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U.S. President Donald Trump's erratic behaviour and threats have created huge uncertainty in markets, for producers, investors and consumers alike, writes Derek H. Burney.

In a fit of blatant intimidation, Donald Trump abruptly announced on June 27 that he was suspending trade talks with Canada immediately. The U.S. president also threatened to impose additional tariffs within seven days. In an interview with Fox News, he explained his decision saying, “People don’t realize Canada’s

very nasty

to deal with … There’s been things going on that we don’t like and things where they took advantage.”

The specific targets for Trump’s outburst were a three per cent

Digital Services Tax

(DST) on revenues above $20 million for big tech companies, due to go into effect on June 30, and what the president claimed were tariffs of “almost 400 per cent” against U.S. dairy exports. Despite Trump’s lament, no U.S. exporter has ever paid a 400 per cent tariff on dairy products, which are limited instead by an explicit quota negotiated in CUSMA (Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement) as a trade-off for similar quota limitations on U.S. imports of sugar and sugar-containing products.

When Prime Minister Mark Carney announced on June 29 that Canada would rescind the DST, it seemed an abject capitulation to Trump’s threats, especially when the White House declared that Carney had

“caved”

on the tax. Subsequently it was suggested that the about-face was likely in exchange for the Trump administration dropping a “revenge” tax provision from Congress’s “Big Beautiful Bill” — a measure that would have imposed tens of billions of dollars in taxes on profits of Canadian companies investing in the U.S. While little is known about the substance of the trade talks to date, both topics were obviously discussed. Canada is also undoubtedly seeking relief from crippling tariffs unlawfully imposed, notably the 50 per cent tariffs on steel and aluminum, while isolating other issues to a renewal of CUSMA (also known as USMCA) sometime next year.

In his latest tirade, Trump also repeated his “51st state” desire, “because Canada relies entirely on the U.S. We don’t rely on Canada.” Given that perverse attitude, Canada should demonstrate just how false his claim is. We should use the threat of a 25 per cent surcharge on potash, uranium, oil and electricity exports — all of which are vital to America’s economy — as leverage to set the record straight.

Trump’s tariff rhetoric is not always matched by his erratic start/stop deeds, especially on China, causing some to label him as the “TACO (‘Trump Always Chickens Out’ on tariffs) president.” Regardless, by violating both basic World Trade Organization (WTO) principles and agreements that his administration concluded, he is creating huge chaos and uncertainty in markets, for producers, investors and consumers alike. A return to some semblance of normalcy on trade would be welcome.

Canada should be wary about entering into any renewal of CUSMA given that the original agreement has been flagrantly violated by the U.S. The element of mutual trust essential to any international agreement has evaporated.

It is not easy to deal with a leader who acts like a schoolyard bully, believing that “might is right” and justifying any unilateral penalties as necessary because America’s trading partners are “ripping it off.” As if!

Regrettably, we have not seen much pushback from Congress on Trump’s blunderbuss approach to America’s northern neighbour nor from U.S. CEOs having a major stake in Canada’s economy. His actions have shattered many illusions Canadians had about America. The friendship and trust that provided economic and security dividends to both partners for more than a century may weather the Trump storm, but we should prudently “stand on guard,” signalling our intent to hit back where it will hurt America and provoke a more balanced dialogue and agreement. Trump’s antics have ignited an unprecedented outpouring of “Elbows Up” pride and patriotism in Canada. But the decision by Alberta and Saskatchewan to lift the ban on U.S. alcohol sales mocks any notion of a Team Canada approach to U.S. trade.

The Trump administration now claims that it will conclude many trade agreements before Labour Day. So far it has two — Britain and Vietnam. Trump’s tariff pause will expire on July 9, but most trade experts continue to question the efficacy of his obsession with tariffs.

Trump should be relishing the commitment he has gained from NATO allies to increase defence spending to five per cent of GDP. He might bask, too, in the wake of America’s spectacular B-2 bombing raid on Iran’s nuclear facilities, the real damage of which has yet to be corroborated.

The president succeeded in bulldozing his “Big, Beautiful Bill” through Congress delivering on many of his campaign promises — reinstating the 2017 tax cuts along with no taxes on tips, overtime and social security; a stronger border; and massive energy development. The hope is that these will prompt stronger economic growth, discount some increases to the deficit, and bolster Republican prospects for the 2026 midterm elections. He also won verdicts from the Supreme Court that at least partially vindicated his use of executive power. Trump has an unquenchable thirst for praise, which he received on all of these.

His strong position on the border and illegal immigration remain popular but America’s economic performance will ultimately determine his political fate.

Trump’s aggressively unilateral behaviour is partly attributable to the fact that he will not run again for president and has few guardrails constraining his actions. He demands and receives absolute loyalty from his administration and, thus far, from almost all Republicans in Congress. The chaotic state of the Democratic party only encourages his assertions of executive power.

Inexplicably, Trump continues to placate Russian President Vladimir Putin while weakening U.S. military assistance to Ukraine — a position that is morally and strategically dubious. Following his most recent phone call with Putin, Russia launched its largest ever

drone attack

on Kyiv.

Jake Sullivan, who served as Joe Biden’s national security adviser, recently lamented that Trump’s “America First” foreign policy is undermining U.S. core advantages, specifically the strength of its alliances. Instead of working together to “de-risk” from China, he suggested that many longtime allies in Europe and Asia are now focused on

“de-risking” from the U.S.

Trump’s integrity lapses add stress to an already precarious world.

National Post

Derek H. Burney is a former 30-year career diplomat who served as Ambassador to the United States of America from 1989 to 1993.


An EV charging station in Vancouver sits empty as people fill their tanks with gas in 2024.

Of all the coercive environmental policies implemented by the Trudeau government, the electric vehicle mandate was among the worst, but Prime Minister Mark Carney has been mum on whether Ottawa still intends to force Canadians to ride around in souped-up Power Wheels.

As industry and consumers have been putting pressure on the federal government to scrap the mandate — which will require 20 per cent of all new cars and trucks sold in this country to be zero-emission by next year, increasing to 100 per cent in 2035 — last week, the federal government offered a faint glimmer of hope that it may rethink this choice-limiting policy.

Following a meeting between Carney and the CEOs of Ford, General Motors and Stellantis, a spokesperson for the environment minister

told the Post

that Ottawa is “engaging with the provinces, territories and industry to make sure that our measures reflect times we are in.”

It’s admittedly not much to go on, but there should be no doubt that much has changed since the Liberals introduced the EV mandate in late 2023. When Environment Canada announced the

new regulations

, it said they were designed to “ensure that the supply of (EVs) being sold in Canada keeps up with consumer demand,” while paradoxically promising that the move would “enhance choice.”

But a year and a half later, that demand has failed to materialize. According to a

Transport Canada report

from last year, even in the absence of a government mandate, automakers had “significantly increased and continue to invest in their (EV) manufacturing output,” leading to “significant inventory improvements.”

Yet,

per Statistics Canada

, EVs — which include those powered by electricity, hydrogen and hybrid engines — made up just 7.5 per cent of all new vehicles sold in April, a decline of 28.5 per cent from the same period in 2024.

Part of this decline may be due to the loss of the $5,000 subsidy Ottawa was offering to EV buyers, after the government ran through its $3-billion budget to help rich people put fancy new Teslas in their driveways in January. But it puts a lie to the idea that Canadians would be buying EVs in droves, if only automakers were willing to sell them.

If the mandate is going to be updated to “reflect” current circumstances, it also needs to take into account changes that have been taking place south of the border.

In the United States, sales have been

slumping

, as well, despite deep discounts offered by carmakers, with some EVs selling for noticeably less than their gas-powered alternatives, and most government supports still in place.

When the Liberals announced the new regulations, they noted that California also had a plan to require all new vehicles to be electric by 2035 and that the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) had proposed emissions standards designed to encourage EV adoption.

However, since then, Congress passed a resolution

overturning California’s rules

and the Trump administration is

looking to scrap

the EPA’s new standards.

Meanwhile, Canada’s auto manufacturers have been hit hard by the trade war with the U.S., as President Donald Trump seeks to unravel the integrated North American auto market, leaving them wondering why Ottawa would kneecap them even further with targets they have little hope of actually hitting.

Like most Liberal environmental policies, the EV mandate will cause a lot of pain for very minimal gain. Canadian governments have already pumped

nearly $45 billion

into EV battery plants, which is likely the main reason the Liberals are hesitant about scrapping the mandate.

Attempting to make these cars more appealing has also come at a considerable expense to taxpayers, with federal and provincial governments spending billions of dollars on EV rebates and charging infrastructure.

And yet, the fact remains that Canada produces less than

1.5 per cent

of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions. Even if we all traded in all our gas-powered cars for EVs and started eating tofu instead of steak, it still wouldn’t have a noticeable impact on global temperatures.

If the Liberals are serious about having a policy that reflects current circumstances, they need to realize that in a time of economic uncertainty and strained relations with our largest trading partner, they can no longer afford niche policies that put Canadian industry at a competitive disadvantage.

The problem is not EVs themselves — I know a lot of people who swear by their hybrid or electric cars — it’s that the government has been trying to force their adoption by spending billions of dollars we don’t have, rather than giving the free market space to perfect the technology and provide products that consumers actually want to buy.

After wasting so much money bribing companies to build battery plants here, it’s easy to see why the government would use all the tools at its disposal to ensure they’re financially viable — including forcing Canadians to buy them and slapping 100 per cent tariffs on cheap

Chinese vehicles

that could help us reach our climate targets without draining the public treasury.

But at some point the Liberals need to come to grips with the fact that trying to centrally plan the auto market was folly to begin with. They need to start cutting their losses and focusing on giving private companies the space to grow their businesses — starting with scrapping the foolish EV mandate.

National Post

jkline@postmedia.com

Twitter.com/accessd


WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump and his advisers promised a lightning round of global trade negotiations with dozens of countries back in April.

White House trade adviser Peter Navarro predicted “90 deals in 90 days.’’ Administration officials declared that other countries were desperate to make concessions to avoid the massive import taxes – tariffs — that Trump was threatening to plaster on their products starting July 9.

But the 90 days have come and gone. And the tally of trade deals stands at two – one with the United Kingdom and one with Vietnam. Trump has also announced the framework for a deal with China, the details of which remain fuzzy.

Trump has now extended the deadline for negotiations to Aug. 1 and tinkered with his threatened tariffs, leaving the global trading system pretty much where it stood three months ago — in a state of limbo as businesses delay decisions on investments, contracts and hiring because they don’t know what the rules will be.

“It’s a rerun, basically,’’ said William Reinsch, a former U.S. trade official who’s now an adviser with the Center for Strategic and International Studies think tank. Trump and his team “don’t have the deals they want. So they’re piling on the threats.”

The pattern has repeated itself enough times to earn Trump the label TACO — an acronym coined by The Financial Times’ Robert Armstrong that stands for “Trump Always Chickens Out.”

“This is classic Trump: Threaten, threaten more, but then extend the deadline,” Reinsch said. “July 30 arrives, does he do it again if he still doesn’t have the deals?’’ (Trump said Tuesday that there will be no more extensions.)

The deal drought represents a collision with reality.

Negotiating simultaneously with every country on earth was always an impossible task, as Trump himself belatedly admitted last month in an interview with the Fox News Channel. (“There’s 200 countries,’’ the president said. “You can’t talk to all of them.’’) And many trading partners — such as Japan and the European Union — were always likely to balk at Trump’s demands, at least without getting something in return.

“It’s really, really hard to negotiate trade agreements,” which usually takes several months even when it involves just one country or a small regional group, said Chad Bown, an economic adviser in the Obama White House and now senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. “What the administration is doing is negotiating a bunch of these at the same time.’’

The drama began April 2 – “Liberation Day,” Trump called it — when the tariff-loving president announced a so-called baseline 10% import tax on everybody and what he called “reciprocal’’ levies of up to 50% on countries with which the United States runs trade deficits.

The 10% baseline tariffs appear to be here to stay. Trump needs them to raise money to patch the hole his massive tax-cut bill is blasting into the federal budget deficit.

By themselves, the baseline tariffs represent a massive shift in American trade policy: Tariffs averaged around 2.5% when Trump returned to the White House and were even lower before he started raising them in his first term.

But the reciprocal tariffs are an even bigger deal.

In announcing them, Trump effectively blew up the rules governing world trade. For decades, the United States and most other countries abided by tariff rates set through a series of complex negotiations known as the Uruguay round. Countries could set their own tariffs – but under the “most favored nation’’ approach, they couldn’t charge one country more than they charged another.

Now Trump is setting the tariff rates himself, creating “tailor-made trade plans for each and every country on this planet,’’ in the words of White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt.

But investors have recoiled at the audacious plan, fearing that it will disrupt trade and damage the world economy. Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs, for instance, set off a four-day rout in global financial markets. Trump blinked. Less than 13 hours after the reciprocal tariffs took effect April 9, he abruptly suspended them for 90 days, giving countries time to negotiate with his trade team.

Despite the Trump administration’s expressions of confidence, the talks turned into a slog.

“Countries have their own politics, their own domestic politics,” Reinsch said. “Trump structured this ideally so that all the concessions are made by the other guys and the only U.S. concession is: We don’t impose the tariffs.’’

But countries like South Korea and Japan needed “to come back with something,’’ he said. Their thinking: “We have to get some concessions out of the United States to make it look like this is a win-win agreement and not a we-fold-and-surrender agreement. ”

Japan, for example, wanted relief from another Trump tariff — 50% levies on steel and aluminum.

Countries may also be hesitant to reach a deal with the United States while the Trump administration conducts investigations that might result in new tariffs on a range of products, including pharmaceuticals and semiconductors.

Frustrated by the lack of progress, Trump on Monday sent letters to Japan, South Korea and 12 other countries, saying he’d hit them with tariffs Aug. 1 if they couldn’t reach an agreement. The levies were close to what he’d announced on April 2; Japan’s, for example, would be 25%, compared to the 24% unveiled April 2.

Trump did sign an agreement last month with the United Kingdom that, among other provisions, reduced U.S. tariffs on British automotive and aerospace products while opening the U.K. market for American beef and ethanol. But the pact kept the baseline tariff on British products mostly in place, underlining Trump’s commitment to the 10% tax despite the United States running a trade surplus — not a deficit — with the U.K. for 19 straight years, according to the U.S. Commerce Department.

On July 2. Trump announced a deal with Vietnam. The Vietnamese agreed to let U.S. products into the country duty free while accepting a 20% tax on their exports to the United States, Trump said, though details of the agreement have not been released.

The lopsided deal with Vietnam suggests that Trump can successfully use the tariff threat to bully concessions out of smaller economies.

“They just can’t really negotiate in the same way that the (European Union) or Korea or Japan (or) Canada can negotiate with the United States,’’ said Dan McCarthy, principal in McCarthy Consulting and a former official with the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative in the Biden administration. “A lot of (smaller) countries just want to get out of this and are willing to cut their losses.’’

But wrangling a deal with bigger trading partners is likely to remain tougher.

“The U.S. is gambling that these countries will ultimately be intimidated and fold,” Reinsch said. “And the countries are gambling that the longer this stretches out, and the longer it goes without Trump producing any more deals, the more desperate he gets; and he lowers his standards.

“It’s kind of a giant game of chicken.’’

Paul Wiseman, The Associated Press






Over 1000 people filled the plaza in front of Calgary City Hall to rally in protest of newly announced Alberta policies regarding children and LGBTQ+ rights on Saturday, February 3, 2024.

Until further notice, transgender medical treatments for minors will continue in Alberta.

In December, Alberta amended its Health Professions Act to prohibit doctors from prescribing hormone therapy and puberty-suppressing drugs to minors in the course of treating gender-related psychological disorders. The law hadn’t come into force, however, and the government was planning to release an order allowing exceptions to the rule.

Before any of these rules, or exceptions, could kick in, Egale Canada, a charity that is 71 per cent government-

funded

and now functions as the feds’ unofficial LGBT litigation department, won an injunction on June 27 that put everything on pause until a constitutional challenge has been heard out.

The reason? The judge handling the case, Allison Kuntz,

appointed

to the Court of King’s Bench by Justin Trudeau in 2023, was convinced that age-based restrictions on cosmetic hormone treatments would cause transgender youth all sorts of harm.

“The evidence shows that the Ban will cause irreparable harm by causing gender diverse youth to experience permanent changes to their body that do not align with their gender identity,” she

wrote

.

Legal restrictions on these treatments would single out “gender diverse youth … by reinforcing the discrimination and prejudice that they are already subjected to” and “signal that there is something wrong with or suspect about having a gender identity that is different than the sex you were assigned at birth.”

The Alberta government had argued, in 183 pages, that the evidence for hormonal cosmetics was unclear, and that the risk of harm that came with providing such treatments to minors warranted legal limits. It called four Alberta doctors to testify, along with three detransitioners; as part of its large pile of evidence pointing to the lack of scientific support for cross-sex medical treatments for minors, it cited the United Kingdom’s Cass Review and other European studies.

Puberty suppression, argued the government, made later transgender-related surgeries more dangerous despite making no detectable impact on the mental health of youth patients; for cross-sex hormones, they, too, were rife with risks.

“All minors with a (gender dysphoria or gender incongruence) diagnosis benefit from being shielded . . . from assuming significant and potentially life-altering risks of harm when they are at a stage of development at which they cannot fully understand or independently consent to assuming these risks,” read the

government’s brief

, which added that puberty itself might help a minor avoid a gender-disorder-related diagnosis.

The big-picture concerns were to be grappled with later on in the challenge, however: in granting an injunction, the judge considered only the potential harm that could be experienced by transgender youth receiving treatment.

The medical risks were of little interest: in the immediate term, she was primarily concerned about not limiting the choice of trans youth. She was clearly moved by the children who

joined

Egale Canada in the challenge: these included one 11-year-old male who was socially transitioned at age three, a 10-year-old male who’d been identifying as agender since Kindergarten, and a 12-year-old male, currently on puberty blockers, who had wanted to become a woman after seeing the film Moana.

In the judge’s view, the only people who would benefit from the government’s treatment restrictions were the minority of youth transitioners who would grow to regret their transition. Most trans youth, she figured, were better off under the status quo, with the province’s professional standards for doctors serving as their primary safeguard.

“I accept that some patients and their parents may have had a different experience and believe that treatment was initiated hastily and without a full understanding of the consequences,” she wrote.

“However, based on my assessment of the evidence it would be a stretch to conclude that because that may have been the experience of some, every doctor who practices gender affirming care has abdicated their responsibilities and are choosing to ignore the strength of the science regarding gender affirming care such that the Ban is necessary to protect the public good.”

It appeared early on in the decision, long before the judge reached her conclusion, that she favoured the gender ideology of the progressive left: “From the age of kindergarten and before they expressed a gender that was different from the sex they were assigned at birth,” she wrote, seeming to agree with the idea of biological sex as an irrational label applied to the freshly born.

And here is Alberta’s problem: even with a growing body of evidence that calls cosmetic hormonal interventions for minors into question, even though objective reality is on its side, Canada has a culture of relying on established professional standards and keeping politicians out of doctors’ offices.

Both Alberta and Egale Canada agreed that the “prevailing sources of clinical guidance” included the World Professional Association for Transgender Health (WPATH), which supports a
radical affirmation model
and is known for
questionable, activist-corrupted research practices
, and the Canadian Pediatric Society, which supports the WPATH guidelines.

The judge was inclined to accept their positions as dogma with some light persuasion from Egale and its litigation partner, the Calgary-based Skipping Stone foundation (which is 40 per cent

funded

by government, and 20 per cent funded by other charities). As for why it takes so little persuasion, well, the Supreme Court of Canada has been

endorsing

gender ideology since 2023.

Alberta isn’t just fighting a few activists: it’s going up against a federal government that acts indirectly, through judicial appointments and generous cash handouts to ideologically aligned charities. There were always going to be losses along the way; what will ultimately count is whether Premier Danielle Smith decides to draw the notwithstanding clause from its holster.

National Post


U.S. President Donald Trump, back left, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attend a dinner in the White House in Washington, D.C., on Monday.

SDEROT, Israel — For the third time since U.S. President Donald Trump’s inauguration, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has travelled to Washington, D.C., for what is certain to be a few days of very intense discussions and negotiations.

Expectations by all parties are high. The president has been clear that he would like to announce a big peace deal by the end of the week — even if it’s just a partial deal, meaning that some Hamas hostages remain in their underground torture chambers, indefinitely, along with the bodies of murdered Israelis.

But at what cost? Hamas, which is said by military analysts to be nearing the point of collapse, has lost control of much of the territory of Gaza, along with the food supply. Its cash reserves are depleted, and the organization is unable to pay most of its workers — whether fighters or those employed in civilian capacities.

Responding late on Monday to the joint American-Israeli proposal for a partial ceasefire and hostage-release deal, Hamas added some new conditions that it knows Israel will not accept.

Each party has its red lines. Hamas is determined to remain in power. Whether it’s a bankrupt government loathed by the civilian population is unimportant to Hamas’s leadership. They must survive this almost two-year war against the greatest military power in the region. That, for them, would be a victory.

Israel, of course, is firmly entrenched at the opposite end of that spectrum, having made clear that the destruction of Hamas is a paramount goal of this war. Exactly what that overused phrase means is unclear. “Total victory” has become Netanyahu’s mantra.

He is also facing intense domestic pressure to finally bring all the hostages home — at once. No more of these torturous, staggered releases. Domestic pressure in Israel on this issue is explosive. The continued captivity of hostages is a humiliation, and one that Hamas exploits brilliantly. The hostages are Hamas’s most powerful weapon with which to strike Israel.

In a pre-dinner chat at the White House on Monday night — with the press in attendance — Netanyahu made clear that he would not accept a Palestinian state that could in any way harm Israel militarily.

Hamas is also

standing firm

on its demand that the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation should no longer be allowed to control the distribution of humanitarian aid within the Strip. Israel is unbending on that issue, as the previous system allowed Hamas to pilfer aid, strengthening it significantly. Food, in the Strip, is power.

President Trump is a guy who likes to make deals. He likes to close. He hates war and suffering and has become somewhat personally involved in the conflict between Israel and Hamas. Numerous hostages and their families have paid Trump a visit after they were released, and he welcomed them so graciously. It’s a side of the president that few manage to see — warm, connected, sincere.

When

Edan Alexander

, a 21-year-old American-Israeli IDF soldier who was recently released from Hamas captivity visited Trump in the Oval Office last Thursday, Steve Witkoff, America’s special envoy to the Middle East, was also present. Witkoff asked Alexander to tell Trump how his conditions changed following the November election in the United States.

“They moved me to a new place, a good place,” Alexander said. “People did everything. They treated me really well.”

Trump revelled in the confirmation that Hamas feared him, quipping: “They weren’t too afraid of Biden.” Alexander quickly agreed.

By the end of this week, Trump wants a deal. A big, beautiful deal that will usher in a significant expansion of the Abraham Accords, perhaps announcing that negotiations will include Lebanon and Syria, which would be groundbreaking.

The jewel in the Middle Eastern crown — Saudi Arabia — will likely hold back, as it has indicated consistently. The Saudis will condition their embrace of a new Middle East security and economic order on the end of the war between Israel and Hamas.

It will thus fall to Witkoff to work his magic in Doha and find a way to bridge the critical gap between Hamas and Israel. That would likely involve the first stage of a ceasefire, partial Israeli withdrawal and the phased release of living and dead hostages. Trump would take that as a win at this point.

The final stretch will be the toughest. Hamas will continue to hold living hostages, as they are its only leverage. And Israel will resist committing to a full withdrawal from the Strip with Hamas still standing — even barely — in order to bring them all home.

No one in the region — aside from Iran, Hezbollah and, one has to assume, Qatar — is keen to see Hamas survive. Qatar, of course, is friends with both the United States and Hamas — hosting the largest U.S. military base in the region, while financing and providing a home base to the terrorist organization’s leadership in Doha.

With the flick of a wrist, Qatar could take down Hamas. It has not done so. So we continue with this absurd situation: the battered Hamas terrorist force, which is ideologically committed to the destruction of Israel, is left holding these very powerful aces — human beings.

Waiting on the sidelines is the jewel of the Middle East, Saudi Arabia. Only when the dirty details are swept away will the Saudis even consider joining Trump’s big, beautiful plan to bring peace and glory to the Middle East. Steve Witkoff has a big job ahead of him.

National Post

Vivian Bercovici is a former Canadian ambassador to Israel and the founder of www.stateoftelaviv.com, an independent media enterprise..


People attend a large Idle No More protest on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, January 11, 2013.

If Liberal MPs experience the “long hot summer” of protest that some Aboriginal activist groups have promised in response to the federal government’s new major-projects legislation, they won’t be feeling that heat anywhere close to Parliament Hill.

Politicians were already starting to flee Ottawa, off to their home ridings or vacations for the summer break, before Bill C-5 received its rubber stamp from the Senate and royal assent on June 26. They left behind what could be a ticking time bomb: the Building Canada Act, allowing the federal cabinet to fast-track major infrastructure projects by identifying them as being in the “national interest” and bypassing the normal conditions and approval rules.

How to define “national interest” is shaping up to be an explosive question. The Liberal government, the Conservative Opposition and most business groups see the new law as a major step forward in allowing Canada to build badly needed projects, especially in mining, oil and gas, to improve lagging competitiveness. The legislation is at least in part a response to American tariffs that threaten much of the national economy, and a backlash to years of what seemed like paralysis in getting government approvals under the Trudeau government.

Aboriginal groups are less sure. Some are eager to see more economic growth too, but virtually all agree they need to be properly consulted and treated as partners when a project infringes on their land or their rights. Certain factions objected to the bill before it was passed, and are digging in for a fight. Some are predicting the revival of the 2014 Idle No More Indigenous protests. That movement led to flash mobs and blockades of critical rail lines and highways over the then Conservative government’s attempt roll back environmental regulations.

“Nothing’s off the table,” said Cindy Woodhouse Nepinak, National Chief for the Assembly of First Nations (AFN), referring to options for resistance. Asked if Indigenous activists might rise up forcefully against the bill, she said, “I wouldn’t blame them.”

The legislation has been criticized, including by pro-development advocates, for giving the federal government too much power and discretion — to hurry along projects the cabinet considers important, while leaving behind unfavoured projects. And the Carney government has been trying to convince Aboriginal groups that the legislation in fact includes sufficient provisions to protect their rights, even as it rushed the bill through. It agreed to remove from the bill the initial power for cabinet to override the Indian Act, but the Senate declined to heed appeals from Indigenous representatives to slow the bill for more study, as the government aggressively pushed it through in time for summer.

The question to be answered now is whether the government has done enough to assure Aboriginal groups, or if Canada is weeks away from that “long, hot summer” of protests. What everyone agrees is that an ugly struggle could shatter years of steady progress in the relationships between governments and Indigenous Canadians, while spooking project backers and delaying critical infrastructure projects.

As Prime Minister Mark Carney suggested last week on a visit to Calgary, he can only

approve an oil pipeline if a private company is willing to try proposing one

. The government has the power to promote a project, but “the private sector is going to drive it,” he told Postmedia.

Interviewed last month after her appearance before the Senate in which she pressed senators to slow the bill, Woodhouse Nepinak said the legislation was “rammed through” without reasonable Indigenous consultation. She questioned why a bill backing more pipelines, ports and other projects gets passed in just weeks, while infrastructure needs on Indigenous reserves, such as schools, connectivity and clean water, have lingered for decades.

Alvin Fiddler, the Grand Chief of Nishnawbe Aski Nation, which represents 51 First Nations communities in northern Ontario, has already said the legislation in Ottawa, as well as similar bills in Ontario and British Columbia, has decimated the trust that had been growing in recent years between those governments and Aboriginal communities.

After seeing progress improving life on remote reserves, and a more respectful tone from Ottawa, he said “Canada is going backwards” with the new law.

The Nishnawbe Aski Nation says its land covers about two-thirds of Ontario, including the mineral-rich Ring of Fire area in the northwestern part of the province. That area is often mentioned as a leading candidate to be the site of a big project that could get fast-tracked. But Fiddler has warned that a resistance movement will only unnerve mining investors.

Ontario’s Ring of Fire and Alberta’s oil sands are typically held up as two of the resource bounties that have been held back, or even thwarted, for years under the Trudeau government, whose attitude toward developing resources and infrastructure ranged at times from uninterested to hostile. The story of then environment minister Steven Guilbeault ordering a federal assessment of a planned Ontario highway because of a frog habitat served as a vivid exemplification of the atmosphere: it took a costly, time-consuming court battle to slap back another attempt by the federal government to overreach into provincial jurisdiction.

Plenty of economists agree that Canada needs to export its natural resources, as well as manufactured goods, as easily and efficiently as possible to reach its economic potential. But in many cases, those needed roads, rail lines, ports and pipelines don’t exist, or they’re antiquated and unable to compete, leaving resources in the ground and money and jobs in both native and non-native communities on the table.

The key to the new legislation, the Carney government maintains, is that it will reduce the process time for big projects that can meet all the necessary safety and environmental standards by reducing red tape, namely the assessments, challenges and overlapping regulations. So, in other words, all the regulatory effects without the regulatory runaround that Canada’s system was infamous for.

“Canadian jobs are at risk. Canadians’ livelihoods are at risk and, quite frankly, the prosperity of the country is at risk,” Tim Hodgson, the federal natural resources and energy minister, said earlier this month. “We need to do things that we have not done in a long time, in time frames we have not done since the end of World War Two.”

A lot of Indigenous leaders agree with the urgency of powering up the economy.

David Chartrand, president of the Manitoba Metis Federation, told the Senate that he supports the legislation because the tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump threaten the Canadian economy, which would cause hardship for his people. “We stand with you,” he said.

Natan Obed, president of the Inuit Tapiriit Kanatami, said he’s concerned about the legislation’s ability to limit native rights but he’s also hopeful that big projects could be very good for Far North communities. “There’s an incredible opportunity to really become an Arctic nation,” Obed said.

 Idle No More disrupt access to the Ambassador Bridge border crossing to the U.S., in Windsor, Ont., on January 11, 2013.

Whatever acrimony has erupted over the legislation obscures the improved relations between Indigenous groups and Canadian governments, said Shannon Joseph, chair of Energy for a Secure Future, a non-partisan group that focuses on energy policy.

One of the recent trends that had helped improve the relationship is the increase in the number of natural resources projects where Aboriginal communities have taken equity stakes, aided at times by government loan guarantee programs.

“Indigenous peoples are at the heart of this (process),” Joseph said.

Carney is now going to great lengths to show that he sees things that way too, emphasizing that Ottawa won’t deem projects to be in the national interest without first consulting with affected Aboriginal communities. The new office responsible for advancing big projects will include an Indigenous advisory council that he said will be responsible for ensuring that Aboriginal rights are respected.

After the federal bill was passed in Parliament, however, Carney acknowledged that there’s more work to be done and said that he plans to begin consultations with Indigenous groups July 17.

“The first thing we will do to launch the implementation of this legislation in the right way is through full-day summits,”

Carney said a week before the bill was passed

.

The federal legislation has company in its intent and controversy: Recent bills have also passed in Ontario and British Columbia that were designed to fast-track major projects. And both were criticized for inadequate consultation with First Nations. Ontario Premier Doug Ford made things worse when he opened old wounds around trust and paternalism when he boosted his provincial bill by arguing that Aboriginal communities can’t expect to continue to get economic support if they don’t support the infrastructure projects that the economy needs.

“You can’t just keep coming hat in hand all the time to government,” Ford said. “You gotta be able to take care of yourselves.” He soon after apologized.

Fiddler was among several Indigenous leaders who accused Ford of racism. Fiddler’s riposte was that native communities are tired of federal and provincial governments coming “hat in hand” for the resources on Aboriginal land.

Fiddler says it’s not too late to stop the damage to a slowly improving relationship between governments and First Nations. But that would mean slowing down legislation to give Aboriginal communities more time to review and consult with their communities and potentially push for changes. But politicians across Canada are suddenly in a hurry; they’re taking their chances.

National Post

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OTTAWA — The Palestinian ambassador to Canada says she feels Ottawa is on the brink of officially recognizing statehood for her people, as she also takes note of tougher language from Canada on Israel’s actions in Gaza.

“Accountability means everything to the Palestinian people. That’s all we are looking for,” said Mona Abuamara, who is at the end of her four-year term as the chief representative of the Palestinian General Delegation to Canada.

“Canada could have done better and must do better.”

Abuamara said Canada’s approach to the situation in the Palestinian territories in recent years has amounted to supporting Israel “without budging” while funding small projects such as police training and development work.

“Basically, (it was to) be managed under that occupation,” she said. “But what we were looking for from Canada is to help us get rid of that occupation instead, so we could make our own money.”

For decades, Canada has backed the creation of a Palestinian country to exist in peace alongside a secure Israel. In May 2024, Ottawa said it no longer believes that recognizing Palestinian statehood can only happen after a peace negotiation. Around that time, Ottawa said it was assessing what conditions need to be in place, in order to proceed with formal recognition.

In an interview with The Canadian Press, Abuamara said Canada is now edging even closer toward that formal recognition.

She cited a June 10 consultation event Canada co-hosted with Qatar and Mexico at the United Nations headquarters on how to peacefully resolve the Israel-Palestine conflict and advance a two-state solution.

The event was supposed to be part of a UN conference organized by France and Saudi Arabia; participating countries were expected to either recognize Palestine as a state or agree on steps toward doing so. The organizers postponed the conference when a war started between Israel and Iran, and no new date has been set.

Abuamara said Canada had “a lot of conversations” with France and others about moving Ottawa closer to recognizing Palestinian statehood when the UN conference eventually takes place.

“We’ve been very close, before the (April federal) election, to the recognition,” she said.

The Canadian Press has asked the federal cabinet for comment but has not received a response.

Israel has pushed back firmly on calls for Palestinian statehood, saying the territories have divided leadership and Hamas and Fatah both run corrupt governments that refuse to hold elections and have supported terrorists.

Abuamara said recognizing Palestinian statehood would “set in stone for Canadians the rights of the Palestinian people to self-determination.”

Her work changed drastically on Oct. 7, 2023, when Hamas militants attacked Israel, resulting in the deadliest massacre of Jews since the Holocaust. Hamas and its affiliates killed 1,200 people in Israel, including soldiers, and took 251 people hostage; they still hold roughly 50.

The attack prompted Israel to bombard Gaza. Hamas officials say Israeli military actions, including strikes on hospitals and refugee camps, have since killed nearly 60,000 Palestinians, including militants.

The Israel-Gaza conflict has triggered tense protests on Canadian streets and a spike in hate crimes targeting Jews. Muslim and Arab Canadians, meanwhile, report being afraid to express criticism of Israel’s military campaign because of the possible backlash.

The war also has bolstered calls for recognition of a Palestinian state. Spain, Ireland and Norway formally recognized a Palestinian state last year, citing Israeli officials’ talk of annexing Palestinian territories.

Abuamara’s role is to speak for Palestinians across the Middle East, although she was appointed by a government that only has control of the West Bank, not the Gaza Strip.

She said her posting in Canada left her dismayed by the shortage of Palestinian voices in the media and on academic panels. She said she struggled to get direct meetings with Canadian government officials.

But she noted that Prime Minister Mark Carney has been using stronger language to criticize Israeli policies and actions than did his predecessor, Justin Trudeau.

“We’ve seen stronger, clearer statements since the Carney government took office,” she said. “There is less two sides-ism, less not naming the perpetrator of the crime.”

She also cited comments Foreign Affairs Minister Anita Anand made in May describing Israel’s military campaign as “aggression caused against the Palestinian and the Gazan people in Palestine.” In those comments, the minister took the unconventional step of citing “Palestine” instead of the Palestinian territories.

Anand also said that by restricting humanitarian aid in Gaza, Israel was “using food as a political tool.”

Israeli officials took issue with Anand’s use of the word “aggression” to describe a military campaign to neutralize the threat of Hamas.

Abuamara said it was refreshing to see Canada call out violence toward civilians in the Middle East as it often does for Ukrainians attacked by Russia.

“Canada needs to just stand by international law,” she said.

“It’s not about Palestine. It’s about the international rules-based order, about human rights, about values and principles.”

Canada has been pushing Israel for more accountability on a number of incidents in Gaza, including in May after Israeli soldiers in the West Bank fired shots in the vicinity of Canadian and other diplomats during a humanitarian assessment of the Jenin refugee camp.

Canada summoned Israel’s ambassador following that event and is still awaiting the results of an investigation into what happened.

Abuamara said the lack of accountability for that incident illustrates how Palestinians feel when they level accusations against Israeli soldiers.

“It’s just exactly what we want the Canadian government and the Canadian people to know — this is what we have been living for decades. Israel is never wrong,” she said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published July 9, 2025.

Dylan Robertson, The Canadian Press


OTTAWA — Ottawa is expected to miss its 2026 deadline to implement $10-a-day child care services across the country, the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives said in a new report published on Wednesday.

The analysis concluded that just six provinces and territories are meeting that fee target now.

David Macdonald, an economist with the centre, said even though fees have dropped significantly everywhere, the federal government is unlikely to meet its self-imposed deadline.

“It’s almost certain that even after the 2026 deadline passes, many parents in five provinces will be paying more than $10 a day for child care,” Macdonald said.

“That being said, the fee drops for parents so far have been staggering in Ontario, Alberta and Nunavut, as these jurisdictions had let fees get far too high before the federal program.”

The $10-a-day child care program, announced in 2021, was a signature policy of former prime minister Justin Trudeau.

The report says just six provinces and territories — Nunavut, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, Quebec, Prince Edward Island, and Newfoundland and Labrador — have met or improved upon the government’s 2026 target for $10-a-day child care.

Five provinces — Ontario, Nova Scotia, Alberta, B.C. and New Brunswick — do not yet have plans to reduce fees to $10 a day, the report says.

Cities in those provinces have the highest costs for child care, says the report — for example parents in Richmond, B.C. are paying median fees of $39 per day for infants, about four times the target fee.

The federal government’s goal was for fees to “average” $10 a day, but Macdonald called that a “get out of jail free card” that will leave parents paying more than that amount after the deadline passes.

“I think that this will become a political problem in April of 2026 when folks say, ‘Wait a second, this is a $10-a-day child care program, but I’m paying $12, $17, $20 a day,'” he said.

Jurisdictions like Ontario that already had high fees are seeing savings of around $1,300 per month in Toronto and $1,000 per month in the surrounding area, the report found. Macdonald said that’s largely because regulations have forced prices down.

“Across the board, we saw the provinces that had the fewest restrictions on fees and let the fees really get out of control, you see really big savings when you step in and regulate those fees,” he said.

Macdonald said it’s unlikely Ontario and Alberta will meet the 2026 target but noted the “big progress” in those provinces and others.

Fees in Quebec have increased slightly since 2019. Macdonald said that’s largely due to inflation, with the province’s day fee sitting about $0.70 below the $10 target.

Macdonald said that as fees drop, another problem will continue to grow — the lack of child care spaces.

“At this point, there isn’t enough. The fact that fees are much lower drives a lot more demand,” he said.

“Now the real question will be, can we rapidly build those spaces so that there are enough spaces for people to actually access these more affordable prices?”

Martha Friendly, who works with the Childcare Resource and Research Unit, said that to avoid “child care deserts,” more public and non-profit child care spaces should be created countrywide.

“The expansion of the child care workforce is also key, emphasizing the hiring of more workers and the retention of existing ones,” Friendly said.

“The lessons of what works so far has been clear. We need primarily public and non-profit services, affordable set fees for parents and fair wages and good working conditions for workers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published July 9, 2025.

Alessia Passafiume, The Canadian Press


WASHINGTON (AP) — The impact of the massive spending bill that President Donald Trump signed into law on Independence Day is expected to filter down to infants and toddlers — a segment of the population that is particularly vulnerable to cuts to the federal social safety net.

Many middle-class and wealthy families will see benefits from the new legislation, but programs that help low-income families keep babies healthy have been cut back. While state money funds public schools and preschool in some cases, programs supporting the youngest children are largely backed by the federal government.

The law extends tax cuts that Trump passed during his first term in office and pours billions more into border security as the president seeks to broaden his crackdown on immigration. To pay for these initiatives, the law cuts Medicaid and food stamps — programs relied upon by poor households with children — by more than $1 trillion.

The legislation Republicans called Trump’s “big beautiful bill” is set to deliver some gains for families with children. It increases tax credits, including one that now allows parents to deduct up to $2,200 per child from their tax bills. And it introduces investment accounts for newborns dubbed “Trump Accounts,” each seeded with $1,000 from the government.

Still, advocates say they do not make up for what children are likely to lose under the new law. And they fear what comes next, as the next Trump budget proposes more cuts to programs that help parents and babies.

Medicaid cuts could add to strains on families

Over 10 million Americans rely on Medicaid for health care. About 40% of births are covered by Medicaid. Newborns, too, qualify for it when their mothers have it.

The new law doesn’t take little kids or their parents off Medicaid. It institutes Medicaid work requirements for childless adults and adults with children over the age of 13. But pediatricians warn the cuts will be felt broadly, even by those who do not use Medicaid.

The Medicaid cuts are expected to put a financial strain on health care providers, forcing them to cut their least profitable services. That’s often pediatrics, where young patients are more likely to use Medicaid, said Lisa Costello, a West Virginia pediatrician who chairs the federal policy committee for the American Association of Pediatrics.

The ripple effects could exacerbate an existing shortage of pediatricians and hospital beds for children.

“Any cuts to that program are going to trickle down and impact children, whether that’s pediatric practices who depend on Medicaid to be able to stay open or children’s hospitals,” Costello said.

States also use Medicaid to pay for programs that go beyond conventional medical care, including therapies for young children with disabilities. Under the new law, states will foot a greater portion of the bill for Medicaid, meaning optional programs are at risk of getting cut.

Advocates worry that if an adult loses Medicaid coverage, it could ratchet up household stress and make it more difficult for parents to make ends meet, both of which can negatively impact youngsters. And parents who lose their health insurance are less likely to take their children to the doctor.

“When parents lose their health insurance, they often think that their children also are no longer eligible, even if that’s not the case,” said Cynthia Osborne, a professor of early education and the executive director of the Prenatal-to-3 Policy Impact Center at Vanderbilt University.

The law increases tax credits for parents who qualify

The law increases the child tax credit to $2,200 per child, up from $2,000. But parents who don’t earn enough to pay income tax will still not see the benefit, and many will only see a partial benefit.

The measure also contains two provisions intended to help families pay for child care, which in many places costs more than a mortgage. First, it boosts the tax credit parents receive for spending money on child care. The bill also expands a program that gives companies tax credits for providing child care for their employees.

Both measures have faced criticism for generally benefiting larger companies and wealthier households.

“It’s a corporate business tax break,” said Bruce Lesley, president of the advocacy group First Focus on Children. “It makes their child care dependent upon working for an employer who has the credit.”

‘Trump Accounts’ will be opened with $1,000 for newborns

The law launches a program that creates investment accounts for newborn children. The “Trump Accounts” are to be seeded with $1,000 from the government, and children will be able to use the money when they become adults to start a new business, put the money toward a house or go to school.

Unlike other baby bond programs, which generally target disadvantaged groups, the federal program will be available to families of all incomes.

The program’s backers have pitched the accounts as a way to give young people a boost as they reach adulthood and teach them about the benefits of investing. Critics have argued that families in poverty have more immediate needs and that their children should receive a larger endowment if the goal is to help level the playing field.

A food assistance program faces cuts

The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) faces the largest cut in its history under the law. It will, for the first time, require parents to work to qualify for the benefit if their children are 14 or older. But even households with younger children could feel the impact.

The law kicks some immigrants — including those with legal status — off food assistance. It makes it more difficult for individuals to qualify by changing how it considers their utility bills.

SNAP has historically been funded by the federal government, but under the new law, states will have to shoulder some of the financial burden. Cash-strapped governments could decide to implement new requirements that would make it more difficult for people to qualify, said Katie Bergh, a senior policy analyst with the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. Some states may decide to exit the program altogether.

“When young children lose access to that healthy nutrition, it impacts them for the rest of their lives,” Bergh said. “This bill fundamentally walks away from a long-standing nationwide commitment to making sure that low-income children in every state can receive the food assistance that they need.”

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The Associated Press’ education coverage receives financial support from multiple private foundations. AP is solely responsible for all content. Find AP’s standards for working with philanthropies, a list of supporters and funded coverage areas at AP.org.

Moriah Balingit, The Associated Press



Elon Musk’s plan to create a new political party puts him in the company of a long line of business and political titans looking to upend the two-party system that has dominated U.S. politics since almost the beginning.

From the Anti-Masonic Party in the early 1800s to last year’s ill-fated No Labels, nascent political parties have been a near-constant feature of U.S. politics. Some are impactful, others ephemeral, but few endure for long.

Though the Republican and Democratic parties have had a lock on political power since the Civil War, they have remade themselves over and over, often when faced with the prospect of losing voters to third parties.

The name Musk chose, the America Party, is bland compared to some of history’s more memorable movements — the Know-Nothing Party, the Bull Moose Party, the Dixiecrats.

Musk’s plans remain murky, but some of his public comments suggest he’s eying a limited goal, focusing on a handful of House races to gain influence without trying to win a majority.

“One way to execute on this would be to laser-focus on just 2 or 3 Senate seats and 8 to 10 House districts,” Musk wrote on X. “Given the razor-thin legislative margins, that would be enough to serve as the deciding vote on contentious laws, ensuring that they serve the true will of the people.

Here’s a look at how third parties have made their mark through American history, even without winning the White House or congressional majorities.

Anti-Masonic Party

The first third party, the Anti-Masons emerged in 1828 in opposition to the Freemasons, a secret society. The disappearance of William Morgan, a former Mason who had threatened to expose secrets, fueled widespread paranoia about the shadowy group, which many believed was covertly controlling the government.

The Anti-Masons evolved into a broadly anti-elite party. They were the first party to hold a convention to nominate a presidential candidate and to adopt a party platform, pioneering enduring staples of American democracy.

They held seats in the House for a decade, peaking at 25 after the 1832 election. That year, Anti-Mason presidential nominee William Wirt won Vermont, becoming the first third-party candidate to get electoral college votes, though his seven electoral votes did not affect Andrew Jackson’s decisive victory over Henry Clay.

The Anti-Masons were largely absorbed into the Whig Party.

Free Soil Party

“Barnburner Democrats” and “conscience Whigs,” anti-slavery factions, joined with remnants of the short-lived abolitionist Liberty Party to form the Free Soil Party after the Mexican American War. Free Soilers won a handful of House seats between 1848 and 1854.

Former President Martin Van Buren, who had served one term as a Democrat a decade earlier, was the Free Soil presidential nominee in 1848 but didn’t win any electoral votes.

As the U.S. expanded westward, the Free Soil Party advocated banning slavery in the new territories but not abolishing it in the places it already existed. The party described its principles with the slogan “free soil, free speech, free labor and free men.” Free Soilers pitched opposition to slavery on economic rather than moral grounds, arguing that expanding slavery would take jobs from Northern whites.

The party dissolved after the Kansas-Nebraska Act of 1854 thrust slavery further into the political fray, upending the political coalitions. Despite its short life, however, the Free Soil Party laid the groundwork for the Republican Party.

‘Know-Nothings’

The outgrowth of a secretive nativist movement, the anti-Catholic American Party opposed immigration, especially of Catholics. If asked about the party, members would say they “know nothing,” leading to the nickname.

Know-Nothing nominee Millard Fillmore, a former Whig Party president, won Maryland and its eight electoral votes in the 1856 election.

Though they won only a handful of House seats, the Know-Nothings showed there was a deep interest in anti-immigration policies and the political salience of ethnic and religious divisions.

Populists

Agricultural distress late in the 19th century catalyzed the rise of the Populists, who advocated aggressive economic and political reforms.

Known formally as the People’s Party, Populists wanted to nationalize railroads, enact a graduated income tax and directly elect senators. They supported the free coinage of silver in opposition to the gold standard’s fixed monetary supply.

In the 1896 presidential election, the Populists cross-nominated Democratic nominee William Jennings Bryan, remembered for his “Cross of Gold” speech calling for free silver. The movement was largely absorbed into the Democratic Party after that.

The party was a force in only two presidential elections, but many of its reforms — including a graduated income tax and the direct election of senators — were adopted during the later progressive era.

Progressive Party (Bull Moose Party)

The Bull Moose Party formed to back Teddy Roosevelt’s 1912 campaign to return to the White House, which he ceded after losing the Republican nomination to William Howard Taft in 1908.

Roosevelt came in second in the electoral college, finishing ahead of Taft, by then the incumbent. Roosevelt’s 88 electoral votes were the most ever won by a third-party presidential candidate. By splitting the Republican vote with Taft, he allowed Democrat Woodrow Wilson to win.

The Bull Moose platform included women’s suffrage, an eight-hour workday and a crackdown on big business. Roosevelt’s strong showing showed the popularity of such reforms, and many were later embraced by both major parties.

Dixiecrats

Southern Democrats opposed to civil rights legislation formed the segregationist States’ Rights Democratic Party. Better known as the Dixiecrats, the party lasted for just one presidential election, nominating South Carolina Gov. Strom Thurmond, who won four Southern states in 1948.

The success of the Dixiecrats broke decades of Democratic dominance in the South and made clear that civil rights was a potent wedge issue, an insight that Richard Nixon would later exploit in his “southern strategy” to win over white voters in the South.

Reform Party

Billionaire Ross Perot put fiscal conservatism at the center of his largely self-funded presidential campaigns in 1992 and 1996.

Perot won 19% of the popular vote in 1992, enough to help tilt the election to Bill Clinton. Perot’s campaigns put a spotlight on the federal budget deficit and the growing national debt, a major force in 1990s policymaking.

Jonathan J. Cooper, The Associated Press