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Richard Le (47) (L), Linh Hoang (30) (R), and Katie Le (5) (M) died on the night of the Lapu Lapu Day Block Party in Vancouver, B.C. on April 26, 2025. Photo: GoFundMe page.

A B.C. teen who lost his parents and sister in the attack during the Lapu Lapu Day festival in Vancouver last Saturday has donated $266,000

raised from a GoFundMe page to other victims.

Andy Le, 16, lost his father Richard Le, 47, stepmom Linh Hoang, 30, and sister Katie Le, 5, after a driver allegedly rammed his SUV into the festival crowd, killing 11 people.

The annual event celebrates Filipino culture. Le was not there because he had

decided to stay home

to do his homework.

The

GoFundMe page

was set up to help raise money for Andy, the only surviving family member.

In a

YouTube clip

shared on the fundraising page, which has raised over $392,800, Andy said, “I would like to thank everyone who has donated to my GoFundMe campaign and from the bottom of my heart, thank you all so much…I truly appreciate each and every one of you, and I know that many other families are hurting too, which is why I’d like to donate $266,000 to other victims from my GoFundMe campaign.”

“I want to continue living with my grandparents, who (have) helped raise me, and truly love me. Thank you all so much for your support,” he added.

Toan Le — who set up the GoFundMe page — confirmed to

CBC Vancouver

that his sibling Richard (Andy’s father), Linh and Katie died in the attack. “(Andy’s) entire life just changed overnight,” Toan said.

Katie, who had just finished pre-school, was the youngest confirmed victim who died in the attack. “She was the life of the party. She was always so cheerful, happy. She always wants to play with her cousins,” Toan told the CBC. “We’re going to miss her so much.”

Paying tribute to Richard Le, Toan wrote on the GoFundMe page that his brother “was a dedicated father, badminton and tennis coach and real estate professional. He devoted his life to teaching young people the values of sportsmanship and team spirit. He served his community and clients with pride and always went out of his way to help others.”

He also wrote that Andy’s stepmother “was known for her kindness and gentle spirit. She had been planning a visit to see her family in Vietnam.”

Vancouver Police arrested Kai-Ji Adam Lo, 30, at the scene of the incident on Saturday. He was charged with eight counts of second-degree murder, though

police later said

they anticipate additional charges will be laid in the coming days or weeks.

New donations on the GoFundMe page for Andy were disabled

after raising $542,646.

An update on the page says its intention was “

to raise money to cover the funeral costs for Linh, Richard and Katie as well as to help pay for Andy’s education because he lost his dad who was the sole provider of the family and who was going to pay for his university costs … Once all costs related to this matter are accounted for, the remaining balance of the money will be donated to charity.”

Meanwhile, both GoFundMe and the Philippine Consulate General in Vancouver have been

warning of fraudulent fundraising efforts

by some people to make money off the tragedy by soliciting funds. The Consulate General said it found campaigns claiming to raise money for victims’ families using an image of the consulate’s “official message,” but it has not created or sanctioned any fundraising efforts.

GoFundMe created

a hub of verified fundraisers

, for the victims. The

B.C. government declared Friday, May 2 the provincial day of remembrance

and mourning for the victims of the attack.

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Prime Minister Mark Carney and his wife, Diana Fox Carney, leave Rideau Hall to cast their vote on Election Day on April 28, 2025 in Ottawa, Canada.

Prime Minister Mark Carney will soon move into Rideau Cottage, which was the home of Justin Trudeau from October 2015, when he was first elected as prime minister, to March 2025, when he resigned. Since 1951, every other prime minister preceding Trudeau has lived at 24 Sussex Drive. However, due to the need for extensive repairs, the official residence has not been in use since former prime minister Stephen Harper last resided there in 2015. Here’s what to know about Carney’s residences.

Where did Carney live when he ran for leader?

Carney is a longtime resident of Ottawa’s

Rockcliffe Park

, one of the wealthiest neighbourhoods in the country. His home there is just a 10-minute drive from Parliament Hill. The neighbourhood is home to politicians, diplomats, and business leaders. Its homes were designed by several famous architects and are surrounded by lush, spacious greenery.

 Ottawa’s Rockcliffe Park neighbourhood is a lush community with large estates.

What do we know about where he has been living since?

According to Daniel Savoie, a spokesperson for the Privy Council Office (PCO), since Carney first became prime minister when he was elected Liberal leader in March, he has been temporarily staying at an unspecified official guest residence, at the recommendation of the RCMP and other security officials.

Where is he moving?

After winning the federal election, Carney will be moving into Rideau Cottage, the PCO said.

 Rideau Cottage.

Why isn’t Rideau Cottage the official PM’s residence?

According to Parks Canada

, Rideau Cottage, which resides on the grounds of the Rideau Hall complex, was built in 1866 to 1867. Rideau Hall is the residence of the Governor General and Rideau Cottage was originally built as a residence for the Secretary of the Governor General.

The Cottage, which has generally been considered too small for official prime minister functions, would be

costly to turn into a permanent residence

for future prime ministers. It would require the creation of staff offices and other “residential infrastructure,” according to an internal government document obtained by The Canadian Press.

 The prime minister’s residence at 24 Sussex Drive in Ottawa as seen from a helicopter.

What’s wrong with 24 Sussex?

The building has been out of use since 2015. It was originally supposed to undergo repairs over the course of a few years, but a decade has since past. As of 2016, the building required significant upgrades to the windows, heating, ventilation and air-conditioning systems, plumbing and electrical systems, fire suppression, universal accessibility, service area functionality and landscaping,

the Ottawa Citizen reported at the time.

The building was classified as being in “critical condition” in 2021.

According to the National Capital Commission

, in 2022, the building was closed for health and safety reasons. In May of 2023, the project to decommission the building started, with a planned finish of summer 2024. The project is now complete, and the building is empty. Some of what was included in the decommissioning was the removal and storage of heritage fabric, the removal of asbestos and the insulation of exterior walls.

What’s next for the prime minister’s official residence?

24 Sussex sits in disrepair despite it being completely decommissioned. Some believe it would be easier to pick a completely different residence as it would require tens of millions of dollars to make it usable as the official prime minister’s residence.

One of Trudeau’s final acts in office was to address the issue of 24 Sussex.

CBC reported

that the then prime minister asked Public Services and Procurement Canada to take over the project from the National Capital Commission and appoint an advisory committee to consider options for a new official residence, with a proposal due in January 2026.

Possible options include extensive renovations, building a new residence on the site of 24 Sussex, upgrading Rideau Cottage or choosing a different residence.

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A Southwest Airlines plane at San Francisco International Airport on April 24, 2025.

A Southwest Airlines flight from El Paso, Texas, to Houston was delayed by almost five hours on Wednesday after a passenger’s cellphone caught fire shortly before the planned takeoff time.

Southwest Airlines flight 2112 was due to depart El Paso at 7:20 AM local time, according to the

FlightAware website

.

In a statement to National Post, the Federal Aviation Administration said it would investigate the matter.

“Southwest Airlines Flight 2112 returned to its gate at El Paso International Airport in Texas around 7:50 a.m. local time on Wednesday, April 30, after the crew reported a passenger disturbance during their departure taxi,” the FAA said. “The flight was headed to Houston Hobby Airport.”

Despite the agency’s statement,

CBS News reported

that the cause was in fact a cellphone blaze.

The airline confirmed as much in a statement to National Post.

“Southwest Airlines Flight 2112 returned to the gate at El Paso International Airport on April 30 after the battery inside a passenger’s cell phone apparently ignited,” the airline said. “The Flight Crew quickly extinguished (the fire) and the other passengers disembarked normally at the gate. Southwest is working with the appropriate federal and local investigative agencies.”

It added: “Nothing is more important to Southwest than the Safety of our Customers and Employees.”

The passengers eventually left El Paso at 12:09 p.m. on a different Southwest plane, arriving in Houston at 3:01 p.m. local time after a standard flight duration.

A similar incident occurred on a Southwest flight just over five months ago, when a cellphone caught fire while one of the airline’s planes was still at the gate at Denver International Airport. That flight was also headed to Houston.

The

AviationA2Z website reported

that passengers in the rear of that aircraft evacuated using emergency slides and that one passenger suffered a minor injury during the evacuation process, while the passenger whose phone battery ignited received medical attention for burn injuries.

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Premier Danielle Smith discusses Bill 53, the Compassionate Intervention Act, during a press conference, in Edmonton Tuesday April 15, 2025.

OTTAWA — Alberta Premier Smith vowed on Thursday to move forward with a legal challenge to Ottawa’s incoming clean electricity regulations, rekindling a fight with the just re-elected Liberal government over its decarbonization agenda.

“Today we are taking another step to protect Albertans livelihoods by challenging the constitutionality of (these) regulations in the Court of Appeal of Alberta, and we look forward to making our case,” Smith told reporters in Edmonton.

Smith revealed she was

readying a court challenge

shortly after the Liberals released their final draft of the clean electricity regs in December.

Smith said on Thursday that the decarbonization regulations, set to

come into effect in 2035

, would wreak havoc on Alberta’s

fossil fuel-heavy electricity grid

.

“These regulations set an emission limit that is completely unattainable and would make Alberta’s electricity system… more than 100 times less reliable than the province’s supply adequacy standard,” said Smith, citing a report from the

Alberta Electric System Operator

.

Roughly two-thirds of Alberta’s electricity

comes from natural gas

, according to Canada’s energy regulator.

A smaller but not insubstantial amount of roughly a fifth comes from coal and coke.

Smith said that, in their current form, the clean electricity regs would put Alberta “at serious risk of regular brownouts and blackouts during the cold dead of winter through the dog days of summer.”

Smith stressed that the costs of an unreliable power grid would be “grim” for millions across the province.

“Albertans would be left to freeze in the dark. In the depths of a minus 40 degree winter cold snap, families would be bundled up in their winter coats while sitting down for (a candlelit) dinner,” Smith warned.

“In the heat of summer… hospitals would be overwhelmed by the influx of patients suffering from heatstroke while trusting that their generators keep the lights on for their lifesaving equipment.”

Alberta’s electricity grid

came under severe strain

during a January 2024 cold snap, forcing the province to import power from both Saskatchewan and Montana.

Scrapping the clean electricity regs was one of nine demands Smith put forward to the

federal party leaders in March

, saying whoever emerged from April’s election as prime minister would need to address these issues within his first six months in office to “avoid an unprecedented national unity crisis.”

Smith said on Thursday that Prime Minister Mark Carney, the election’s winner, must “immediately commence” working with her government to reset Ottawa-Alberta relations from their acrimonious state under predecessor Justin Trudeau.

Carney failed to improve significantly on Trudeau’s performance in Alberta, with the Liberals holding steady at two seats in the province after Monday’s federal election.

He wasn’t asked about Smith’s ultimatum, or Ottawa-Alberta relations, at his first press conference since the election on Thursday.

National Post

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Conservative Party Leader Pierre Poilievre speaks to his supporters after losing the Canadian Federal Election on April 29, 2025 in Ottawa, Canada.

OTTAWA — Seatless Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre will run in an Alberta byelection as Conservative MP Damien Kurek “temporarily” steps aside.

In a press release, Kurek, the

Battle River—Crowfoot

MP-elect, said he was relinquishing his seat for Poilievre because it’s “what’s best for Canada” and the riding. Kurek was first elected in the Alberta riding in 2019.

Poilievre lost his Ottawa-area seat to a Liberal challenger by more than 4,000 votes in Monday’s election.

“The people of Battle River—Crowfoot will be represented well by Pierre for the remainder of this Parliamentary session, and I will keep working with our incredible local team to do everything I can to remain the strong voice for you as I support him in the process, and then run again here in Battle River—Crowfoot in the next general election,” Kurek said in a statement.

At a press conference in Ottawa on Friday, Prime Minister Mark Carney said he would call a byelection as soon as possible and that the government would play “no games” with Poilievre’s quest to win a seat.

The prime minister could theoretically wait six months after an MP resigns before calling a byelection, which would keep Poilievre out of the House Commons until nearly the end of the year, but Carney said that wasn’t on the table.

“I’ve already indicated to Mr. Poilievre that if it’s the decision of him and the Conservative Party to trigger… a byelection, I will ensure that it happens as soon as possible. No games, nothing,” Carney said Friday.

Poilievre has been unusually quiet since his party failed in its bid to form government and he surprisingly lost his seat on Monday. He has not made a public appearance nor posted anything on social media since his concession speech early Tuesday morning.

The fact Kurek intends to run again in Battle River—Crowfoot suggests Poilievre may intend to run again in his longtime Ottawa-area riding of Carleton in the next general election.

More to come

.

National Post

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J.D. Vance and Jamil Jivani in 2019.

Conservative MP Jamil Jivani, who is a longtime friend of the U.S. vice president, says JD Vance shouldn’t visit Canada.

The revelation came when Jivani spoke to

Politico in an article published on Thursday

. “Right now we have strong political disagreements, and that’s kind of how it is,” he told the publication. He said it would not be “constructive” for Vance to visit, specifically his  Bowmanville—Oshawa North riding in Ontario, given the political climate between the two countries.

The U.S. and Canada have been in a months-long trade war, since President Donald Trump implemented tariffs on Canadian goods. Tensions remain high due to Trump’s ongoing rhetoric about his northern neighbours, calling for Canada to become the 51st state.

‘Hype man for the Liberal party’: Ontario Tory Jamil Jivani unloads on Premier Doug Ford

“They need to probably reconsider some of their rhetoric and their policy before coming to Canada. Our country should deserve more respect before being able to welcome them,” said Jivani, who met Vance at law school at Yale University 15 years ago.

The pair were so close, Jivani wrote in

a 2020 National Post article

, that he performed a Bible reading at Vance’s wedding. Jivani drew comparisons between Vance’s upbringing in Appalachia and his own upbringing in Toronto, surrounded by “children of middle- and working-class immigrants.”

“But my friendship with J.D. taught me that his Appalachian family and friends aren’t so different from my own,” Jivani wrote. “The challenges that many Appalachians experience — poverty, addiction, fatherlessness, inadequate health care — are challenges seen and felt by my loved ones, too.”

Speaking to Politico this week, Jivani said he hadn’t spoken to Vance “in a while” as they were both busy; however, he took umbrage with how Trump and Vance have spoken about Canada. He said it was a “problem for me personally.”

“I’m a proud Canadian. I’m focused on my community, and we’ll see what happens next,” he said.

Also on Thursday,

Jivani told CBC News

he would be open to using his connection with Vance to help the Liberal government smooth over tensions between the U.S. and Canada.

“JD and I were friends before politics and will be friends after politics. But we do have very strong political disagreements,” he said.

He added that “if the opportunity came where I thought I would make a positive difference, of course I would take it” and that his constituents would want him to do so.

“At this point, with a new government elected, it’s going to be up to the Liberal Party and Prime Minister Mark Carney to lead on behalf of Canada and I hope they will have good policies and a good approach to look out for these families affected by tariffs,” he said.

Jamil Jivani: JD Vance, My friend the hillbilly

Jivani kept his seat in

Monday night’s federal election

, when Liberal leader Mark Carney officially became prime minister. Jivani’s riding is deeply entrenched in the North American auto industry — an area that was threatened by Trump’s tariffs.

A 25 per duty on “imports of certain automobile parts from all countries” was expected to go into effect on May 3, but

U.S. Customs and Border Protection announced

an exemption Thursday for parts that are compliant with the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement.

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Conservative Party supporters watch results in Ottawa on April 28, 2025.

OTTAWA — A recent candidate and former Conservative party president says waiting for the federal New Democrats to revive themselves is not a strategy the national party can have if it wants to win future seats in his province.

Rob Batherson, also a former national councillor, ran and lost in Halifax West, a fast-growing suburban riding, which has been long held by the Liberals.

“We need to be competitive in essentially a two-party environment,” he told National Post.

His was one of the countless races where the NDP vote collapsed, with supporters flocking to the Liberals. Elsewhere, in southern Ontario and British Columbia, the federal Conservatives flipped seats at the expense of a weakened NDP.

But Nova Scotia was not one of those places.

The party lost two incumbents, Dr. Stephen Ellis and longtime party volunteer, Rick Perkins in Monday’s election, two losses which Batherson attributes to an NDP vote that “essentially evaporated”. In Perkins’ riding of South Shore—St. Margarets, no NDP candidate was on the ballot.

Conservative caucus members will meet next Tuesday to discuss the election loss, which disappointed many across the party, given it started the year with a 20-point lead over the Liberals, all but guaranteeing their chances at forming government.

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre will not only have to begin to answer for that loss, but find a way to regain a seat in the House of Commons, considering he lost his Ottawa-area one, which he had held for two decades.

That means a newly elected member of his team would have to step aside in order to trigger a byelection, with another senior MP having to take over duties as leader in the House of Commons.

As next week’s meeting marks the first time caucus is gathering post-election, Conservative MPs will have to decide whether to adopt a set of rules under the Reform Act that would allow caucus to trigger a leadership review, which it did under former party leader Erin O’Toole, which he failed, leading to his exit.

With Poilievre saying he plans to stay on as leader, Conservative MPs have been publicly expressing their support for him doing so, saying he added 24 new seats to his caucus, made breakthroughs in key regions in Ontario and attracted a new voter coalition of young people and blue-collar trades workers.

Batherson is among those who believe he should stay.

“Changing leaders all the time hasn’t been the solution,” he said. “Why don’t we stick with one through a second election campaign.”

When it comes to the NDP, which has historically found support in Nova Scotia, Batherson says its weakness raises questions about what the federal party does now in the province and wider region.

“But waiting for the NDP to reverse their death spiral is not a strategy for the federal Conservatives.”

The party must build on the support it gained, “while expanding our voter pool into other groups of voters that stampeded from the NDP to the Liberals,” Batherson said.

He says his path to victory had the NDP sitting between 20 to 25 per cent, which it has in past races.

On election night, the New Democrats’ vote in the riding plummeted to hover just above five per cent.

While Batherson says he wants to keep his post-election thoughts “within the family,” one factor he saw was that for voters who were concerned about U.S. President Donald Trump, Prime Minister and Liberal Leader Mark Carney presented himself as “the answer.”

“That was a large voter segment that we could not shake loose.”

“In 2011, Stephen Harper was viewed as a safe pair of hands coming out of the economic meltdown in 2008 and 2009. And in 2025, for a lot of older voters in particular but not exclusively, for a lot of older voters Carney, in contrast to Trump, was seen as a safe pair of hands because of the experience that he brought to the table, or at least the perception of his experience.”

Going forward, Batherson says he also hopes to see bridges built between the federal party and the province’s Progressive Conservative party, led by Premier Tim Houston.

Houston recently called on the federal party to do some soul-searching, saying it

“was very good at pushing people away, not so good at pulling people in.”

 Rob Batherson, then the Conservative party president, in 2021.

Batherson, a former Progressive Conservative party staffer under former Nova Scotia premier John Hamm and past provincial candidate, says he has good relationships with those in the Houston government.

“I’m a Pierre Poilievre fan and I’m a Tim Houston fan,” he said.

“I don’t think Tim Houston did anything to help or to hurt the Conservative party. I think he stayed out of the campaign.”

Brycen Jenkins, the 26-year-old Conservative candidate who unsuccessfully ran in the riding of Central Nova hoping to defeat former cabinet minister Sean Fraser, also spoke of having good relationships with provincial progressive conservatives.

Houston was a supporter of his, Jenkins said, and the premiers wife also helped to knock doors.

“If there is any relationship that needs to be repaired, I’ll certainly always be first in line to help out with that,” said Jenkins. “I don’t see it as as a huge rift.”

Asked whether he believes Poilievre may be open to building a better relationship with Houston’s Progressive Conservatives, Batherson said, “I would hope so.”

National Post

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A supporter watches election results while waiting for NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh to speak at party headquarters in Burnaby, B.C., on April 28, 2025.

OTTAWA — New Democrat MPs say they will have “difficult discussions” in the coming weeks as the party begins searching for a new leader and a new direction after devastating election results.

“The situation that we’re in is a challenging situation with the NDP, there’s no denying it. I lost some really, really good members of Parliament, people who put their heart and soul into their community… and we lost them,” Jenny Kwan, one of seven elected New Democrats, told National Post.

“It’s heartbreaking to lose our good colleagues in that way. And so, so there will be hard conversations about all of that.”

On Monday, Canadians delivered a significant blow to the NDP and leader Jagmeet Singh, reducing the party to seven seats in the House of Commons. The party received barely over six per cent of the vote. In the 2021 election the NDP won 25 seats and 17.8 per cent of the vote.

The meagre caucus number means the NDP is set to lose party status in Parliament, cutting it off from significant resources and allocated speaking time in the House.

On the same night, Singh acknowledged the stinging message from voters as he announced his resignation.

“Obviously, I’m disappointed that we could not win more seats, but I’m not disappointed in our movement. I’m hopeful for our party,” Singh told supporters at an election night party in his Burnaby, B.C., riding.

As the party sets out to find a new leader, Kwan and Winnipeg NDP MP Leah Gazan told National Post that caucus and party membership will have “difficult discussions” in the coming week to figure out what went wrong.

But they have theories. Kwan said she frequently heard two reasons from voters as to why they wouldn’t support the NDP. The first was that party members felt betrayed by the NDP’s extended support for Justin Trudeau’s minority government. Singh signed a supply and confidence agreement with the Liberals to support them on confidence votes in exchange for two new social programs: dental care and national pharmacare. (Pharmacare has yet to roll out after stalling at the preliminary stage.)

“People felt that we should not have worked with the Liberal government in achieving those wins,” she said.

“There’s an element there where people felt the trust was breached.”

The second was fear of U.S. President Donald Trump’s threats of annexation and tariffs that pushed them towards either the Liberals or the Conservatives.

“People felt that we have to have one strong voice in going forward and standing up for Canada. So then, therefore, people voted with what they thought was the most strategic thing to do, as opposed to voting with their heart,” Kwan said. “I think that also cost us as well.”

Gazan also cited fear of the rise of “extremism” in the U.S. as a reason people shifted away from the NDP towards the Liberals and Conservatives.

Both Gazan and Kwan did not rule out running for either interim or permanent party leadership to help “rebuild the movement” but said they were focused on meeting with their caucus mates and party members first.

Several individuals have begun signalling they might consider a run for NDP leadership, including

former MP Ruth Ellen Brosseau

,

outgoing Montreal Mayor Valérie Plante

and NDP MP Heather McPherson.

Quebec MP and party stalwart Alexandre Boulerice is considered by many inside and out of the party as a leading contender for interim leadership. Boulerice did not respond to a request for comment.

 NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh waves goodbye after speaking to his supporters at NDP headquarters on election night, in Burnaby, B.C., on Monday, April 28, 2025.

But there’s no doubt for Gazan and Kwan that the task ahead is nothing less than a total rebuild of the movement.

“I was sad for many of my colleagues, but I wasn’t surprised with the outcome,” Gazan said. “I’m looking forward to getting through this difficult time and continuing to rebuild our movement.”

“We need to re-earn the trust of Canadians,” Kwan added.

When it comes to rebuilding a party, this isn’t Kwan’s first rodeo. In the 2001 B.C. election, Kwan — then with the provincial NDP — was one of only two candidates to survive the party’s collapse as the Liberals won a landslide victory.

“I’ve been down this path before, and that is the reality. I know what it is like to have to rebuild basically from the ground up, all the way from the beginning and to fight that fight,” Kwan said.

Asked if either of them would consider crossing the floor to the Liberals to help Mark Carney’s party form a majority government (it is four seats away), Gazan and Kwan said no.

“I am a New Democrat,” they both said in separate interviews.

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Liberal Party leader Mark Carney waves to supporters at a victory party in Ottawa on April 29, 2025. He ended up with a minority government, close to a majority — about what polls expected.

Despite some distrust during the federal campaign, and fluctuations on election night, in the end, the polls got it right: Mark Carney’s Liberal Party won the most seats.

The Liberals netted 168 seats in the House of Commons, followed by the Conservatives with 144 seats. Carney will form a minority government, with the need for other parties’ support to pass legislation. A majority government would have needed 172 seats.

This was — more or less — what the polls projected in the weeks and days leading up to the election. A Liberal victory was projected, while some analysis had expected a Liberal majority government. But when it comes to the popular vote projections, pollsters got it pretty close to right.

For pollsters, elections can be validating, said Andrew Enns, Leger’s executive vice-president, central Canada.

“Elections for our industry are one of the few times we can test our work,” Enns said.

Still, that doesn’t mean that polls always get it right.

“People sometimes expect perfection out of polls and that is not reasonable,” said Philippe Fournier, who does polling analysis at aggregator 338Canada.

According to Elections Canada, 43.7 per cent of Canadians voted Liberal, while 41.3 per cent voted Conservative. Both the Bloc Québécois and the NDP each got 6.3 per cent of the national vote, which translated to 23 seats and seven seats, respectively. The Green Party got 1.2 per cent of the vote and one seat.

“The polling average in this election was remarkably good, it looks like it will be one of the best elections for the polls in a long time,” Fournier said.

Leger, which did polling for Postmedia during the election campaign, predicted that the Liberals would secure 43 per cent of Canadians’ votes. They predicted 39 per cent of Canadians would vote for the Conservatives, six per cent for the Bloc Québécois, eight per cent for the NDP and two per cent for the Green party.

Abacus Data had similar predictions. Its final campaign poll predicted 41 per cent of the vote would go Liberal, and 39 per cent would go Conservative, with 10 per cent going to the NDP and six per cent to the Bloc. The Angus Reid Institute, another pollster, predicted 44 per cent of voters would cast a ballot for the Liberals and 40 per cent for the Conservatives, with the NDP netting six per cent of the vote and the Bloc getting seven per cent.

During the campaign, some wondered if the pollsters had got it all wrong. A small group at a Conservative rally in Brampton, Ont., turned up in sweaters with the words “Do you believe the polls?” Given the huge rallies held by Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, some felt that the polls were not representing the reality on the ground.

Éric Grenier, a polling analyst who writes The Writ newsletter, said the claims weren’t unexpected.

“I think there will always be some people who will try to claim that their side is going to win, despite the fact that every reliable piece of information might suggest that they won’t,” he said.

Despite their loss, the Conservatives received more support than predicted, particularly in Ontario and the Greater Toronto Area — vote rich parts of the country that can be make or break a national election campaign.

Fournier admitted the Ontario polls did have the Conservatives a bit too low, but within a very reasonable margin.

“Everything was within the margin of error regionally and nationally,” Fournier said, “It was how the NDP vote swung, in Toronto, it swung Liberal, in southwest Ontario most of it seemed to have gone to the Conservatives.”

Grenier said it was surprising how well the Conservatives did in the GTA, but it shows that different regions had different concerns in this election.

“You see how the differences within a particular region, versus what you would’ve expected from the baseline polls, give us a little bit of a story of what might’ve been especially top of mind for voters in different parts of the country,” Grenier said.


Adam Waterous, chief executive officer of Waterous Energy Fund, in his office in Calgary on Friday, Jan. 5, 2024.

OTTAWA — The heads of 38 of Canada’s biggest oil and gas companies are calling on Prime Minister Mark Carney to unleash Canada’s energy potential.

The energy executives said in an open letter that Carney will need to get out of the way of resource development if he hopes to follow through on his campaign promise to make Canada the

fastest-growing economy in the G7

.

“As a major contributor to the Canadian economy, with significant untapped potential, the energy sector must play a pivotal role in your pursuit of this ambition,” read the letter.

“Growth in the Canadian oil and natural gas sector supports GDP growth, job creation, and tax revenue.”

The letter reiterated a list of recommendations

put forward to the federal party leaders

in March by some of the signees, including scrapping both the federal industrial carbon price and oil and gas emissions cap, as well capping project approval timelines at six months.

Some of these items reappeared on a

list of nine demands

 Alberta Premier Danielle Smith put forward just days later, in a pre-election ultimatum.

Smith said that whoever emerged as prime minister would need to meet these demands in their first six months, or face an “unprecedented national unity crisis.”

Strathcona Resources chair Adam Waterous, who co-signed both letters, said that Carney should also declare a national energy emergency, saying that it was to avoid legal delays.

“Declaring an energy emergency would insulate projects from some of the obstructive lawsuits we’ve seen in the past,” Waterous told the National Post.

Waterous said that he appreciated Smith’s support for the oil and gas sector but was focused on harnessing energy as an engine for Canada-wide prosperity.

He said that Central Canada’s auto and manufacturing sectors have the most to gain from Carney getting out of the way of oil and gas development.

“Across Europe, in places like the United Kingdom and Germany, we’ve seen high energy prices hollow out once-thriving manufacturing industries,” said Adam Waterous.

Waterous added that Carney can shield Canada’s auto sector from further tariffs if he plays the energy card effectively in his dealings with U.S. President Donald Trump.

“For all his unpredictability, Trump has

been consistent in saying

he wants to see Keystone XL built… he’s been asking for the same thing from us for nine years,” said Waterous.

“If we’re going to have to go and negotiate… to remove tariffs on auto, steel and aluminum, etcetera, it’s pretty clear what (Trump) wants in return.”

Waterous wouldn’t comment on the reaction to

the federal election result

in Alberta and said he couldn’t say where the province’s oil and gas industry would line up in a referendum on Albertan independence.

Smith announced on Tuesday that she would update Alberta’s election law to allow corporations and unions to donate to political groups, including

those campaigning in a referendum

.

She also said that she was dramatically

lowering the number of signatures

needed for citizen-led groups to put constitutional questions to a province-wide vote, opening the door to a potential grassroots push for a referendum on Alberta’s independence.

National Post

rmohamed@postmedia.com

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