LP_468x60
on-the-record-468x60-white

A worker cuts lumber at a saw mill near Sooke, B.C.. The softwood lumber industry has seen a unique pattern emerge, where Canadian firms own a large chunk of U.S. production capacity — something President Donald Trump says he wants — and still face aggressive trade measures.

WASHINGTON, D.C. — The Canada-U.S. softwood lumber trade relationship has dealt with ups and downs, disputes and resolutions, for decades. Anxiety for Canadian exporters is reaching a fever pitch again as the U.S. threatens to more than double softwood lumber duties and add even steeper tariffs under a national security investigation. 

Canadian foresters, mills, and governments that enjoy taxes, economic spinoffs and stumpage fees from Crown land will feel the pain if they lose too much access to the massive U.S. market. But larger producers have been preparing for just this kind of contingency and have cleverly hedged their bets, building capacity in the U.S., where they can sell as much as they want to Americans, tariff-free.

Canadian firms will soon receive word from the U.S. Commerce Department’s Sixth Administrative Review (AR6) of U.S. countervailing and anti-dumping duties on Canadian softwood lumber exports, with the rate expected to jump from around 14 per cent to roughly 34 per cent. For Canfor, the Vancouver-based lumber giant selected as a mandatory respondent in the AR6 review, it will be even worse. Its duties are calculated based on its own shipments and prices, not an industry average, like it is for other companies. 

“Canfor’s rate will be 45 per cent, plus or minus a per cent,” said Andrew Miller, chairman of Oregon-based Stimson Lumber and chair of the U.S. Lumber Coalition. “So they’ll get a kick in the teeth from the next round of duties.”

Then there’s the threat of tariffs from President Donald Trump’s ongoing national security investigation of Canadian lumber imports under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act, which he ordered in March and is due late this year. Currently, lumber shipments are exempted from Trump’s baseline tariffs, because they’re covered by the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade deal (USMCA), but that could soon change based on the findings of the 232 probe. 

National Post breaks down the position of the two countries, what the impacts could be, and how Canadian producers are trying to mitigate the potential damage of punitive trade barriers.

 A worker walks along floating logs in the Western Forest Products Kelsey Bay Dryland Sort near Sayward, B.C.

What American producers want

The U.S. Lumber Coalition is playing for keeps. It backs higher anti-dumping duties and tariffs for what it sees as a subsidized domestic industry. It claims Canadian producers don’t pay market rates for stumpage because their forests are publicly owned and provincial governments set the stumpage rates, while U.S. producers face higher market rates. But it doesn’t stop there: the U.S. coalition also wants to see Canada’s U.S. market share significantly chopped.

Miller isn’t shy about the goals: “A countrywide quota with no exemptions and no carveouts, and a single-digit market share” for Canadian lumber. 

Today, Canada has a 25 per cent market share, with exports of 12 billion feet of softwood lumber to the U.S. each year, according to the coalition. Softwood lumber accounts for about 7.5 per cent of Canadian exports; in 2023, the U.S. was the destination for 68 per cent of those forestry products. The whole industry is worth about $33.4 billion in sales annually and employs more than 200,000 workers across Canada, according to a report this year from RBC.

If Trump stacked a 20 per cent tariff on top of the existing duties, driving down some of Canada’s approximately 12 billion board feet of annual softwood exports to the U.S., Miller believes the U.S. industry could almost immediately replace at least two billion feet worth through quick operational changes. Incremental mill upgrades over three years could then add another three to four billion feet of production, he said. 

“I really believe that within three years we would have replaced, through U.S. production of lumber, about half of what Canada currently exports to the U.S.,” he said, nodding to Trump’s comments earlier this year about the U.S. not needing any Canadian lumber.

The coalition is pushing for a tariff rate from the Section 232 investigation that starts at 15 to 20 per cent and goes higher from there. That, Miller explained, will incentivize U.S. sawmill owners struggling with thin margins to hire more people and invest in upgrades, bolstering U.S. production. 

 Stacks of softwood lumber waiting to be shipped.

What Canada’s preparing for

This week, provincial leaders offered ways to settle the dispute. B.C. Premier David Eby said Canada is willing to consider a quota on exports to the U.S. for the first time, and
New Brunswick Premier Susan Holt also said quotas are on the table as an option for trade negotiations.

Miller, head of the American coalition, was far from impressed by Eby’s comments. A quota might stabilize the market and secure jobs for Canadian workers, he said, but “at whose expense?” His answer: “U.S. mill workers.”

“(Eby) is not serious about a settlement that is satisfactory to the coalition. He is floating a political trial balloon designed to derail the implementation of the AR6,” he said.

Kurt Niquidet, president of the BC Lumber Trade Council, refused to comment on what his organization prefers by way of a solution. He said options included quotas, tariffs, or a hybrid approach. But he was clear that the industry wants Ottawa to resolve things with the U.S. quickly.

“We
think that the federal government should be making this issue a priority and looking for a negotiated settlement,” he said.

Why the U.S. is divided

Niquidet argues that the U.S. already has “housing affordability issues” and taxing or restricting Canadian lumber could only make things worse.

“If the trade measures are too punitive, it just serves to drive up the prices and the costs of lumber in the U.S.,” he said. 

That’s why the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), the trade association based in Washington, has been leading the charge to fight the duties and potential tariffs. It has repeatedly warned the White House that tariffs would only “(slow) down the domestic residential construction industry” at a time when Trump has vowed to address the country’s “severe housing shortage and affordability crisis.”

In recent years, tariffs have increased the average home price by nearly US$11,000 because of recent tariffs, according to the April 2025 NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, when the average home sticker price is just north of US$400,000. There are also about 3.5 million Americans who work in the residential housing sector, and millions more working in commercial and industrial construction.

The NAHB has actively shared its concerns as part of the Section 232 investigation process and expressed concern that the U.S. lumber supply cannot meet the needed demand on its own anytime soon.

Niquidet agrees. He said claims by the U.S. industry and the president that American producers can make up for lost Canadian supply are “just not true.” 

How to play both sides

The twist in all this is that a growing number of producers in the U.S. are actually Canadian-owned.

Vancouver-based West Fraser started buying and investing in U.S. sawmills back in the early 2000s to diversify its assets and shore up supplies threatened in Canada by mountain pine beetles and wildfires. Others — including Canfor, Resolute and Interfor (whose U.S. operations are bigger than its Canadian ones) — 
followed suit in part to avoid trade barriers, the trend only accelerating in Trump’s first term, when he imposed 20 per cent tariffs on Canadian softwood exports.

Today, estimates are that Canadian lumber firms control as much 40 per cent of softwood lumber production capacity in the American South. In most cases, they’ve kept local families and employees in place, seamlessly taking over and often modernizing while keeping afloat many sawmills that might’ve otherwise gone under.

When asked about the paradox of Canadian firms buying up U.S. sawmills, Miller doesn’t have any concerns. “A dollar invested in a U.S. sawmill is a dollar invested in a U.S. sawmill employing U.S. citizens operating that sawmill, cutting trees and shipping them,” he said. “We don’t care who operates them. You know, it’s a free market.” 

(However, Miller said if foreign owners ever wanted to join the U.S. Lumber Coalition, which advocates against imports, it wouldn’t allow them to.)

The U.S. president has also repeatedly told foreign manufacturers that if they want to escape punitive trade measures, they should invest on U.S. soil and help ramp up domestic American production. 

“(Trump would) take that as a big victory,” Miller said of the lumber takeovers by Canadians. “That’s what he wants,”

National Post

tmoran@postmedia.com

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here.


Prime Minister Mark Carney and Ontario Premier Doug Ford speak during a press conference after the first ministers’ meeting at TCU Place in Saskatoon on June 2, 2025.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford is hosting Canada’s premiers in Muskoka starting Monday at a Council of the Federation summer gathering. Premiers of the 13 provinces and territories can look forward to enjoying Alberta-bred and Ontario-fed beef on the grill at the Ford family cottage. They will have a special guest: Prime Minister Mark Carney.

“For the first time ever that I can remember,” Ford says, “the prime minister is invited. That would have never happened with Trudeau, but it’s happening under Mark Carney. And he’s going to be welcomed with open arms.”

Rather than the premiers getting together “to bitch and complain about the federal government,” Ford chuckles, “we get to present it right to him (Carney) as he’s sitting around the dinner table and we’re talking to him.”

“The access is phenomenal,” Ford says of his own relationship with the PM, “I’ll message him, he gets right back to me. It’s all about communication and relationship-building.

“And, he’s a very, very great business person,” Ontario’s premier enthuses, listing off Carney’s credentials (without a mention of potential conflicts of interest).

“He gets it,” Ford says. “He’s going to go in there and he’s going to clean house in Ottawa, which is well overdue.”

 Doug Ford and Mark Carney meet for breakfast, March 12, 2025.

Figuring out how Team Canada will respond to U.S. President Donald Trump’s declaration of a blanket 35 per cent tariff on goods imported from Canada as of Aug. 1 — on top of previously implemented tariffs on auto parts, steel, aluminum and copper — will no doubt be the premiers’ top priority in cottage country next week.

“Elbows up or elbows down? What’s the strategy, now?” I ask Ford in a recent call.

“We have to negotiate through strength,” Ford responds, “and we really have to flex our muscles and make sure President Trump hears us.”

“Because in closed-door meetings and in our phone calls with governors — and they pull a lot of weight, I heard that from (U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard) Lutnick — Republicans don’t want this,” Ford reports

“Democrats obviously don’t want this, and Republicans don’t want it. But they’re terrified to say anything publicly,” he says. Only a few U.S. senators have spoken up, Ford adds, “and God bless them.”

Carney is advancing several strategies — promoting free trade within Canada; negotiating a security and trade pact with America, in good faith; and at the same time, forging strategic partnerships with the EU to beef up security and defence alliances and boost trade and economic security. This week, Carney announced measures to protect the nation’s steel industry, including guarding against foreign steel entering Canada to bypass Trump’s tariffs.

Breaking down trade barriers between provinces is a strategy Ontario has embraced; the province has signed memorandums of understanding with all provinces except Quebec, B.C. and Newfoundland.

And Ford sees other cards to be played, other ways to pressure the Trump administration for a fair trade deal.

“I’ve been very transparent with Secretary Lutnick, we’re going to start on-shoring everything,” Ford says. “We’re going to on-shore the steel beams, the I-beams. We have more cranes in the sky in Toronto and the GTA than their top 10 cities combined.”

“We’re going to on-shore the aluminum cans, the beer cans … to make sure we don’t have to see a tariff of 25 per cent on the aluminum going down (to the U.S.), they convert it, print it, and send it back up (to Canada) with another 25 per cent; that’s 50 per cent.”

Ford’s government is giving incentives to companies — to turn aluminum into cans, produce steel I-beams, and manufacture steel rails used in transit projects. This strategy tracks with Carney’s recent commitment to rely more on Canadian steel for Canadian projects.

“Canada buys more off the U.S. than China, than Japan, than Korea, U.K. and France combined,” Ford elaborates. “We’re their largest customer, and yes, they’re our largest customer. But Ontario alone employs nine million Americans who wake up every morning to build a widget or provide a service to Ontario alone.”

“(Americans) are going to feel the pressure,” Ford says. “They’re going to feel the pressure when Americans start losing their jobs because we’re going to start on-shoring everything, and once that happens, I told Lutnick, it’s hard to turn that tap off.”

And, Ford continues, Canada can leverage its supplies of critical resources. American governors, both Republicans and Democrats, tell Ford the same thing: “There are two things they’re interested in: our nuclear energy and our critical minerals.”

Repeating his well-worn adage — “Canada is not the threat; China is the real threat” — Ford explains how China’s lock on 90 per cent of the world’s critical minerals makes Ontario’s resources in the Ring of Fire all the more essential to Americans.

“And we don’t believe in rip and ship,” Ford assures me, “we’re going to make sure that we mine it with Ontario workers, we’re going to refine it here in Ontario with Ontario workers, and then we’ll have the option of shipping it around the world.” Ford’s also pitching a deep sea port to facilitate exports, in a couple of locations — one in Ontario, in Hudson’s Bay, and one in Manitoba.

“It will wake up President Trump real quick,” Ford quips, “if we start shipping it to our other allies around the world and not to him.”

Ford is the premier of Ontario — it’s his job to look out for that province’s interests — but there’s no question he’s fully steeped in Team Canada spirits. “We all have something that we’re bringing to the table,” he assures me, repeatedly.

“The U.S. needs our high-grade nickel,” Ford asserts, “to be used in the military, in aerospace, in manufacturing. It’s no different from the aluminum, from Quebec, being shipped down there, or the potash or uranium from Saskatchewan, and obviously, the 4.3 million barrels of oil we ship down to the U.S. But we’re going to diversify that and not rely on the U.S. Yes, we have one pipeline going west, but we need another one going west, east, north and south.”

 Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and Ontario Premier Doug Ford cook pancakes at the annual Premier’s Stampede Breakfast at McDougall Centre in Calgary on July 7, 2025.

Ford is also effusive about the need to get rid of the tanker ban on the West Coast and revamp the impact assessment act. “Those days are done. They’re gone,” he says. “We have to start moving forward and create the conditions for the rest of the world to look at investing in not just Ontario but other jurisdictions across Canada, from coast to coast to coast.”

I moved from Ontario to Alberta in the early 1980s — a time when Alberta premier Peter Lougheed was struggling with prime minister Pierre Elliott Trudeau’s National Energy Program — and can still recall the bitter disappointment of Ontario premier Bill Davis’s unwillingness to support Alberta’s interests.

I admit to being impressed by Ford’s visit to the recently concluded Calgary Stampede, and not just by his commitment to flip pancakes alongside Smith, whose griddle experience is legendary. Ontario’s premier also inked two MOUs with Alberta, to advance freer trade between the provinces and publicly endorse mutually beneficial national-interest projects, including an oil pipeline from Alberta to Ontario (fabricated with Ontario steel).

Although Ford’s not sure if Carney will be specific about the nation-building projects selected to move forward, in the upcoming discussions around the table in Muskoka, he’s optimistic provincial leaders — and their constituents — recognize this unique opportunity to move forward on national infrastructure projects.

“We’re moving forward and we’re going to see another $200 billion going into our economy, increase our GDP anywhere upwards to six per cent,” Ford says.

He expects his fellow premiers will have to hop on this train. “The residents of each province are going to demand that they get on that train as we’re moving forward,” he says, “because they want to prosper as well.”

National Post

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here.


A TSA employee advises travellers that liquids are not allowed through the gate at at the Los Angeles International Airport on Oct. 10, 2012.

The days of cramming travel-sized shampoo bottles into plastic bags could soon be over. U.S. Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem hinted that the longstanding liquid restrictions for carry-on luggage could be lifted.

During a conference hosted by The Hill in Washington, Noem said on July 16 that she was “questioning everything TSA (Transportation Security Administration) does” and hinted at potential revisions to the rules governing liquids in carry-on bags.

“The liquids, I’m questioning. So that may be the next big announcement, is what size your liquids need to be,” Noem said at the conference.

Her comments come about a week after she announced that passengers are no longer required to remove their shoes during regular TSA security checks, a change that went into effect immediately.

Here’s what you need to know about Noem’s comments about liquid restrictions in carry-on luggage and why the rule was implemented in the first place.

When did airlines start restricting liquids in carry-ons?

In 2006, authorities foiled a plan to use liquid explosives smuggled aboard carry-on luggage to blow up planes.

After the incident, the TSA banned all liquids in carry-on luggage. However, this ban was lifted after six weeks as it strained airline baggage systems, as more people were checking bags.

The FBI, along with other laboratories, found that a tiny amount of substances, those being small enough to fit into a quart-sized bag, could not blow up a plane. After that, the 3.4-ounce limit — or 3-1-1 rule — came into effect.

The rule stated that each container of liquid, gel or aerosol — whether it’s water, shampoo or hairspray — must be 3.4 ounces (100 ml) or less, all containers must fit into one quart-sized (one-litre) clear zip-top bag, and only one bag is allowed per passenger. Since then, TSA checkpoints have borne the familiar rituals of chugging water and tossing oversized containers, and fights over what’s considered a liquid or not.

After the restrictions were introduced in the U.S., other countries quickly followed suit with similar rules.

What does this mean for U.S. travellers?

For now, it is unclear how or when any changes to the liquid restrictions might take effect. Noem has not provided details on what a new policy could look like, whether that means lifting the size limit entirely, or just expanding it. Until then, passengers should expect to keep following the existing 3-1-1 rule.

Why is the U.S. considering changing this policy?

The TSA has been exploring changes to its liquid rules for years, but with recent advancements in technology, it seems more possible than ever.

Advanced computed tomography (CT) scanners are now being installed at security checkpoints across U.S. airports. These scanners generate detailed 3D images of the contents of carry-on bags and can automatically detect potential security threats, making it possible to carry bigger sized liquids through security.

Currently, U.S. travellers will still need to abide by existing TSA liquid restrictions, but with these advancements in technology, and the U.S. willing to change their approach, travellers may soon find themselves packing a little more freely.

“Hopefully, the future of an airport, where I’m looking to go is that you walk in the door with your carry-on suitcase, you walk through a scanner and go right to your plane,” Noem said at the conference. “It takes you one minute.”

What could this mean for Canada?

If the U.S. moves ahead with easing or eliminating its liquid restrictions, Canada may not be far behind. While Canadian travellers have not been required to remove their shoes for domestic or non-U.S. flights, those flying to the United States through pre-clearance areas have followed TSA protocols, including removing their shoes. Earlier this month, however, Canada aligned with the U.S. and dropped that requirement.

This quick alignment suggests Canadian authorities could follow suit if the U.S. were to ease up on liquid restrictions. So far, there has been no official word from Canadian authorities on whether such changes are being considered.

What are other countries doing?

In the United Kingdom, several regional airports, including London City and Edinburgh, have begun lifting liquid restrictions, thanks to the rollout of advanced CT scanners. The new technology allows passengers to keep liquids and electronics in their bags during screening and permits containers of up to two litres.

Similar changes are underway elsewhere.

At Qatar’s Hamad International Airport, select security lanes now let travellers leave liquids and laptops in their bags. This has also been made possible by upgraded CT scanning systems. In South Korea, major airports, such as Incheon and Jeju, are piloting the same technology on domestic routes, with plans to expand it more broadly in the future.

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here.


After footage of a couple hiding from the camera at a Coldplay concert was posted online, amateur sleuths identified the couple as Andy Byron, CEO of software company Astronomer, and Kristin Cabot, the company's head of HR.

Social media has been abuzz since Wednesday night with images and speculation about two co-workers who were caught on Coldplay’s “kiss cam” during a concert by the group. Another woman at the concert recorded the event and uploaded it to her TikTok account, where it has since racked up more than 58 million views.

From X, the platform once known as Twitter, to media outlets and even a city sanitation department, companies have been weighing in on their own. Some of their jabs made more sense than others. Here’s what we know about the Coldplay couple controversy.

What happened at the Coldplay concert?

It started simply enough. At a Coldplay concert in Boston on Wednesday night, vocalist Chris Martin

told the audience

that he wanted to say hello to some of the fans.

“The way we’re going to do that is, using our cameras, you can look at the screens and we can see who’s out there and say hello,” he said. “Let’s go looking please.”

The cameras quickly found a couple wrapped in an embrace while enjoying the show — but rather than say hello, she turned away to hide her face while he ducked out of view, both of them appearing shocked.

“Either they’re having an affair or they’re just very shy,” Martin says, before the camera focuses on someone else.

In a later video

, he says, “I hope we didn’t do something bad.”

Who are the Coldplay couple?

The footage was soon

uploaded to social media

, and not long after, amateur sleuths identified the couple as Andy Byron, CEO of software company Astronomer, and Kristin Cabot, the company’s head of HR. She’s divorced. He’s married, but not to her.

Who filmed the video?

The video was recorded by Coldplay fan Grace Springer and

uploaded it to her TikTok account

. She said she didn’t expect to spark a scandal, but she stands by posting the video.

“I had no idea who the couple was. Just thought I caught an interesting reaction to the kiss cam and decided to post it. A part of me feels bad for turning these people’s lives upside down, but, play stupid games … win stupid prizes,”

she told the U.S. Sun.

“I hope their partners can heal from this and get a second chance at the happiness they deserve with their

future

 still in front of them.”

Has Astronomer responded?

On Friday, the company

released a statement

noting that its board had started a formal investigation into the matter.

Astronomer is committed to the values and culture that have guided us since our founding. Our leaders are expected to set the standard in both conduct and accountability,” the company said.




“The Board of Directors has initiated a formal investigation into this matter and we will have additional details to share very shortly,” it added.
“Alyssa Stoddard was not at the event and no other employees were in the video. Andy Byron has not put out any statement, reports saying otherwise are all incorrect.”

Late Friday Astronomer made another statement: “Cofounder and Chief Product Officer Pete DeJoy is currently serving as interim CEO given Andy Byron has been placed on leave.
We will share more details as appropriate in the coming days.”

Why did the first statement mention Alyssa Stoddard?

Internet sleuths had claimed that the embarrassed woman who was standing beside Byron and Cabot as they hid from the cameras was Alyssa Stoddard, an Astronomer employee who works for Cabot. The company has made it clear that the woman is not Stoddard.

“Alyssa was not there. This is a rumour started on Twitter. There may be some similarities in the countenance of the person, but it’s not (Stoddard),” a rep at a public relations firm hired on behalf of Astronomer

told Page Six

on Friday. “So (the rumour) is totally false based on misinformation.”

Why did Astronomer mention a statement from Byron?

A purported statement from Byron was posted to X on Thursday but it has since been identified as fake.

“I want to acknowledge the moment that’s been circulating online, and the disappointment it’s caused,” said the fake statement, which included apologies to Byron’s wife, family and Astronomer employees.

“What was supposed to be a night of music and joy turned into a deeply personal mistake playing out on a very public stage,” it said before adding that it was “troubling” that “what should have been a private moment became public without my consent.” The fake statement ends with Coldplay lyrics: “Lights will guide you home, and ignite your bones, and I will try to fix you.”

Before Astronomer put out a statement,

AFP had confirmed it was fake

, but not before it had been shared across social media and in multiple news articles.

“It did originate from a troll account and is indeed fake,” Mark Wheeler, Astronomer’s senior vice president of marketing, told AFP in an email on Friday, referring to the X account

@PeterEnisCBS, which appears to have first 
posted an image of the fake statement
on Thursday. AFP could find no record of a Peter Enis working for CBS, and the X account has since been suspended.

Former Astronomer CEO Ry Walker also called the message “super fake” in an X post.

How have other companies responded?

X delivered a simple line of text: “date idea: take your grok companion to coldplay.”

Tampa International Airport also decided to join in with: “Get your girl a plane ticket to see Coldplay or her boss will.”

And the movie studio Neon chose to post about its new body-horror movie Together with an image of the two canoodlers and the line: “The perfect date night movie.”

Not all the memes were so straightforward. Netflix obliquely posted an image from its documentary series Quarterback of Kirk Cousins of the Atlanta Falcons saying “I like Coldplay,” and that “one of the best concerts I’ve ever been to was Coldplay.”

By far the most unusual take on the situation was from

New York City Sanitation

, which defines itself as the “world’s largest municipal sanitation force” and notes that it collects 24 million pounds of trash and recycling every day.

It tends to send out messages about proper use of garbage bins and holiday well wishes, but on Thursday chose to tell its 98,000 followers: “Cameras are EVERYWHERE! Don’t get caught doing something you *maybe* shouldn’t be doing. Thinking about doing something naughty, like dumping trash in the City? We’ve got video cameras all over. We WILL catch you — and you will pay the price!”

Below those words was a montage of five images: a sign warning about illegal dumping, three photos that showed what looked like people doing just that — and Byron and Cabot at the Coldplay concert. Some people can’t keep their minds out of the gutter.

Love concerts, but can’t make it to the venue? Stream live shows and events from your couch with VEEPS, a music-first streaming service now operating in Canada. Click here for an introductory offer of 30% off. Explore upcoming concerts and the extensive archive of past performances.

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our newsletters here.


Premier Danielle Smith tours Jasper, Alta., on Friday, July 26, 2024. Wildfires encroaching into the townsite of Jasper forced an evacuation of the national park.

OTTAWA — The top administrator in Jasper, Alta., downplayed claims Friday that a report his town commissioned into last summer’s devastating wildfire was about blaming the province for making things worse, after the premier called on the town to apologize.

Jasper Chief Administrative Officer Bill Given told the National Post

that the initial media coverage

of the report hasn’t given the full picture of its contents, although he said he stands by the report.

“As with any comprehensive report, looking at any one part of it in isolation can easily lead to a mischaracterization of the overall content,” said Given in an interview. “I would encourage everyone to take a look at the report in its entirety, so they have a clear understanding of what its intended scope is (and) what was out of scope.”

Given also stressed that there were “a lot of strengths” in the wildfire response, including contributions from the province.

Several news outlets on Thursday, the day the report was released, highlighted some elements of the report that said the Alberta government had complicated firefighting efforts when it added itself to a previously established command structure set up between the town and Parks Canada.

Smith called both the report and its coverage in the media “disheartening” on Friday, saying the province was unfairly characterized as a clumsy interloper in wildfire relief efforts.

“The report and the media response not only appears politically motivated, it is also misguided, given its selective framing and failure to acknowledge the tireless work of provincial emergency personnel and leadership,” wrote Smith in a statement co-signed by three of her cabinet ministers.

She also said that the report glossed over the federal government’s complicity in the fire, specifically its failure to clear out

highly flammable dead trees

and other combustible debris from the area over the years.

Smith said

at an unrelated announcement

about Alberta’s Heritage Fund that she hoped the town would apologize for the report’s contents.

The 57-page report doesn’t expressly attribute blame to the province but suggests at multiple points that provincial officials delayed firefighting efforts at the height of the blaze.

“Provincial involvement added complexity to the response, as the Province of Alberta, though not jurisdictionally responsible to lead the incident, regularly requested information and sought to exercise decision-making authority,” reads one line.

The report also says that the province’s involvement created “political challenges that disrupted the focus of Incident Commanders, leading to time spent managing inquiries and issues instead of directing the wildfire response and reentry.”

Jasper is a specialized municipality within Jasper National Park, a sprawling protected area administered by Parks Canada.

A Unified Command comprising Parks Canada and the municipality led efforts to fight back the wildfire, although the fire ultimately destroyed one-third of the townsite and thousands of hectares of surrounding forest.

A spokesperson with the town of Jasper said the community hasn’t forgotten the province’s contribution.

“We deeply appreciate the role Alberta Wildfire, (the Alberta Emergency Management Agency) and other provincial teams played during the response, and we’re grateful for the Government of Alberta’s continued support throughout the recovery process,” wrote the spokesperson in an email.

The spokesperson declined to respond directly to the premier’s comments and would not say whether an apology was forthcoming.

Federal Emergency Management Minister Eleanor Olszewski said Friday that she was reviewing the report and would have more to say in the coming days.

Olszewski also said that she didn’t “think it would be helpful” for her to discuss Smith’s comments.

She added that she will be in Jasper next week to mark the one-year anniversary of the blaze.

National Post

rmohamed@postmedia.com

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here.


The U.S. Capitol is seen past American flags on the National Mall, June 6, 2025.

Included in the Trump administration’s

One Big Beautiful Bill Act

, which was recently enacted, is a provision about some travellers having to pay $250, a so-called “visa integrity fee,” to enter the country.

The act includes a plan to secure the U.S. border and gives Homeland Security the resources it needs,

per the White House

. It promises to provide more funding for ICE agents, for detention centres, as well as funds for completing the U.S.’s border wall.

The visa integrity fee is meant to go toward supporting “enforcement and administrative efforts related to U.S. visa policy and border security,”

USA Today reported

.

Another travel policy that was previously announced by the Trump administration, the alien registration requirement for foreigners, was

later updated to exempt most Canadians

from being fingerprinted. Currently, in most cases, Canadians do not require visitor, business, transit or other visas to enter the United States from Canada,

according to the Canadian federal government

.

Here’s what to know so far.

Who must pay the visa integrity fee?

The visa integrity fee applies to “any alien issued a nonimmigrant visa at the time of such issuance,” according to the act.

It must be paid in addition to any other fee authorized by law. The fee is currently set at $250, although it can be increased, and will be adjusted for inflation.

“Attaching an additional $250 fee has the very real potential to significantly reduce the number of people that can afford to do that,” managing director of programs and strategy at the American Immigration Council Jorge Loweree told USA Today.

“There are hundreds of thousands of people who receive visas and permission from the Department of State to come to the U.S. every single month temporarily.”

Do Canadians have to pay this fee?

In most cases, no. Canadian citizens can usually stay in the U.S. for 6 months without a visa, but there are some exceptions, which are listed on the

U.S. Department of State website

.

However, permanent residents of Canada do require a nonimmigrant visa and will have to pay the fee.

Can the visa integrity fee be waived?

No. According to the bill, it will not be waived or reduced.

However, the secretary of Homeland Security can provide a reimbursement if the person has complied with all of the conditions of the nonimmigrant visa. This means the person has not tried to extend the period of admission and has left the United States no later than five days after the visa’s expiry.

A person can also be reimbursed if they were granted an extension of nonimmigrant status or if their status changed to “a lawful permanent resident.”

“The intent behind this refund provision is to incentivize compliance with U.S. immigration laws by treating the $250 as a refundable security deposit — essentially rewarding those who follow the rules,” lawyer

Steven Brown wrote online

. Brown is a partner at U.S. immigration law firm Reddy Neumann Brown PC based in Houston.

When will the visa integrity fee go into effect?

Although the act has been signed into law, it is not immediately clear when the fee will be implemented.

In his blog post, Brown wrote there was no effective date.

How will this affect travel to the United States?

As well as the visa integrity fee, there were also other fees included in the act.

U.S. Travel Association President and CEO Geoff Freeman

issued a statement to Congress

, calling the fees “foolish.”

“Raising fees on lawful international visitors amounts to a self-imposed tariff on one of our nation’s largest exports: international travel spending,” said Freeman.

“These fees are not reinvested in improving the travel experience and do nothing but discourage visitation at a time when foreign travellers are already concerned about the welcome experience and high prices.”

Forbes reported that U.S. tourism officials “argue that anything that makes it more difficult or expensive to visit the United States can be a deterrent to large numbers of visitors.”

Tensions between the U.S. and Canada are already high

amid an ongoing trade war and rhetoric about Canada becoming the 51st state.

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here.


Pierre Moreau, Quebec Liberal Party candidate in the riding of Châteauguay in the 2018 Quebec general election..

OTTAWA — Prime Minister Mark Carney has picked a veteran Quebec politician who joined the Senate less than a year ago to become his representative in the upper chamber.

Pierre Moreau, who held a variety of cabinet roles in Quebec’s Liberal governments for 15 years, was appointed to the Senate in September 2024. He will be replacing former senator Marc Gold as the government’s representative. Gold bid farewell to the Senate in June at the mandatory retirement age of 75.

“Senator Moreau’s expertise and experience will advance the government’s legislative agenda to bring down costs, keep communities safe, and build one strong Canadian economy,” said a press release issued Friday morning by Carney’s office.

Carney thanked Gold for his “many years of service” standing for the government in the Senate, which Gold has been doing since 2020, and wished him well on his retirement.

The government representative in the Senate is usually the main point of contact between the government and the upper chamber. His main role is to bring forward the government’s legislation in the Senate and shepherd its passage through the chamber.

The representative can also attend cabinet meetings and is responsible for answering questions on behalf of the government in the Senate,

according to the Senate’s website.

Even though Moreau is new to the Senate, his experience in legal and political circles spans over four decades. He worked as a lawyer in Montreal before he was first elected in 2003 as a member of the Quebec legislature under then premier Jean Charest.

Moreau was defeated in the 2007 provincial election, but was re-elected in 2008, 2012 and 2014. During those years, he served as minister of intergovernmental affairs, transport, education, energy and natural resources and as president of the province’s Treasury Board.

After Charest resigned in 2012, Moreau was a candidate in the Liberal Party of Quebec’s leadership race to succeed him in 2013. Moreau ended up in second place, after Philippe Couillard.

Couillard would go on to serve only one term as Liberal premier, from 2014 to 2018. His government was defeated over spending cuts that ultimately balanced the province’s books, but paved the way for CAQ Leader François Legault’s first majority mandate in 2018.

Moreau lost his seat that year and returned to practice law, while occasionally appearing as a political commentator on Radio-Canada’s television and radio programs.

Moreau was appointed to the Senate by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in September 2024 and represents the Laurentian region, north of Montreal. He will turn 68 in December, which means he is more than seven years away from the Senate’s mandatory retirement age.

In his maiden speech in the Senate, on June 10, Moreau thanked Gold, his predecessor, for his help and advice in the early stages of his time in the Senate.

“Parliamentarism implies that we can sometimes oppose the ideas of others, even vehemently. However, such opposition must never come at the cost of respect for those who express them,” Moreau said.

“I will therefore draw on your teachings and, like you, I will always keep my door open to talk and discuss with my colleagues,” he added.

Last year, Moreau tabled

Bill S-219 in hopes of establishing a “judicial independence day”

in Canada each year on January 11. He said current events around the world make it necessary, more than ever, to reinforce the independence of the judiciary in Canada.

“In Canada, it is easy to take for granted that these cardinal rules are part of the founding principles of any democratic society. However, as we know, all democracies are fragile, and Canada is no exception,” he said.

Moreau also claimed in his speech that there are Canadian politicians “who have suddenly and inexplicably thought it wise to criticize the courts and judges and publicly challenge their decisions.”

“The direct consequence of these criticisms and attacks is to erode public confidence in the administration of justice and undermine the authority of the courts,” he said.

Moreau was a member of the Progressive Senate Group caucus until his nomination as the government representative.

National Post

calevesque@postmedia.com

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our politics newsletter, First Reading, here.


Residential buildings rise up in Dartmouth, N.S., on June 17, 2025.



TIM KROCHAK PHOTO

Canada is struggling with the effects of an unprecedented immigration boom: Housing shortages, youth unemployment, overtaxed social programs and more.

But in Atlantic Canada, those irritants are largely overshadowed by a much different story: the transformation of moribund and stagnant economies that made the region Canada’s poor cousin.

The authors of a new book detail the dramatic improvements newcomers are bringing to the East Coast — and argue this is no time to swerve. They argue only for a more strategic immigration policy, one that reflects the region’s economic needs.

In Toward Prosperity, The Transformation of Atlantic Canada’s Economy, former pollster Don Mills and economist David Campbell highlight how increasing immigration in the past five years has boosted the economy of a stagnant region with the oldest population in the country.

“Provincial governments across Atlantic Canada have finally understood the implications for an aging population and the need for population growth: all four provinces in the region now have population growth strategies, with immigration as a core focus of those strategies,” they write.

Nova Scotia seeks to double its population to two million by 2060, and New Brunswick, where the population was pegged at 854,355 last year, is aiming for one million people within the decade, according to their 2025 book published by Halifax-based Nimbus.

“Most of the region’s largest municipalities now have their own population growth strategies as well,” Mills and Campbell write. “All these population strategies acknowledge the critical role of immigration to drive labour force and population growth.”

Last year, after three years of especially rapid growth in Canada’s immigration population, the Liberals under Justin Trudeau announced they were reducing the number of permanent residents admitted to the country by 21 per cent. Earlier this year, Prime Minister Mark Carney pledged to cap the total number of temporary workers and international students to less than five per cent of Canada’s population within two years.

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre this month called for “very hard caps” on the number of newcomers allowed into the country. He told reporters the country has struggled to integrate newcomers and he wants to see more people leaving than coming in “while we catch up.”

“We have millions of people whose permits will expire over the next couple of years, and many of them will leave,” Poilievre said. “We need more people leaving than coming for the next couple years.”

In 2022, the Canadian population rose by over a million people for the first time in history — and then kept growing faster. According to Statistics Canada, the population reached 40,769,890 on Jan. 1, 2024. That was an increase of 1,271,872 people in a single year — a 3.2 per cent jump, marking the highest annual population growth rate in Canada since 1957.

In an interview, Mills said Atlantic Canada needs smarter and targeted immigration.

“I believe in growth under control,” Mills said. “It got a little out of hand under the Trudeau Liberals. They opened the gates too quickly and it really hurt the housing market and put strains on our health-care and education systems for sure.”

Prince Edward Island was the first Atlantic province to boost immigration levels, he said. The littlest province has been among the country’s leaders in economic growth since. But the island’s population growth rate peaked at three per cent in 2023 — too much, too fast, Mills says.

“We argue in the book for growth under control — somewhere between one and 1.5 per cent is something that we can manage. We still have an ageing population in Atlantic Canada; we need people to fill the jobs of the large group of Baby Boomers who are retiring from the workforce and there’s simply not enough people behind to fill the jobs that we already have. Not just what we have, but what we need to further grow the economy.”

Mills sees the current immigration rethink as a wise thing, as Ottawa figures out the right number of newcomers. It would be a mistake though, both he and Campbell argue, if the Carney government didn’t listen to individual provinces about their immigration needs, including on international student numbers.

“We’ve had really great immigration into places like Miramichi (N.B.), into places like Summerside (P.E.I.), and even in places like Yarmouth (N.S.) and I worry that’s all going to be lost if they keep clamping down on these numbers,” Campbell said.

“Cutting workforce, in our opinion, is like cutting capital. You need three things to have a strong economy. You need capital, you need people, and you need ideas. And if you don’t have one of those three, you’re going to be in trouble.”

Mills uses his own business as an example: When he sold his polling firm, now known as Narrative Research, in late 2018, Mills, along with his son and brother, acquired Cabco, an infrastructure cabling business. Since the purchase in the spring of 2019, the company has grown from 40 to 100 employees.

“We’re continuously recruiting for people,” he said. “It’s hard to find skilled people.”

The company turned to immigrants to help fill the gap. “They’re great workers,” Mills said. “They have a certain ambition that sometimes seems lacking in native-born Canadians.”

In the early 2000s, as young, educated and ambitious immigrants flocked to other parts of Canada, Atlantic Canada had a workforce problem, which left businesses reluctant to invest in the region. “They were not sure there was going to be enough workers,” Campbell said.

In their book, the authors describe Atlantic Canada as being “in the early stage of an economic renaissance” fueled by immigration.

“One of the main reasons why we’re optimistic is because we’ve seen … record levels of population growth across the region, even in Newfoundland and Labrador now, and we feel that will be the impetus for the rest of what needs to happen, such as natural resources development,” Campbell said.

If the region could maintain a “modest level of population growth through immigration,” its future would be “fairly bright,” Campbell said.

The authors point again to P.E.I. The province was able to leverage a greater share of the federal immigration allotment to develop its biosciences and aerospace sectors.

Mills points to the island’s BioAlliance, a private sector-led not-for-profit organization dedicated to building the bioscience industry in P.E.I. that just celebrated its 20th anniversary. “Over that period of time they’ve grown it to … 60 companies and the last time I looked their annual revenues were exceeding $600 million — mostly export dollars, which are really valuable.”

As many as 3,000 people are employed in the cluster, Mills said, equating it to auto manufacturing in Ontario.

The authors make a series of other recommendations to maintain East Coast economic momentum, including “becoming a green energy superpower” by setting up offshore wind power platforms off places like Sable Island, and developing small modular nuclear reactors. Nova Scotia’s Progressive Conservative government has introduced legislation allowing the province’s power utility to own a nuclear plant.

Campbell and Mills also push for measures easing natural resource development, which could help Atlantic Canada move away from its dependence on equalization payments.

“If you really want to eliminate or significantly reduce transfer payments you’ve got to develop your natural resources, including natural gas, and if you have it, oil,” Campbell said. “Because the reality is, if you look at the provinces in Canada that are the strongest, they are the provinces that have oil and gas.”

A Fraser Institute survey last year of senior mining executives found that, in terms of government policy, Nova Scotia was “the least-attractive province, ranking 36th out of 86 jurisdictions, with only the Northwest Territories and Nunavut performing worse in Canada.”

“Miners are skittish because every time somebody wants to do a mine, the pitchforks come out,” Campbell said. “People are really, really nervous about mining, oil and gas, and aquaculture — anything that might have any kind of an impact on the environment. And we’ve got to find a way to get people beyond that and accept the fact that you’ve got to develop your natural resources. You have to have high environmental standards, but if they can do it in Saskatchewan, if they can do it in B.C., if they can do it in Alberta, we have to be able to do it down here.”

The authors also argue the region needs to “become more tax competitive” by lowering personal income tax rates and ensuring corporate taxes are competitive.

A recent Fraser Institute study indicates that “Nova Scotia (at 21 per cent) and Newfoundland & Labrador (at 21.8 per cent) have the highest top marginal provincial personal income tax rates in Canada. New Brunswick (at 19.5 per cent) and Prince Edward Island (at 19 per cent) are also higher than most other provinces.”

Growing the population with new immigrants adds more taxpayers, Mills said.

“This should be an opportunity to bring our taxes in line with other provinces in the country,” Mills said. “But the biggest problem that we still have is governments continue to spend way over what they bring in. That is a systemic problem. Until we get that under control, it’s going to be very difficult to get our taxes under control.”

This is the latest in a National Post series on How Canada Wins. Read earlier instalments here.

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here.


President Donald Trump speaks to reporters before boarding the Marine One presidential helicopter and departing the White House on June 24, 2025 in Washington, DC.

Donald Trump, 79, has been diagnosed with chronic venous insufficiency after he was examined for swelling in his lower legs, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said Thursday. Although the swelling was “mild,” the condition caused blood to pool in the U.S. president’s legs.

Leavitt addressed Trump’s condition at a press conference briefly, calling it “benign” and common in people over the age of 70. She added that there is no evidence of Trump’s condition being serious or life-threatening, as confirmed by further and “compressive” tests. The tests revealed there is no evidence Trump has deep vein thrombosis, a serious medical condition where blood clots form in the veins, usually the legs.

Here’s what we know about Trump’s medical condition, how it is treated and what the letter from Trump’s doctor says.

What is chronic venous insufficiency, the symptoms and how is it treated?

Blood is normally pumped all over the body. Veins in the body then take the blood insufficient in oxygen back to the heart to refuel. In some cases, veins aren’t able to carry out that function properly and as a result the blood pools in the legs.

Cleveland Clinic

notes that “this increases pressure in the leg veins and causes symptoms like swelling.” This condition is known as chronic venous insufficiency.

Other than blood pooling around the legs, symptoms for this condition include legs that are achy or tingly. The condition, if severe, can also lead to ulcers.

Leavitt said the condition hasn’t caused Trump any discomfort.

The academic centre based in Cleveland encourages lifestyle changes as the first method of treatment for this condition.

 The left foot and swollen of President Donald Trump are pictured as he sits with Bahrain’s Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa in the Oval Office of the White House, Wednesday, July 16, 2025, in Washington.

Lifestyle changes, per Cleveland Clinic, may include walking as a form of exercise, losing weight and elevating legs periodically. Leavitt didn’t reveal how the president was treating the condition.

“If these measures aren’t enough, your provider may recommend a procedure or surgery. The best treatment for you depends on how far your condition has progressed and other medical conditions you have,” according to Cleveland Clinic.

What did the White House physician’s letter say?

The letter by Trump’s doctor explained that the diagnosis came after Trump underwent a comprehensive examination as the president noted mild swelling his legs. Results for other tests “were within normal limits,” physician Capt. Sean Barbabella wrote. “No signs of heart failure, renal impairment, or systemic illness were identified,” the letter continued.

Barbabella also addressed the recent photos of Trump that showed the president with minor bruising on his hand.

 Discolouration is seen on the hand of U.S. President Donald Trump as he welcomes Bahrain’s Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa to the White House at the West Wing entrance in Washington, DC, on July 16, 2025.

“This is consistent with minor soft tissue irritation from frequent handshaking and the use of aspirin, which is taken as part of a standard cardiovascular prevention regimen,” Barbabella wrote. “This is a well-known and benign side effect of aspirin therapy.”

In summary, the letter addressed to Leavitt concluded, “President Trump remains in excellent health.”

Read the full letter here: Trump’s health status update

Our website is the place for the latest breaking news, exclusive scoops, longreads and provocative commentary. Please bookmark nationalpost.com and sign up for our daily newsletter, Posted, here.


TOPSHOT - Shiite Muslim mourners hold portraits of Iran's Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during a religious procession held to mark Ashura, on the tenth day of the Islamic holy month of Muharram in Karachi on July 6, 2025. (Photo by Asif HASSAN / AFP) (Photo by ASIF HASSAN/AFP via Getty Images)

Toronto resident Daniel was not in Iran’s good books even before Israel and the United States showered the country with missiles and bombs last month.

While working as a telecommunications supplier in Iran, he says he deliberately sabotaged schemes to evade sanctions and import equipment for military use, earning the regime’s ire. A member of Iran’s tiny Jewish community, he eventually fled the Islamic Republic and ended up in Canada a decade ago.

But in the wake of the short-lived Iran-Israel war, military officials called in his brother, mother and sister-in-law for hours of interrogation about their Canadian relative. The officials claimed Daniel, who asked that his last name be withheld for security reasons, was a spy for Israel. As evidence, they cited the reports he contributed to

Israel Pars

, an online TV station catering to Israel’s Farsi-speaking minority.

“They told my brother, ‘We know where he is, where he is living with his family, and we are going to execute him,’ ” Daniel quoted his relatives as telling him by phone. “ ’We got the order from the court to execute him.’ ”

Daniel, who has a wife and two-year-old boy, takes the officials’ violent threat seriously.

“I don’t care about myself. (But) I have been living in a state of fear because of my son. If something happened to me his life really would be destroyed.”

It may be an extreme case, but such dread is not uncommon within Canada’s Iranian diaspora, a group estimated to number 400,000 people. As Iran once more becomes a focal point of Middle East tensions, many Iranian Canadians live with a troubling anxiety.

They typically emigrated to escape a system marked by rampant human-rights abuses, stifling censorship and harshly enforced religious edicts. Now some feel like they never truly left the Islamic Republic behind.

No Iranian official has been based here since Canada cut off diplomatic ties in 2012. But there are numerous reports of intimidation of Canadians who speak out against the regime, evidence of planned kidnapping and assassination plots — at least one contracted out to Hell’s Angels — a steady stream of senior Iranian government figures entering Canada, and suspicions of widespread money laundering by the regime and its proxies.

A would-be Conservative candidate for Parliament believes a nomination contest was tainted by misinformation orchestrated by Iran. And a prominent human-rights lawyer even warned that Iranian sleeper cells may be activated in the recent war’s aftermath. Anita Anand, Canada’s foreign affairs minister,

said she shared Irwin Cotler’s concern.

The Iranian-Canadian experience has been double-edged: it’s an impressive immigration success story, unfolding under a dark shadow cast from 10,000 kilometres away.

“I was supposed to live in Canada in safety, in peace, enjoying my life, enjoying my freedoms,” said Ardeshir Zarezadeh, a Toronto legal advisor and human-rights activist who spent years in prison in Iran. “But in Canada itself we can’t live in peace and freedom.”

Even those who lost loved ones in

Iran’s shooting down of an airliner

packed with Canadian citizens and permanent residents have felt Tehran’s grip, citing threatening calls and demands to stay quiet.

The Iranian newspaper Farheekhtegan — Farsi for intellectuals — published a full-page spread last October headlined by the statement “United Iran against the murderers.” The piece featured photos of six alleged “murderers” with targets superimposed over their faces. They included then-U.S. vice president Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli defence minister at the time, and Reza Pahlavi, son of the late Shah of Iran. The sixth person? Hamed Esmaeilion, a Toronto dentist.

The Canadian citizen has been an outspoken critic of the regime but, he says with a wry laugh, “I have never murdered anybody.” Esmaeilion can state without question, though, that Tehran killed his wife and nine-year-old daughter. They were on Ukrainian International Airlines flight PS752, shot down by Iran just outside Tehran in 2020. Iran says it was an accident; family members and others suspect the attack was deliberate.

“I call it the borderless empire of terror and fear,” says Esmaeilion of Iran’s worldwide tentacles.

At the same time, Iranian Canadians subjected to harassment and worried about a steady stream of regime officials settling in or visiting Canada, say security services don’t pay enough heed to their complaints.

“I would argue Canada is the most infiltrated country in the western world,” says Alireza Nader, a Washington, D.C.-based Iran analyst who prepared a study on Tehran’s interference in Canada for the conservative Foundation for Defense of Democracies. “Canada is actually well-known as a haven for the regime. People (in the Iranian community) joke about it. It is part of the popular culture.”

RCMP spokesman Marie-Eve Breton declined to say how many complaints it has received about interference from Iran or to detail how it responds to them, citing “operational reasons.” That said, the Mounties take threats “very seriously” and will investigate if there is a suspicion of criminal or other illegal activity, she said.

But the diaspora that has grown up here since the 1979 Islamic revolution — full of professionals, entrepreneurs and academics — is not unanimous in its dim view of the Iranian government. Some groups have tended to avoid stiff criticism of Tehran, and sometimes echoed its viewpoints.

A rally against Israeli attacks last month — called

“Hands-off Iran

” — included people waving the Islamic Republic flag, a symbol of oppression to some expatriates. Competing vigils for the PS752 victims in 2020 — one involving regime critics, the other factions more sympathetic to Tehran —

ended in a physical fight

that required police intervention.

Organizations like the Iranian Canadian Congress (ICC), a co-sponsor of Hands-off Iran, have been accused of being apologists for the Islamic Republic. The ICC denies the charge and says it simply wants peace, the end to sanctions against Iran and restoration of Canada-Iran diplomatic ties.

“Iranian Canadian activists who oppose military action or sanctions, citing their detrimental impact on the Iranian populace and regional peace and stability, are frequently discredited by hardline political factions,”

the ICC told the federal Foreign Interference Commission.

“These factions prioritize regime change in Tehran over all else, disregarding both Canada’s interests and the potential harm that increased instability may inflict on the people of Iran.”

Complicating the divisions right now are events in the Middle East. Even some staunch opponents of the Iranian regime and its allies like Hamas and Hezbollah are disturbed by the Gaza war. After Iranian-backed Hamas crossed over from the strip and massacred 1,200 Israelis, Israel’s armed forces responded with operations that have killed more than 50,000 Palestinian fighters and civilians and laid waste to much of the territory.

There are “mixed feelings,” says Esmaeilion.

And the exchange of missiles and drones between Iran and Israel, combined with the U.S. bombing of Iranian nuclear sites, has triggered a vicious crackdown by Tehran on alleged “spies” and dissidents, noted Zarezadeh.

“Weakening the regime is good, but what’s next?” he asks. “If this is going to create a lot of damage (to the democracy movement) … mass executions … what is the point?”

Like so many other burgeoning ethnic communities in Canada, Iranians were a rare presence here for most of the 20th century. But that began to change as the revolution transformed their homeland into a theocratic state steered by unelected clerics.

First came people seeking political asylum, then middle-class strivers wanting a freer, more enriching life, especially for women whose existence is tightly constricted in Iran.

Many have settled in Vancouver and its suburbs, but the greatest concentration live in the northern reaches of the Greater Toronto Area. The enclave is predictably nicknamed Tehranto, the main streets in some neighbourhoods lined with Iranian restaurants and other businesses.

The group includes a surprising number of high achievers. Esmaeilion says he knew of a couple hundred dentists of Iranian extraction in Canada when he emigrated in 2010. Now they number well over 1,000, he said. “You can say the same thing about medical doctors, you can say the same about lawyers, about engineers.”

The make-up of the diaspora is partly a result of “selection bias,” says lawyer Kaveh Shahrooz, a rights activist in Toronto. Many are people who had the wherewithal and money to get out of Iran, while Canadian laws in the past favoured newcomers who could invest sizeable sums here, he said. Plus, the culture promotes education and career success.

Shahrooz believes the most recent waves include many people who did well economically under the Ayatollahs and retain a sympathy for the regime or even continued business links in Iran. Esmaeilion disagrees. If anything, he argues, the newest arrivals are more disenchanted than anyone about the Islamic autocracy.

There’s a lack of polling data breaking down exactly what portion of Iranian Canadians are staunch opponents of the Iranian regime. But critics insist it’s the majority, even if many are too afraid to speak out. The dissidents cite in part two rallies held in 2022. They supported protests in Iran over the death in custody of a young woman arrested for wearing an insufficiently modest hijab. Both “Woman Life Freedom” events in the Greater Toronto area attracted an estimated 50,000 people — a significant chunk of local Iranian Canadians — while cities across Canada held smaller demonstrations, noted Zarezadeh.

The Iranian Canadian Congress did not respond to requests for comment by deadline, but it has noted that a petition calling for renewed diplomatic relations with Iran gathered 16,000 signatures; one opposing the idea only a few hundred.

Still, for those Canadians who do publicly criticize the regime, the consequences can be chilling.

A

2021 U.S. indictment

accused Iranian intelligence operatives of planning to kidnap and fly to Iran Iranian-American journalist Masih Alinejad. The same group, prosecutors said, was plotting to snatch three unnamed Canadian opponents of the regime. The FBI has since charged multiple people tied to Iran with conspiring to actually assassinate Alinejad.

Last year, U.S. attorneys

indicted two Canadian Hell’s Angels members

, accusing them of working at the behest of Iranian intelligence to assassinate dissidents in Maryland.

The Canadian Security Intelligence Service’s most recent

annual report

says it continues to investigate “credible intelligence” about death threats against Canadians emanating from Iran, often using proxies like organized crime figures. The targets are “perceived enemies” living abroad, and the threats to Canadians may increase as tensions heighten in the Middle East, said the spy agency.

Iran also uses “malicious cyber activity” to repress and manipulate Canada-based opponents, the CSIS report said.

In its submissions to the Foreign Interference Commission, the Iranian Canadian Congress did not dwell on actions by Tehran. It focused instead on threats it says it and similar groups face closer to home, saying it should be “protected from information wars organized by media outlets established with foreign investments by authoritarian or democratic states.”

But individual Iranian Canadians have reported first-hand experience with a range of intimidation by Tehran.

Ardeshir Zarezadeh, the Toronto legal advisor, says he spent a total of seven years in prison, including two in solitary confinement, for helping organize student protests and the like in Iran. He fled through mountains to Turkey and ended up here in 2006. But he continues to be dogged by the regime, he says.

A suspicious Iranian man called from a pay phone, then showed up unannounced at his office in 2019. Zarezadeh notified both the RCMP and FBI. The Americans responded promptly, informing him that his visitor was an Iranian intelligence officer. Zerezadeh says he never heard back from the Mounties.

Then in 2022, he said Iranian intelligence contacted a friend of his, demanding the friend turn over Zerezadeh’s home address or see all his business interests in Iran destroyed.

Esmaeilion lost his family in Iran’s destruction of flight PS752 but he says that hasn’t stopped the regime from targeting him.

His 76-year-old father was interrogated for two hours in May 2024 about his son’s activities in Canada, while his parents were banned from leaving Iran for a year. Esmaeilion’s mother finally made it here earlier this year but after she returned to Iran two months ago, her passport was seized again.

Esmaeilion posted on X in 2023 when the community discovered by chance that Seyed Hassan Ghazizadeh Hashemi — a former Iranian health minister — was on vacation in Canada, even as Iran continued to evade accountability for the plane shoot-down. While in Toronto, the minister did an interview with Iranian media in which he vowed retaliation against Esmaeilion and others whose posts had interrupted his holiday. The federal government eventually

banned Hashemi from entering Canada

for 36 months, but Esmaeilion says police told him they could do nothing about the threat.

Shahrooz said he often receives threats online and gets regular warnings from Google that state-based actors have been trying to hack into his accounts. After he did an interview with the Voice of America’s Farsi-language service, relatives in Iran were taken in for interrogation about him.

But he considers his experience last year campaigning for the Conservative nomination in the federal riding of Richmond Hill as particularly troubling. He had not even officially announced he was running for the candidacy when posts started proliferating online that falsely accused him of being a member of Mojahedin-e-Khalq (MEK), the anti-regime group that Canada once designated as a terrorist entity. It’s widely unpopular with both regime opponents and supporters.

The smear campaign had an organized tone to it and included references to a particular relative who had been a MEK member, a fact that few people without access to Iranian security files would know, says Shahrooz.

“My name would trend on Twitter, for example, twice in a week — because I’m running for a nomination in a suburb of Toronto. It doesn’t make any sense unless there is an organized cyber army of Iran’s regime working to undermine me.”

He says Conservative Party officials were not receptive to his reports of intimidation and when they closed the nomination race early, before he had time to sign up many of the crucial new members, the Harvard law graduate ended his run.

Mariyam Shafipour was a prominent student activist in Iran and spent two years in Tehran’s notorious Evin Prison, making her way to Canada after being released.

She’s continued her opposition here, resulting in the intimidation of her sisters by Iranian security services, she told the

Human Rights Talks podcast

earlier this year. And there have been ominous signs of not just digital, but physical surveillance here in Canada.

Officials of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, which Canada designated as terrorist last year, told one of her sisters that Shafipour’s apartment overlooked a school and that she owned three cats,

she told CBC TV

in 2022. Both were accurate observations.

Such experiences help explain deep concern in the community about another phenomenon. Current or former officials of the regime routinely seem to show up in Canada, while some refugee claimants and relatives of ordinary people — including

family of the PS752 victims

— are regularly denied visitor visas.

Zarezadeh said he’s received numerous reports of former IRGC officials entering Canada, which he plans to pass on to authorities. Vancouver lawyer

Mojdeh Shahriari

has said she’s collected hundreds of reports of various senior officials obtaining Canadian visas.

Nader, the Washington-based analyst, said he was shocked to learn that

Mahdi Nasiri

, the head of hard-line newspaper Kayhan in late-1990s Iran, then an adviser to the government, had arrived in Canada earlier this spring. Nasiri told CBC News that he’d been a critic of the regime for six years and was a “liberal” now. Nader and other regime critics were doubtful.

Morteza Talaei, who as Tehran police chief oversaw a crackdown on women’s dress and took part in the bloody response to student protests in 1999,

was spotted in Richmond Hill

, north of Toronto, three years ago. Critics accused him of rank hypocrisy, with video showing him exercising in a local gym next to women in workout outfits, public attire he would have considered criminal in his old job.

The federal government is trying to stem the tide. A law passed in 2022 and updated last year now bars entry to Canada of anyone who was a senior Iranian official as far back as 2003. And there seems no shortage of cases.

Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada has cancelled 131 visas under the law, while Canada Border Services Agency has opened 115 investigations. Half of those were deemed to not be senior officials, but the rest are still being reviewed or enforcement action taken, said Luke Reimer, a CBSA spokesman.

The agency has reported 20 alleged senior officials who are in Canada for inadmissibility hearings. But as of June, only three had been ordered deported — and one of those actually removed from the country, Reimer said.

Coupled with the arrival of figures from the Iranian government are fears of rampant money laundering. The proliferation of money-exchange services in Iranian-Canadian neighbourhoods underscores the problem, says Esmaeilion. One such business told a friend that it processes millions of dollars in transfers to and from Iran every day, he said.

National Post was unable to verify that claim. But the Financial Transactions and Reports Analysis Centre of Canada (FINTRAC), Ottawa’s anti-money-laundering watchdog, is planning to require financial institutions to more closely monitor cash flowing to and from Iran, the Globe and Mail reported recently. The number of “suspicious transaction reports” involving Iran and filed with the centre is already soaring, to 19,572 in 2024-25, from 6,866 in 2023-24, the Globe said.

All of this — intimidation, frequent visits by regime heavyweights and alleged money laundering — is transpiring 13 years after the Iranian embassy in Canada was shuttered.

But Daniel, for one, has no doubts about the regime’s ability to function here, with or without an official presence. As he contemplates the Iranian threat to “execute” him, Daniel notes IRGC officials showed his family photographs of him, his wife and son, and knew his correct Canadian address.

“When I was in Iran, because of my business, I knew a lot of high-level government people. One of those guys one time told me, ‘the hub of spying in North America is in Canada,’” he says, a suggestion the Post could not independently verify. “They have the financial support, they have the people to support them. They are capable of doing many things in Canada.”