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B.C. Premier John Horgan was bursting with pride at the rollout of another plank in his Stronger B.C. program.

VICTORIA — Premier John Horgan’s agenda for Tuesday focused on the $500 million strategic investment fund promised in the NDP election platform.

Jobs Minister Ravi Kahlon tabled the enabling legislation for the InBC Investment Corp. first thing in the morning. Validators from the business and investment community were on tap to endorse the government’s good intentions. The premier was bursting with pride at the rollout of another plank in his Stronger B.C. program.

But as is often the case with John Horgan’s attempts to put the COVID-19 pandemic behind him, the third wave won’t let him go. Almost every question in the followup media conference dealt with loose ends that the premier himself has left dangling: his failed promise to provide paid sick leave for B.C. workers and the still unanswered questions about his restrictions on non-essential travel.

When Horgan finally got a question about InBC, he almost hugged the reporter. “This is an exciting day for British Columbia,” he gushed. “A step into another world and a step out of the pandemic.” He wishes.

The fund, as noted, was announced Sept. 17, on the eve of Horgan’s snap election call. Despite the seven-month lead time, the fund arrived on the legislative agenda only half made up.

The news release vowed that the investments would be guided by a triple-bottom-line mandate, aiming to: 1) Establish B.C. as a globally competitive low-carbon jurisdiction. 2) Promote values that make life better for people in B.C. including job creation, advancing reconciliation with Indigenous Peoples, promoting diversity and inclusion. And 3) achieve a financial return on investment.”

The legislation incorporates only the double-bottom-line mandate set out in the confidential briefing notes for the jobs minister: “1) Investments will aim to achieve a commercial rate of return. And 2) will also be configured to achieve certain specified policy aims. (Defined elsewhere as supporting “the social, economic and environmental policy objectives of the government.”)

The switch from a “commercial” rate of return on investments to a plain old “financial return” of any kind is significant, given plans to provide InBC with half-a-billion-dollars in financing over three years. The revised investment strategy is said to be a “patient” one, meaning a target of five per cent returns, not the 15 to 20 per cent sought by some of the more risky investment funds.

But InBC investments won’t lack for risks according to the service plan: Risks to returns, to the timing of investments and those associated with transforming the organization from its predecessor, the B.C. Immigrant Investor Fund, and changing it into a strategic investment fund with a new and expanded mandate.

“Venture capital is a high-risk asset class that does not afford guaranteed returns,” warns the service plan. “Negative returns may occur in the early years when the investments are being made. Timing and distribution of returns is difficult to predict.”

Nor does the enabling legislation provide much guidance as to how those risks are to be managed and minimized.

The key player will be the chief investment officer (CIO) whose independence is guaranteed in law. “No person other than the CIO or an external fund manager retained by the corporation may make an investment decision. For certainty (they) are not subject to direction from the government, the (jobs) minister, the board or a director, the chief executive officer (administrative) or any other public officer.”

Will the CIO and an outside fund manager really have sole control over the disposition of half-a-billion-dollars in public financing to high-risk ventures? Apparently. Although the government claims investment will be guided by principles laid down in cabinet regulations and board policies, both still to come.

The chief investment officer’s role is said to be modelled on other public sector investment funds such as the B.C. Investment Management Corp., which manages the assets of provincial pension funds. BCIMC managers routinely top the scale in The Vancouver Sun’s annual survey of public sector salaries. The 2020 survey reported investment management CEO Gordon Fyfe was paid $3 million a year.

The New Democrats hastened to say that the InBC CIO won’t be in that league on the pay scale. Still, the province will have to offer premium pay and other incentives to attract someone qualified to manage such a sizable fund within a complex mandate.

The government is budgeting a hefty bill for salaries and benefits at InBC, starting at $1.5 million in the current year and growing to $4 million in Year 3. The New Democrats also plan to lose money. The service plan has InBC going from a $4 million surplus last year to a cumulative $16 million in losses this year and the next two. Now there’s a target government can hit.

Plus, there’s a question mark over the projected total debt of $53 million at the end of the three years: “Forecasted amounts do not include the additional debt required to fund new investments. At this time, the timing and amount of investments is unknown and so forecasting the debt is also not possible. Additional debt will be required in the future” — another keepable promise — “and the amount required and interest rate at that time will impact the future financial results.”

So, another “exciting day for B.C.” as the premier would have it. But some may find it easy to curb their enthusiasm until the New Democrats fill in the blanks about InBC operations.

vpalmer@postmedia.com


Asked why it's taken so long to launch a B.C. program considering the urgency created by the pandemic, Premier John organ said the government wants to ensure the program is delivered in a way that protects workers and doesn't saddle businesses with additional costs.

Premier John Horgan said B.C. is working on bringing forward its own provincial sick-leave program to “fill in the gaps” left by the federal government. However, the B.C. Liberals say such a program should have been introduced a year ago, well before the third wave of the pandemic.

Horgan did not provide details on what a made-in-B.C. program would look like, but he reiterated his disappointment that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau did not expand the current sick-leave program in last week’s federal budget.

“The federal government has done what they believe is enough and we’ll be left to fill the gaps,” Horgan said during an unrelated news conference Tuesday. The province has been “aggressive” in pushing the federal government to expand their program to little avail, the premier said.

“We asked them to fix it, they haven’t, and now we’re stepping up,” he said. “I don’t want to sound overly whiny about this but … we didn’t get the program we needed at the time we needed it. (The federal government has) done a lot of great things in the last 14 months, but this isn’t one of them.”

The province was working on a provincial sick-leave program last summer and “we’ve taken those (plans) off the shelf,” Horgan said. “We’re looking at how to do it in a seamless way without putting more burden on businesses at a time when businesses can least afford it.”

Asked why it has taken so long to launch a B.C. program considering the urgency created by the pandemic, Horgan said the government wants to ensure the program is delivered in a way that protects workers and doesn’t saddle businesses with additional costs.

“It’s not the resources that’s the issue, it’s the delivery of the program,” Horgan said. He said he will work with WorkSafeBC and Finance Minister Selina Robinson to develop the program.

The current federal program, the Canada Recovery Sickness Benefit, has been criticized by labour groups who say the $500-a-week benefit, or $450 after taxes, for anyone sick with COVID-19 is an inadequate measure that fails to replace a worker’s full wages.

B.C. Liberal jobs critic Todd Stone said the government should have created a sick leave program a year ago. He said the government could quickly create a program using the $3-billion contingency fund in the budget.

“When you consider that there are thousands of predominantly frontline workers in low-wage jobs who have already put themselves at risk in order to provide the services and products that the rest of us count on, to say to those people that they’re going to have to wait even more than the year they’ve already waited, it’s just simply irresponsible,” Stone said. “So we think that John Horgan needs to come out with a program that covers COVID symptoms for workers in British Columbia during the pandemic with no burden on small businesses.”

The virus continues to spread at B.C. businesses, which is an indication people are either spreading COVID while asymptomatic or because they’re going to work when they feel unwell.

Fraser Health has closed 43 businesses since April 17 due to COVID-19 transmission. This follows an April 9 order that allows the health authorities to direct WorkSafeBC inspectors to shut down non-essential businesses for at least 10 days if there has been COVID-19 transmission at the workplace.

Rob Gillezeau, an economist with University of Victoria, said the most efficient sick-leave program would be one that requires employers to automatically pay workers when they are sick and then the employer is compensated by the government.

If the worker is forced to rely on the government to fill in their lost wages, the timelag in getting the money might create a disincentive to staying home while sick, Gillezeau said.

“Having an employer mandate makes it seamless,” he said. “You don’t go in and you still get compensated.”

Yukon created a paid sick-leave program in March that pays a rebate to employers that covers a maximum of 10 days of wages per employee.

Horgan said he doesn’t think Ontario’s proposal to double the $500 federal sick leave benefit with its own funding is the most effective way to deliver money to workers.

Ontario’s finance minister offered to top-up the federal government’s payment to eligible workers in the province, giving them up to $1,000 a week.

However, Trudeau stressed that paid sick leave should be delivered directly through employers. Trudeau said Ontario should work through provincially regulated businesses to implement a sick-leave program, as his government did with federally regulated workplaces.

Horgan hopes B.C. can create a program that would extend beyond the pandemic.


“So we’re looking at not just (during) the pandemic but what can we do to protect workers and businesses,” he said. “We’re going to try and find a collaborative way to do that.”

Horgan said he’s sure most British Columbians have at one point dragged themselves out of bed and gone to work to “take one for the team.”

“What we’ve learned from COVID-19 is that’s not what we want,” he said. “We don’t want heroes. We want people who take care of themselves and who don’t put their colleagues and their customers and their businesses at risk.”

Greg D’Avignon, CEO of the Business Council of B.C. is supportive of a paid sick leave program but said during this public health crisis, that cost should not fall onto the backs of businesses, many of which closed or operated at limited capacity to help curb transmission.

“There is no disagreement by anyone in labour, in business or in government that if you have COVID symptoms, you should not come to work because you’re endangering fellow employees, business owners customers and the business itself,” ‘Avignon said. “Employers are already paying significant sums of money into health care, into WorkSafe and into unemployment insurance. So we’re doing more than our fair share despite controls and constraints of this public health crisis.”

with files from the Canadian Press 

kderosa@postmedia.com

Twitter.com/katiederosayyj

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Parliamentary Budget Officer Yves Giroux speaks with the House of Commons finance committee on Tuesday, April 27, 2021.

OTTAWA – The Trudeau government has likely overestimated the amount of economic growth that will come from its $126-billion COVID-19 recovery plan outlined in the latest budget, according to the Parliamentary Budget Officer.

The comments by Yves Giroux — his first official remarks since the Liberal government tabled its 2021 budget — come after earlier warnings in which he said Ottawa might have been overzealous in its plans to stimulate the economy through tens of billions in new spending measures.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland has sought to boost economic growth in Canada as a way to make up for rising deficit levels, a position that some observers have categorized as a high-stakes gamble. Finance Officials provided projections in the 2021 budget around the levels of growth that might be achieved through the Liberal spending measures.

“These estimates, however, likely overstate the impact of stimulus spending on the economic outlook presented in Budget 2021,” Giroux told a House of Commons committee on Tuesday.

Adding to doubts about Ottawa’s growth projections, Giroux also questioned the validity of Freeland’s so-called “fiscal guardrails,” which effectively said that new spending measures would be determined by employment levels.

However, employment is expected to rise as COVID-19 restrictions are gradually lifted and as people are vaccinated this summer, which could undermine the justification for well over $100 billion in stimulus spending over three years, Giroux and others have said.

“Almost all of the ground lost in the labour market due to the pandemic will be made up by the end of 2021-22,” he explained, reiterating the conclusion his office reached last fall.

The federal budget watchdog also noted that the government could have reduced Canada’s eye-watering deficits by more than $100 billion over six years compared to earlier forecasts in the 2020 Fall Economic Statement.

Higher economic growth in recent months provided the federal government with $106 billion in extra fiscal room, according to PBO, compared with earlier estimates from late last year.

But the Liberal government effectively ploughed all of those potential savings into new spending measures, used in large part to finance of the $143 billion in new spending laid out in budget 2021, according to Giroux. Those funds include $37 billion in COVID-19 spending and nearly $70 billion in stimulus spending, he said.

The government and many economists have defended Ottawa’s decision to spend hundreds of billions of dollars over the few years by saying that record-low interest rates have kept the cost of said new debt very low.

That is true, Giroux acknowledged, but he also warned that a one per cent rise of interest rates in coming years could be extremely costly for public coffers — $4.5 billion dollars in additional financing costs in the first year, and about $12.8 billion yearly by year five, according to his office’s estimates.

On the other hand, the PBO is confident that the government’s revenue projections for the next few years are sound.

“I’m relatively confident in the robustness of the revenue numbers, because the revenue, so the tax base, of the government tends to be fairly reliable. It’s mostly personal and corporate income taxes, as well as the GST, and these are usually well established tax bases in Canada,” Giroux said. “So I don’t have any major concerns with respect to the revenue projections.”

Giroux also told MPs that it was hard to assess if Canada would have been better or worse off economically had COVID-19 financial aid programs (such as the Canada Emergency Response Benefit or the Canada Emergency Wage Subsidy) been less generous, but that the human toll would have been enormous.

“There would have been unprecedented scarring of the Canadian economy to labor markets,” Giroux noted. “The social impact would have been catastrophic. It would have been even worse than what we have seen due to the loss of life during the pandemic.”

– With additional reporting by Jesse Snyder

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