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Well.  That sure was an election, wasn't it?  Except some notable riding losses here and there, I can't say the outcome was much of a surprise.  Now that everyone is out of official campaign mode, the real work can begin.

  1. Trudeau's task: Cast off the cronies

We could discuss the importance of courting the West, now that the Liberals have no representation in Alberta and Saskatchewan and a likely coalition partner (see #3) that would love to see the Trans Mountain pipeline reduced to a charming theory.  To that end, we will focus on the least Prime Minister Justin Trudeau can do to convince Westerners that you don't need to be an entrenched Liberal interest in Quebec or Ontario to benefit from his generosity.  In short, let SNC-Lavalin hit the floor.

I'm not just talking about the company itself.  Letting the judicial process play out unhindered is the least of the least Trudeau could do.  I'm talking about the entire sordid mess he got himself into.  Stop blocking any testimonies or releases of information.  If an official inquiry is launched, show up and state his business.  If anyone else in the party is caught making even the appearance of a conflict of interest, stop them immediately.  The Liberals can afford no further coziness with corporate Canada.

  1. Scheer's task: Stop hiding

Conservative leader Andrew Scheer must learn that the Stephen Harper playbook can only carry you so far when you are not Stephen Harper.  By defining himself as a coldly calculated political operative, he successfully reduced cries of a hidden agenda to hardcore non-Conservatives who would never trust him anyway.  Scheer, however, left soft voters wondering what he was really about.  Between this and his refusal to engage on topics that made him less than comfortable, there's already talk of who will replace him.  I've heard three names floated, and I'm actually quite pleased about one of them.

However many long knives are being sharpened, losing to Trudeau after SNC-Lavalin and blackface should be a huge wake-up call for Scheer: He has been taking the wrong advice.  He has heard for two years that he gives his opponents too much room to define him.  Now, at long last, he must define himself.

  1. Singh's task: Do the dirty work

Logically, NDP leader Jagmeet Singh should be the most in fear for his future, with a fourth-place finish and 20 fewer seats not bad compared to Thomas Mulcair's 51-seat loss in 2015, but abysmal when you consider where most of the losses took place (see #5).  But since the NDP is the likeliest party to be courted for a coalition, they won't risk a change in leadership so soon, especially considering Singh's improved public image in the second half of the campaign.  In the meantime, he'll have to spend as much time traveling across Canada as he can get away with, and the MPs he has left will have to become near-irritants in their own ridings.

  1. May's task: Welcome the new blood

When watching Election Night coverage, I was struck by how often the word "retirement" came up in the discussion surrounding Green Party leader Elizabeth May.  But it makes sense: She has led the party for the past 13 years, and she still only has two fellow MPs to show for it.  For that matter, her handling of this particular campaign was marked by tensions with her own slate and bungling of simple PR matters.  On the other hand, excitement over the newest Green MP, Fredericton's Jenica Atwin, suggests a fresh face is the most welcome of all sights.

May need not go quietly into that good night over the next couple of months.  But until the next election, whether it comes next year or in 2023, she should allow Atwin and other Green activists outside the House to do more of the talking.  Voters know what to expect from May; the novelty factor of Atwin can only help get the party's message across to those who aren't completely tuning it out.

  1. Blanchet's task: Stay the course

Of the five leaders who still have seats, the Bloc Québécois's Yves-François Blanchet is the one most likely to enjoy his job the longest.  He combined a shrewd ground game with an authentic harnessing of his base's motivations.  His third-place finish all but ensures that the government will have to make some serious gestures of goodwill if they have any hope of competing with him in Quebec.  Unless his opponents can make Quebeckers view his agenda as an internal threat to the province's economy and culture, pandering will be their only option.

Photo Credit: CBC News

Written by Jess Morgan

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Are there any new tax measures the federal Conservatives are willing to adopt? 

It's a question worth asking, particularly as Andrew Scheer has made the national carbon tax a campaign issue worth staking his political future over. 

For Scheer, it does not matter that placing a tax on carbon emissions is a market-based policy.  Nor does it matter that the Trudeau government will be offering rebate checks to cover the increased costs levied upon citizens from the tax.  Or that climate change is an existential crisis requiring significant government action.

To Scheer and the Conservatives, a tax is a tax is a tax.

And therefore, the carbon tax must be fought tooth and nail against, no matter its merits. 

This thinking has become part of the Conservative Party's DNA.

They appear to have no greater policy priority than to lower any and every tax.  And when they aren't doing so, they simply oppose any new measure, as with the carbon tax.

It all seems to stem from an antipathy towards government in general and its ability to wield any significant influence.  For Conservatives know that the chief tool to chip away at federal influence is to reduce the government of its revenue.

And it's something they have largely been successful at doing.

Over the past several decades, corporate taxes have been significantly reduced (granted by both Liberal and Conservative governments alike).  Throughout the 1960s and 1970s, the federal corporate tax rate stood at 37 per cent.  Today, it is a mere 15 per cent.

The same is true for personal income taxes on the very wealthiest.

As Linda McQuaig has written, "In 1966, the top marginal rate was 80 per cent on income above $400,000 ($3 million in today's dollars).  Today, the top rate (which varies between provinces) is typically just above 50 per cent."

And during Stephen Harper's tenure, the Goods and Sales Tax (GST) similarly found itself on the chopping block, being reduced from 7 to 5 per cent. 

All of these tax cuts have helped to drain the federal coffers of billions of dollars.  Billions which would have otherwise helped pay for the government services which Canadians hold dear.

No amount of tax cuts in the past though, are enough to satisfy this current crop of conservatives.  One need only observe the Conservative Party's Policy Declaration, which commits the party to reducing taxes further still.  Amongst their many pledges and priorities, the Conservatives advocate for "reducing personal income taxes" as well as believing that the government "should reduce [the] capital gains tax" and "continue the process of reducing business taxes."

This single-minded obsession against all taxes is a relatively new phenomena.  For while Canadian conservatives have for decades advocated for lowering taxes, they haven't always had the aversion they hold today.

Take for example, Canada's 8th Prime Minister, Robert Borden.

In 1917, his administration introduced Canada's first income tax.  Initially it was meant only as a temporary measure; one to help cover the costs incurred from the First World War.

Fortunately though, the benefits of the tax ensured its continued existence.  After all, an income tax was truly necessary for a burgeoning nation like Canada, which required significant revenue for it to mature into a G7 country.

Then of course, there was Prime Minister Joe Clark.

In 1979, Clark inherited rising deficits from his Liberal predecessors.  To help raise revenue, the short-lived Clark government introduced an excise tax on gasoline to help balance the federal budget.

While politically unpalatable, the policy was far more desirable than the massive cuts that eventually were undertaken by the Chretien Liberals to balance the budget years later.

But of course, Clark was no neoliberal stooge.  Instead, he was one of those now rare Canadian specimen- a red tory. 

Clark's successor for the leadership of the Progressive Conservatives, Brian Mulroney, began the neoliberal trend of corporate tax cuts.  But even he was ideologically flexible enough to value tax revenue and government services, as displayed by his decision to introduce the controversial GST in 1991.

Unfortunately, after Mulroney's retirement, conservative loathing of taxation has only become more widespread amongst true believers. 

It's hard to imagine now, what with the rhetoric stemming from Scheer, that a Conservative government would ever embrace any new and necessary taxation measure, as many of his predecessors once did before him.

Even when its purpose, as with the carbon tax, is not only to raise government revenue, but to help reduce carbon emissions; particularly as the climate crisis only intensifies further. 

Alas, Scheer and his fellow climate laggards remain blinded by their own ideological rigidity against taxation.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.