Polls

The following is a weighted average of the latest federal polls. The methodology used to weigh the polls can be found here. The federal polling average was last updated on March 18th, 2016.  The below projection is subject to the margin of error of the polls incorporated into the LP338.com model.

Federal Vote Projection
Canada B.C. Alb. Pra. Ont. Que. Atl.
liberal 49.2% 44.6% 26.8% 41.5% 50.2% 49.4% 71.8%
conservative 31.7% 26.6% 58.2% 39.6% 33.8% 14.1% 13.9%
NDP 11.3% 19.2% 6.7% 12.4% 11.2% 18.6% 6.7%
bloc quebecois 3.4% - - - - 14.2% -
green party 2.9% 7.7% 5.6% 3.7% 4.5% 2.8% 3.8%
other 1.5% 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 0.3% 0.9% 3.8%
Federal Seat Projection
Canada B.C. Alb. Pra. Ont. Que. Atl. Nor.
liberal 197 17 4 11 73 57 32 3
conservative 106 15 29 15 39 8 0 0
NDP 32 9 1 2 9 11 0 0
bloc quebecois 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
green party 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Monthly Federal Polling Averages