LP_468x60
ontario news watch
on-the-record-468x60-white
and-another-thing-468x60

This content is restricted to subscribers

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


This content is restricted to subscribers

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


This content is restricted to subscribers

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


This content is restricted to subscribers

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


This content is restricted to subscribers

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


This content is restricted to subscribers

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Former U.S. President Donald Trump beat Democratic Vice-President Kamala Harris in the Nov. 5 presidential election. He won the all-important electoral college by 312 to 226 votes, his biggest margin of victory in three elections. Trump will also win the popular vote for the first time, and likely end up a whisker above or below 50 percent.

Several political commentators have suggested this year’s presidential election signalled the end of the era in U.S. politics. They claim it brought down the curtain on former President Barack Obama’s influence – and, in effect, current President Joe Biden, who served as Obama’s Vice-President. There’s certainly something to this analysis, although it’s probably too early to make this pronouncement.

One thing does seem clear. Trump’s victory is a powerful repudiation of the Democratic Party shifting way to the left.

James Carville, a longtime Democratic strategist, blasted his party for succumbing to “wokeism” – or, as he prefers to call it, “identitarianism.” He told New York Times columnist Maureen Dowd in a Nov. 9 interview that voters started to perceive “identity is more important than humanity.” He believes this was a fatal error in political judgment.

“We could never wash off the stench of it,” Carville said, specifically describing the strategy to “defund the police” as the “three stupidest words in the English language.” As he amusingly told Dowd, “it’s like when you get smoke on your clothes and you have to wash them again and again. Now people are running away from it like the devil runs away from holy water.”

There’s also Doug Schoen, another longtime Democratic strategist who regularly appears on Fox News. In a Nov. 6 op-ed for its website, he wrote that Trump’s election win was a “repudiation of the Democratic Party, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. There is no other way to see it. With over a 2 to 1 advantage in financial resources, the office of the vice presidency and the support of financial and political elites across the country, the fact that Donald Trump has won a convincing victory, in spite of a campaign that clearly got distracted in the last week, speaks volumes about the message the American electorate was sending in this election.”

Schoen provided some additional forward-thinking analysis. “Put another way, voters want a new economic policy that emphasizes smaller government, deregulation and lower taxes,” he suggested. “They want the wall completed and illegal immigration eliminated as much as possible. And they want the crime problem addressed fundamentally and systemically. The election results also suggest the limitations of the abortion issue as a motivating force. Put simply, the fact that the Democrats put virtually all their firepower behind the choice issue suggests the weakness of that appeal.”

This reminded me of Schoen’s 2007 bookThe Power of the Vote: Electing Presidents, Overthrowing Dictators, and Promoting Democracy Around the World. A campaign consultant for over 40 years, he’s critiqued the Democratic Party’s leftward tilt for decades. Through the teachings of Daniel Patrick Moynihan, he came to understand that George McGovern lost the 1972 presidential race to Richard Nixon not due to “race hatred,” but rather because the former “had run a terrible general election campaign” and “abandoned the center.”

He was also concerned about the rise of left-wing populist politicians like Howard Dean. The Democrats had become vulnerable against the threat of the left, and the main support base was with liberal voters and little else.  He was equally critical of Al Gore’s 2000 and John Kerry’s 2004 presidential campaigns, the latter of which he felt was a repudiation of the party by the voters for this leftward drift.

The Power of the Vote suggested a path to avoid defeat in 2008. “Democrats must face a hard truth: we do not have a natural majority coalition in American politics,” he wrote, and they must work hard to regain their old political coalition. He wanted to see a return to centrist Democratic positions with three mainstream political values: “opportunity (giving every American a chance to succeed), responsibility (the duties we owe to each other), and community (preserving and promoting families).”

Obama, as we know, won the 2008 election. He was a politician of the left, but masked his deficiencies by implementing Schoen’s language and values in his platform. It’s unclear whether this was an intentional strategy, or he and his team accurately read the political tea leaves. Either way, it helped him beat John McCain, a maverick Republican with moderate conservative policies.

Biden moved away from his more natural home in the political centre during his one term in office. His administration attempted to appease progressives and far-left activists at every turn. It weakened his public image, and his poor health and weakened state would have led him down the road to defeat against Trump had he stayed in the race.

Harris’s failed 2024 campaign was similar to McGovern’s failed 1972 campaign. Her deficiencies were far worse, however.

She was a “lousy candidate,” as I pointed out in a Nov. 8 National Post column, who was politically vapid and struggled mightily to explain her policies during tough and friendly interviews. Harris looked out of her element time and time again. Meanwhile, her campaign with Tim Walz “may very well be the most left-leaning ticket the Democrats have ever put forward in a presidential election,” as I noted in an Aug. 23 National Post column.“Harris’ political ideology is also more left-wing than Biden’s ever was on his worst day. She’s pro-abortion, pro-affirmative action, supportive of strict gun-control legislation, a defender of sanctuary cities, believer in restrictive environmental protection laws and one of 10 senators to oppose the United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement because it didn’t tackle climate change. She’s a progressive’s progressive.”

Roger Kimball of The New Criterion went even further. He stated in an Oct. 25 Daily Telegraph op-ed that Harris was “the single worst candidate for president from any party in the history of the Republic.” It’s hard to argue with this astute assessment.

To quote an old proverb, “the more things change, the more they stay the same.” Case in point, the Democratic Party and its far-left tendencies. Senior leadership needs to listen to Carville, Schoen and others and shift back to the political centre. If not, they face the grim prospect of repeated defeats in future presidential elections.

Michael Taube, a long-time newspaper columnist and political commentator, was a speechwriter for former Canadian prime minister Stephen Harper.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Donald Trump will be back in the White House and panic is setting in in Canada. There is no denying that Donald Trump’s first presidency brought significant upheaval. His controversial positions, his aggressive communication style, his unorthodox approach to politics and governance, and his capacity to get away with murder – well, with other crimes anyway – is met with a mix of fascination and alarm. But, as depressing as his victory might be for many,  Canadians need to take a step back and calm down about President Trump and his influence on Canada.

The United States is Canada’s largest trading partner. We share deep economic, diplomatic, cultural, and social ties. Of course, any shift in American politics can have ripple effects in Canada. For instance, many believe that part of Justin Trudeau’s electoral victory in 2019 was in reaction to Donald Trump’s presidency. The contrast between the two men couldn’t be starker, while Pierre Poilievre’s approach and tactics are easily compared to Trump’s Republicans. Many lifted directly from Trump’s playbook.

The Canadian media coverage of U.S. politics skyrocketed in the run up to the US election. From daily social media posts to round-the-clock coverage to special envoys in the most obscure areas of deep America, Canadians have been constantly exposed to the horse race. With Joe Biden faltering, a sense of anxiety was setting in, until Canadians collectively sighed a breath of relief when Kamala Harris took over the Democratic ticket. Bonus points for her, she went to school right here at home, in Montreal. Yes, she can! With the exception of about half the Conservative voters and a handful of other party supporters, Canadians were rooting for Kamala.

On that note, a lesson for the Liberal rebels, who saw in Biden’s replacement by Harris a recipe to handle their own fate by deposing Justin Trudeau and replacing him with an as of yet unknown saviour. The truth is that Hail Mary passes rarely work in politics. Either you make a change early to handle electoral fatigue, or you stick with your leader to weather the storm.

With Trump’s most recent win, the disappointment felt by some of our American friends has been enormous and the reactions visceral. For that reason, the Canadian media coverage will not slow down. All of Trump’s statements, tweets, and policy proposals will be scrutinized and analyzed with a Canadian lens. This intense coverage will heighten our collective anxiety. How could this happen again? Perhaps we should start thinking about how it could happen here?

Trump’s return to the White House has already triggered a series of political, governance and even policing decisions. Quebec Premier François Legault has expressed concerns about a potential “massive influx of immigrants” into the province following Trump’s  victory, stating once again that Quebec has already reached its capacity to welcome newcomers. Legault urged Canada to “act quickly” to secure the border in anticipation of a possible wave of migrants seeking refuge, like many did following Trump’s first presidency. Not to be outdone, Parti Québécois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon is fearmongering about “millions” of people who might consider moving north following Trump’s election.

As a result, the border between Canada and the United States is now under closer surveillance. The RCMP say they are fully prepared to handle a potential migration crisis caused by an influx of individuals without legal status fleeing the US before President Trump goes ahead with his deportation policy.  The RCMP has deployed officers on the ground and developed contingency plans to bring in additional reinforcements if necessary.

But for the immediate future, nothing really changes except perception. While it’s natural to feel concerned about American leadership, Canada’s best approach is to engage constructively and pragmatically with whoever is in office. The early public statements from the Trudeau government are reflecting exactly that, despite the defeated body language of Foreign Affairs’ Minister Mélanie Joly after the election.

The media saturation has led to an exaggeration of the actual impact on Canadians’ lives. But we survived his first presidency and we will survive his second. The Apocalypse is not upon us. Hopefully…

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


This content is restricted to subscribers

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


This content is only available to our subscribers!

Become a subscriber today!

Register

Already a subscriber?

Subscriber Login