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Calgary Mayor Naheed Nenshi updates on the COVID-19 situation in Calgary on April 29, 2021.

This whole city is a COVID-19 hot spot now, says Calgary Mayor Naheed Nenshi, so there’s not much sense in

targeting any one area

.

“Every neighbourhood in the city is well above India,” he said Thursday, referring to the infection rate per 100,000 people.

Nenshi was trying his best to get the city’s complete attention. With comments like that, it might have worked.

The mayor feels that many people are too complacent after a year of cascading emergencies.

The arrival of vaccines feeds that leisurely attitude, sometimes with a bit of help from the province.

Just get your shot and comply, Premier Jason Kenney has urged, and we’ll soon have “the best summer in Alberta’s history.”

The premier wasn’t making that promise Thursday. Rather, he announced

"hot-spot" measures for areas with high case counts

, including Calgary.

By no coincidence, many of his rural MLAs from areas with low case numbers were demanding exemptions from provincewide measures.

But the mayor and the premier pressed the same message about the extreme danger of the new COVID-19 surge.

It was reinforced by chief medical officer of health Dr. Deena Hinshaw, who is isolating with a sore throat and appeared from home.

Nenshi says vaccines will win the long-term war, but the virus still dominates and could quickly roar out of control.

If that happens, he says, “there are not a lot of moves left on the chessboard.”

By the numbers, he’s absolutely right. Infections in Calgary are higher now than they were in the January peak of the second wave, and that was far worse than last spring.

But the feeling on the streets and patios is that we’re already through this, not much to worry about.

 Calgarians walk and enjoy the patios on Stephen Avenue Mall on Monday, April 26, 2021.

Nenshi counters that there’s never been a higher chance of getting sick.

He spoke of a friend who got vaccinated, and then a few days later fell ill and ended up in ICU.

That’s just awful luck. Maybe the friend was infected even before getting the shot.

But one suspects that a lot of people, after they get that first shot, are behaving as if it’s all good.

The premier and the mayor both say they understand the extreme frustration many people feel. Nenshi, a superb crisis communicator, is just a lot more vivid about it.

“You can hate the prime minister, you can hate the premier, you can hate the mayor,” Nenshi says — but for now, please listen up and comply.

The reality is that Alberta is facing a whole new kind of pandemic. Our daily case rate is the second highest in all of Canada and the U.S., after Michigan.

Last year, the constant message was that the crisis would end once the horrible carnage among the elderly was contained.

Today, there’s no longer a pandemic for Albertans 70 and older, but we’re in worse trouble than ever.

During the week of April 21 to 27, there were only 272 new cases among those 70 and over.

That’s the power of vaccination.

But in the same week, 2,236 new cases were recorded among those aged 30 to 39.

The numbers are almost as high for Albertans aged 20 to 29 (1,992) and 40 to 49 (1,884).

Every younger age group is afflicted — even infants.

Sixty-seven children under age one caught COVID-19.

The illness also hit 462 children aged one to four, and 705 among those five to nine years old.

Young children don’t get very ill, we are told. Thank heavens for that, anyway.

On Thursday, the province announced vaccinations down to age 50, as well as shots for many specific groups.

The health measures have also been somewhat tightened up again, at least for most key cities. There is talk of curfews if they’re warranted and municipalities ask for them.

Once again, the province says that when vaccination is widespread, this nightmare will be over.

Maybe this time Albertans will believe it when they finally see it.

Meanwhile, there’s not much choice for reasonable people — get vaccinated and pay real attention to the restrictions.

Don Braid's column appears regularly in the Herald

dbraid@postmedia.com

Twitter:

@DonBraid

Facebook:

Don Braid Politics


Former lawmaker and barrister Martin Lee arrives at West Kowloon court ahead of a sentencing hearing on April 16 in Hong Kong. Seven prominent democratic figures, including Lee, Apple Daily founder Jimmy Lai, and Margaret Ng, were convicted of unauthorized assembly.

The silence is deafening from a Canadian government paralyzed and unwilling to say anything that might offend China, whether it’s the genocide of Uyghur people or a new Hong Kong law that could bar people, including foreigners, from leaving the territory.

Of course, there are the “Two Michaels” — Canadians Kovrig and Spavor, arbitrarily detained in retaliation for the arrest of Huawei executive Meng Wanzhou — who have been in jail for 872 days. It is horrific for them and their families.

By all appearances, China is winning this hostage-diplomacy war.

Come Aug. 1, the more than 300,000 Canadians living in Hong Kong will no longer be assured that they will be able to leave, especially if they were among the more than a million people who participated in the many peaceful pro-democracy marches and rallies in 2019.

Hong Kong’s puppet government passed legislation earlier this week giving its immigration department broad powers to forbid people from leaving, including tourists or other foreign nationals. For those whose exit is barred, there will be no independent review process of the decisions.

Intentionally vague, the legislation is an extension of the draconian National Security Law imposed last summer. Under it, there have already been high-profile convictions of democracy activists, including Martin Lee, publisher Jimmy Lai, Albert Ho and Yeung Sum on a variety of charges from unlawful assembly to subversion, separatism, and colluding with foreign forces.

Canada’s silence isn’t because passage of the immigration law was unexpected. If there is a surprise, it’s the muted response from Chinese-Canadian activists, who warned of this months ago. There is a weariness brought on by the federal government’s reticence.

Activists recently tried and failed to get Liberal support for a motion condemning the Uyghur genocide — it was passed unanimously with Liberals abstaining.

Ongoing efforts to get Canada to follow other countries’ lead by blacklisting companies linked to the Chinese government and its military have so far resulted in nothing.

It is worth noting that the Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board has a $57-million stake in the state-owned China National Offshore Oil Corporation, a company on the U.S. list of companies that institutional investors are forbidden to invest in.

Also to no effect has been the lobby to get Canada to use its existing laws that allow it to sanction Chinese individuals who have committed human rights abuses or been involved in significant corruption.

“We’re just tired, that’s all,” said Jody Chan, the advocacy and governmental affairs director for Alliance Canada Hong Kong. “We’re currently preparing our testimony for the foreign affair’s subcommittee on international human rights, so we’re taxed. We’re also super-drained from the onslaught of attacks from trolls and United Front (Chinese government) actors.”

In a February

brief

to the parliamentary standing committee on citizenship and immigration, the alliance urged the government to prepare for Hong Kong’s immigration law by creating a dedicated asylum pathway for those fleeing prosecution or persecution, modifying private sponsorship and family reunification allowing extended family to resettle here, expediting the backlog of new and pending claims, and devising a plan to support Canadians and their families who need to renew permanent residence status or make applications.

Those measures were echoed by Canadian Labour Congress president Hassan Yussuff, and Winnie Ng, chair of the Toronto Association for Democracy in China, in an opinion piece published this week.

Nothing has been done.

It has left many Hongkongers — Canadian passport holders, permanent residency card holders, and others — in a fearful quandary.

If immigration lawyer Richard Kurland is asked by Hong Kong-Canadians for advice, he tells them to apply now to extend their passports while they can, have all of their Hong Kong-issued documents in hand (birth certificates, school records, etc.), and open Canadian bank accounts.

Contrast this with Britain. In January, it opened its doors to the estimated five million Hongkongers with British National Overseas cards, who account for 70 per cent of Hong Kong’s population. They can now live and work there, and after five years apply for citizenship.

Britain budgeted $102 million to create a dozen "Welcome Hubs" across the country to help new arrivals find homes, schools, jobs, or to set up a business.

Sounds a bit like what Canada did in 2016 in response to the Syrian refugee crisis, doesn’t it?

Aside from it being the right thing to do from a humanitarian perspective, Britain’s government figures it will mean a much-needed $68.5-billion boost to its economy.

So, here’s a thought: If the Liberal government can’t get onboard with the purely humanitarian response of ensuring Hong Kong-Canadians make it safely home or take a principled human rights response to persecution of democracy activists, maybe a crass economic argument might hold some sway.

Already, Canada has benefitted from turmoil in the once-vibrant global financial centre. Last summer, after the National Security Law was passed, there was a surge in capital flowing out of Hong Kong. Last year, Reuters reported that electronic money transfers from Hong Kong to Canada hit a record high, at nearly $43.6 billion, according to FINTRAC, Canada’s anti-money laundering agency.

The target for the Liberal government’s recently announced immigration plan is 400,000 newcomers every year for the next three years.

It seems obvious that Canada should be making every self-interested effort to bring Hong Kong-Canadians back, as well as encouraging any other young, skilled and entrepreneurial Hongkongers to comes here.

Of course, there are the Two Michaels. But kowtowing to China’s hostage diplomacy hasn’t done anything to get them home, or even gained them regular consular visits.

No wonder the activists are weary.

dbramham@postmedia.com

Twitter:

@bramham_daphne


Defence Minister Harjit Sajjan announces a review into military sex misconduct during a livestream during a virtual news conference, in Ottawa, Thursday, April 29, 2021.

OTTAWA – “A disappointment,” “frustrating” and “cruel” were just some of the comments levelled at Defence Minister Harjit Sajjan’s announcement Thursday of yet another review into sexual misconduct in the Canadian military.

Flanked by senior Department of National Defence (DND) and Canadian Armed Forces (CAF) officials, Sajjan announced that the government was tapping former Supreme Court justice and United Nations human rights czar Louise Arbour to lead a new review of the military handling of sexual misconduct at large. The move comes six years after former Supreme Court justice Marie Deschamps tabled an explosive report on the same issue.

“Announcements don’t make change. Our actions do,” Sajjan said Thursday.

But his announcement was met with blistering comments from analysts — and one victim of sexual assault in the military — who said it was six years too late.

Michel Drapeau, a well-known military law expert who has represented dozens of CAF members in sexual misconduct cases, said Sajjan does not have the moral authority to stay on as defence minister.

“This was a major, major, major disappointment. It could not be any more major than that. It’s been a failure upon failure. Deschamps’ report was exhaustive and precise, with significant recommendation, and DND failed to act on it,” he said. “We’ve known about these issues for 30 years, and I think we’re worse off now.”

Carleton University assistant professor Leah West, herself a victim of sexual assault in the military, said on social media that Sajjan has “no credibility” on this issue after “he ignored complaints of misconduct about those previously responsible for implementing change in the CAF.”

In a later interview, she said the steps announced by Sajjan are good news coming well too late.

“Obviously, this needs to happen. But it needed to happen five years ago. It should have happened at the time of the Deschamps report, and it didn’t. And now it’s happening at a time when this issue has been elevated to a level of political scandal,” she said.

“I find that quite frustrating, because failing to act after the Deschamps report sends a signal to those in the Canadian Armed Forces that leadership didn’t think this was an issue, which further exacerbates the problem.”

National security expert and Carleton associate professor Stephanie Carvin was seething after the announcement, saying that the government’s plan was “mind-boggling” and “makes things worse” by ordering another review so shortly after the Deschamps report.

“This just seems to be a way of kicking the can down the road and for the minister to avoid not only responsibility, but trying to make the issue go away. And that’s very cruel to the women, and in some cases, the men, who’ve been through this,” she said.

Arbour’s job will be to deliver an “independent external comprehensive review of current policies, procedures, programs, practices and culture within the CAF and the DND” in order to “shed light on the causes for the continued presence of harassment and sexual misconduct,” read the review’s terms of reference.

She is also tasked with: recommending how the government should set up a misconduct reporting system that is independent of the chain of command, with reviewing the military justice system and with determining how best to transform the culture at DND and CAF.

In many ways, Arbour’s job will be to figure out how to implement some of the recommendations made by Deschamps, whose 2015 review concluded that there needed to be an independent centre to hold the military to account for sexual assault and harassment.

 Louise Arbour in 2018.

In a statement sent to multiple media, Deschamps said she welcomes Arbour’s nomination.

“From what I read, her mandate appears to be broader than the one I was given. This would not be a mere repetition of what I did,” she said.

The announcement comes amid two and a half months of controversy for the Trudeau government and Sajjan, who have been repeatedly accused of mishandling a sexual misconduct allegation targeting Canada’s former top soldier Jonathan Vance since 2018.

During the press conference, the defence minister said he was “truly sorry” to all members of CAF and every employee at DND who have not felt supported by their employer after being a victim of sexual harassment and violence.

“It is clear, we have not lived up to our responsibility to protect members from misconduct,” said Sajjan. “We know we must transform the culture of the defence team to one of dignity and respect. And we need to put in place an external reporting outside of the chain of command to begin rebuilding confidence.”

DND and CAF leadership also announced that Lt-Gen. Jennie Carignan would head a new organization within the chain of command tasked with “creating the conditions for cultural transformation” and coordinating reform efforts throughout the military.

• Email: cnardi@postmedia.com | Twitter:


OTTAWA – With a new surge of vaccines set to come in May, Quebec and Ontario announced plans Thursday to open appointments to people of any age group within just a few weeks.

Quebec’s Health Minister Christian Dubé said in French that “victory is within our reach” as he announced the plan Thursday, which will see age groups who can book vaccine appointments drop every two days beginning on Friday.

It will begin with people aged 50 to 59 and then descend in five-year age brackets every two days until May 14, when all Quebecers over 18 years of age will be eligible.

Ontario made a similar announcement with its plans to open up appointments to everyone over the age of 18 around May 24. The province’s Health Minister Christine Elliott said with supply finally becoming significant and stable, Ontario could start broad vaccinations.

“The way out of the pandemic is vaccines, and the light at the end of the tunnel grows brighter every day,” she said.

Ontario’s plan has vaccine age brackets moving down on a

week-by-week basis

, starting with people over 50 the week of May 3, followed by those over 40 the week of May 10, over 30 on May 17 and then open to all adults on May 24.

Assuming Ontario and Quebec’s target is followed by other provinces, Canada will reach the milestone where vaccines appointments are available to everyone, of any age group, about a month after the target was reached in the United States on April 19.

Ontario is also diverting half of its vaccine supply to hotspot areas over the next two weeks. Ontario’s science panel had advised a four-week focus on hotspots in a move to control rising cases there. The provincial Solicitor General Sylvia Jones said they’re confident this will have an impact on the high rates in areas like Peel region, west of Toronto.

“The belief is that by doing it for two weeks, very aggressively, not taking any vaccines away from the other public health units, we can actually really beat down the positivity rates within those communities.”

Jones said she is also confident the province can administer the surge of new vaccines.

“We are confident that because of the many pathways we have, and opportunities for people to access the vaccine, we will be able to get it into people’s arms very quickly.”

Ontario will receive about 780,000 doses of the Pfizer vaccine per week and has about two million people in their 50s and 1.8 million in their 40s. Many of the people in those age groups have been vaccinated already, either because of medical conditions, jobs, or they live in hotspot communities or with with the AstraZeneca vaccine.

There are roughly 1.7 million Ontario residents in their 30s and about the same in their 20s. The government expects to offer a first vaccine to everyone by late June.

Elliott said she also hopes they will be able to move up second shots for people who have already receive a first dose.

Quebec will receive about 450,000 doses of Pfizer per week and has about 1.2 million people in their 50s and approximately one million in each ten-year age bracket under that. 

Both Quebec and Ontario are using projected shipments of Pfizer and Moderna vaccines as the basis of the new schedule. Beginning next week, Canada is set to receive just over two million doses of Pfizer a week, which will rise to 2.5 million doses in June.

Moderna delivered a shipment of 650,000 doses this week, which are now being sent to the provinces and Maj.-Gen. Dany Fortin, who is overseeing the federal vaccine rollout, said the government expects another one million doses the week of May 10.

Moderna’s 650,000-dose shipment was delayed and also nearly half the size it was expected to be as the company deals with manufacturing challenges. It is contracted to deliver 12.3 million doses before the end of June, but even with the mid-May shipments it will have only delivered 2.5 million doses.

Fortin said the company has assured the government they will make up most of the lost ground and should be ready soon to provide large, consistent deliveries.

“They assure us now that they’re coming out of this strong. They’ve increased their production. They’re aiming to provide as many doses as possible,” he said.

Fortin said they were working out the details with the company and hoped to have more information soon about future Moderna deliveries.

“We’re looking at increasing frequency and having predictable quantities on a regular basis so that we can plan and execute effectively the immunization plans.”

Neither province is factoring in Johnson & Johnson, which delivered 300,000 doses of its one-shot vaccine on Wednesday or AstraZeneca which has delivered about 2.3 million doses so far. While Canada expects more deliveries of both those companies’ vaccines in the months ahead, there are no firm delivery dates.

• Email: rtumilty@postmedia.com | Twitter:


Former Bank of England (and Canada) governor Mark Carney damned Canada's latest federal budget with faint praise.

The reception that greeted last week’s federal budget from fiscal conservatives was predictable. If you agree with American tax reduction advocate Grover Norquist that government should be shrunk down to a size where it can be drowned in a bathtub, you probably didn’t appreciate a budget that will send federal net debt levels to $1.4 trillion within five years.

The Trudeau government can brush off such criticism as ideological and partisan. It will find it harder to discount the reaction from an officer of Parliament and from respected economists who have been allies and colleagues in the past.

The critique coming from the Parliamentary Budget Officer, Yves Giroux; from two former Bank of Canada governors – David Dodge and Mark Carney, and from former senior Liberal adviser, Robert Asselin, is that a budget that claims to build prosperity for the future

overstates the amount of growth

it is likely to generate.

Giroux told the finance committee on Tuesday that a chunk of the $101 billion the government touted as economic stimulus was in reality a continuation of existing COVID-19 support measures.

Dodge told the Globe and Mail this week that a budget which positioned itself as being pro-growth does not invest much in growing Canada’s economic capacity at all. “My policy criticism of the budget is that it really does not focus on growth,” he said. “To me it wouldn’t accord with something that was a reasonably prudent fiscal plan, let me put it that way.”

He said that of the $100 billion billed as being a catalyst for growth, he estimates that only $25 billion adds to public or private investment, with the rest increasing consumption.

Those will be painful words for Chrystia Freeland to hear, given Dodge has been something of an intellectual godfather for the Trudeau Liberals. His endorsement of the use of temporary deficits to finance productivity-enhancing infrastructure investments were emblazoned on the Liberal policy platform in 2015.

The finance minister might have expected a more ringing endorsement from Carney, the godfather to one of her children and someone who appeared at the recent Liberal convention saying he would do what he could to help the party. The former Bank of England governor appeared on the Herle Burly podcast this week, with former Paul Martin adviser David Herle, and damned the budget with faint praise.

He talked about how COVID has accelerated “the digital and sustainable revolutions” and how the budget did “some things” to push the economy in that direction. “But it’s going to take more than one budget. I don’t think the government would pretend otherwise that this is job done,” he said. “In my judgment, this was a hybrid budget, in that it had to conquer COVID by doing important things on the social side and to start growth. What we are seeing in some other jurisdictions is that the focus is more squarely on the growth. And when the focus is more squarely on growth, more and more spending is direct government investment or the type of taxes and other measures that encourage private investment to (create) the growth in jobs and income that we need down the road.”

Even with Carney’s fancy footwork, it’s plain he would have preferred more investment and less spending.

Asselin, a former budget and policy adviser to Trudeau’s first finance minister, Bill Morneau, is more blunt in his assessment. He labelled the short-term stimulus as “a political solution in search of an economic problem” in an article in The Hub, a new online commentary website.

He pointed out that the budget assumes economic growth of 5.8 per cent this year, four per cent next year, before moderating to two per cent for the rest of the forecast horizon. He criticized the lack of a coherent growth plan, with the bulk of innovation funding going into a Strategic Innovation Fund that has been neither strategic nor innovative. “Does it drive business investment and make our firms more competitive? Nobody has ever tried to answer this question seriously in Ottawa,” he said.

Asselin spoke from experience when he said the most likely outcome of the stimulus spending is “long queues of ministers and their senior officials in line at Treasury Board meetings with their budget submissions.”

The budget has added “layers of duplication and bureaucratic complexity to a system that was not known for its nimbleness and agility,” he said.

In addition to the prospect of disappointing growth numbers, all four economists acknowledged the inherent risk of soaring debt loads.

Giroux pointed out that, even with a new fiscal anchor that aims to reduce debt to GDP levels from a high of 51.2 per cent, there is no intention to reduce that ratio to pre-pandemic levels in the low-30s. He said the government has decided to effectively stabilize the federal net debt ratio at a higher level through to 2055, with all the implications that follow for future fiscal room.

 Former Bank of Canada governor David Dodge’s criticism will be painful for Chrystia Freeland to hear, given he has been something of an intellectual godfather for the Trudeau Liberals.

Dodge said that, while the rising debt burden is a concern, it is not yet a problem – and won’t become one as long as interest rates remain lower than growth.

On the rising debt level, Carney said “just because something is possible, doesn’t mean it is optimal.” He pointed out if the growth strategy is successful, it will force interest rates to rise, which will have a knock-on impact on debt servicing costs. The PBO has estimated that a one per cent rise in interest rates would cost $4.5 billion more in the first year and an increase of $12.8 billion by year five.

But while most economists agree the debt is manageable, there is a sense of missed opportunity in the budget. Asselin accused the government of contriving a false economic premise to justify spending on “unfocused and unimaginative structural spending.”

All would clearly like to see more public capital investment, more incentives for private investment or, ideally, both.

Instead, we have a federal government that is failing to create the conditions needed to make Canada the best place in the world to do business.

Just three days after the budget, Canadian chip maker Alphawave decided to move its headquarters to the U.K., and issue shares on the London Stock Exchange to fund a new research centre in Cambridge, England.

That’s not Ottawa’s fault necessarily but it isn’t helping.

An additional $12 billion to bolster Old Age Security in the budget is good news for seniors but it does very little to catalyze long-term growth.

• Email: jivison@postmedia.com | Twitter:


Ford poses with Kenney at the Ontario Legislature in Toronto on May 3, 2019 (CP/Chris Young)

Opinion polls show the patience of Canadians towards their elected officials is growing thin. Although some leaders in this country are faring better than others, the overall tendency of the past months is crystal clear: Satisfaction of the handling of the pandemic is trending downward virtually everywhere, according to the bi-weekly Léger tracker for The Canadian Press.




Let us start with satisfaction towards the federal government. While roughly two-thirds of respondents claimed to be satisfied with Justin Trudeau’s Liberals back in the fall of 2020, the latest numbers show a statistical tie between satisfied (49 per cent) and dissatisfied (47 per cent) voters. Yet, outside of Atlantic Canada (65 per cent satisfied), the data shows only modest regional contrast between most satisfied (Québec and the Prairie provinces at 51 per cent) and least satisfied. As is often the case, it is in Alberta where the poll measures the highest dissatisfaction towards Ottawa: 44 per cent satisfied and 52 per cent dissatisfied.


Perhaps it is a direct consequence of the how intense this third wave of virus has hit certain parts of the country. Léger measures significant contrasts in satisfaction towards provincial governments. Once again Atlantic Canada comes out on top with 79 per cent satisfaction on average (Atlantic provinces are merged together in these polls because their individual sample size would make the data not statistically relevant). West of Fredericton, only Quebec and British Columbia show net positive numbers for their handling of the pandemic this week:



At the bottom of this list are the conservative governments of Alberta, Ontario, Manitoba and Saskatchewan.

Let us take a closer look at the progression of satisfaction ratings for premiers of the four most populous provinces.

The case of Doug Ford is especially intriguing. Before the pandemic reached our borders, the numbers clearly showed Ford was a polarizing and unpopular premier, with approval ratings stagnating in the low to mid-30s. Then, as COVID-19 infections started spreading in the spring of 2020, polls indicated many Ontarians rallied around the leader, and Ford’s approval numbers skyrocketed. While his approval remained high throughout Year One of the pandemic, Ford’s numbers showed a gradual decline throughout the fall and winter, but still with scores still above 50 per cent mark:



[On the graph below and above, the dots indicate the poll results; the shaded areas depict simple rolling averages.]

But then, just as the province saw a dramatic spike in cases in early April and was forced to go back to another lockdown, the wheels came off for Ford. The premier’s misguided decision to forbid several outdoor activities deemed low-risk by public health experts was clearly not well received by many Ontario voters: Ford’s approval fell by 17 points in the span of two weeks, and the latest numbers show he has not yet recovered. (Ford later walked back some of these measures and offered a tearful apology.)

François Legault remains once again near the top of the list with 70 per cent of Quebecers satisfied with his handling of the pandemic. While most of Quebec is still to this day under the strictest restrictions in the country (here in Montreal, we have been almost a full three months under an 8 p.m. curfew), Legault continues to be among the most appreciated premiers in the country. Legault’s handling of the pandemic has not been without bumps on the road, but the very fact that his satisfaction rating still hangs in the high 60s and low 70s one full year into the pandemic is testament to his and his team’s communication skills (and to a weak opposition at the National Assembly, but more on this in a future column).



British Columbia Premier John Horgan is one of three premiers in Canada who took his party from minority rule to a majority during the pandemic. Horgan’s numbers have remained high throughout 2020 (often only second to Legault). In July, Horgan’s approval was a stunning 87 per cent. Just after his re-election in October, 72 per cent of B.C. voters approved of his handling of the pandemic. The numbers have been slowly slipping since, but still a majority of British Columbians (55 per cent) approve of his work according to Léger’s latest tracker:



In Alberta, although Jason Kenney’s approval numbers hung around those of fellow premiers for the first months of the pandemic, many Alberta voters have soured to his premiership since. In fact, Rachel Notley’s NDP has even led Kenney’s UCP in every opinion poll in Alberta since December (see full list here).



As for Albertans’ satisfaction of his handling of the pandemic, Kenney has found himself near or at the bottom of the premier list on several occasions since December, with a satisfaction rating hovering near the 30-per cent mark. After a modest recovery in March, his score fell back down and now sits at 30 per cent approval.

However, unlike other provinces in Canada, dissatisfaction with Alberta’s provincial government comes from all sides of the political spectrum. According to the latest numbers from the Angus Reid Institute, 45 per cent of Alberta voters believe the current restrictions “go too far”, and 42 per cent believe they “don’t go far enough”. Only 12 per cent Albertans believe the restrictions are just right.

Nevertheless, vaccination is picking up speed in Canada. Infection rates among the vaccinated population remains incredibly low, so there is ample empiric evidence that the vaccines, so far, do work. By summer, it is not unlikely that polls will study the opinion of Canadians not on their leaders’ handling of the pandemic, but on their post-COVID recovery plan.

Follow 338Canada on Twitter.

The post 338Canada: Our patience is wearing thin appeared first on Macleans.ca.


Dan Rodriquez, owner of restaurant Las Margaritas.

The B.C. government will provide relief to businesses hit by the speculation and vacancy tax on the airspace above their premises.

Finance Minister Selina Robinson unveiled the government actions Thursday morning, three weeks after

Postmedia News revealed

some small businesses in Vancouver were facing the speculation and vacancy tax because the unbuilt development potential above their heads had been reclassified from commercial to residential space. Small businesses and their advocates decried the unfairness of what they dubbed the “air tax.”

“We will temporarily remove the speculation and vacancy tax liability for 2020 for property owners that meet certain conditions,” Robinson said in a statement Thursday.

The B.C. NDP introduced the speculation and vacancy tax in 2018 to target empty and underutilized homes and residential properties. But the tax also applies to the airspace above some small businesses, whose commercial landlords had, years ago, reclassified the unbuilt development potential to “residential,” in order to reduce property taxes, which are typically paid by the tenant businesses. In May 2019,

Postmedia first reported

it appeared the design of the tax meant it would eventually apply to this airspace.

The B.C. government has estimated only about 60 properties in the province are affected.

“The purpose of the speculation and vacancy tax is to bring much-needed residential housing supply to the market,” Robinson said. “We encourage property owners who have reclassified their properties with unbuilt airspace as ‘residential’ to continue in the development process to deliver needed housing supply in dense, urban areas.”

But while the tax relief is welcome, Robinson’s call for the redevelopment of these properties was “concerning,” said Paul Sullivan, a Vancouver-based property tax expert who has advocated on behalf of the affected property owners and tenants, first helping some of them reclassify their airspace through the courts in 2014.

Most of these properties are one- or two-storey shops and restaurants on commercial streets, such as longtime West 4th Avenue eatery Las Margaritas. If Robinson wants these landlords to redevelop those properties to build housing that will presumably mean the closure of existing businesses such as Las Margaritas, said Sullivan, a principal with global property tax firm

Ryan

. “Her interpretation of the intended outcome will wipe out a lot of our community retail as we know it.”

Still, with this tax relief, the NDP government “did the right thing,” Sullivan said. “That’s the bottom line.”

To apply for the tax relief, eligible property owners or commercial tenants should contact the Ministry of Finance at 1-833-554-2323.

dfumano@postmedia.com

twitter.com/fumano


Joe Biden says China is coming for the U.S. and the Politburo thinks democracies can't match the focus of tyrannies.  Which is true.  If only he understood why they're wrong.

As you can imagine, I'm going to give Biden the knucklebone shampoo here.  But first let me praise him for being old-school.  Which progressives despise.  But one thing I like about Biden, first elected to the Senate in 1972, is that he's about the last Cold War liberal left standing.

On domestic policy he's not so much liberal as all-in woke socialist.  (Hey, I said I was going to heckle him.)  But on foreign policy he still has those Henry Jackson instincts that America is better than its rivals and if they want a fight he's ready.

He's warned Putin on cyberwar.  And he claims he told Xi Jinping the U.S. will stay strong in Asia as in Europe "not to start conflict but to prevent one."  Which rather echoes President James Garfield's splendid phrase "Of course I deprecate war, but if it is brought to my door, the bringer will find me home."

By the way Garfield, a successful Civil War general and according to Candice Millard's Destiny of the Republic a splendid human being, was elected in 1880.  (And tragically assassinated by a lunatic in 1881.)  Some ideas don't grow old.  Including freedom.

Still, I'm quite concerned about what Biden thinks it means.  "China and other countries are closing in fast.  We have to develop and dominate the products and technologies of the future," Biden declared.  And then, in what the National Post said "drew some of the strongest applause of the evening" added "There is simply no reason the blades for wind turbines can't be built in Pittsburgh instead of Beijing."

If that's your idea of American exceptionalism we're badly off track.  Not because wind turbines are ugly and don't work very well.  But because they're a classic emblem not of freedom but of big-government, centrally-planned, heavily-subsidized stupidity.  Let the Politburo win that race, I say.  America didn't become a world leader in cars, the film industry or high tech because of central planning.

Ah but that was then, some say.  So at the risk of annoying progressives, Biden's concern that Xi Jinping "and others, autocrats, think that democracy can't compete in the 21st Century, with autocracies," is not about the 21st century.  It's old news.  Stalin and Brezhnev thought so, and it worried conservatives and excited liberals like John Kenneth Galbraith and Paul Samuelson who both proclaimed the Soviet economy a success in the 1980s and wished our governments would be more activist too.  Wuk wuk wuk.

This idea was also the subject of Friedrich Hayek's splendid if largely impenetrable 1944 The Road to Serfdom, dedicated rather pointedly to "the socialists of all parties".  Hayek warned that the Anglosphere was abandoning the liberty that had made it dynamic, prosperous and secure in the deluded belief that central planning was a better way to achieve key priorities.  And is that not Biden's credo?

As the Post also noted, "Seeking a historic reshaping of the U.S. economy, Biden laid out plans to tax wealthy Americans and corporations, in order to fund massive investments in infrastructure, education, and low-income and middle-class families."  And at one point in the speech he groused "When you hear someone say that they don't want to raise taxes on the wealthiest 1% and on corporate America ask them: whose taxes are you going to raise instead, and whose are you going to cut?"  Uh, I'd cut spending.  Did that thought never cross his mind?  Even FDR had some serious concerns about a swollen state and welfare dependency.

I'm not quite sure what to make of Biden's pledge that "America will stand up to unfair trade practices… like subsidies to state-owned enterprises and the theft of American technology and intellectual property".  When Trump started trade "wars" people said it was bad, and not without reason.  But something needs to be done especially about the theft.  Still, let us not get distracted.

On the vital mission of preserving America's strength, let me quote another president addressing Congress nearly two centuries ago: John Quincy Adams.  I realize he was so far behind the times he could write English with one hand and Greek with the other simultaneously and his vice-president was a man.  (Far worse, it was John C. Calhoun.)  But JQA wasn't a total idiot.  And in his First Annual Message on Dec. 6, 1825, he said with penetrating insight that "liberty is power".

Xi Jinping doesn't think so.  But I'm not sure Biden does either.  And that way lies decline.

He may claim, with bloated arrogance, that "Now after just 100 days I can report to the nation: America is on the move again.  Turning peril into possibility.  Crisis into opportunity.  Setback into strength." And after lunch, world peace.  But consider how liberty made the small, foggy British Isles the jest of tyrants from Philip II to Napoleon to Hitler… and then their scourge.

From Louis XIV to Lenin, the enemies of freedom thought limited government and personal liberty brought chaos, selfishness and weakness.  And they were wrong every time.  But once the socialists got control in the UK after 1945, on the same idea, they did what no autocrat ever managed, draining Britain of economic vitality, cultural confidence and geopolitical strength with stunning speed.

If the same happens to America, we're all in huge trouble regardless of Biden's feistiness.

Photo Credit: ABC News

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


U.S. President Joe Biden, center, speaks during a joint session of Congress at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Wednesday, April 28, 2021. Biden will unveil a sweeping $1.8 trillion plan to expand educational opportunities and child care for families, funded in part by the largest tax increases on wealthy Americans in decades, the centerpiece of his first address to a joint session of Congress tonight. (Melina Mara/The Washington Post/Bloomberg /Getty Images)

Joe Biden’s first presidential speech to Congress was heavy on symbolism. The crowd was deliberately thinned for social distancing; the faces flanking him were covered by cloth masks. The president’s speech focused on uplifting but familiar generalities—hope over fear, millionaires paying their fair share, the benefits of big government, America in motion. But one symbol was novel, and impossible to ignore: two women, Vice President Kamala Harris and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, sat on either side of the oldest man elected to the office. Pelosi has been a familiar feature of these speeches, noted for her meme-worthy  applause and acts of defiance. But this is the first time she’s sat next to another woman. This image—itself captured by a female photographer who wrote a book about female politicians—tells the story of a new normal in the United States, one with different standards and expectations. The number of women in Congress has grown steadily and consistently since the 1970s, reaching its current record of 144, comprising 27 per cent of the House. At this rate, the faces of Harris and Pelosi are more than just symbols—they’re part of a tangible movement that’s permanently changing American politics.

The post Kamala Harris and Nancy Pelosi make Biden’s address a historic moment appeared first on Macleans.ca.


Early in April police sent invitations to city councillors to take unannounced tours of the city's big temporary homeless shelter in the Edmonton Convention Centre.

The homeless charities managing the downtown centre sent up red flags.  And well they might.  Whatever the intention of the visits, the optics were bad.  At a time when society is taking a hard look at how police interact with vulnerable populations, this type of initiative looks pretty suspect.

A staffer in councillor Aaron Paquette's office summed it up.

"Councillor Paquette has no interest in participating in an act to catch encampment residents and shelter workers 'off guard' or by surprise, which in our opinion, puts Edmontonians and front line workers at unnecessary risk for COVID-19 transmission.  We would caution against this proposal as action like this borders dangerously on poverty tourism."

Mayor Don Iveson also protested the tours, firing off a letter to the police commission, saying the shelter "cannot become a place where vulnerable people feel unsafe because of surprise inspections by political entourages escorted by armed EPS members in uniform."

He also charged that the attendees arrived without proper PPE and the distraction further stressed workers at the shelter already overstressed by managing pandemic safety.

The police association fired back saying they wore Covid masks and felt the tours offered politicians with an opportunity to see what was really happening in the shelter.  The association demanding an apology from the mayor.  The councillors who took the tour argue they need to know how a facility, which cost taxpayers $10.7 million, is managed, particularly in the face of reports that the centre had become unsafe and was rife with crime.

The debate addresses the privilege of members of the police force who came up with this idea in the first place.  It speaks to their respect for the social workers trying to manage the shelter and their respect for the privacy of the residents.

Not addressed was the much bigger question about the fate of the homeless in the city and whether all of Edmonton's leaders, whether political or law enforcement, have failed the most vulnerable members of society.

The conditions in the convention centre shelter are a moot point since the facility closes at the end of April.  The 24-hour space was always meant to be temporary, addressing the worsening crisis for the homeless precipitated by the pandemic and the need for safe space through the bitter Alberta winter.

Come May, still a chilly month in the city, the residents will need to find places to stay at smaller facilities and churches scattered through the city.

A plan to have a daytime service shelter open in a city-owned building on the northern edge of downtown was voted down after an uproar from already stressed businesses in the area.  Instead, council gave more money to two already operating inner city agencies to increase their hours.

In the past year, as Covid took up all the political and fiscal oxygen, homelessness has increased in Edmonton.  The city's homeless have been dislocated several times, with large tent encampments mushrooming and then being dismantled by the authorities during summer months, and indoor shelter spaces opening, closing and moving around through the winter.

While council and inner-city agencies put loads of effort and money into keeping up, they largely are failing the most vulnerable, who are struggling to stay safe during the pandemic while they are pushed from facility to facility.

There has been some success with transitional housing initiatives, but that takes time, doesn't address the needs of all the homeless and won't offer the supervision that is needed for some residents, particularly those with addiction issues.

Police are understandably frustrated by having to deal with continuing crises in the shelters.  But trying to shake council members into taking some action with spot tours was poorly conceived as a tactic.

Practical solutions which address the safety, stability and human rights of Edmonton's homeless are what's needed.  Politicians, police and social agencies need to face the issue with compassion as well as common sense.

Photo Credit: Global News

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.