The following is a weighted average of the latest federal polls. The methodology used to weigh the polls can be found here. The federal polling average was last updated on March 18th, 2016. The below projection is subject to the margin of error of the polls incorporated into the LP338.com model.
| Federal Vote Projection | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | B.C. | Alb. | Pra. | Ont. | Que. | Atl. | ||
 |
49.2% | 44.6% | 26.8% | 41.5% | 50.2% | 49.4% | 71.8% | |
 |
31.7% | 26.6% | 58.2% | 39.6% | 33.8% | 14.1% | 13.9% | |
 |
11.3% | 19.2% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 6.7% | |
 |
3.4% | - | - | - | - | 14.2% | - | |
 |
2.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | |
 |
1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 3.8% | |
| Federal Seat Projection | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | B.C. | Alb. | Pra. | Ont. | Que. | Atl. | Nor. | ||
|
197 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 73 | 57 | 32 | 3 | |
|
106 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |
|
32 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | |
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |