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It's a curious thing indeed that while virtually the entire Canadian political establishment craved US approval of the Keystone XL pipeline, few of the country's politicians could be bothered to offer kind words for the Republican Party promising to make it happen.  Now that President Trump has finally OK'd the thing, ending eight years of delay, and ultimately rejection by the comparatively beloved Obama administration, the gratitude the White House receives, from the Prime Minister on down, is mostly stiff and abstract.

Canadians are fed a steady diet of fables from their government, media, and education system encouraging the belief that their country is not a run-of-the-mill nation-state possessing ordinary interests of safety and prosperity, but a bundle of progressive policies, social programs, and moral virtues that just happen to have a GDP and army.  Such ideological blinders make forming logical strategies of Canadian foreign policy extraordinarily difficult, since the boringly normal business of crafting commonsense global relationships is hard to initiate from a premise that your country transcends all norms.

When Prime Minister Trudeau brags about presiding over the world's "first postnational state" he sets expectations that the behavior of his government will be animated entirely by universalist concerns — the great global "isms" of the modern left: feminism, multiculturalism, environmentalism.  In a domestic context, these expectations are appeased easily enough, a photo-op with refugees here, a pink t-shirt Youtube video there, but collapse quickly once the rest of the messy world intrudes.

Canada has a vested interest in seeing the present government of Saudi Arabia survive.  The country is an important source of oil for our eastern provinces, and at a time when the established regimes of the Middle East are battling terrorist armies of apocalyptic cultists eager to make war on the west, it is rational for Canada to side with the regimes.

Yet Saudi Arabia is also a repulsive dictatorship whose Koranic constitution promotes grotesque and retrograde attitudes towards its female subjects.  The Trudeau administration's decision to sell weapons to the kingdom — despite being a continuation of decades of Canadian policy — thus subjected our ostentatiously "woke" government to accusations of hypocrisy and cowardice it was rhetorically unequipped to rebut.

Similar pressures emanate from continental pipelines.  Canada is a deeply trade dependent nation, with about $231 billion of that trade â€” or about 40% of our total export value â€” coming from the sale of oil, gas, and other natural resources to foreign countries, mainly the US.  There is simply no universe in which Canada's economic stability can be secured without a healthy resource sector and a happy relationship with America.  Trudeau's trouble is that his base would prefer their PM bloviate about how he can't muster "anything but condemnation" for America's bigoted president or how his green heart pines for Alberta's oil sands to be "phased out" than self-censor in the pursuit of Canadian survival.

Placing domestic ideology above national interest is a multi-partisan problem, to be fair.  The NDP would be a cataclysmic party to run Ottawa at this point, given Thomas Mulcair's loud and repeated insistence that he believes the President of the United States is a "fascist," surely the most extreme insult one would-be head of state has leveled against another on this side of Hugo Chavez.  The Conservatives, meanwhile, face a dilemma of their own regarding whether it makes sense to continue their high dudgeon denunciations of Putin's Russia — a Cold War continuity ubiquitous during the Harper years — at a time when Trump's State Department is more inclined towards detente, and even cooperation, in the service of larger geopolitical goals to which Canada has common cause, including the destruction of ISIS.

Shortly after Trump's election, Henry Kissinger deemed one possible virtue of the outcome the establishment of "coherence between our foreign policy and our domestic situation" — in other words, making American actions abroad clearly linked to popular demands at home.  The vision of "America First" articulated in President Trump's inaugural was certainly as coherent as could be, outlining, as it did, a simple equation of American greatness inversely tied to the success of foreigners.  Whether the formula works, it at least offers a clear conception of the national interest, something Canada's comparatively incoherent cast of statesmen can still barely describe, let alone defend.

Written by J.J. McCullough

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


As the Conservative leadership race drags on, we're starting to see more policy planks being rolled out by various candidates.  Some of those planks are sensible, some of them are wonkish, some are intolerant, and some are downright bizarre.  There has been a tremendous fixation with tax policy, which is probably not a big surprise given that this is the Conservative Party that we're talking about, and a number of economists have been asking questions about these policy ideas to give them a bit of rigour that some of these policy ideas don't appear to have had internally.

There's just one wee little problem it's not actually the leader's job to set policy.

The way things work in a Westminster system like Canada's is that the grassroots members of a political party are supposed to come up with policy ideas at the local level, vote on proposals to send to biennial conventions, which then makes its way into the party platform after being refined.  It's not supposed to all be determined by the whims of the leader and what his or her personal beliefs or preferences happen to be.  After all, we don't directly vote for party leaders to become prime minister, and we're supposed to have a functional system where the grassroots contribute in a ground-up process toward the whole system.

Of course, part of the problem is that we started bastardizing this system in Canada almost a hundred years ago when the Liberals decided to open up their leadership selection process to the party membership, and the Conservatives followed suit a few years later.  This was the beginning of the process of giving leaders the ability to start to amass power in their offices seeing as caucus was no longer able to keep them in check.  As we moved from delegated conventions to one-member-one-vote to "supporter" votes for leaders, they gained even more supposed "democratic legitimacy" for their position, and centralized yet more power.  To no one's surprise, parties have become increasingly top-down organizations.  And if this wasn't alarming enough, with their latest party constitution changes, the Liberals have started removing that bottom-up policy input process in favour of a process out of the leader's office, allegedly driven by "Big Data" consultations, rather than a resolution process, ostensibly for the sake of "efficiency" and totally not about centralized power.  No sir.

This Conservative race is a particularly stylized version of one-member-one-vote system that awards points, with a ranked ballot that currently has thirteen soon-to-be fourteen names on it, and nobody seems to be keen to drop out anytime soon no matter how much of a long-shot they know themselves to be.  Part of the problem is that with so many names in the race, they have to find ways of differentiating themselves, and part of that is to come up with policy to set themselves apart, some more successfully than others.  But the fact that they are insistent on sticking to policy shows that they remain tied to the tendency, whether consciously or not, for the leader to be increasingly presidentialized.  And we the media play a part in that ongoing presidentialization by demanding policy from them, rather than sticking to things that a leader should be dealing with, such as setting a direction, and implementing the policy that the party members set for them.

Why this matters is because the presidentialization of the party leader means that it continues to take power away from the grassroots members nowhere is that more evident than with the changes that the Liberals made to their own constitution to cement this move.  This is supposed to be how the average Canadians engage with the system from the ground-up, designing policy and dealing with nominations for their local candidates so that our democracy is rooted at the local level and not in the backrooms of the capital.  The less power the grassroots has, the more the leader accumulates, to the detriment of the average Canadian.

One of the other side-effects of running leadership contests in this way is that it gives outsiders which includes defeated MPs as well as those who have never run for a seat before in their lives an equal platform, which starts to devalue the worth of having a seat.  Combine this with certain candidates, like Kevin O'Leary, who have stated that they would be under no rush to even bother to run in a by-election to get a seat should he win the leadership, it shows a disdain for both the role of an MP and the role that the opposition plays in our parliamentary system.  But this is part of what focusing all of the energy and attention on a leadership race brings an impression that it is the only job that matters is the one at the top, and even then, only if you form government.  Witness how O'Leary said that if he doesn't win a majority mandate during the election that he invites the caucus to fire him something they don't really have the power to do either.

If we hope to make a real and lasting change in the way Canadian politics functions, then it needs to happen by reforming our leadership selection system, restoring it to caucus selection, rather than the Frankenstein's monster that it is today.  Parties are not supposed to be a reflection of their leader, and yet this is how far we have debased things.  But it's not going to be an easy fight to return sanity (and more importantly, accountability) to the system so long as we continue to look to leaders as saviours or to head cults of personality that party supporters think will get them into power.  But continuing to indulge these contests as they are, and these candidates' policy pronouncements as though they were meaningful, we only continue to damage our democratic system and keep the power away from grassroots members and MPs, where it belongs.

Photo Credit: Macleans

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


The man isn't shy about holding forth with his opinions, and for Canadians who are sick of overly coached candidates spouting talking points, that's refreshing.  But the problem is not that O'Leary likes to flip the script.  It's that he's speaking to hear the sound of his own voice and not to Canadians.  Too often, O'Leary uses his celebrity status platform to indulge himself.

The Canadian media seems intent on fitting him into the "Canada's Trump" box.  But Trump, for all his flaws, said things that connected with ordinary Americans.  Talking points or no, the problem with modern politics is that the politicians aren't saying the things people want to hear.  For example, who was O'Leary speaking to when he said that there was "nothing proud about being a warrior"?  When the other leadership candidates dogpiled onto him, he could credibly claim that he was being ganged up on.  Trouble was, there weren't many Canadians who raised their voices in support of what he said.  Condemning the military isn't where voters- especially Conservative ones- are at, it seems.

Then you have O'Leary's comments to the effect that he would throw union members "in jail."  Again: Who is the intended audience here?  Obviously it wasn't Canada's labour unions, who have launched a pre-emptive blitz against him on Twitter.  But what about CPC members who belong to a union?  Or how about Ontario Tories who are still licking their wounds from the pounding they took in 2014 when PCPO leader Tim Hudak promised to cut 10,000 public sector jobs?   What is the upside of a broadside against big labour this early in the game?  Is there data showing that this is what people want?  If so, I haven't seen it.

But it's O'Leary's comments about Canada being safe from terror attacks because we've been "neutral" in the fight against ISIS that are really confusing.  "The last person ISIS wants to put a bullet through is a Canadian"?  Well, someone should remind Mr. Wonderful that ISIS has already put a bullet through a Canadian- Corporal Nathan Cirillo.

Now, Mr. O'Leary is a newcomer to politics.  He's an outsider.  He's a maverick.  All this is clear.  But we already have a Prime Minister who is infamous for blurting out things he shouldn't.  And O'Leary has had to walk back several of his comments already, most notably what he had to say about Canada's Armed Forces.

How can O'Leary claim to be Justin Trudeau's "worst nightmare" while giving voters more of what they've had from him already?  And can he keep his outsider credibility intact if he has to keep apologizing for his controversial comments?

His fellow Dragon, Arlene Dickinson, suggests that O'Leary shifts positions "when it is convenient", so further corrections may be forthcoming- especially when O'Leary has to submit to the judgement of CPC voters at EDA meetings.

It's true that Trump did have to apologize for the outrageous things he said in the wake of the Trump Tapes incident.   But before he did, he had built up a reputation as a seemingly unstoppable juggernaut who rolled over his critics and haters.  It's one of the things that gave him the ability to make it across the finish line when his campaign faltered two weeks before Election Day.

O'Leary simply hasn't put in the time or the work that Trump did.

The question remains though: Does he need to?

Written by Josh Lieblein

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Late last year before Prime Minister Justin Trudeau slinked off to the Aga Khan's $100 million extravagant island retreat, Conflict of Interest and Ethics Commissioner Mary Dawson announced she would be questioning the PM for his participation in cash-for-access fundraisers, where guests paid the Liberal Party of Canada $1,500-a-ticket for access to Trudeau.

Despite this unprecedented bombshell, Trudeau didn't have second thoughts about taking his friends and family to a billionaire's Bahamian island, flying in his private helicopter, and enjoying an all-expenses-paid trip, even though the man offering the largesse is the head of a foundation registered as a federal lobbyist that Trudeau's government granted $55 million to last year.  Trudeau — who claims he has read and understands the Conflict of Interest Act — supposedly saw no need to inform the Ethics Commissioner on his unprincipled plans to go ahead with the lavish trip.  The only logical conclusion one can gather from this is that Trudeau and team realized the horrendous optics of the trip, but figured they'd keep it clandestine, trying to get away scot free  with the unseemly getaway.

The PMO's tight-lipped and curt responses to reporters with the impertinence to ask the location of where the sitting PM was located suggests this was indeed the strategy.  A game of Where in the World is Carmen Sandiego? ensued.  At first nosey reporters were simply given the vague hint that he had left the country.  Then reporters got warmer when it was disclosed he was in the Bahamas.  Finally, reporter David Akin X marked the spot on the Aga Khan's paradise island.  This silly game of treasure hunt was made possible by Trudeau's decision to try and secretly circumvent the ethical guidelines so he could indulge in the lap of luxury.

Now returned home tanned and caught again demonstrating unethical behaviour, Trudeau must face the full wrath of Dawson, the independent parliamentary watchdog whose job security just so happens to depend upon Trudeau.  The fearsome commissioner, slighted by the PM after her previous admonishment, has bared her fangs, opening an investigation into Trudeau's ill-advised trip.  If her employer is found guilty, Dawson can use the full might of her authority and slap Trudeau a whopping $500 fine per violation (one for accepting the gift of the trip and another for flying on the Aga Khan's private aircraft).

But it's odd it took this brazen flouting of the rules before Dawson fully flexed her muscles in launching an investigation.  The Globe's investigation into cash-for-access events unearthed that a Chinese billionaire donated $200,000 to the Trudeau Foundation and $50,000 to erect a statue of Justin's father shortly after attending a cash-for-access dinner with Trudeau, but somehow this apparent conflict didn't warrant Dawson's inspection.

Trudeau appears to be oblivious to the severity of his actions.  He "looks forward" to meeting with the commissioner, unperturbed she is launching an investigation into his misconduct.  Perhaps it's because he knows he's untouchable.

The media have given Trudeau an easy ride, which has led him to become increasingly audacious in his actions.  When Trudeau was an MP in opposition, he had one of the worst attendance records in parliament.  Instead of doing his job as the education critic, Trudeau was busy lining his pockets giving speeches to charities and school boards for as much as $20,000 a pop.  It wasn't clear, as MP's details of expense claims aren't disclosed, but Trudeau likely billed taxpayers' for his transportation to and from these lucrative side gigs.  However, except for the defunct Sun News Network and Toronto Sun, Trudeau was barely chided by the mainstream press.  Whenever Trudeau is caught in an ethical quandary, journalists and pundits come to his rescue; they don't hold him to account.

In this most recent case of the secret getaway, the media unquestioningly reiterated the PM's excuse — the Aga Khan has long been a family friend of the Trudeaus.  The media also added how the billionaire spiritual leader and philanthropist is a swell guy.  Neither of these points have anything to do with whether or not Trudeau broke his own set of ethical guidelines he introduced shortly after taking office, as well as his claims his government was going to be transparent and open.  On top of this, Trudeau keeps dodging questions â€” thanks to a few reporters actually doing their jobs — about whether or not the PM has been to the Aga Khan's island before, or if he was only had the immense pleasure since his Liberal government gave the Muslim leader's charity $55 million.

Of course no significant consequences will befall Trudeau over his most recent blunder, but a trend is emerging.  As Trudeau spends taxpayers' money traveling the country to see ordinary Canadians — essentially going on the charm offensive campaign to distract from his latest predicament — Trudeau seems to think he is above reproach.  However, only a little over a year in office, Trudeau's arrogance and ethical blindness demonstrate likely fatal flaws foreshadowing the tragic fall from grace to come.

Written by Graeme C. Gordon

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Electricity prices in Ontario have shot up over the past decade, with some estimates suggesting increases in the range of 70%.  People are struggling and something has to be done.  Finding a solution requires an honest conversation.

As a starting measure, Premier Kathleen Wynne provided an 8% tax cut on electricity bills starting this January, with a 20% rebate for rural customers.  It's estimated this will save the average household $130 per year or the average rural household around $540 annually.  This was a choice by the Wynne government to provide some relief.

That said, the Premier is the first to concede more needs to be done, with promised additional cost-saving measures to come this winter.

But first, there needs to be an honest accounting of what has caused this dramatic increase and a serious conversation about how to provide real relief for Ontario ratepayers.

Unfortunately, rather than a fair-minded debate, we've been subjected to a lot of lazy misinformation.  It is important we dispel rumours so we can have an accurate conversation about what to do.  Debunking myths is not to excuse the Liberal government's policies; it is to provide a basic, accurate foundation upon which to solve the issue.  We have to talk honestly to solve problems properly.  Our electricity system is bloody complicated; the discussion is not helped by myths.

First and foremost: Ontario does not have the highest rates in North America, contrary to the line Conservative leader Patrick Brown insists on repeating.  Hydro Québec places Ontario's average electricity prices near the higher end in Canada, but fairly middle-of-the-pack in the broader North American, not to mention global, context.

Don't take my word for it: the conservative Toronto Sun reported on Hydro Québec's estimates, writing, "Its 2016 survey found electricity prices for residential customers in Toronto of 17.81 cents per kilowatt hour and in Ottawa of 16.15 cents per kilowatt hour.  This was higher than in Vancouver (10.70); Calgary (10.40); Edmonton (10.37); Regina (14.65); Winnipeg (8.43); Montreal (7.23); Halifax (15.88); Moncton (12.50); Charlottetown (16.02); St. John's (11.96)…However, Toronto's and Ottawa's electricity rates were lower than in San Francisco (31.05); Detroit (20.24); Boston (27.69) and New York (29.52)".

The Globe and Mail broadens the comparisons even further: "Ontario rates are generally significantly lower than those across the border in New York and about half what Germans, Danes or Italians pay".

It bears repeating: Ontario's electricity rates are not the highest in North America.  Patrick Brown should stop repeating inaccuracies.  Lies are a poor basis upon which to solve public policy problems.

A second myth to debunk: green energy is not a major cause of high electricity rates.  The real culprit, as the Globe notes is that, "The province has a massive surplus of generating capacity, but because much of it is tied up in private, 20-year contracts, Ontarians have to pay for all that electricity whether they need it or not."  As a result, to recoup at least some of the costs, Ontario sells surplus power at a loss to neighbouring states.  Our real enemy is contracts inked in the days when we feared a deficit of electricity, contracts that have locked us in to paying for a surplus of electricity — if anything, we are now a victim of over-investing.

We should note something lost in the anger over high rates.  Let's not forget how desperately the electricity system needed refurbishment when the Liberal government took power in 2003.  With a nearly week-long blackout and rolling brownouts, the system had been allowed to atrophy for decades and required massive investment to rebuild transmission lines and ensure a reliable source of power.  That has been achieved, even while ensuring a greener, cleaner electricity supply.

Now, there is some suggestion that green energy, even though its initial privileged rates does put some pressure on electricity costs, will save us money in the long run.  Jatin Nathwani, executive director of the Waterloo Institute for Sustainable Energy, suggests other jurisdictions will have to play catch up to phase out coal, saying to TVO, "They have not yet had to absorb any costs like that", while we have already made that transition, saving some $3 billion per year in related reduced healthcare costs and jump starting our climate-change mitigation plans.  Ontario went from 58 smog days in 2005 to zero in 2014.

Another myth: the partial privatisation of Hydro One has not cost electricity ratepayers.  The sales are still moving at an incremental rate and have not fully taken effect.  In fact, the sale of 60% of the company in minority shares to date has actually surpassed earnings projections, with the proceeds going to pay down debt and invest in transit.  Some even argue this partial privatisation might actually lead to the kind of private-sector efficiency that could result in some savings passed on to the customer.

Finally, the government insists "there will be no net increase to electricity prices because of cap and trade".  It seems we insist on a narrative of pollution pricing as the culprit for price increases without any evidence.  For instance, breathless evening news reporters stood outside of gas stations on New Year's Day to report an uptick in gas prices and Patrick Brown decried cap-and-trade for raising the price of gas, without any proof other than confirmation bias.

In fact, gas prices rose by far more in other jurisdictions without cap-and-trade.  Plus, gas often rises before or after a holiday.  In fact, it's already reverting back to the price it was before the New Year.  Gas rates no doubt will continue to fluctuate throughout the year.

What's worse, while bemoaning cap-and-trade, Brown notably failed to mention that he ran on a cap-and-trade plan as a federal Conservative in 2006 and 2008, and now he says he would simply replace it with a direct carbon tax, something experts note would cost more upfront than cap-and-trade due to the nature of a direct tax.  I'm not sure what to call that sin of omission other than duplicity.

Indeed, Patrick Brown, for all his attempts to exploit peoples' grief over electricity prices, has yet to offer a plan whatsoever.  In fact, whereas Bill Clinton had Fleetwood Mac's "Don't Stop Thinkin' About Tomorrow", Patrick Brown has just coasted by telling us lies, sweet little lies.

If anything, Kathleen Wynne has already done the easy thing: cutting taxes on your electricity bill.

But what else can be done?  Taking on price gouging by individual utility companies is a start.  Mandating that no one in arrears on their bill can be cut off during the winter is a no-brainer.  Smoothing out things like "global adjustment charge" or "distribution charges" on peoples' bills — perhaps even into the general expenses of the government — would make a lot of sense to people exacerbated when they find their bills going up even when they conserve energy.  Forcing the utility companies to write bills in plain English wouldn't hurt either when too many of us find reading an electricity bill requires a guidebook.

This is a complicated conversation.  We need to debunk these myths so we can have an accurate discussion about how to fix electricity prices.  Because solutions are urgently needed for people who are struggling.

We should hold politicians to account when they don't tell the truth about the problem.  Solving high electricity rates is a challenge.  There's no easy answer, but it's the dialogue Ontario needs to have — with honesty as the best first policy.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


The election of Donald Trump has preoccupied American commentators and journalists with deep and important questions about the intersections of culture, economics, politics, and indeed life itself.  You can open any American magazine, newspaper, or website at the moment and read fascinating essays about the economic malaise of the rust belt, the breakdown of white working class families, the appalling arrogance of celebrity condescension, the dangerous groupthink of Ivy League schools and more, authored by both liberal and conservative alike.  These are substantial pieces of writing, literary and well-researched, that reflect a desire to truly understand American society in all its vast complexities and challenges.

People don't write these kinds of things in this country.  In place of substantial sociology we have lazy polemicists like Stephen Marche, Jon Kay, and John Ibbitson who blithely assert ideologically pleasing generalizations about Canada with scant evidence.  This difference is a reflection of the widely different stories our elite tells about our respective nations.

The American commentator says "we are a flawed people defined by our flaws and our constant struggle to overcome them and live up to the unfulfilled ideals of our founding."

The Canadian commentator says, "we are a fundamentally wonderful people defined by our contrast with the awfulness of America.  We must celebrate our superiority and dismiss our failings as laughably minor."

The Canadian narrative is like cotton candy; it's sweet and fluffy and gives you a satisfying rush.  But it's unhealthy in the long term, since it's not made of substantial stuff and won't make you stronger.

The outcome of the Tory leadership race will decide whether this country will get an advocate for a Canadian counter-narrative.  Though only an infinitesimally small section of the public — perhaps less than half of one percent — will wind up electing the next Tory boss, the result will play an outsized role in either reenforcing or threatening the story our powerful tell themselves, and by extension, us.

If a man like Michael Chong wins, the dominant narrative will be reenforced.  Chong believes that in the last election the Tory party failed Canada by being too dark and divisive.  His candidacy is based on the premise that Canadians crave leaders who celebrate conventional progressive totems like immigration, environmentalism, and the CBC, and rally around calm, progressive politicians like himself.

If a man like Andrew Scheer wins — an apple who has not fallen far from the Stephen Harper tree — the narrative will be reinforced to some extent as well.  Prime Minister Harper was a radical man for his time, but his near-decade in government proved his flavour of conservatism, which, though principled, was vastly more cautious than it ever got credit for, could be compatible with the larger system.  The elite never came up with a good theory of what Harper represented, beyond the fact that it was possible to elect an alternative to the Liberal Party from time to time.  Because he so closely resembles Harper in tone, temperament, and agenda — indeed, as an understudy he is in some ways more Harperite than Harper himself, Scheer's leadership would be more a vindication of the past than an effort to define the future.

If Max Bernier, Kellie Leitch, or Kevin O'Leary wins, by contrast, the official narrative will be dealt a dramatic blow.  These three candidacies are based on the premise that Canada's ruling elite and institutions are flawed and failing in ways conventional wisdom never dares acknowledge.

Leitch says our immigration system is reckless, and failing to protect Canadian values.  Bernier says the Canadian state has grossly exceeded its mandate at the cost of personal freedom.  O'Leary says our government is run by incompetent fools who know nothing about economics.

If these world views prove popular it will come as a sharp rebuke to commentators who insist Canada is a fantastically well-run, contently left-of-centre place where political disputes occur only at the mildest margins of a settled consensus.

Though I am furiously opposed to O'Leary, significantly suspicious of Bernier, and still skeptical of Leitch, any conservative who feels their lived experience as a Canadian does not match the idyllic picture spouted by the elite media and establishment politicians should support one of them.

Only their victories will ring the alarm that Canada is a more unsettled country than many would prefer to believe.  Their leadership will force a critical dialogue that will hopefully come to resemble the useful fad of honest self-examination sweeping the United States.

Photo Credit: CBC News

Written by J.J. McCullough

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


It was inevitable, I guess, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's promises of a new era open and transparent government would be cast aside.

At a certain point, a government will find itself facing questions it doesn't want to answer, so it won't answer them.  It's easier, in the short run, to stonewall a reporter or two than to acknowledge you've goofed.  One of the interesting things to watch with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's government is how often the opaque approach to politics has blown up on them.

Trudeau, his family and some close personal friends—like MP Seamus O'Reagan and Liberal Party president Anna Gainey—went to the Bahamas.  But not just anywhere in the Bahamas, to the Aga Kahn's private island, which they reached on his private helicopter.  We know all this now, but it's been a long slog to get here.  It's taken weeks to get from the spot where Prime Minister's Office refused to say where Trudeau had gone, to knowing exactly where he went and with whom.

It's part of a pattern that's emerged in how this government has dealt with difficult issues, and it goes something like this:

Step 1: Faced with an awkward question, the answer to which might reflect badly on the government, try "Nothing to see here, folks.  Move along."  It's an effective line of argument that always works.  Stick to it.

Step 2: For some reason, given no answers, reporters continue asking the same questions.  This is fine.  They'll stop.

Step 3: They have not stopped.  No need to ponder why.

Step 4: An anonymous official somewhere in the government has spilled the beans.  This is not a problem, if you continue saying nothing, this will go away.

Step 5: The problem has not gone away.  Wait some more.

Step 5-B: If it fits explain yourself with the words "the previous government did it, too."  This excuse works under even the most tenuous of circumstances, so feel free to use it liberally.  (EXTREMELY IMPORTANT: Be sure all "Real Change" decals have been removed from the podium.)

Step 6: Days or weeks later, the problems seem to have gone away, because all the facts are out.  No damage done!  It's time to acknowledge all the details everyone already knows.

Step 7: A new thing has come along, see Step 1.

You can see this process in action right now.  Just this week, the second-in-command of the Canadian Forces was temporarily removed from command.  Why was Vice-Admiral Mark Norman temporarily relieved of his duties?  I'm sure you'll be surprised to know there was no answer offered by Trudeau.  Nor did Chief of Defence Staff Gen. Jonathan Vance, Norman's commander and the man who relieved him, have an answer.

The former head of the Royal Canadian Navy was shown the door for reasons that everyone seemed to agree on, but no one would specify.  The Globe and Mail brings us to Step 4.  Norman was relieved for allegedly leaking information on the Navy's shipbuilding program, the paper reported.  What information?  And leaked to whom?  Good questions, all.  I'm sure we'll find out soon enough.

All this has exposed the soft underbelly to promises of "real change" during the campaign.  It's easy to be transparent and open, when you narrowly frame those things as "talking to Canadians" and "standing up for the middle class."  Trudeau's current cross-country tour fills that frame well.  Sure, it's "campaign-style," but it's a step up from the sort of closed campaigning the previous government was guilty of.  Trudeau's taking legitimately difficult questions from people in the audience.  On balance, it's a good thing.

But going out and meeting people and taking their questions isn't good enough.

Going to high-priced fundraisers with billionares, and saying you're just there to talk up the middle class, isn't good enough.

Approving the sale armoured vehicles to a state as oppressive as Saudi Arabia isn't good enough.  Justifying it by saying the previous government made the deal and you can't break it because that would look bad on Canada, isn't good enough.

Promising to do politics differently and without cynicism, means being open and transparent about everything in government.  If there are things that look bad when people know about them, that's not a sign people shouldn't know about them.  It's a sign you shouldn't be doing those things at all.

None of these things are real change, or politics done different, they're bullshit.

People won't easily give into cynicism when it comes to Trudeau, but once they do the optimism won't come back.  For now the prime minister is facing two interim opposition leaders who have limited ability to paint him as a cynical politician.  But some day that label could stick.  Once it does, there'll be no shaking it.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Last week in what was calculated to appear as a conciliatory gesture, NDP democratic reform critic Nathan Cullen put out a press release offering to "co-draft" the electoral reform bill with new minister Karina Gould, in what he termed as the "spirit of bipartisanship."  His whole release should have raised red flags, but raising the term "bipartisan" is something that should rankle, particularly if you pay a modicum of attention to how politics works in this country.

In trying to play the minister to his own ends, Cullen falls into a particular rhetorical trap that betrays a complete lack of understanding in how politics works in our democratic system.  In particular, it's a signal that stems from those who adopt American political lingo without actually stopping to wonder if it actually applies under our system.  Things like calling for people to be "impeached," or terms like "checks and balances" or "administration" are indications that they've spent too much time absorbing the lessons of our neighbours rather than paying attention to how things work in our own backyard.  "Bipartisan" is another of those, because it's predicated on the way in which American politics works, where their political executive is divorced from their legislative branch, being Congress.

The differences between our system are precisely why "bipartisan" bills don't exist in our system, and in fact, why they should not exist.  This isn't to say that governments can't or shouldn't consult and work with opposition parties to get stuff done they can and do.  But there is a line that cannot be crossed when it comes to the drafting of bills, and Cullen has advocated for its breach.  The drafting of government legislation is a Cabinet responsibility, which is why it's considered a Cabinet confidence.  Those documents, filled with advice, are kept secret for a reason, because confidentiality is part of the system that creates cabinet solidarity, and which allows a government to speak with one voice.  This is an important consideration, and it's also what allows governments to be defeated as a whole rather than have opposition parties pick off individual ministers or the PM him or herself without the rest of the Cabinet in the picture (which is how things work in other systems).

Cullen is looking to cross that divide and improperly insert himself into a government process.  While he considers the drafting process to be done secretly in backrooms, it's done within the Department of Justice by expert lawyers, in confidence.  Cullen is not allowed by law to enter into that process because he's not a member of the Privy Council, and hasn't taken the oath of confidentiality in order to be part of it.  It's also a violation of his own role as a Member of Parliament, and just as he is adopting the Americanism of "bipartisanship," he's also taking on the American notion that he's a lawmaker when that is in fact not his role.  As an MP, it's not his job to govern it's his job to hold the government to account.

This is partly why Cullen's offer is actually dangerous.  Conflating his role with lawmaker diminishes his accountability role in opposition, and yes, this is a real problem.  It's also, sadly, one that is becoming more common as parliamentarians increasingly demand votes on areas that are government prerogatives, like deploying troops or signing treaties.  They are government prerogatives for the reason of ensuring that the government speaks with one voice, and so that they can be held to account for their decisions.  That's how Responsible Government works because the government holds the confidence of the Chamber, they can act with the authority of the Crown, and the Chamber gets to hold them to account.

When the Chamber, however, starts to weigh in on those decisions, they become complicit in them.  As with votes on military deployments, imagine a situation where it was the Commons and not the government who made that decision.  We've seen examples in European countries where that's the case, and when those countries deployed to places like Afghanistan, their troops came laden with caveats that ensure that they would not be put into harm's way that they weren't able to engage in the tough and dangerous work that needed to be done.  That's part of why it fell to Canada and the United States because our governments had the authority to go into a combat situation without the caveats tying their troops' hands.  But say that our troops did go into a combat situation because the House of Commons voted to do so.  And then imagine that something goes wrong as it inevitably does it becomes impossible to hold the government of the day to blame, because they didn't authorise the mission.  The House of Commons did, meaning that their ability to hold the government to account (as they are supposed to) becomes drastically blunted.

Stephen Harper tried to make it policy to launder these decisions with votes of support (as opposed to authorization) in the Commons as a political ploy to implicate his opponents in the decision (as well as to divide the Liberals on the subject, which he was effective at doing).  But this is also where Cullen's suggestion becomes dangerous.  By inserting himself into the process, he is asking to become a willing participant in the laundering of accountability for the drafting of a bill and its disposition.  While he has every intention of trying to showcase it as an example of how a coalition government might work (and trying to assert undue influence in the process to his party's benefit), what he actually winds up doing is ensuring that if and when something goes wrong and with this particular file, it can only go wrong he ensures that he won't be able to be the critic that he's supposed to be on the file.  And while it may sound nice to talk about cooperation and working together, it only shields the government from accountability.

Photo Credit: Macleans

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


One of the conclusions of Kenneth Arrow, who won the 1972 Nobel Prize in economics for his research on voting systems, was that healthy democracies should produce electoral outcomes uncorrupted by "irrelevant variables."  In other words, an obviously pointless act should not exert undue influence over who winds up winning.

In Canada, voting NDP has been a pointless act since the party's inception.  The New Democrats have never come remotely close to winning a federal election, and in our majority-rules parliamentary regime, they've impacted virtually no decision of consequence over the last five decades.  Yet due to quirks in our electoral system, the NDP nevertheless remains the most powerful "irrelevant variable" of Canadian politics.  Their success or failure in wasting votes on the margin exerts enormous consequence in deciding who runs the country.

When the NDP does unusually well, in elections such as 2011, 2006, 1988, and 1984, Conservatives tend to win.  When the NDP does unusually bad, as in 2000 or 1993, the result is a Liberal landslide.  In many ways, the outcome of the 2015 election was determined far more by the failures of the Thomas Mulcair campaign than anything Stephen Harper or Justin Trudeau did.

Though popular legend holds that the Conservatives lost because they "alienated" too many immigrant-heavy ridings with racism or whatever, a look at the data indicates the Tories only won such ridings in 2011 thanks to a divided left.  The Conservative share of the popular vote in these places didn't really decline much between 2011 and 2015 — the NDP vote, however, collapsed amid a Liberal surge.

Jack Layton was a vastly more compelling leader than the woman who came before him and the man who came after.  Though he never did much for the 70%-plus of the country who consistently voted against him, his personality struck some as compelling and his passion as genuine — particularly in contrast to the terrible trio of Liberal leaders he overlapped with.  A substantial slice of anti-Conservative voters struggled with who to support: their hearts said NDP, but their brains said Liberal.  Conservative prospered from this indecision and won three terms in office.

If we accept the premise that Justin Trudeau's electoral coalition contains a lot of former Layton voters (a justified conclusion, given Trudeau's caucus features many MPs from ridings that went NDP in 2011), then any Conservative path back to power will require the emergence of a Layton-esque leader to again temp progressive voters and divide their loyalties.

I nominate Jagmeet Singh for the role.  He's the 37-year-old bearded, turban-clad deputy leader of the Ontario NDP, representing the greater Toronto riding of Bramalea-Gore-Malton in the provincial legislature.

Singh's leftist bona fides are strong.  His Castro eulogy was even more glowing than the prime minister's, and as I write this, the featured video on his website is one offering support for the anti-Israel BDS movement (or at least one opposing opposition to it).

But more than that, as Canada's first nonwhite, non-Christian prime ministerial candidate, he would be brimming with the most potent weapon of progressive division at the moment — identity politics.

A large number of left-wing voters, especially young ones in urban centres, have come to view casting a ballot as an exercise in demonstrating their own virtues, rather than an objective analysis of who can most competently run the country.  In the eyes of such types, Singh's presence in the race for PM will instantly transform the next federal election into a referendum on whether Canada is "ready" to be led by an Indo-Canadian, or whether we live in an irredeemably racist hellhole.  Affecting exaggerated, Obama-style veneration for Singh could offer an unprecedented opportunity for racially anxious leftists to preen their progressiveness.

It would be a direct challenge to Prime Minister Trudeau's standing as the wokest, privilege-checkingest social justice warrior in the room.  Liberal partisans would suddenly find themselves having to make (horrors!) the pragmatic argument for why an incumbent white prime minister was better equipped to address social inequality than some brown back bencher from Queen's Park — a track New Democrats would invariably describe as condescending, if not colonialist, if not outright white supremacy with hints of fascism.

Such internecine squabbling over allyship and intersectionality is not the sort of thing most Canadians care about.  But in a country whose political future rests heavily on irrelevant variables, it could prove a tremendous asset to the right.

Photo Credit: Global News

Written by J.J. McCullough

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


News reports on the popularity of fake news in the past two months have spiked.  Ever since Donald Trump won the election, mainstream media has seized on the narrative that fake news had a large influence on American voters during the last election.

Canadian BuzzFeed News media editor Craig Silverman, who has covered fake news for years, wrote an article entitled "This Analysis Shows How Fake Election News Stories Outperformed Real News On Facebook" a week after the election.  It was this piece, and others by Silverman, that the mainstream press made hay and ran wild with, conflating his findings as proof fake news was rampant online, misinforming the public.

"[I]t's definitely just one slice of the picture and it was therefore unsettling for me to see people take this one data set and declare that it means fake news won Trump the election.  No, it doesn't.  But in the more than two years I've been looking at this kind of content I've never seen it hit this big in such a sustained way," explained Silverman by email.

The New York Times published a frontpage article, "As Fake News Spreads Lies, More Readers Shrug at the Truth", and the rest of the mainstream followed suit, devoting ad nauseum coverage to the supposed rise in fake news.  Then the conspiracy theory of Pizzagate culminated in an armed gunman holding up a pizzeria so he could investigate a non-existant paedophile sextrafficking ring being run in the restaurant's non-existent basement.  The mainstream media's confirmation bias was falsely confirmed by this one story, and another wave of news stories of moral panic over fake news were published.

However, the mainstream media overestimated and ginned up the power fake news sites have on the overall electorate, and some of them conflated Silverman's methodology and findings as their evidence.  A closer look at Silverman's research suggests that the apparent rise and power of fake news has been greatly exaggerated by the mainstream media.

In Silverman's article claiming top fake news outperformed real news on Facebook,  he looked at the amount of Facebook engagement fake election news received compared to real election news.  For his analysis he took the top 20 real and top 20 fake articles from the three time periods of February to April, May to July, and August until election day (Nov. 8).  His analysis concluded that in the last three months of the election, the Facebook engagement of top fake news stories spiked to surpass that of top real news stories.

Reviewing Silverman's raw data, it is mostly accurate, but there are some caveats.

The first exception is Silverman's categorization of some articles.  A Breitbart article and Twitchy article were deemed fake news in his top Facebook-engaged fictional stories published in the last three months of the election.  Although these two articles were hyper-partisan, I wouldn't categorize them as fake because they don't make up their facts from thin air.  And to single out a right-wing publication like Breitbart for one of its more torqued pieces, categorizing it as fake news, meanwhile treating the left-wing hyper-partisan publications like VoxHuffington, etc. as completely legitimate and real news is unfair.  If real news sites, which Breitbart most certainly is one, were all nitpicked for fake news stories then there would most certainly be false stories from all real news outlets.  Just take a look at CNN's many whoppers, like when it told viewers it's illegal for the public to read emails from Wikileaks.

The second exception to Silverman's analysis was the decision to only look at 19 real news sites while not putting a limit on the amount of sites looked at for top fake news stories.  This severe limiting of the real news pool meant some top performing real stories in Facebook engagement were left out from Silverman's analysis.  Even from his list of 19 publications, several top articles in Facebook engagement were left out of Silverman's analysis in the time period of August to election day.  For instance, a Business Insider election article and Huffington Post election article had 747,000 and 537,000 Facebook engagements respectively, and both were not included in the real news category, despite these two publications being included in Silverman's list of 19 real news sites.  The sharp decline of real news in Silverman's chart is exaggerated from the reality.

Although limiting of real news sites to 19 and the omission of several of the top performing articles within Silverman's list skewed Facebook engagement of real news stories to drastically decline, the top 20 fake news articles (in which a few top stories were also overlooked by Silverman as well) would still have likely surpassed and "outperformed" real news stories for Facebook engagement in the last three months of the election.  However, the notion that Facebook engagement numbers of top fake news stories is proof of mass consumption and deception of the American people at large is foolhardy.

The actual popularity of fake news sites pales in comparison to real news sites.  When looking at search engine optimization (SEO), the ranking of fake news sites is underwhelming. Ending the Fed, the most popular fake news site by far, with about 40 per cent of all the Facebook engagement from the top 20 fake election articles from August to election day, merely ranks as the 7,519th most popular site in the world.  Other fake news sites, other than hyper-partisan publication Yes I'm RIght at 2,566th, are way back with rankings like 10,119th, 41,546th, 203,620th, 589,896th, and 5,555,984th.

Real news publications on the other hand, as one would expect, have way more real engagement with actual traffic to their sites.  CNN is 89th, The New York Times is 103rd, Washinton Post is 173rd, and Huffington Post is 182nd.  The only two real news publications on Silverman's list outside the top one-thousand are Vox at 1,311th and New York Daily News at 1,032nd.

Silverman was dismayed that some in the media have conflated his analysis as proof fake news outperforms real news for actual consumption.

"No they definitely don't outperform on a daily basis, and in terms of overall traffic the mainstream sites dwarf them.  I mean, it would be insane if it was any way other than that!  These fake sites are often one-man bands.  They are sometimes run as a hobby or side hustle.  The biggest ones may have a roster of low paid freelancers.  So they cannot compete on a daily or overall traffic basis with big mainstream news sites.  It's really about the hits and the engagement they can get on social for them," said Silverman.

"The way I'd put it is this: It seems crazy that I'd have to keep adding more than 19 of the biggest English-language news websites in the world in order for their content to get more total engagement than the fakes.  These mainstream sites, with big resources, huge FB pages and dedicated social teams, should not be in the same realm as fake news when it comes to engagement on Facebook," explained Silverman.

So why did the top fake news sites get similar or better Facebook engagement than real news sites in the last three months of the election, despite being way less popular than real news in actuality?

First, Facebook engagements include likes, emoticons, comments, shares, and link clicks, all of which can be questioned for the authenticity of whether or not they actually captured a user's interest.  Likes and emoticons mean very little in whether or not a user is actually affected by the content.  Similarly, comments are often left by users who haven't read the article, and sometimes comments are racked up by a few users having conversations or arguments.  There is also the likelihood that these fake news sites have paid bots to increase engagement on their Facebook posts.  Silverman noted that fake news was also spread by users seeding it in Facebook groups, which members would then tactically spread across the internet.  Finally, if Facebook engagement is cheap to come by, and fake news sites can entice interaction by having the most creative and visceral headlines out there (truth is no impediment), then it's unsurprising that fake news stories with well-executed promotion and attention-grabbing headlines could begin trending on Facebook's trending news module (more on how that was able to happen below), which would then further skyrocket the fake stories' engagement.

Second, in late August Facebook fired its trending news team after it was reported by Gizmodo that the human curators suppressed legitimate conservative news from the trending module.  With the removal of human editors, Facebook relied on an algorithm to choose its trending news stories.  From that point up until the election, fake news stories began breaking into Facebook's trending news list.  Most of the top 20 fake news articles from August to election day on Silverman's list were published after the trending news team were fired, suggesting that fake news engagement may have proliferated because there were no gatekeepers removing fake news from Facebook's influential trending news module (44 per cent of Americans get their news from Facebook) during this time period.

Silverman disagrees there is a correlation between the rise in fake news's Facebook engagement after the removal of human curators of the trending news module (created in 2014).

"I don't think the two are connected.  Those editors worked only on Trending and that product is still fairly new and not a huge driver of traffic.  It's really all about the News Feed when it comes to getting traffic and exposure for your content on Facebook, and that is a totally different product.  (Though my understanding is that the Trending algorithm takes signals from the News Feed algorithm.)"

Whether or not the removal of the curators was a main reason fake news stories engagement spiked in the last two months is impossible to verify since Facebook is secretive on its internal numbers and overall performance of its site.

Nevertheless, the amount of people tricked by fake news stories is verifiable.  In another BuzzFeed piece, Silverman analyzed an Ipsos poll, which asked 3,015 American adults about real and fake news stories.  Silverman found that an average of 75 per cent of respondents who were familiar with fake news stories believed in the lies.  However, only about 17 per cent of respondents on average had heard of the fake news stories, so only an average of 12.5 per cent Americans polled were actually duped by a fake news story.  A significant portion to be sure, but not nearly enough to justify the mainstream media's overblown moral panic over the issue.  One can find at least 12.5 per cent of the American population believe much more ludicrous things than fake news.

Now that Facebook is designating ABC News, Politifact, FactCheck, and Snopes as fact-checkers, fake news engagement should wane from the inevitable crackdown on fake news.  What Facebook users should now watch for is if these left-wing organizations begin once again suppressing conservative news stories, as well as other digital start-up competitors.

The real fake news dilemma comes not from a sudden rise in Facebook engagement of these low-budget hoax sites, but rather where fake news has always been the most powerful and deadly, from within the mainstream media itself.

The Washington Post alone has published a slew of egregiously false news stories within the last two months. In one story, the paper had to publish this embarrassing retraction: "An earlier version of this story incorrectly said that Russian hackers had penetrated the U.S. electric grid.  Authorities say there is no indication of that so far.  The computer at Burlington Electric that was hacked was not attached to the grid."

Another Washington Post article entitled "Russian Propaganda Effort Helped Spread 'fake news' during election, experts say" irresponsibly relied heavily on a hyper-partisan PropOrNot's phony blacklist of fake news sites (including Breitbart and other real news sites PropOrNot deemed political enemies), despite the group's amateur website and the members hiding behind anonymity.  In a delicious bit of irony, the Post's story on fake news sites turned out to be fake news itself.  The paper was forced to include an editor's note in which the paper distanced itself from the dubious PropOrNot and its phony blacklist.

Less amusing fake news stories are ones that have been used to manufacture public consent.  Who could forget the false cries of "weapons of mass destruction" used as an excuse to invade Iraq?  How about Ben Rhodes, Obama's former deputy national security adviser for strategic communications, bragging about how he duped the press into reporting the false narratives the administration fed them?  Or more recently, the extremely blown out of proportion stories about Russia "hacking the election", stories with no real evidence other than intelligence agencies' and anonymous sources' blusterous claims.

If anything should be learned from the mainstream press's hyperventilation over these fake news stories it is that no news outlet is omniscient and the reader should remain ever vigilant and skeptical of all news sources.

Written by Graeme C. Gordon

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.