Only Mark Carney and Doug Ford know if there was actually a deal between them to each support a major transportation infrastructure project that the other had championed.

Maybe it wasn’t quite that formal, but The Toronto Star reported this week that it very much was: An agreement that the federal Liberals would wave through the Ontario PC plans for a massive expansion of Toronto’s island airport, and in exchange members of the Ford caucus would give their tacit blessing to Carney’s Alto high-speed rail vision. The pact was made between the two leaders at the premier’s Toronto home. There was reportedly a handshake and everything.

That arrangement was certainly given credence this week, when no sooner did the Liberals shelve Ford’s Billy Bishop dreams than a bunch of his MPPs in eastern Ontario — 11 of them, including two members of Cabinet and the government House leader — went public with a letter that declared their constituents needed to be fully consulted on Alto before it goes much further. The Ford caucus is tightly controlled, comms-wise, and there’s no way that letter sees the light of day without the blessing of the premier’s office. The timing cannot be a coincidence.

But while there are valid questions to be asked about whether Carney balked on his apparent deal with Ford to help his party in an upcoming Toronto byelection, and what that might do to their working relationship in the future, there’s an even bigger question that needs asking: what in blazes were they doing making that kind of deal in the first place?

It is, in a word, insane.

Both the proposed Billy Bishop expansion and the Alto high-speed rail concept are massive undertakings. The rail plan, such as it is to this point, is many magnitudes larger than Ford’s airport vision, but each involves many billions of dollars and years of investment. It is simply alarming that the two leaders would agree to some kind of quid pro quo on infrastructure projects of this scale without any, you know, facts. It is staggering. It’s unconscionable. Someone needs to invent a new word, because ridiculous does not begin to cut it.

We are used to Ford shooting for the moon with some of his ideas, for example the tunnel under Highway 401 that is currently in the middle of the world’s most pointless feasibility study. But Carney is supposed to be a business-school pragmatist. What is the point of the shiny new Major Projects Office if an airport expansion can simply be traded for a train line?

The fairest criticism of the Billy Bishop proposal at this point in its existence is that it lacked details. Proponents talked about the jobs it would create and the economic benefits it would bring, predictions that were highly speculative, but how it might work was left for another day. How big would the runway need to be? Where would the expanded terminal fit? How could the congested foot of Bathurst Street possibly deal with a quadrupling or more of passenger volumes arriving at the gateway to the island? None of that stuff, among many more questions, had been answered. And yet, we are to believe, the federal government was fine with all that as long as they got their train thing moving.

Not that the provincial government comes away looking any more discerning. The problems that the MPPs raised in their letter — chief among them, land expropriation along the train corridor — have been there all along, as have countless other concerns. (Readers have been well-informed by colleague Chris Selley in this regard .) And yet, until Tuesday, Ford’s caucus, even the rural members, had been quiet as church mice on the rail plan.

As this country embarks on tremendous infrastructure spending that was spooked by a broken trade relationship with the United States, is this seriously how major projects are going to be decided? Do the merits of any such project matter less than whether leaders can quietly fist-bump over the broad strokes of a proposal at dinner?

You’d like to imagine that the particulars of a given multi-billion dollar plan would matter a great deal to any leader before giving it an endorsement, tacit or otherwise. You would be wrong, evidently. (Lest anyone argue that this is what Carney has done by pulling his support, his transport minister cited public feedback as the reason for their decision, not doubts about the viability of the plan.)

Even at their most basic level, both proposals deserved skepticism. Would an expanded island airport really drive economic growth, or just move flights from one Toronto airport to another? And would an incredibly costly high-speed rail corridor really be a wise investment in a province that has struggled to build even the simplest of light-rail commuter lines?

Even those doubts weren’t enough to scare off either the premier or the prime minister, it would seem.

You back my project and I’ll back yours, details TBD. They might as well have written “big jets = speedy choo-choos” on a napkin and been done with it.

It seems like a crazy way to run a country. But here we are.

sstinson@postmedia.com


Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, left, and U.S. President Donald Trump, right, attend the funeral for the late U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham at the Washington National Cathedral in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday.

VIENNA, Austria – Was Tuesday’s Washington, D.C., funeral for Sen. Lindsey Graham a requiem for an era of which Graham was a champion? The use of military force to achieve geopolitical goals is facing limits not evident even five years ago. Have the war hawks been grounded?

“Lindsey liked war, to be honest with you,” U.S. President Donald Trump told Fox News on the morning of Graham’s funeral. “I jokingly say, and there’s nothing funny about it, but he’s never seen a war that he didn’t like.”

I followed the ceremonies in Washington while travelling from Warsaw to Vienna, historic capitals where history invites reflection on what it means to be the victim of imperial forces, and the limits of imperial power.

(Summertime trivia for those who like geography questions: how many sovereign countries have capital cities beginning with W in their own languages? Five: Washington, Warsaw, Wien (Vienna), Wellington and Windhoek, Namibia.)

Another W question, put to music back in 1970: “War, what is it good for?” Several important things, actually, beginning with defending sovereignty, liberty and justice. Not always, though, as war can be used for conquest, oppression and injustice. And war always brings suffering, destruction and death.

Another question: What if even a war with just goals doesn’t work? Then what is it good for?

Graham’s funeral brought two wartime leaders, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, to Washington. Two wars, two continents, two Oval Office meetings, but one common theme: the limits of pure military force are becoming evident.

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 was launched on the premise that the relative balance of armed forces greatly favoured the larger invader. Moscow did not count on the bravery of the Ukrainian resistance and, while it claimed territory in the east, Russian military force was simply not capable to seizing the centre of the country. Rapid technological transformations have turned the war moderately toward Ukraine, though Russia is still able to send missiles into residential neighbourhoods, which used to be recognized as a war crime.

Between 2014, when Russia seized and annexed Crimea without much effort, and 2026, the limits of military power have become more evident. Graham, the last of the soaring war hawks, died just as that new reality was dawning, not only in Ukraine (to his delight), but also Gaza and Iran (to his dismay).

After the Hamas invasion and massacre of October 2023, Netanyahu launched a crushing operation in Gaza, defending it against accusations of “war crimes” on the grounds that Hamas had deliberately embedded its fighting forces among civilians. The Israel Defence Forces, with total control of Gaza’s borders, absolute control of Gaza’s airspace and the ability to send ground troops wherever it wished in the tiny territory, had no limit on its power and reduced wide swaths to rubble.

Nevertheless, after two years of pulverization , when the ceasefire was declared in October 2025, Hamas was still in power in Gaza, with effective control of the territory not under direct IDF occupation. If the might of the IDF could not eliminate Hamas after two years of intense fighting in Gaza, it may well be that sheer might is not mighty enough.

In Iran, Trump infamously threatened that “a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.” There is no doubt that American-Israeli air strikes could eliminate all of Iran’s bridges, major roads, ports, electrical grid and refineries. Hundreds of thousands of civilians could be killed and millions more could die from disease, hunger and lack of water access. That hasn’t happened because those would be clear war crimes.

Yet it also hasn’t happened because it is not clear that it would achieve the military objective. Set aside the evidently false claim that Iran was “weeks away” from a nuclear bomb — the nuclear program was already “obliterated” in last year’s Operation Midnight Hammer, according to Trump — the war is now about opening the Strait of Hormuz and protecting America’s allies from lesser, but real, damage from Iran.

Former U.S. president Ronald Reagan used naval power to keep Hormuz open nearly 40 years ago when Iran tried to close it at the end of the Iran-Iraq War. The original “peace through strength” president succeeded and it stayed open for four decades until Trump began his war. But Reagan did not have to worry about Iran’s missile and drone arsenal — or the Houthis using the same to cut off Red Sea access to the Arabian Sea.

It is not evident that even the pulverization of Iran — an enormous territory of over 90-million people — could put an end to attacks on shipping in the Persian Gulf and Red Sea, as well as attacks on ports, airports, refineries and desalination plans.

Consider Kuwait, which hosts a massive American military presence. It would be impossible now for any neighbour to invade it as Iraq did in 1990. But Iran needn’t invade. Kuwait gets 90 per cent of its drinking water from desalination, and Iran has hit its facilities, though they have been repaired. What if they were taken out? Kuwait exports all its oil — two-million barrels daily — through Hormuz. Iran has largely closed it for months.

Similar, though less severe, situations prevail in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. Hence Trump and Netanyahu’s conundrum. They have the force. But force may no longer be enough, even against a much weaker rival.

Their military power is formidable. War has changed. After Gaza and Iran, even as the late senator Graham was buried, it may be that the flight of the hawks has ended.

National Post


Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, left, and U.S. President Donald Trump, right, attend the funeral for the late U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham at the Washington National Cathedral in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday.

VIENNA, Austria – Was Tuesday’s Washington, D.C., funeral for Sen. Lindsey Graham a requiem for an era of which Graham was a champion? The use of military force to achieve geopolitical goals is facing limits not evident even five years ago. Have the war hawks been grounded?

“Lindsey liked war, to be honest with you,” U.S. President Donald Trump told Fox News on the morning of Graham’s funeral. “I jokingly say, and there’s nothing funny about it, but he’s never seen a war that he didn’t like.”

I followed the ceremonies in Washington while travelling from Warsaw to Vienna, historic capitals where history invites reflection on what it means to be the victim of imperial forces, and the limits of imperial power.

(Summertime trivia for those who like geography questions: how many sovereign countries have capital cities beginning with W in their own languages? Five: Washington, Warsaw, Wien (Vienna), Wellington and Windhoek, Namibia.)

Another W question, put to music back in 1970: “War, what is it good for?” Several important things, actually, beginning with defending sovereignty, liberty and justice. Not always, though, as war can be used for conquest, oppression and injustice. And war always brings suffering, destruction and death.

Another question: What if even a war with just goals doesn’t work? Then what is it good for?

Graham’s funeral brought two wartime leaders, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, to Washington. Two wars, two continents, two Oval Office meetings, but one common theme: the limits of pure military force are becoming evident.

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 was launched on the premise that the relative balance of armed forces greatly favoured the larger invader. Moscow did not count on the bravery of the Ukrainian resistance and, while it claimed territory in the east, Russian military force was simply not capable to seizing the centre of the country. Rapid technological transformations have turned the war moderately toward Ukraine, though Russia is still able to send missiles into residential neighbourhoods, which used to be recognized as a war crime.

Between 2014, when Russia seized and annexed Crimea without much effort, and 2026, the limits of military power have become more evident. Graham, the last of the soaring war hawks, died just as that new reality was dawning, not only in Ukraine (to his delight), but also Gaza and Iran (to his dismay).

After the Hamas invasion and massacre of October 2023, Netanyahu launched a crushing operation in Gaza, defending it against accusations of “war crimes” on the grounds that Hamas had deliberately embedded its fighting forces among civilians. The Israel Defence Forces, with total control of Gaza’s borders, absolute control of Gaza’s airspace and the ability to send ground troops wherever it wished in the tiny territory, had no limit on its power and reduced wide swaths to rubble.

Nevertheless, after two years of pulverization , when the ceasefire was declared in October 2025, Hamas was still in power in Gaza, with effective control of the territory not under direct IDF occupation. If the might of the IDF could not eliminate Hamas after two years of intense fighting in Gaza, it may well be that sheer might is not mighty enough.

In Iran, Trump infamously threatened that “a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again.” There is no doubt that American-Israeli air strikes could eliminate all of Iran’s bridges, major roads, ports, electrical grid and refineries. Hundreds of thousands of civilians could be killed and millions more could die from disease, hunger and lack of water access. That hasn’t happened because those would be clear war crimes.

Yet it also hasn’t happened because it is not clear that it would achieve the military objective. Set aside the evidently false claim that Iran was “weeks away” from a nuclear bomb — the nuclear program was already “obliterated” in last year’s Operation Midnight Hammer, according to Trump — the war is now about opening the Strait of Hormuz and protecting America’s allies from lesser, but real, damage from Iran.

Former U.S. president Ronald Reagan used naval power to keep Hormuz open nearly 40 years ago when Iran tried to close it at the end of the Iran-Iraq War. The original “peace through strength” president succeeded and it stayed open for four decades until Trump began his war. But Reagan did not have to worry about Iran’s missile and drone arsenal — or the Houthis using the same to cut off Red Sea access to the Arabian Sea.

It is not evident that even the pulverization of Iran — an enormous territory of over 90-million people — could put an end to attacks on shipping in the Persian Gulf and Red Sea, as well as attacks on ports, airports, refineries and desalination plans.

Consider Kuwait, which hosts a massive American military presence. It would be impossible now for any neighbour to invade it as Iraq did in 1990. But Iran needn’t invade. Kuwait gets 90 per cent of its drinking water from desalination, and Iran has hit its facilities, though they have been repaired. What if they were taken out? Kuwait exports all its oil — two-million barrels daily — through Hormuz. Iran has largely closed it for months.

Similar, though less severe, situations prevail in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. Hence Trump and Netanyahu’s conundrum. They have the force. But force may no longer be enough, even against a much weaker rival.

Their military power is formidable. War has changed. After Gaza and Iran, even as the late senator Graham was buried, it may be that the flight of the hawks has ended.

National Post