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Climate change is going to be a major issue in the upcoming 2019 federal election; or so says a recent Abacus poll.

As a matter of fact this poll, according to Abacus's own analysis, tells us that "millions of Canadians indicate that the issue is extremely important and will be one of the two most important issues that they will consider in choosing how to mark their ballot".

And Abacus goes on to say, "As the weeks count down to the next federal election it seems clear that climate change will be one of the more important issues that engage voters and separate political parties one from the other."

Now if you take this analysis at face value, it's surely good news for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who, of course, has made fighting climate change one of the top items on his agenda.

Yet, with apologies to all the fine people who work at Abacus, I don't take it at face value.

In fact, I think it's a lot of polling baloney.  Or more accurately, I think the baloney is Abacus's interpretation of its own poll.

Now don't me wrong, I'm not for a minute suggesting this particular poll is basically just a blatant piece of pro-Liberal propaganda.

I would never make such a wild accusation.

Instead the point I want to make is simply this: sometimes public opinion polls, even those with meticulous methodology, can offer a misleading impression of public attitudes.

For instance, the Abacus poll I'm talking about asked respondents this blunt question: "How concerned are you personally about climate change?"

The results showed that a total of 83% of Canadians said they are "quite", "very" or "extremely concerned."

OK, that surely backs up the Abacus analysis, unless you wonder about the question itself.

And what I wonder is, when faced with the question "How concerned are you personally about climate change?" won't respondents be tempted to say, "I'm very concerned", simply because they don't want to look like they hate the planet?

In other words, even though people say climate change is a major concern, it doesn't necessarily mean that's truly the case.

Indeed, there's often a stark difference between what poll respondents say and what they really think.

This is why pollsters will use little tricks to try and get to the heart of the matter when it comes to voting priorities.

For example, one trick is to simply ask respondents to self-identify their most important issue from a list of broad categories, i.e. the economy, foreign policy, moral issues, terrorism, green issues, etc.

There's no prompting, no framing of the question, no guilt trips.

And usually when responding to such an open question, people typically say the issue they most care about is the economy.

To see what I mean, a US poll taken on the eve of the 2016 presidential election showed that 52 percent of Americans thought the number one issue in the country was the economy, while only 7 percent viewed "green" issues as a top concern.

This probably explains why Donald Trump, who made fixing the economy one of his main agenda items, defeated Hilary Clinton, who bragged about putting coal miners out of work.

Or, if you want a Canadian example, consider how Ontario Premier Doug Ford romped to a majority victory last year despite stomping all over Trudeau's carbon tax idea, which he labeled as bad for the province's economy.

Certainly if nothing else, Ford's win runs counter to the Abacus claim that Canadians view climate change as "extremely important."

I mean, if they did wouldn't Kathleen Wynne still be premier?

Meanwhile in British Columbia, NDP Premier John Horgan is considering offering "some relief" to consumers who are getting hammered with high gas prices.

If Canadians thought fighting climate change was such a top concern, wouldn't they welcome higher gas prices?

Maybe Horgan didn't see the Abacus poll?

Mind you, even the Abacus poll itself undermines the Abacus claim about the importance of the climate change issue.

What I mean is, according to the poll, when answering the question, "How important will climate change be in your vote this fall?" a paltry 12 percent of Canadians rated it as a "top issue."

That hardly sounds like a winning issue to me.

Photo Credit: Northern Pen

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


The Trudeau government has been engulfed in the SNC-Lavalin affair for two full months now.  A scandal, Liberals and friends still insist, that is really about nothing.

Yet, it is clear from the evidence that has been presented that there was very much a coordinated attempt by the Prime Minister and his office to interfere in the criminal case facing SNC-Lavalin.  While on the very first day Justin Trudeau stated the "allegations are false."

Since then, his story has changed many times, confirming slowly but surely Jody-Wilson Raybould's version.  The taped conversation between the Clerk of the Privy Council and then Attorney General Jody Wilson-Raybould is more undeniable evidence that in the She Said, He Said contest that preceded the release of the tape, her version was the correct one.  Liberal MPs took turns to express their disgust at Wilson-Raybould's lack of ethics.  Seriously.

So these ethical considerations became a convenient distraction from the actual content of the tape.  The tape became the excuse needed by Justin Trudeau to finally expel Jody Wilson-Raybould from the Liberal caucus, and Jane Philpott along with her although Philpott had nothing to do with that tape.

Michael Wernick was clearly on a mission on behalf of Prime Minister Trudeau, who was "quite firm" about this and was going to get this done "one way or another" because he was "in that kind of mood."

For 17 minutes, the highest federal public servant, tried to convince Jody Wilson-Raybould to call the Director of Public Prosecutions to ask her to reconsider her position on not offering a deferred prosecution agreement for SNC-Lavalin.

For 17 minutes, the Minister of Justice responds calmly that she can not agree to his request because the Public Prosecution Service of Canada is independent from political authorities.

Liberal operatives tried to turn the table on Jody Wilson-Raybould, claiming that she was secretly negotiating to remain in caucus.  It is a weird thing to put out there, because not only does it keep the story going, it doesn't help Trudeau.  Surely, if negotiations happened, it's because two sides were a part of it.  In other words, Trudeau was willing to play ball with Wilson-Raybould.

Willing indeed, considering that two of the five conditions were met: Principal secretary, Gerald Butts, along with Clerk of the Privy Council Michael Wernick, are out of their respective jobs.

A third one was apparently targeted by Wilson-Raybould: Senior advisor Mathieu Bouchard, from whom, incidentally, we have yet to hear from about this whole sordid affair.  Bouchard had been, according to Wilson-Raybould, quite keen to put untoward pressure on her to spare SNC-Lavalin, with the electoral calendar as his motivation.

Wilson-Raybould also wanted Justin Trudeau to apologize, something that should have been a no brainer.  If he had showed any kind of contrition, even under the pretense that this was a misunderstanding and that his office didn't want to cross any line.  After all, they kept telling her that it was her decision to make, there was no intent to interfere.

Which brings us to the last condition, which is that Jody Wilson-Raybould wanted assurances that her replacement as attorney general, David Lametti, would not overrule the Director of Public Prosecutions and direct her to give SNC-Lavalin a DPA.

Many jumped on that demand to point out that this amounted to political pressure from Jody Wilson-Raybould in a criminal case.  That is pure nonsense, of course.  More likely, Jody Wilson-Raybould simply stated that she would not remain in caucus if the PMO's political interference in the SNC-Lavalin criminal trial was to actually achieve what it sets to achieve.

In other words, if Trudeau firing her was a means of allowing the PMO's political interference to succeed, by ensuring that the next Auditor General, David Lametti, would overrule the decision of the independent prosecutor, undermining judicial independence, the very thing she had been fighting against for months, she wouldn't stick around.

She stated publicly that she would have resigned if Lametti had ordered a DPA.  He may yet do so.  And if he does, despite his plea that his decisions on this matter are his alone, everybody will think that Justin Trudeau got his way.  And that won't be seen as a win.

Photo Credit: Jeff Burney, Loonie Politics

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


In the days since Government Leader in the Senate err, "government representative" Senator Peter Harder dropped his nuclear programming motion that would affect eleven bills at various stages, there was a great deal of pushback.  The Conservatives went to war over it, and within 48 hours, Harder was forced to withdraw it.  But that doesn't mean that agendas aren't coming out of the woodwork over this, and that the various factions in the Senate aren't trying to use the Order Paper crisis for their own ends.  So while an agreement on timetables for certain bills was reached, Harder once again overplayed his hand, and came away wounded as a result.

With a lot of threads to pick up on in this, let's start with the Conservatives calling Harder out as a bad faith negotiator in the Chamber.  The Conservative whip, Senator Don Plett, stated that he had an agreement with Harder on Bills C-75 and C-85 to fast-track them.

"Your words to me when I left your office were that if I could make that change [on these bills], you would not introduce a programming motion," Plett stated.  "I had never heard of a programming motion.  I kept my part of the bargain.  You did not.  In complete contradiction of your word to me, you tabled a programming motion that is seven pages long and impacts 11 bills."

Harder refused to take responsibility for it, and very quickly the Conservatives moved to adjourn the Chamber for the day, before Harder could start debate on his motion, and they managed to get enough votes to do so.  It was a taste of what would happen every day until Harder withdrew the motion, and Thursday afternoon he did.  He claimed he came to an agreement with the leadership of the other groups, but my own sources indicate it was more of a case that the deal was imposed on him.  Much of this timetable that was agreed to had been in the works for weeks and he didn't want to play ball, but no longer had a choice.

 

The final timetable that was agreed to contains dates that are later than Harder wanted in some cases, and don't have third reading dates on some major legislation that the Conservatives in particular are opposed to, such as bills C-48 (tanker ban) and C-69 (environmental assessments).  That means that Harder will need to try his luck at time allocation or closure on those when the time comes, but those would be individual motions on individual bills at third reading not a sweeping motion on eleven bills at various stages.

 

Throughout this drama, however, the Independent Senators Group tried to insert themselves as a voice of moderation, but they had an agenda at play as well.  There are some key phrases in their press release that stick out one of them is that they want "an orderly process for the review of Government bills, including timelines and end-dates for the passage of bills through the Senate."  This reads to me as code for a desire for a business committee, whose purpose would be to essentially time allocate all business in the Senate rather than allow for the current process of negotiation that the ISG should be participating in.  I'm firmly opposed to the notion of such a committee because it takes away from the powers of individual senators to speak to any item on the Order Paper that they choose, and because it's simply time allocation by stealth.

The ISG's "facilitator," Senator Yuen Pau Woo, also blamed the Conservatives for not including the ISG in their negotiations, which misplaces the blame entirely it's not the Conservatives' job to bring the ISG to the table, it's Harder's.  That is, for what it's worth to bring the ISG to any table because they don't whip their members, so they have no way to enforce agreements.  But this also ignores the fact that negotiations between the caucuses are supposed to take place daily at the "scroll meetings" which the ISG participates in.  Well, "participates," given that they don't engage in the horse-trading that gets business moved in the Senate because they believe that to be "partisan."  They have ample opportunity to negotiate, so claiming otherwise is bogus.

Woo also used another key phrase, which was that they found themselves in that position of Harder bringing in the programming motion because "the Opposition in the Senate does not recognize the Independent Senators Group as a legitimate group on par with partisan caucuses in the Upper Chamber."  This is almost certainly a reference to the changes to the Parliament of Canada Act that Woo has been agitating for, which would give the ISG or any other group that may splinter off of them official recognition at a certain size, and would entitle their leadership to new funding.  This late in the parliamentary calendar, it's unclear if the government will be willing or able to table any changes to the Act, though there has been suspicion that it may wind up as part of the upcoming omnibus budget implementation bill, and it would be a question of how extensive the proposed changes would be, because changes to that Act may require sign-off from the provinces if they're extensive enough, according to some legal analyses.  Regardless, Woo is using this crisis to push his own agenda forward while also trying to make the Conservatives look like they're the unreasonable party at the table.  They're not.

While it's indisputably a good thing that Harder backed down and withdrew the motion, it nevertheless leaves the problem that he didn't think about the kind of precedent that he was setting with a motion like this.  Imagine any future government deciding that they can bigfoot the work of the Senate with a motion like this so long as they have enough seats, or can corral enough Independents to their side by whatever means they can muster.  It's insane, and yet Harder went there without much hesitation, and rationalized it as trying to own the Conservatives, because partisanship is bad.  It also confirms suspicions that Harder has been precipitating the crisis on the Order Paper in order to convince the Senate that they need a business committee, and Woo's release is indicative that they're open to that, which is a problem.  Above all, it's hard to see how Harder's remaining as Government Leader can continue to be tenable with this big of a miscalculation.  Granted, prime minister Justin Trudeau can continue to neglect the Senate and the mess he's created with Harder's ill-considered appointment, so Harder may remain in place.  Nevertheless, it's looking increasingly like this attempt at "doing politics differently" with the Senate is blowing up in Trudeau's face.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


In refusing to jump from the federal Liberal Party caucus before she was pushed, ex-Justice Minister Jody Wilson-Raybould triple-dog-dared Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to take his likeliest and most inadvisable next step.  Go ahead, she seemed to be saying with each passing day.  Boot me from the party.  I can take it.  And then there'll be no further questions about what your real priorities are.

He did, of course.  And if there was the slightest shred of doubt lingering after that, he erased it by simultaneously booting ex-Treasury Board President Jane Philpott, whose only offence was to resign from cabinet in solidarity with JWR.  Perhaps Independent MP Celina Caesar-Chavannes might have joined them if she hadn't jumped first.  So far, she is the only Liberal to have done this on account of Trudeau's mishandling of the SNC-Lavalin scandal, and will probably remain so.

That Philpott was a second victim of the Tuesday Evening Massacre was a surprise.  So were the acid tones of Trudeau's subsequent address to the media.  In a voice reminiscent of the villainous president in the lousy film adaptation of a teen dystopia novel, he set out to convince Canadians that JWR and Philpott's firings were not just in the party's interest, but the national interest as well.

"The trust that previously existed between these two individuals and our team has been broken," he began, "whether it's taping conversations without consent, or repeatedly expressing a lack of confidence in our government, and in me personally as leader."  Or, you know, having multiple staff members try to pressure a cabinet minister into showing special favour to a private corporation.  But political speechwriting is tricky, you know.  You have to be selective about these things.

"This has been a difficult few weeks for our government and for our Liberal team," he went on.  "On the issues surrounding SNC-Lavalin, we've seen allegations made and different versions of events detailed.  Amid the confusing and competing narratives, Canadians, rightly, have had questions."  Great!  Time to get some answers!

"We made a commitment to Canadians in 2015 to do things differently."  Ah, crud.

"We approached politics differently.  We approached team-building differently.  And in learning to do new things and doing them differently, we encountered difficult moments.  Because doing new things, doing different things, is hard."  Indeed.  For example, reducing the centralized power of the Prime Minister's Office is so hard that they haven't even tried.

"We're not always going to be perfect."  At this point, we'll settle for mediocre.

"When we were elected in 2015, we won because we stood together as a team."  No, that's not why you won.  Every party, especially in an election year, is a stack of Lego bricks of the same color held together with concrete adhesive.  You won because of "real change," remember?

"The old Liberal Party was notorious for infighting.  People on the same team used to identify themselves not as Liberals, but as hyphenated Liberals.  My leadership was a commitment to change that."  Oh, that's the real change: Even the slightest whiff of dissent from the leader's line is enough to get you turfed.  That's healthy!

"Civil wars within parties are incredibly damaging because they signal to Canadians that we care more about ourselves than we do about them."  Excuse me while I laugh into my fist for ten minutes.

"We've taken every effort to address their concerns . . ."  Still laughing.  And also pulling out my hair whenever his voice fades down on the last syllable of every sentence.  Soap opera actors speak this way.

Okay, here's where he really starts seething: "If a politician secretly records a conversation with anyone, it's wrong. . . . And when that cabinet minister is the Attorney General of Canada secretly recording the Clerk of the Privy Council, it's unconscionable."  Yes.  This is the part about which he wants us to be angriest.  Secret phone call recording vs. interfering with independent prosecutorial decisions.  Any takers?  People with shamrocks in their Twitter handle need not apply.

"Being a member of caucus comes with both rights and responsibilities.  A team has to trust each other. . . . Our political opponents win when Liberals are divided.  We can't afford to make that mistake.  Canadians are counting on us."  Because, he continues for the next five minutes, climate change and pharmacare and something about Christchurch and boy that Andrew Scheer sure sucks amirite?

And here comes the money shot: "We have always, always, fought to create and protect jobs, and we will never apologize for doing so!"  I look forward to see what else they'll excuse in the name of jobs.  This, maybe.

So, there we have it.  If the Liberals made any mistakes, it's that they were too passionate about jobs and too committed to party unity.  But all will be well from now on.  They've solved everything now that they've discovered these hos ain't loyal.  On to October!

Photo Credit: Toronto Sun

Written by Jess Morgan

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Like Cher, Jason Kenney would like to turn back time.

The UCP election platform is basically designed to sweep the last four years of NDP governance off the books and set the clock to before the 2015 election (and in some cases, even farther back than that).

Kenney would eliminate the NDP's carbon tax, pause a massive curriculum review, repeal some privacy protection for youth joining gay-straight alliances at school.

And he plans to push back banked overtime payout rules.

Even Kenney knows he can't roll back the minimum wage raises the NDP instituted during the past four years.  Taking that back just won't fly with voters.  (He is willing to tinker however, by promising a lower minimum wage for youth.)

But he seems to have not foreseen the backlash over messing with overtime.

The platform says the proposed Open for Business Act will "return to allowing banked hours to be paid out at regular pay instead of time-and-a-half."

Alberta, never a very labour friendly jurisdiction in Tory times, had allowed employers to pay out banked overtime at a one to one rate, rather than the one to 1.5 rate required for regular paid overtime.  The NDP revamped the legislation last year to require overtime to be paid out at a rate of at least time and a half, whether in time off or cash, whether in immediate payout or under a banked time arrangement.  That brought Alberta's rules up to the standard in most other provinces.

Kenney has had to clarify and parse the UCP stand to death over the past few days as opponents have cheerfully simplified it down to a promise to reduce overtime pay.

"This does not affect overtime pay.  I repeat — it does not affect or diminish overtime pay," Kenney stressed in Calgary.

Kenney claims hospitality workers wanted the change so there would be no impediment to employers granting overtime during busy times of the year like Christmas, when tips are lucrative.

Is it really likely that restaurant servers went cap in hand to the UCP saying: "Please sir, reduce our overtime pay"?

It's clear that Kenney has been caught out on this plan, saying he never heard any complaints about the old rules, which were in place for 30 years.

"All we are proposing is that we return to exactly the same rules that existed for, as far as I know, decades in Alberta without any, as far as I know, reported abuses."

The proposed legislation changes would actually affect a much broader swath of the workforce than hospitality workers.  Any worker not covered by a contract with overtime provisions could be subject to these provisions.

Opponents are pointing out that employers who institute the one-to-one banked payout rules could hire fewer workers by just pushing their staff to bank overtime to get the job done.

Alberta Federation of Labour President Gil McGowan, told journalists, "They would make changes that allow employers to use the banked time system as a mechanism to avoid paying time-and-a-half."

Kenney has scrupulously avoided saying that employers will be happy with the overtime change.  Already under the gun about the effect on provincial revenues of a promised business tax reduction from 12 to eight per cent, he needs to cling to some credibility with working Albertans.

Just admitting the role that employer groups and lobbyist had in formulating this aspect of the Open for Business Act might have made Kenney's defence of the overtime policy a bit less cringe worthy.

The problem with rolling back labour provisions during an election campaign is one of order of magnitude and proximity.  While the UCP and NDP can load their respective cannons with enormous budget, deficit and debt numbers and blast away, the chances of either party hitting their predicted budget target is relatively remote and the numbers are not easy to relate to.

But most working people know to the penny how much they are getting on each paycheque, how much overtime they've worked in the past month, how much time they have banked for extra time with their kids or extra money for savings and day-to-day expenses.

While the UCP is happy to return to an Alberta before the orange crush of 2015, some workers may be thinking twice about what exactly that will mean.

Photo Credit: Edmonton Journal

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


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The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


As the national conversation around the Double-Hyphen Affair carries on interminably, and both sides of the dispute continue to draw blood without a decisive blow, while everyone else keeps demanding a smoking gun that doesn't exist, there is a part of this conversation that only gets referred to in snide asides the sarcastic refrain of "so much for doing politics differently."  Indeed, it's also something that Jody Wilson-Raybould keeps going back to herself in her own written statements about her future, as she justifies her actions throughout the whole Affair.  But how much of this is really about doing politics differently, or how differently can politics be done, particularly in a country like ours?

A lot of the fallout of this Affair has been the Trudeau Liberals laying in the bed that they made for themselves, given how they constantly made a point of how virtuous they were.  Gender-balanced cabinets were not only because "it's 2015," but it was also articulated as an affirmative action program for mediocre men.  "Add women, change politics," was a slogan that is now being repeated back to them because apparently, they did change politics.  "Nines hire tens" was another phrase that should also be thrown in their faces given some of the incompetence we've seen in how they've handled themselves throughout.

Don't get me wrong to a certain extent, they are doing things differently than the previous government did.  There are two-fold problems with this, however one is that they think it's enough and they can rest on those laurels, and the other is dealing with the expectations they've created.  After all, "doing politics differently" is vague enough that it lets people conjure up a unicorn that will never be achievable in real life.  And yet, there is so much high-mindedness by this government that it quickly reached a point of arrogance, which also explains why they're so bad at issues management and communications.  They refuse to communicate like human beings, or to properly deal with the problems they've created for themselves because they appear to be too good to do so and that's a problem for them.  I'm not sure that this is the kind of "doing politics differently" that would endear them to anyone.  And yet here we are.

Part of the problem with thinking that you can (or should) approach politics or governing from a standpoint of being so performatively principled is that reality gets in the way and there is a lot of hard reality to governing in Canada.  There are a myriad of provincial, linguistic, and cultural interests that are difficult to bridge at the best of times, which are compounded by the other realities of the country, such as the oligopolistic nature of so much of the business community, which makes it difficult for governments to deal with them in a way that is different from any previous government, which is why this collision with SNC-Lavalin, or another major corporation, was in many ways inevitable.  And a government that is high on its own virtues will deal with them in a way that means well trying to protect jobs being the obvious example.  Going out of their way, in fact, to try and do so, and look at where it got them.

Amidst this, I have to wonder where "doing politics differently," with adding women to change politics, and all of those kinds of slogans, butts up against reality.  At what point to we expect the dose of cynicism to come in?  At what point do we expect compromises in order to deal with some crisis, real or imagined, in order to get things done?  And that's partly where I think this whole Affair starts to get messy for people was it unfair to expect strong, principled women like Wilson-Raybould and Jane Philpott, who had little previous political experience, to accept some of that cynicism then they were promised a different way of doing things?  After all, so much of politics deals with horse-trading and compromises particularly when you are balancing as many competing interests as we have in Canada.  How much of the conversations over SNC-Lavalin had to do with trying to find compromises, and was that interpreted by Wilson-Raybould as pressure or interference?  Experienced ministers and staffers insist that their jobs deal with pressure, but did this rise to the level of inappropriate pressure?  There is no bright line for this, and I am forced to wonder if this too didn't get compounded by the expectations of doing politics differently, creating an interpretation of the events for Wilson-Raybould that didn't mesh with those of the others?

I go back to that open letter that Wilson-Raybould put out where she dismissed the "old, cynical view" of the way things get done, and talks of "doing politics differently" in particular, in a less-partisan and more open manner, striving for consensus, and rejecting the "increasing culture of conflict, empty partisanship, and cynical games."  As part of her submission to the justice committee, she added that she looks forward to a future "where we truly do politics differently."  She sees herself as a truth-teller and has these principles that I wonder whether they are able to survive the intractable, grimy realities of politics particularly given that Wilson-Raybould resorted to breaching her own ethical obligations by recording that conversation with Michael Wernick, and gave a performance on the tape that was recognizable to someone like me, who does interviews on tape for a living, as directing the conversation and asking leading questions in the hopes of getting a "gold" quote for future use.  Recording that call, making it public, and ensuring that she won't be trusted by her colleagues in the future is certainly doing politics differently but probably not in the way she espouses, which is unfortunate.

In a way, it's good that Canada can have this conversation at a time when other countries are dealing with existential crises of their own.  But perhaps it should behove us to temper our expectations, and that while "better is always possible," as Trudeau keeps saying, "doing politics differently" is a loaded term.  But the bottom line is that this government can't just rely on assuring everyone that they're virtuous that has clearly blown up in their faces, and it's time to return to a dose of reality.

Photo Credit: CTV News

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


The Order Paper crisis in the Senate went nuclear on Tuesday afternoon, as Leader of the Government in the Senate err, "government representative," Senator Peter Harder, tabled an unprecedented seven-page programming motion in the Senate Chamber, which for all intents and purposes was a declaration of procedural war against the opposition.  More than that, it's an absolute admission of failure by Harder that his refusal to do his own job to negotiate the passage of bills through the Chamber, and the subsequent crisis on the Order Paper that he created, led him to take the nuclear option well before it should have even been necessary to contemplate.  It's gross incompetence, and is going to leave lasting damage to the institution.

There has never been such a programming motion in the Senate before, and certainly not one of this magnitude, which covers eleven different bills, all of them at different stages some still at Second Reading, some in committee.  This goes beyond simple time allocation the rules of the Senate stipulate that it can only be used for one stage of one bill per motion.  To say that this programming motion is unprecedented is an understatement it actively undermines all of Harder's own high-minded rhetoric on the deliberative work of the Senate.

In the hours since the motion was tabled, Harder put out a press release and tweeted some self-aggrandizing justification for doing so, citing that he was "proposing a schedule that will allow Canadians to better follow the Senate's work, with organized debates and votes."  That's, to be frank, dishonest claptrap.  Saying you're doing this to "organize" debates is just imposing time allocation using the excuse of televised proceedings as a fig leaf.  In the press release, Harder said that some of these bills were moving too slowly.  The problem there, however, is that it's his own fault that things are not proceeding because he refuses to do his job.  He cited Bill C-57 as an example of Conservative obstruction, but they were obstructing because they were trying to force negotiations on other bills, and when they did get an agreement on moving forward on that bill, Harder overplayed his hand and was ready to move time allocation when the Conservatives were about to pass it.

Harder wrote that a programming motion was used to organize the debates and votes on the cannabis bill, so it's just fine.  That was a motion on one bill that was done in agreement by the various caucuses.  Using a motion for eleven bills at various stages is not even in the same universe as the motion on C-45.

"Given past practice and ongoing delay, we just can't be sure that the Opposition wants to give these bills fair and timely consideration," Harder quoted himself in his release.  "Canadians expect Senators to respect public business, and to do their work in both a thorough and diligent fashion."

The Opposition has been asking for negotiation on timelines on bills.  They had an agreement on two bills that Harder wanted to move forward on Tuesday morning and were ready to fast-track them (one bill to a committee with an overloaded docket, one that they were fully in support of) and he went back on his word and moved ahead with the programming motion.  This after his going back on a previous agreement around C-57.  This is how he expects to manage the agenda in the Senate?  Really?

Trying to blame these delays on the Opposition is frankly dishonest.  Nearly every single prime minister since Confederation has had to deal with a Senate where the opposition was the majority at one point, and things still got done.  Bills got passed, and the government's agenda (largely) got through because the two sides could negotiate something Harder refuses to do.  It's not helped by the fact that the Independent Senators Group refuses to engage in the necessary horse-trading of getting stuff done because they are under the mistaken impression that it's "partisan."  Harder has been trying to call for a business committee to time allocate all debates going forward on his behalf, so that he can do even less work than he is currently, and it's been suspected that he's engineered this Order Paper crisis in order to make the case for it.  This heavy-handed and ham-fisted programming motion is quite likely a salvo in that campaign, which shows the apparent "need" for such time allocation because the Bad Opposition is being partisan, and that's bad.  That he'll use the excuse of organizing debates for the sake of television just adds to the flimsy excuses that he won't do his own job.

And because he's taken this action, he has effectively declared war on the Conservatives, and they are having none of it.  You can expect them to take every procedural tactic they can in the coming weeks to frustrate Harder's agenda to make a point, and if that means needing bells for all proceedings, or having their leader give four-hour-long speeches on bills, then they are fully prepared to do so.  I can't imagine that the Senate Liberals are going to go for any of this either, particularly because this is such an unprecedented and ham-fisted manoeuvre.  That leaves the Independents.  I've heard that Senator Woo, the ISG "facilitator," is going to wait to listen to the debate on Harder's programming motion before he comes to any conclusion one way or the other, and Harder will only get his way if he can bring the Independents on-side.  But they need to realize that this is about giving Harder the power to impose the most draconian version of time allocation in Senate history, simply because he has refused to do his job to negotiate with the various caucuses to get his agenda through.

We also can't forget that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau isn't blameless in all of this either.  His decision to completely divorce himself from the Senate is not a situation of benign neglect it's actual neglect, and his chosen "representative" is causing real damage to the institution, and will continue to cause damage the longer he goes unchecked.  This situation should never have happened, and yet here we are.  It's now up to the Independents to see if they'll let Harder abuse his authority and turn the chamber into the very rubber stamp that he accused it of being under the old regime.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Tuesday night Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made clear who he is looking out for while he's in government.

Trudeau is a Liberal prime minister looking out for the Liberal Party, Liberal interests, but most importantly he is looking out for the vast corporate oligopoly which really holds power in this country.

In his speech to the Liberal caucus, Trudeau explained to them, and to us, why former ministers Jody Wilson-Raybould and Jane Philpott were being kicked out of the party.

"Civil wars within parties are incredibly damaging because they signal to Canadians that we care more about ourselves than we do about them," he said. "That's why I made the difficult decision to remove Ms. Wilson-Raybould and Dr. Philpott from the Liberal caucus."

Trudeau continued a bit later: "Since the beginning I have approached this situation with patience and understanding, my rationale has been that real change is hard, and so it requires patience and it requires understanding."

And it's this invocation of "real change" that really caught my ear. Here is the prime minister invoking the central, aspirational pillar of his election, and wielding it like a lance to smite those who dare oppose him.

"Being a member of caucus comes with rights and* responsibilities," he said. "The team has to trust each other. And with Jody Wilson-Raybould and Jane Philpott, that trust has been broken."

And finally, the capstone to the speech, before he went into the part where he tries to change the channel to other topics, he got down to the real point of things.

"Our political opponents win when Liberals are divided. We can't afford to make that mistake. Canadians are counting on us," Trudeau said.

The through-line in all of this is the interests of the party are exactly equal to the interest of the public. It's this sort of political arrogance that finds its purest form in the Liberal Party.

What happened was these two former ministers were really a drag on morale around the caucus room, they had to go. For Wilson-Raybould the final straw was making a recording of what would be one of her final attempts as attorney general to push back against the, as she's described it, repeated and improper pressure by Trudeau and his staffers to overrule the decision of a public prosecutor because it might hurt the lumbering corporate behemoth that is SNC-Lavalin.

For Philpott it was that, well, she had to go too. They were friends and she resigned from cabinet over this issue, so that should be enough. It's been quickly forgotten what Philpott said when she resigned, so I'm just going to quote the same paragraph I have a couple times, because I think it puts things quite succinctly:

"Unfortunately, the evidence of efforts by politicians and/or officials to pressure the former attorney general to intervene in the criminal case involving SNC-Lavalin, and the evidence as to the content of those efforts have raised serious concerns for me," Philpott wrote. "Sadly, I have lost confidence in how the government has dealt with this matter and in how it has responded to the issues raised."

She wrote an entire letter laying out why she though the public interest was being suborned to the preferred political outcome of the prime minister and his surrogates in the PMO. But nobody gives a shit for principles in Ottawa, so that's all been put down the memory hole.

That's what the entire SNC-Lavalin affair comes down to. It's not principles, it's cold calculation. If a company has enough lobbyists, and has gotten enough public pensions to buy into its business, and can claim it supports enough jobs, the machinery of this government will rearrange it's cogs and gears on whatever notice is necessary to get that company anything it wants.

In this case, SNC-Lavalin wanted a deferred prosecution agreement, where they'd pay a fine and maybe admit guilt instead of face public charges of bribing Libyan officials to get contracts. They bent enough ears in cabinet and at the Prime Minster's Office to get DPAs inserted into the criminal code as part of an omnibus budget.

Of course, it's not just that SNC executives bribed officials in Libya. The company's former CEO, Pierre Duhaime, recently pleaded guilty to charges of fraud, conspiracy, and forgery, in a case surrounding a bribery scandal that ultimately won SNC a contract to build and maintain a mega hospital here in Montreal. (They still have the management contract, and will for another 25 or so years, by the by.)

And other members have had charges stayed, not because they were innocent, but because their trials were delayed for years and that was unconstitutional.

It's darkly funny that the former justice minister who's just been turfed was unable to fix the justice system enough to make some of the specific individuals charged with crimes at SNC-Lavalin face final judgement. Irony, alas, comes for us all in the end, particularly for those in public life.

But for pushing back against this company getting out of a full-blown trial, Wilson-Raybould primarily, and Philpott by extension are no longer Liberals. They put something else before the team.

They stood on a point of principle in the public interest. In the end, that could not stand. The team was betrayed, the honour of this nation's C-suites was at stake.

So the next time Trudeau talks about fighting for the middle class, it's worth considering this moment. In the end, when the chips were down, and it was between the public and the corporation, he sided with the corporation.

Those are the real stakes for the next election.

***

*Emphasis the prime minster's.

Photo Credit: National Post

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


On my Twitter bio, it says "I do not self-identify as a journalist."  I get lots of questions about this, most of all, "How is anyone supposed to take you seriously when you're not a REAL journalist, Josh?"  My response?  "Why should you take any journalist seriously?"

And this past few weeks gave you, dear readers, more than enough reasons to not take any journalist anywhere seriously.  The failure of the Mueller report to invalidate the results of the 2016 election.  The long-awaited Canadian news bailout which, hilariously, no-sold all the hand-wringing and jealous griping from characters like Jesse Brown and went directly to the media dinosaurs, literally picking and choosing winners.  The headache-inducing story about school segregation in 2019 that read as a return to the days before Brown v. Board of Education until you got to the part about how the issue was, apparently that there were too many Asians at these schools.  Oh well.  Regret the error.

Apart from a little whining about "bad policy" from the talking heads who aren't getting the cash injections they desperately wanted but won't admit they need, the journalist class was mostly silent about these instances of narrative-driven fake news.  It was the properly shamed silence of hypocrites whose hypocrisy has been laid bare.  And for that, for once, I am grateful to Trudeau for cutting through the treacle and making it absolutely clear what the score was.

To be clear, I believe Trudeau's self-serving and completely inadequate buyout of established and easily manipulated 100-year-old broadsheets is no less corrupt and conflict-of-interest ridden than anything else he's done.  But if he was going to create a caste of loyal #JustinJournos, this naked and transparent loyalty-buying was the best way to do it.  He is sending a message: if you want government cash, you will promote the government narrative, and you will do it through the proper channels, not your silly little "blogs".  You are not providers of Facts and Truth- you are purveyors of our truth.  You will not challenge the established order.  Your job is to repeat our talking points, speedily and without question.  Or, you can go back to "crowdfunding" a dollar here and a dollar there from the little people.

The Journalists, our moral and intellectual betters, assented to this, because they know full well that their job is not about afflicting the comfortable and comforting the afflicted.  Their job is to run articles about how pro-Liberal PR pro Amanda Alvarado had her vacation ruined by the SNC-Lavalin affair, to dutifully run copy about the obviousness of Trump-Russia collusion from their betters at the WaPo, and to issue tired denunciations of hateful hate from evil right wingers while admitting that actually fact-checking those evil right wingers would "put the media in a difficult spot".

That's why I can't find it in myself to be mad at Tamara Taggart, ex news anchor and current Jody Wilson-Raybould-endorsed Liberal candidate.  We could do a whole lot worse than Journalists setting fire to their reputations in public for all to see.  If more people had the courage to be frank about being bought and paid for like she did, then we could get down to the business of partisan warfare without getting hung up on inconvenient things like principles, norms, and the rule of law.  We can stop being shocked about female ex-MP's and journalists being drafted to attack Trudeau's critics.  We can stop judging the US for having a President that barely escaped being impeached for colluding with Russia when there is far more obvious collusion going on right here in our backyard.  We can stop pretending that our judges are not elected to serve this or that ideological agenda.

We joke about how Trudeau is a moron who's "just not ready," but that presupposes that Canada is, or was, run competently or fairly and that the government isn't just a rubber stamp for corrupt interests, and that our elections are something more than beauty pageants.  If, on the other hand, this is a banana republic and our truth-seeking Journalists are too ashamed to say so, then Trudeau is not only ready, but born to lead.  Bailing out these stenographers for his government is just the latest example of that.

Photo Credit: Macleans

Written by Josh Lieblein

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.