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An online video posted by the Edmonton Police Service encourages citizens to report hate.

It’s become apparent that dealing with hate-motivated crimes is now a part of the increased burden being placed upon police forces across the country.

Within the last couple of weeks, for example, we’ve seen a suspected arson at a Jewish restaurant in Montreal, along with gunshots and vandalism targeting two locations of a Jewish bakery in Toronto. Over the weekend in Saskatoon, a synagogue and numerous vehicles parked outside were vandalized — while the Saturday prayer service was in progress.

In addition, police have had to deal with serious terrorism threats. In Toronto last month, terrorism charges were laid in connection with public statements made by an individual at two separate pro-Palestinian demonstrations that police say advocated for “harm against members of the Israeli and Jewish communities.”

Late last year in Edmonton — on back-to-back days, no less — police arrested and charged two separate individuals in connection with threats toward the Jewish community.

However, there’s an important distinction to be made between criminal threats or promoting hatred, and offensive, yet non-criminal, comments, jokes or insults. It’s strange that this would have to be pointed out. Yet, as we’ve seen with a recent controversy involving the Edmonton Police Service (EPS), this is not as obvious as it should be.

If we allow the concept of “hate” to be watered down, then the term becomes sapped of its meaning. If we allow non-criminal matters to become the purview of the police, we’re putting ourselves on a worrisome path.

This approach risks both undermining the cause against genuine hatred while also undermining the principle of free expression. We’ve seen, for example, in the United Kingdom, where this slippery slope has led to troubling outcomes . In fact, British authorities are now pulling back from police investigations into “non-crime hate incidents.”

Fortunately, we now have the opportunity to pull back ourselves before we go too far down this path and before any real damage is done.

This whole issue was thrust to the forefront last weekend, when EPS posted a video to social media that encouraged citizens to report hate and cited some examples of various social media comments, including things like “send them back home,” and other calls for deportations.

The EPS is also running a campaign urging people to report hate-motivated incidents , even though they explicitly acknowledge that a “hate motivated incident” is a “non-criminal action.” The examples provided in the online form for submitting such a report include “verbal insults (name-calling, offensive jokes) and slurs.”

The attention and backlash to the video and the campaign prompted a response from the Alberta government and a clear statement that it is not on board with this approach.

Premier Danielle Smith herself took to social media to declare that: “We don’t believe in policing unpopular or religious-based statements even if they are controversial. That’s a slippery slope other countries have fallen into and we can’t go down that road.

“Our Minister of Public Safety and Emergency Services, Mike Ellis, will be writing to our provincial and municipal policing providers to ensure they understand Albertans’ policing priorities should focus on violent crimes, illegal drugs, theft and vandalism…not people’s free speech.”

It’s not a conflict to oppose hateful speech while still standing up for lawful and free expression, even if the premier’s comments may have been lacking in the former. It makes no sense for police to be monitoring social media for offensive but non-criminal comments.

The EPS is actually not the first Canadian police force to tread down this path. Durham Region recently became the latest Ontario municipality to establish a program to monitor and urge reporting of “non-criminal hate incidents,” using much the same criteria and definition as the EPS.

As a practical matter, there are limited resources available to both the police and the legal system. There are also more than enough hate-motivated crimes being committed to keep police and the courts busy, not to mention all of the other crimes that warrant the legal system’s attention. Edmonton, like other Canadian cities, has seen increases in social disorder and overall crime in recent years.

Moreover, the perception that police are prioritizing name-calling and offensive jokes over catching actual criminals is not the sort of thing that helps with overall public confidence in law enforcement. Further erosion of that trust is less than ideal right now.

When it comes to the criminal law, there should be — and is — a high bar for investigating and prosecuting online speech. As we’ve seen — and continue to see, sadly — hate-motivated crimes are a real problem, one that police are being forced to respond to.

Lowering that bar, and doing so at the expense of civil liberties, will only do the cause of combating actual hate a disservice.

National Post
rob.breakenridge@gmail.com

Rob Breakenridge is a Calgary-based podcaster and writer. He can be found at robbreakenridge.ca.


Migrants fill bottles with water on the beach next to the CETI (Centros de Estancia Temporal de Inmigrantes) on August 2, 2026 in Ceuta, Spain.

Imagine the Rogers Centre filled to capacity, then filled again by half, to conjure a mental image of the some 70,000 people last week who scrambled, mostly swimming and climbing, from Morocco into Ceuta, a Spanish territory in North Africa. It was the largest single crossing at the Spain-Morocco border on record, bearing the hallmarks of a co-ordinated movement rather than a spontaneous spasm: migrants were reportedly ushered across by Moroccan agents embedded in the crowds . Morocco contests Spain’s sovereignty over the cities of Ceuta and Melilla, even though Iberian dominion predates Moroccan independence by centuries.

If the desired result of this incursion was to humiliate Madrid, as seems likely, it has proved a spectacular success. European officials clambered over one another to condemn the socialist government of Pedro Sánchez for the breach of Spanish — and therefore, European Union — territory.

Giorgia Meloni, Italy’s prime minister, suspended her country’s agreement on free movement with Spain last week. She further called for Spain to be suspended from Schengen, Europe’s free travel zone, which the North African territories fall outside of. This week, the European commissioner for migration rebuked Spain’s recent decision to regularize half a million illegal migrants as “not a good signal” for Europe.

There is a sense in some European capitals that Spain’s lax approach to illegal migration has, by flaunting a soft underbelly to millions seeking to enter Europe, made the continent as a whole more vulnerable at a time when public anxieties around immigration are placing populist parties — long considered beyond the pale — in the ascendant.

The Spanish government claimed on Tuesday that it had returned most of the migrants who made the crossing, excepting the approximately 75 people who died in the process. The operational crisis has mostly subsided. But the symbolic damage for Spain and Europe’s border security has been considerable — such numbers overwhelming the Spanish border are likely to invite more of the same.

Most concerning from Europe’s perspective, though, is that Morocco’s claim to the cities has received tacit U.S. support. Morocco has long been willing to weaponize migration as a form of kinetic diplomacy. Last week’s crossing was a major escalation. It is unclear what prompted Rabat to ramp up the pressure; it might, however, feel emboldened after a budget report recently approved by the U.S. House of Representatives described Ceuta and Melilla as “located in Moroccan territory” and subjects of “Morocco’s longstanding claim.”

To make matters worse for Spain, Israel, a Moroccan ally, supported Moroccan irredentist claims over Western Sahara, a disputed territory in northwest Africa, in exchange for Rabat’s participation in the Abraham Accords, normalizing relations between Israel and its Arab neighbours. Israel is one of the few countries to have done so, and some Israeli officials appear willing to lend rhetorical support to Morocco’s claims over Ceuta and Melilla, too.

Danny Danon, Israel’s ambassador to the United Nations, posted on X last week: “Spain, which never misses an opportunity to lecture Israel, has declared a state of emergency in Ceuta following the crisis over its immigration policy. Maybe before it continues lecturing us, it’s time it explained to the world why it still maintains colonial enclaves in Africa.” The remarks led to speculation from Spanish opposition politicians — which remains unsubstantiated — that Israel and the U.S. had a hand in orchestrating the crisis.

Under Sánchez, Spain has become one of Europe’s most trenchant critics of Israel, so it is unsurprising Jerusalem seized on last week’s incident to return the opprobrium. Yet Israel is fast approaching pariah status in Europe, and the state swiftly distanced itself from Danon’s comments, with Dana Erlich, Israel’s ambassador to Spain, writing on X: “The comment made by Israel’s Ambassador to the UN on the issue does not represent the position of the State of Israel.”

While the U.S. and Israel have not publicly encouraged Rabat’s use of immigration as a form of blackmail, neither country has explicitly condemned Morocco’s actions. U.S. Vice-President JD Vance limited his criticism to “radical left-wing globalist policies,” an unlikely reference to Rabat’s autocratic monarchy.

The incident has highlighted a geopolitical fault line in which the interests of the U.S., Israel and Morocco appear to run against those of Europe. Europe’s response, in turn, has been to train its ire on Spain, which has become a pro-migration black sheep on a continent hardening in the other direction. In a Wednesday op-ed, Bruno Maçães, Portugal’s former secretary of state for European affairs, decried this emergent “common foreign policy” as “every man for himself.”

He might have added that Sánchez’s unilateral decision to regularize one-million migrants, as well as Angela Merkel’s move, as Germany’s former chancellor, to admit one-million asylum seekers into Europe’s free travel area in 2015 and 2016 , made such an approach all but guaranteed.

National Post


Foreign Affairs Minister Anita Anand listens as Prime Minister Mark Carney announces that Canada will recognize a State of Palestine in September, providing the Palestinian Authority makes significant reforms and holds an election in 2026.

Global Affairs Canada was asked to identify the conditions governing one of Canada’s most consequential foreign-policy decisions in decades. Did Ottawa establish benchmarks before recognizing Palestine? Which had been met? Was there a monitoring process, and what consequences would follow if the remaining commitments failed?

It could not name one, I know because I emailed them to ask.

Instead, the department exposed a contradiction between what Prime Minister Mark Carney told Canadians one year ago and how his government now explains its decision. On July 30, 2025, Carney said recognition was “predicated” on commitments from Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas to fundamentally reform Palestinian governance, hold general elections in 2026 in which Hamas could play no part and demilitarize the Palestinian state.

This week, Global Affairs used different language in its response : “Canada’s recognition decision was based on the Palestinian Authority’s commitment to reforms.” This distinction matters.

What Global Affairs now appears to be suggesting is that recognition was not based on completed reforms, elections, Hamas’s exclusion or demilitarization. It was based on a commitment to pursue them.

That is the difference between a condition and a promise.

Global Affairs also said the possibility of achieving two states through negotiation had been “gravely eroded” by Hamas terrorism culminating in the Oct. 7 massacre, Israeli settlement construction, settler violence, proposed annexation measures and the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

“It is in this context that Canada recognized the State of Palestine,” the department said.

That explanation raises an unavoidable question: did Canada, in effect, reward the strategy Hamas began on October 7?

Hamas murdered approximately 1,200 people, took hundreds hostage and triggered a devastating war. That war further transformed the diplomatic landscape, and Canada then concluded that recognition was necessary to preserve Palestinian statehood.

When Canada formally recognized Palestine on Sept. 21, 2025, Carney insisted it was “in no way” a reward for terrorism. But intentions do not erase incentives.

According to Global Affairs’ own explanation, Hamas’s terrorism helped destroy the previous diplomatic approach. That destruction created urgency, and Canada responded by granting recognition before Hamas disarmed and before the Palestinian leadership completed its promised reforms.

Hamas does not need to govern a future state to claim its violence produced a result. It needs only to point to the sequence: diplomatic stalemate, October 7, war, international pressure and recognition.

Canada waited just 53 days between announcing its intention and formally recognizing Palestine. Carney said “progress has already been made,” but did not identify that progress or the threshold it satisfied. Global Affairs has now declined to confirm whether benchmarks, assessments, timelines, monitoring or consequences ever existed.

Instead, it listed “steps” toward a social-welfare system, the “development” of educational materials, the “drafting” of an interim constitution, local elections and an “intent” to hold further elections. Every description refers to something minimal, unfinished, local or still in the future. Developing educational materials says nothing about their content. A constitution still being drafted is not constitutional reform. An intention to hold an election is not an election.

The April 25 vote was not the general election Carney promised. It selected municipal and village councils responsible for local services, not a president, national legislature or government.

It was also geographically limited. Elections throughout Gaza were postponed except in Deir al-Balah, where turnout was approximately 23 per cent, and the West Bank where it was 56 per cent . The Associated Press described the vote in Deir al-Balah as a largely symbolic “pilot” election .

Across the West Bank and Deir al-Balah, contested polling occurred in 183 of 420 local authorities. Another 197 councils were decided by acclamation, while 40 lacked enough candidates and were to have members appointed.

These elections did not renew Abbas’s mandate, elect a national government or test whether Hamas would be excluded from national political power. They cannot substitute for the general elections Carney described.

Global Affairs also cited an intention to hold Palestinian National Council elections on November 1, 2026. Separately, Palestinian Legislative Council elections are scheduled for November 28, 2026. Neither has happened, and Global Affairs did not explain whether one or both would satisfy Carney’s promise of “general elections in 2026.”

Scheduled elections are especially unconvincing under a leadership with a history of cancelling them. Abbas scheduled parliamentary and presidential votes in 2021 before postponing both . Presidential elections are now expected in 2027. Abbas was elected in 2005 for a four-year term, but no presidential election has been held since.

Nor has Carney’s assurance that Hamas could play no part been tested. Hamas may be formally excluded from the ballot, but it could still exert influence through affiliated candidates, allied factions, intimidation or its continuing armed power. Canada cannot know whether Hamas has genuinely been excluded until candidates are registered, ballots are cast, results are respected, and power is transferred. Yet recognition came first.

Then there is demilitarization. Hamas remains armed.

Global Affairs told me in their email response that they welcomed “the proposed agreement on the disarmament of Hamas and other armed groups in Gaza that was announced on July 30, which if accepted and implemented by all parties, could mark an important step towards peace and security.”

A proposal is not disarmament, and an arrangement announced in 2026 cannot retroactively justify recognition granted in 2025. A report from Reuters last week suggests there are unresolved disagreements over implementation and the handling of different weapons.

Carney did not say Hamas should discuss surrendering some heavy weapons. He said Hamas must disarm and the Palestinian state must be demilitarized. Retaining other weapons, fighters, tunnels or an independent command structure would not satisfy that commitment. One year later, Hamas remains armed.

The final commitment was that Abbas would “fundamentally reform” Palestinian governance. Global Affairs’ response establishes only that the Palestinian Authority has started or announced several processes. Constitutional work remains unfinished, national elections have not occurred and Abbas remains president more than two decades after his election.

If Canada concluded that fundamental reform had occurred, it should identify the standard and demonstrate how it was met. If merely promising or beginning reform was enough, Carney should not have presented fundamental reform as a predicate. Abbas had already made those promises on July 30, so what was Canada assessing during the 53 days before recognition? Global Affairs will not say.

Recognition was one of Canada’s principal pieces of diplomatic leverage. It could have been withheld until elections occurred, Hamas was demonstrably excluded, governance reforms reached an identifiable threshold and armed factions surrendered their weapons. Instead, Canada spent that leverage while every major outcome remained unresolved.

What happens if the elections are postponed, Hamas retains power, demilitarization fails or reform remains unfinished? Global Affairs identified no consequence. Canada has already recognized the state. It cannot offer recognition again.

One year ago, Canadians were told recognition was predicated on elections in which Hamas could play no part, fundamental governance reform and a demilitarized Palestinian state. Today, neither full general nor parliamentary or presidential elections have yet occurred, Hamas’s exclusion has not been tested, Hamas remains armed and fundamental reform has not been demonstrated. Canada’s recognition, meanwhile, is complete.

One year later, Ottawa has still not demonstrated that Carney’s predicates were ever genuine conditions. Canada granted recognition first and left elections, reform and demilitarization for later. Conditions that do not have to be met are not conditions. They are political cover.

National Post

Matthew Taub is the founder and executive director of Unapologetically Jewish, a national organization fighting antisemitism in Canada.


Unfortunately for the Ford government, facts do little to support the argument that hospital funding is generous or even adequate.

When it comes to Ontario’s hospitals, the Doug Ford government is living in a parallel universe. According to the government, emergency room wait times are short , an average of just 1.9 hours to see a doctor. Low-urgency patients leave the hospital in 3.1 hours. Hospital funding is generous. Just this fiscal year alone, hospital spending went up by $1.1 billion, an increase of nearly four per cent. Hospital spending has gone up over 50 per cent since 2018.

Hospitals, emergency room doctors, health care unions, and the public have a sharply contrasting view. Last spring, the Ontario Medical Association polled 15 per cent of the province’s emergency room doctors and found that 74 per cent cited overcrowding that was either severe or critical, preventing them from providing timely care on most of their shifts.

An Ipsos survey earlier this year found that 56 per cent of Ontarians polled thought the government had done a poor job of fixing overcrowding and wait times in emergency rooms. Only 17 per cent thought the government had done a good job. Asked if they would feel confident in getting timely emergency care, only 30 per cent said yes.

A report earlier this week by the Canadian Union of Public Employees said underfunding has caused hospitals to burn through $2 billion in working capital since 2020, forcing them to borrow to make ends meet. The Ontario Hospital Association (OHA) asked the government for $2.8 billion this year to deal with those structural, inflation-driven shortfalls. It received $1.7 billion less than it sought.

Unfortunately for the Ford government, facts do little to support the argument that hospital funding is generous or even adequate. Yes, more money is being spent and new hospital beds are being added, but what’s lacking is a convincing plan to alleviate the long-standing chronic overcrowding in Ontario’s hospitals.

The province’s hospitals typically operate around 95 per cent capacity, the government says. The generally accepted benchmark for safe acute-care hospital operations is 85 per cent. It’s that lack of capacity that makes it difficult to move patients out of emergency and into a hospital bed. That backs up the ERs and leads to the hallway medicine Ford promised to end eight years ago.

That congestion is not particularly surprising. Ontario has the lowest per capita spending on hospitals of all Canadian provinces, according to a 2025 report by the province’s Financial Accountability Office (FAO). The same report found the number of hospital beds In Ontario was 230 per 100,000 population while the national average is 249 beds.

Despite that, the OHA says Ontario has an efficient hospital system with the second-lowest provincial hospitalization rate, the lowest length of stay in acute care and the lowest inpatient cost.

The obvious conclusion is that Ontario hospitals are efficient, but the sector is too small. The Ford government sees it differently. It is conducting a three-year efficiency campaign aimed at eliminating hospitals’ structural deficits. That has meant cutting hundreds of jobs, including 400 at The Ottawa Hospital alone. The Ontario Nurses’ Association says that 1,420 nursing jobs have been lost province-wide since the start of 2025.

How can that possibly make sense in a province that already lacks hospital capacity?

What’s needed is a rational plan to increase hospital capacity to deliver the 85 per cent occupancy benchmark. Out-of-context bed increases create the impression of action but give no sense if the additions will meet need.

The Ford government says it has added 3,500 hospital beds since it was elected and will create 3,000 more over the next decade. If so, the future rate of expansion will be slower than in the past, even though the population is growing, aging and hospitals are already overcrowded.

It’s difficult to square the provincial numbers with those of the FAO . It says there were 34,700 hospital beds in Ontario in 2019-20, the first full fiscal year of the Ford government. It also says there were 35,540 hospital beds in 2024-25. Scant progress, if so.

The 3,000-bed promise was first made in 2019 and money has been added to the plan a few times since, but it remains as a goal of 3,000 beds over a decade, as if time has stood still. That’s not how you build public confidence.

If the Ford government wants the template for how to do that, it need look no farther than its own policy on expanding the supply of primary care. In that case, the government set a clear target for increasing attachment to a primary-care provider, a timeline and a cost. The government reports regularly on progress.

Hospitals desperately require the same rational approach.

National Post

Randall Denley is an Ottawa journalist and author. Contact him at randalldenley1@gmail.com


Foreign Affairs Minister Anita Anand

The recent statement by Global Affairs Canada condemning “the ongoing violence in the West Bank” and exhorting against “the expansion of Israeli settlements” invites some analysis and clarification inasmuch as it appears to be both misinformed and misguided.

Violence of any kind directed against Arab or Jewish residents cannot be condoned, and must punished in accordance with the law. This is a clear societal norm in any civilized society, and is applicable whether committed by terrorists or marginal criminal elements. And it is no less applicable to violence committed by demonstrators, religious groups or soccer hooligans.

However, in specifically condemning violence in the West Bank, Foreign Affairs Minister Anita Anand appears to forget, or chooses to ignore, the ongoing, near-daily acts of Palestinian terror carried out against Israeli citizens. In so doing, she is in effect turning a blind eye to such terror, and sanctioning it.

In singling out and condemning Israel for “violence in the West Bank” and linking it in such an obvious and blatant manner to Israel’s settlements, Ottawa is creating a false generalization and a malicious equation. This is totally unacceptable, all the more so when made by the Government of Canada, a country that has historically taken pride in the commonality between it and Israel.

Regrettably, Minister Anand and her colleagues, who are always apt to politicize anything connected with Israel, appear to be characterizing instances of violence committed by marginal and irresponsible groups of youth from the settlements, as if it is the officially sanctioned policy of the Israeli government to incite violence against Palestinians.

To characterize isolated instances as if they are a systematic, government-sanctioned policy of violence against Arabs, and to dub this “settler violence,” would appear to be ingenuine and contrived.

The absurdity of such a negative buzz phrase directed only against Israel is particularly blatant when one compares this with the violence and hooliganism seen around the world, including the violence and hate seen at political marches and demonstrations on campuses and on major thoroughfares throughout Canada.

There exists no Israeli policy encouraging or sanctioning violence against Arabs. Such violence is clearly illegal and, as in any normal society, law enforcement bodies are required to act against it. While laxity in such enforcement may well warrant criticism and require more assertive action by authorities, this cannot, and should not, be seen as indicative of any official policy of sanctioning violence. As such, the term “settler violence” is misguided, ill-advised and malicious.

Global Affairs’ statement that Israel’s settlements are “illegal under international law & undermine prospects for peace, security and stability” is no less ill-advised.

Customary international law enables an administering authority, in governing territory it holds, to use and benefit from land that is not privately owned, as long as it refrains from altering the status of the land, pending the negotiation of a peaceful settlement of the dispute.

Furthermore, the Oslo Accords between the Palestinian Liberation Organization and Israel, which established a special legal regime applicable to the West Bank, overriding any other legal framework, accorded to both sides the power to conduct zoning, planning and construction projects in the areas under their respective control and administration, pending the outcome of negotiations between the parties on the permanent status of the territories.

Furthermore, the parties agreed that the issue of settlements would be negotiated in the permanent status negotiations.

To claim that settlements that were legitimately established and comport with Palestinian-Israeli agreements are illegal and “undermine prospects for peace, security and stability” would appear to indicate a lack of knowledge on the part of those advising Global Affairs Canada in general, and Minister Anand in particular.

The fixation by Minister Anand and her advisers with Israel’s settlements is curious, as is their evident lack of understanding that “prospects for peace, security and stability” are not being undermined by Israel’s settlements. They are being undermined by the consistent refusal of the Palestinian leadership to return to the negotiating table and by their preference for inciting, financing and engaging in terrorism.

One may wonder why Canada’s leaders choose to single out and condemn Israel, while turning a blind eye to the support given by Iran, Qatar and Turkey to Hamas and other groups that continue to engage in terrorism targeting Israel and its citizens.

As the former ambassador of Israel to Canada, it is distressing to see how the relationship between our two countries has deteriorated. One can only wonder as to the reasons are for the souring relations.

National Post

Alan Baker served as the legal adviser to Israel’s foreign ministry and as Israel’s ambassador to Canada (2004-2008). He presently heads the international law program at the Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs.


U.S. President Donald Trump

Few ideas live closer to the heart of U.S. President Donald Trump’s political brand than his consistent claim that the American left steals elections at his expense. If we don’t stop them, Trump warns his crowds, we won’t have a country anymore.

When he (fairly) defeated Hillary Clinton in 2016, but without winning a majority of votes, he insisted that millions had voted against him illegally, and that the Democratic party had “rigg(ed) the election at polling booths.” When he lost to Joe Biden in 2020, he made these and more charges, and then encouraged a riot at the Capitol to try to halt the election’s certification. In 2024, he said Democrats had recognized his win over Kamala Harris only because the margin had been “too big to rig.”

Now Trump faces his final popular vote. His name won’t appear on the ballot this November, but the results of midterm elections for Congress are nearly always considered a referendum on the president and his performance. That’s especially true when, as now, his party holds majorities in both legislative houses.

This next election comes at a time of deep unpopularity for Trump. His poll numbers are lower at this point in his tenure than those of any second-term U.S. president in the past 80 years — with the sole exception of Richard Nixon on the eve of his disgraced resignation in 1974.

But this time, judging by his actions, Trump doesn’t seem to care about the election’s outcome. It’s true that, earlier this summer, he used a loudly trumpeted televised speech to rehash never-substantiated charges about previous elections, including accusations that China has created an “unprecedented election security nightmare” by hacking millions of voter registration files and manipulating social media (though not suggesting taking any policy actions against China in response). He also accused Democrats of hiding the evidence.

Trump also persists in pushing the Republican-controlled Congress for new laws that would require all voters to present identification at the polling place, a measure many of his fellow Republicans oppose. But none of this is new — and most of the Republicans now facing midterm challenges have done little to boost Trump’s various vote conspiracies.

The president also seems bent on sabotaging his party’s best re-election candidates more directly. In state after state, he has driven strong, if independently minded, Republican lawmakers into retirement and favoured GOP candidates who pledge loyalty to Trump over incumbents with a better chance of turning back popular Democratic party challengers.

He has repeatedly inflicted harm on the Republican leaders of the House and Senate by trying to force them to adopt deeply unpopular positions or pass legislation that has no chance of success. He has also pressed GOP lawmakers to cancel their August recess, crucial time for campaigning back in their states and districts.

Most importantly, Trump has devoted much attention to issues he cares about personally — a new ballroom for the White House, new monuments in Washington and political revenge against his enemies — while all but ignoring the problems of consumer price inflation that his war on Iran and tariff policies are helping sustain for voters across the nation.

So, what’s going on? Has Trump lost interest in protecting Republican majorities?

Democrats will almost certainly win control of the lower house, giving the opposition power to control government spending and launch official investigations into the president and his administration. They could even impeach him a third time. The upper house is a much closer call, but the opposition might still win a majority there too, undermining Trump’s ability to confirm senior officials, judges and even new Supreme Court justices.

But if Trump seems to be shrugging at his party’s endangered majorities, it’s because he knows he has little chance of success. Once the November votes are counted, the president will likely refuse to accept the outcome. It’s a safe bet that he will contest the close races, challenge the integrity of voting machines and election workers, particularly in majority Democratic states, and claim that shadowy foreign agents helped the opposition win. Trump is also likely to claim that Republicans would have won big had they simply done all that he demanded.

All this will further damage U.S. public faith in the institutions of American democracy, yet none of it will matter to the final election outcome. As in all Trump elections — the 2016, 2020 and 2024 presidential votes, as well as the 2018 and 2022 midterms — ballots will be counted, and the legitimate winners will claim their seats. Trump can’t change that, because the U.S. federal government has no constitutional role in the administration of American elections.

The outcomes will be decided in the states. Once again, the nation’s institutional guardrails will hold. Whatever Trump says and does in the days, weeks and years that follow, U.S. courts will reject his challenges. Even his follow Republicans, whatever they say when pressed for personal opinions on Trump’s claims, will move forward to prepare for the many post-Trump political and legislative battles to come.

In the process, we will begin to turn the page from the Trump chapters of American presidential history. Vice-President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and many others will carefully open their bids to break free from the decaying orbit of Trump’s political star. Without this president to unite them, Democrats will soon wage their own internecine battles. U.S. allies and rivals will begin to consider how the next U.S. president, Republican or Democrat, might change America’s political and policy trajectory.

For geopolitics, two years is a long time. New Trump stories remain to be written, and this president will continue to shape America’s politics and its role in a fast-changing and fragmented world. But this November’s midterm elections, however colourful the dramas that surround them, will mark a turning point for America’s recent history. Donald Trump’s ability to redefine what is possible inside the United States and the nation’s relations with friends and foes has reached its peak.

National Post


Slovakia's Prime Minister Robert Fico delivers a speech during the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Nuclear Energy Summit at the Brussels Expo convention centre in Brussels on March 21, 2024.

BRATISLAVA, Slovakia — The prime minister of Slovakia, Robert Fico, first took office 20 years ago this summer. He has been in and out of office since, his current (and fourth) mandate beginning in 2023. Slovakia is a small country (5.5 million people), but its prime minister is part of some bigger trends. Fico is a man of the left; his party, Direction — Social Democracy, is part of the wider array of European social democratic parties. Yet his version is not what you might expect.

Fico supports larger social welfare payments and bigger government, but is strongly anti-immigration (especially in regard to Muslims and Roma) and takes strong socially conservative positions on homosexuality and gender. After Viktor Orbán’s defeat in neighbouring Hungary, Fico is Russia’s closest ally in the European Union.

Leftist economics, reduced immigration, social conservatism and Putin-friendly foreign policy. That is more or less the MAGA agenda that arose 10 years after Fico first took office. He could comfortably sit in the Trump cabinet.

Like President Donald Trump, he is mired in corruption allegations, though Slovaks seem more fussed about corruption in high office than Americans are. His social conservatism may well be a matter of opportunism rather than sincerity, another similarity with Trump. And both survived assassination attempts in 2024, though Fico’s shooting was much more serious.

As Trump has made conservatism much less conservative in the United States, so Fico has taken social democracy in an idiosyncratic direction too. On opposite sides of the Atlantic, a new combination of political phenomena has coalesced — a coarse, combative, personal political style in service of bigger government, higher taxes, restricted migration, national identity, corruption in high office and hostility to Ukraine. Mar-a-Lago on the Danube.

Fico was the only European Union head of government to visit Moscow in May for the annual Victory Day celebrations (over Nazi Germany, not Ukraine). Like Hungary, Fico took an anti-Ukraine and pro-Russia policy from the beginning, not unrelated to Slovakia’s dependence on Russian oil supplies.

This is my first trip to Slovakia, so I visited Bratislava’s Freedom Square. It’s where the Velvet Revolution actually began in 1989, with a candlelight protest that was put down violently with water cannons. The culminating events took place in Prague, capital of then-Czechoslovakia, but it started here and there is a monument to November 1989 in Freedom Square.

In 2025, enormous protests returned to Freedom Square and other cities across Slovakia, against Fico and particularly his pro-Russia policies. The slogan was “Slovakia is Europe.” In the 1980s, Czechs and Slovaks wished to return to Europe, having been cut off by the Iron Curtain. Now Slovaks see Russia desiring to divide Europe again.

“Bratislava is not Moscow. Slovakia is Europe,” a grateful Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy posted on social media last year, welcoming the support of the Slovak people, if not their government.

Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Davos speech began by invoking Václav Havel, the hero of the Velvet Revolution and soon after president of Czechoslovakia. Carney spoke of the dissident’s 1978 essay about refusing to live by lies.

The protests against Fico’s Russia policy show that the capacity to recognize lies remains in Slovakia. Lies have gained new prominence in democracies in recent years. It is no longer only the propaganda of totalitarian tyrants that is shot through with mendacity, but even the rhetoric of democratic leaders, unchallenged by the digital echo chambers of their own supporters.

That’s why last week’s column by Adam Zivo on the reach of Russian propaganda was important, occasioned by the “redemption tour” of MAGA influencer Laura Loomer, who had parroted Putin’s talking points for years. Astonishingly for someone who claims to follow current affairs, she swallowed entirely the propaganda of Russia Today, the Putin-controlled state media outlet.

Why? Follow the logic, such that it is: Twitter threw Loomer (and Trump) off its platform. Loomer went to Telegram. Telegram features Russian propaganda. Hence Russia must be on the Trump-Loomer team. Loomer thus accepted Russian propaganda as true and amplified it.

It all seemed reasonable enough. After Trump’s return to office, didn’t JD Vance berate Zelenskyy in the Oval Office? Didn’t Trump then roll out the red carpet for Putin in Alaska? Hasn’t Trump refused to let his special envoys set foot in Ukraine, despite regularly paying court to Putin in Moscow? In Trumpworld, believing Russian propaganda seemed reasonable.

Not even Putin claims that Slovakia is part of Russkiy Mir, the Russian world, or imperial Russia. But its prime minister may well be part of Trumpworld, or at least a European version of it.

After Orbán, Fico is rather alone. But there are rumblings on the European right, and so perhaps others may join the Slovakian leader, a curious man of the left.

National Post


U.S. President Donald Trump pardons a turkey in the Rose Garden of the White House in November 2020.

On Wednesday morning, a group of Democrats in the U.S. Senate released a proposal for legislative reforms to the much-abused presidential pardon power found in Article II of the constitution. I’m preoccupied with the issue of pardons, as it manifests in the U.S., because it seems to represent an unfixable but slightly mysterious leak in the constitution itself. As I’ve sometimes had occasion to remark, I’m a small-R republican for Americans but a monarchist for my own country. I think this is the only sensible attitude for Canadians; I think we can recognize that the U.S. Constitution is a brilliant product of the human political imagination, quite worthy of the public veneration that secures it. If it still does.

But when it comes to presidential pardons they’ve got a real obvious problem without any equally obvious solution. Most countries’ constitutions have some sort of broad last-resort executive power to absolve persons of crimes in cases where the law or the judiciary might be seen to have gone awry. Canada’s monarchy has retained the ancient royal prerogative of mercy, which is available to the prime minister acting through the governor general, and it creates no controversy or occasions for shameless self-interested use. Yet. (And just think of some of the monsters and weirdos we’ve had as prime minister!)

But the U.S. has encountered a long series of ascendingly outrageous uses of the pardon power, culminating in former president Joe Biden’s unapologetic use of it to protect a wayward son and President Donald Trump’s routine rewarding of donors and cronies. One hopes, at least, that it is culminating; perhaps the republic will just keep tumbling down the slippery slope.

The pardon power was adopted into the U.S. Constitution from the British model, after some discussion amongst the framers, without any of the obvious “checks and balances” that characterize other features of the document. (The lone exception in the text is that the president cannot pardon a public official impeached by a legislature.) From a constitutional-engineering point of view, the ability of a chief magistrate to pardon a criminal is itself a check, one belonging exclusively to the executive, on the power of the judicial branch.

So there is no explicit limit on who can be pardoned; it is not obvious that a president cannot pardon himself; and there is no explicit rule that a pardon need even follow the offence being pardoned, let alone a trial and a conviction. Insofar as the Supreme Court has considered the pardon power, which has happened rarely, it has refused to discover any implicit limits.

Again, the basic situation is no different in constitutional monarchies like ours. (Not assigning a pardon power to anyone in particular is an option for a state, but this would make the actions of judges un-revisable by any earthly authority — which, honestly, may be the system of government toward which Canada is speeding.) The founders understood perfectly well that a president might make unscrupulous or self-interested use of the power, especially on the way out of the office; they just expected that republican virtue, along with the popularly elected legislature’s power to impeach, would protect the state from disgusting and obvious excesses at the top. And if it came to that, the American people would retain the power to amend the constitution as it thought necessary — although, again, any solution to the problem must leave the final decision-making power to somebody or other.

Well, the Senate Democrats, you will notice, aren’t proposing a constitutional amendment. That fail-safe is too fantastic to be invoked. The new bill repeats features of dozens of other pardon-reform acts that have been proposed since the time of presidents Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan, and, just like those bills, it is bound to get nowhere at all.

And even if you could pass one, it’s not clear that it would have any effect at all once the courts were done with it. The bill includes a purely legislative declaration that presidents can’t self-pardon; no one knows if the Supreme Court would accept such a principle invoked by such a source, although it is sometimes thought they would act on the (supra-constitutional?) legal maxim that no man should be a judge in his own case. It also proposes to impose procedural “transparency” requirements on the recipients of pardons, in the hope that sunlight will serve as a proverbial disinfectant. The truth is that everybody knows Trump hands out pardons to criminal supporters according to his own partisan interests; there’s no lack of sunlight in this sewer at all. It’s just one the American people, by and large, are content to live in.

National Post
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Fae Johnstone, executive director of Momentum.

Last week, I was barred from entering a public event hosted at St. Andrew’s Wesley United Church in Vancouver.

The event, “ Ask a Trans Person Anything ,” was advertised as a “no-questions-off-limits Q&A” hosted by Momentum (also known as the Society of Queer Momentum ). It was one of several in a cross-country series . The description lauded its hosts Fae Johnstone and Victoria Bucholtz, who both identify as transwomen, as “two of Canada’s leading trans activists.”

The organizers have suggested that their goal is to change hearts and minds: “We have more in common than we think — but when complicated issues become political, it’s hard to find those connections,” read the description of the event series.

“We want to hear your worries and share our side of the story.… This is your chance to get your questions answered — yes, even the tough ones. We won’t cancel you. Instead, we’ll give you our honest takes….” With the exception of “threats and personal attacks,” all questions were supposedly welcome.

Notwithstanding these promises, I was turned away at the door. As I approached the venue, pulling up the electronic ticket on my phone (which I had booked a month prior), I realized that it had been rescinded a few hours earlier.

At the same time, I heard someone ask, from up the block: “Is that Amy Hamm?” Looking up, I saw Johnstone and Bucholtz outside of the venue, staring towards me. A third person, who I learned was hired security, began to walk towards the door in what appeared to be an effort to block my entrance to the church. It was at this point that I turned on my phone camera to record whatever interaction was about to occur.

Sure enough, after showing identification to the guard, I was informed that I was blacklisted.

“Your friends are more than welcome but you are not,” said the guard. “I was informed by the organizers with a list of people who wouldn’t be coming with the right intentions.”

Some naive part of me thought that perhaps I’d observe the event and report on the hosts as having been genuine in their attempts to face ideological scrutiny. However, Johnstone’s history suggests this was unlikely: in a now-deleted X post from 2021, Johnstone wrote, “I actually do want a political environment in which TERFs are so vilified they don’t dare speak their views publicly, let alone act on them. Shut. Them. Down.” (“TERF” is a slur used against gender-critical people and stands for “trans exclusionary radical feminist.”)

Similarly, Bucholtz attracted international scorn in 2024 after berating Alberta MLA Jennifer Johnson for refusing to state, during a recorded video session, that trans women are literal women.

From where I stand, these two want open dialogue like an agoraphobe wants a free trip to Disneyland.

One woman who attended last week’s event told me afterwards that she counted a meagre 30 attendees. I was also told that Johnstone and Bucholtz started the night by bragging about preventing a “convicted transphobe” from entering. (Surely they were not speaking of me, as I’ve never been convicted of a crime. Nor is “transphobia” a type of criminal charge.)

This is not the first time Johnstone and Bucholtz banned a woman from their event series. Back in April, (wrongfully) fired Mount Royal University professor Frances Widdowson — best known for her fearless commentary on the “graves” scandal at the former Kamloops, B.C., residential school, where no graves have actually been found — was escorted out of an Okotoks, Alta., session. She, too, recorded her expulsion. “You’re not open-minded; we know your beliefs,” Bucholtz told Widdowson with an eye-roll . “Please go.”

The Canadian government, via Women and Gender Equality Canada, provided Momentum with a $555,325 grant for the period of Jan. 1, 2024, through March 31, 2027. According to the government’s grant disclosure website, the money is to be used by Momentum for building “coalitions to improve advocacy on behalf of 2SLGBTQIA+ people.”

“It will address gaps in collaboration in advocacy across the sector and across related sectors including feminism, education and health care,” reads the grant description. “Momentum’s board of directors and its 2SLGBTQIA+ advocacy advisory council’s meetings will foster collaborative networks and advocacy coherence. Each cross-sectoral working group will develop public education/advocacy campaigns addressing equality and inclusion issues within their respective sectors.”

By all appearances, Momentum is to use these funds for public education. But were they used for the “Ask a Trans Person Anything” series? It matters insofar as the organizers should not ban entry to taxpayers accused of wrongthink or wrong “intentions.”

An email I sent to Momentum was redirected to Johnstone, the organization’s executive director. “I am responding to clarify that no, the Government of Canada did not fund these events,” Johnstone wrote in reply. The funding, Johnstone clarified, was from “Individual donors, a foundation, union contributors and others.” After asking which foundation contributed to funding the tour, Johnstone stopped responding.

If it is indeed true that this was not a taxpayer-funded initiative, the organizers should nevertheless hold their heads in shame. If Momentum’s desire in holding these events is to find “common ground” with Canadians, then detractors should be given front-row seats, not turned away for their presumed ill intentions.

Back to that phrase: not the “right intentions.” Ah, imagine it were so simple for Canadian females to exclude biological males from their spaces with the invocation of the same sentiment! After all, a lack of mind-reading capability does not preclude us women from detecting when biological males who enter our sports , prisons , shelters or change rooms have downright terrible intentions.

For us women, it’s not simply a matter of having to speak to people who we disagree with — our physical safety is at risk. Godspeed to any Canadian man or woman who makes such an observation but hopes to not be pilloried and excommunicated from their community or profession as a result. Canadian institutions rain holy hell upon those who do .

That said, the Canadian public is growing tired of the excesses of gender activism. I’d hazard a guess that this is why Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre confidently told reporters he has no plans to attend any Pride events in 2026.

It seems obvious that the “Ask a Trans Person Anything” series is nothing more than attempted image rehabilitation for a declining movement . When it comes to gender and trans activism, I believe that a critical mass of Canadians will eventually come to view the movement as a toxic, metaphysical pseudo-religion based on outdated gender stereotypes that preaches about children being “born in the wrong body,” should they not enjoy pink as girls or blue as boys.

This movement inflicts terrible harms on untold numbers of Canadian children through so-called gender-affirming care . It has also decimated women’s sex-based rights and given cancel-happy gender theologians an unholy enemy: anyone who dares to speak the truth.

Johnstone and Bucholtz can turn all their critics away at the door. They’re not doing themselves any favours, though, because the truth itself can never be cancelled.

National Post


Ontario Premier Doug Ford.

Doug Ford has spent much of the past few months being mad.

He was mad at the opposition MPPs who harangued him about his government’s brief ownership of a private jet, even though he agreed to sell the “gravy plane” just as soon as it became clear that nickname was going to stick.

He’s more recently been mad at his own MPPs who ran up Toronto hotel bills, purportedly for late-night work, even though they lived within normal commuting distance of Queen’s Park (and didn’t work late all that often). That one cost Willowdale MPP Stan Cho his cabinet post.

He’s been mad at Mark Carney — or at least disappointed by him — after the prime minister backed away from supporting the Ontario premier’s plan for a huge expansion of Toronto’s island airport.

He’s been mad at Donald Trump for a host of reasons, most of them quite valid.

And through all of that he’s been mad at a media that asks him about softening poll numbers and spending controversies instead of talking up his government’s accomplishments. On that last note, he’s insisted that things are much better in Ford Nation than the press gallery would have you believe. He says he doesn’t trust the public polls, and that his internal numbers suggest he would easily win a fourth consecutive majority.

Now he has a chance to prove it. Sort of.

Ontario announced three byelections on Wednesday, to be held on Sept. 3. All three of them are in the Greater Toronto Area, and two of them — York-Simcoe and Hamilton East-Stoney Creek — are ridings that were held by the Progressive Conservatives. Even allowing for the fact that byelections are usually challenging for the governing party, Ford’s PC candidates will be running against Liberals who won’t have their next permanent leader in place until late November, and Marit Stiles’ NDP, who are still trailing the leaderless Liberals in some polls.

The opportunity is there, in other words, for the PCs to defend their seats and prove that the Ford brand remains durable.

But the opposite is also true: There’s also an opportunity for the Liberals and NDP to land electoral blows on the premier and ensure that his bad-news spring turns into a bad-news summer.

As an indication of how much the PCs would like to avoid that outcome, they followed up the morning’s byelection announcement by trotting out Peter Bethlenfalvy, finance minister and president of the Treasury Board, to declare that eight provincial agencies would undergo reviews on “efficiency, governance and productivity.” It was both vague on details — there were no savings targets announced, or even a suggestion as to whether significant savings are expected — but also a big, flashing indicator that the Ford government would like to once again be known as a government that is concerned about wasteful spending.

As opposed, that is, to one that almost flushed $30 million on a private jet while also giving its MPPs licence to bill taxpayers for Toronto hotels instead of just driving home after a late night of work like everyone else in the province. Those dual controversies, if the polls that Ford doesn’t believe are to be believed, have dented his support somewhat. An Abacus Data survey published this week still had the PCs with an eight-point lead over the Liberals, but down from a healthy 12-point lead they enjoyed not long ago.

The spending reviews announced Wednesday won’t do much to change that, as they will barely have begun by the time the byelections are held. Bethlenfalvy said the agencies like Metrolinx and the LCBO will be asked to identify areas where efficiencies might be found as a first part of the process. The minister didn’t say that job reductions were a goal, but he did say that “everything’s on the table” as the agencies are reviewed. “I don’t want to candy-coat it,” he said, which sure sounded like an expectation that some job losses would be involved.

But that it was Bethlenflavy making the announcement instead of Ford seemed telling in itself. Instead of answering questions about hotel spending and poll results, the Premier spent the morning visiting flood-damaged areas in Niagara, and was then scheduled to gaze happily at a Toronto transit project on Wednesday afternoon alongside the prime minister.

Ford wasn’t expected to take questions from the media while with Carney, though. That’s likely an indication of the weeks to come, as the byelections play out. The best way to ensure that poor results don’t reflect on the premier is to keep him out of the fray entirely. Let the byelections happen, but otherwise be seen with getting on with the job of governing the province.

It’s a reasonable enough strategy. It just doesn’t suggest someone as comfortable with his brand at the moment as the premier so often insists.

sstinson@postmedia.com