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On Wednesday of the new spring session at Queen's Park, the Liberals attempted to stanch some of the political bleeding of steadily rising hydro prices by unanimously passing Bill 95, the Protecting Vulnerable Consumers Act.

This new legislation amended the Ontario Energy Board Act, giving the Ontario Energy Board (OEB) the new authority to demand Local Distribution Companies (LDCs) not disconnect Ontarians in arrears for their hydro bills.

The wording of Bill 95 was unclear on many of the details, but the OEB by Thursday afternoon explained how it was going to proceed with the new law, announcing a ban on all disconnections and installation of load limiting devices until April 30.  The LDCs were also ordered to uninstall all load limiting devices and reconnect all households currently without power, while also having to waive any costs incurred in the process.

The OEB's order also divulged that there are about 930 households disconnected and 3,000 households with load limiting devices currently.  These numbers are substantially lower than the oft-cited-by-the-opposition estimate of 60,000 Ontarian households disconnected last year, but many of those households were likely reconnected in the interim, after spending days/weeks/months without power in the frigid winter months.

Although both opposition parties welcomed the Liberal government's action, they still claimed it was a case of too little, too late.

"Why didn't they time-allocate this bill leading into the Christmas break, well before these winter disconnects would've occurred?  Unfortunately there have been thousands of people who have had their power disconnected over this past winter and this all could've been avoided had the government been serious about this back in the fall," said Progressive Conservative MPP and Energy Critic Todd Smith after question period.

"This kind of change has been a long time coming.  People are stuck … They're in a situation where they have to make choices they shouldn't have to make.  Paying their hydro bill or putting food on the table.  Paying their hydro bill or paying for childcare," said NDP Leader Andrea Horwath.

Despite the temporary relief for struggling low-income households unable to pay their hydro bills, the rates continue to steadily climb, making hydro more and more unaffordable for many households.

Premier Kathleen Wynne admitted this week that her government's removal of the 8 per cent provincial portion of the HST on hydro wasn't enough, and promises more relief for ratepayers in the upcoming budget.

However, this week The Canadian Press reported the federal government is in discussions with the Ontario government about the payment of $25 million in damages and $3 million in legal fees a NAFTA tribunal awarded Windstream Energy, after the wind power company sued the federal government because the provincial government put a moratorium on offshore wind development, breaching the three parties' contract.  The Liberal government will also be mired in the rehashing of the gas plant scandal in September, when two former Liberal staffers from former premier Dalton McGuinty's tenure go to trial for breach of trust and mischief.  And finally, the Liberal's partial privatization of Hydro One and the rapid increase in electricity costs will make this a lightning rod issue for the opposition parties and emotionally charged issue for voters in the runup to the 2018 election.

Written by Graeme C. Gordon

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


The former PM likely used his association with Trump to get the president's ear, work a little magic and ensure Trump's meeting with Trudeau went smoothly

TORONTO, Ont. /Troy Media/ Last week's meeting between Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and U.S. President Donald Trump was a success.  Relations between our two countries remains solid, thanks to the hard work of political staffers and willingness of both leaders to work together.

Yet there are often unsung heroes involved in the fine art of international diplomacy.  Their direct or indirect influence can help improve situations, ease tensions and build relations between two nations.

Brian Mulroney could very well be that unsung hero.

Hold on.  What role could a former Conservative prime minister have played in negotiations between a Liberal prime minister and a non-ideological Republican president?

Mulroney has known Trump for more than 25 years.  In an interview with Policy Magazine for the January-February 2017 issue, he acknowledged that "what you see with Donald is what you get."  He respected the fact that Trump "is a guy who basically on his own built an empire worth somewhere between $5 and $10 billion," and has five children who are "all hugely successful on their own."

In his view, "if a guy can do that, he has something going for him and if you add to that the fact that for the first time in American history a guy came in off the street with no elected experience, no service as a military general, wins the nomination against 16 other candidates, and then wins the general election against a candidate with Hillary Clinton's brand recognition, he has a lot going for him, so I think he has a good run at this to be a successful president."

Mulroney has expressed similar confidence in Trudeau.  In a March 2012 CBC interview, he described him as "talented" and a "fine young man" whose "youth is an advantage."

The former PM also pointed out, "People who trivialize his achievements and hold out little hope for his prospects ought to be very careful.  Life doesn't work that way.  And there are always surprises in political life.  And he's capable of delivering a major one if they underestimate him."

With respect to Canada-U.S. relations, Mulroney told Policy Magazine, "I think Mr. Trudeau is going to get along fine with Donald Trump … I think that while, ideologically, they can be worlds apart, there is enough success in pursuing common objectives that I think they are going to find a lot to be happy about."  He said this includes the Keystone XL pipeline, infrastructure projects and the unique economic relationship of the countries.

All of this makes sense.  But where does Mulroney fit into this equation?

Here's a clue.  The Globe and Mail noted on Feb. 19 that Mulroney and Derek Burney, Canada's former ambassador to the U.S., "have acted as informal advisers on how to handle the Republican-led Congress and the Trump White House and cabinet secretaries."  Their vast experience and knowledge in both areas were obvious assets to the Trudeau Liberals.

This arrangement has clearly succeeded.  Trump reportedly told Mulroney at Mar-a-Lago, after the latter sang When Irish Eyes are Smiling at a cancer benefit, that "relationships are just great between Canada and the United States.  Justin had a terrific trip down to Washington."

Hence, Mulroney likely used his association with Trump to get into the president's ear, work a little magic and ensure the first meeting with Trudeau went smoothly.

This surely helps make things easier for Canada in terms of the North American Free Trade Agreement, the successor to the 1987 Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement that Mulroney arranged with then-president Ronald Reagan.  It hopefully prevents potential problems with the auto industry, softwood lumber and foreign policy, too.

We may never know Mulroney's exact role in the lead-up to the Trudeau-Trump meeting. Unsung heroes deserve to maintain some level of anonymity, after all even when they sing for a president.

Photo Credit: Toronto Star

Troy Media columnist and political commentator Michael Taube was a speechwriter for former prime minister Stephen Harper.

© 2017 Distributed by Troy Media

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


As the Conservative leadership race continues to drag on, and with fourteen candidates still in the race, we're getting a sense about the ways in which there has been a kind of debasement of the party in the process.  There are interlopers about, both inside and outside of the gates, and this whole episode is one long reminder of what is truly broken in our political system the way in which we choose our leaders.

First, the interlopers within.  These are the candidates who are not actually sitting members of the party, and it applies both to those former MPs who were defeated, and to outsiders like both Rick Peterson and Kevin O'Leary two businessmen who boast credentials of not being politicians.  "Not being a politician" has been in vogue for a while, but the recent fetish around this, along with "draining the swamp" and the demagoguery around political elites has propelled Donald Trump to the White House in the States, and it's what O'Leary hopes will help win him win the leadership here in Canada.  Never mind that we've proven time and again being a CEO and a political leader are different skillsets which are not interchangeable, and that there are countless examples of those who promised to "run government like a business" utterly bombed.  No, we're still treating this particular slogan like it's a desirable trait.

And then there are the interlopers without.  From the beginning of this race, when Kellie Leitch got out in front with her "Canadian values" trial balloon that blew up in the media, we saw a concerted effort by non-Conservatives to start taking out party memberships in order to keep her away from the levers of power.  The fact that I saw my socialist Green Party-voting ex on social media last weekend talking about how he was voting in the Conservative leadership contest was proof positive to me about how we've reached the point of utter absurdity with this particular phenomenon.  Of course, it's not unique to the Conservatives the fact that the Liberals opened up their leadership contest to "supporters" instead of party members already paved this particular road, before they then decided to blow up their whole membership base entirely with a permanent "supporter" category, while Michael Chong advocates for free party memberships that people simply declare on their tax forms.

But while some people see this particular party interloping as a way to effect change or exert influence, we're still not sure that this would be an effective tactic in the current Conservative race, given the complex math of both the ranked ballot and the point system assigned to each riding that was designed so that more populous ridings in the west didn't swamp the less populous ones on the east coast.  Meanwhile, the curveball in all of this is not only those left-wing interlopers who are trying to keep Kellie Leitch down, but rather who Kevin O'Leary is signing up as new members, given his plan to target Millennials and those who feel disaffected by politics as usual, not to mention the supposed legions of his TV fans.  Depending on how many he can recruit and what their distribution looks like across the country, that could be the bigger disruption.

Which brings me back to the point about this being the truly broken part of our political system.  While the theory behind membership-driven leadership contests is that they're supposed to be "more democratic" and engage the grassroots, all they've really done is concentrate the power in the office of those leaders at the expense of the caucus as well as the grassroots.  Leaders know that they can't realistically be held to account by that membership base, which emboldens them, and we're seeing more and more examples of how these leaders are running against their own caucus, whether it's with candidates like Brad Trost, O'Leary, or Leitch, or the gong show that is Jeremy Corbyn running Labour in the UK, where an energized activist base has installed him there over the wishes of the broader voter base and his caucus in revolt, and the party is rendering itself unelectable.  Insulting the very people you're supposed to be leading in parliament is a strange tactic, and yet some people clearly see it as the path to power.

There is an additional problem with this move to broadening the membership base for leadership contests in that these recruits are not actually filling the roles that party members are supposed to be.  These are not people who are going to riding association meetings, coming up with policy resolutions to vote on to bring to a convention, or helping to actively organize or provide ground-up input into the party the way that our political system is built to.  They're in it for a single ballot to empower a leader with a "democratic legitimacy" that they should have no claim to, in the hope that they will impose a less awful vision on the party that these new members are normally opposed to.  This should be utterly untenable to all involved.

If anything, this should be an object lesson that it's time to wind the clock back on how party leaderships are decided to the way that it was intended to be so that the caucus decides.  It keeps the leaders accountable to the caucus, MPs are re-empowered to both make decisions and to push back against the centralizing efforts by the leader and their offices, and it restores the place of the grassroots in deciding policy and in holding their local MPs to account so that there is a flow from the ground-up and not the top down.  There are no interlopers either among the would-be leaders, or those who hope to frustrate the membership of the party.  It'll be tough to remind people why it needs to be this way, but we can't keep further debasing our system into one of powerful leaders and a caucus of drones.


The reason the Liberal Party's motion on Islamophobia deserves to die has little to do with the motion itself, and what it will or won't legally affect through its status a decree of Parliament, and everything to do with statement on Canadian society it seeks to make.  It's a revealing window into the mindset of Canada's current progressive establishment, and their upside-down understanding of the problems and priorities of the country they seek to govern.

The fact posing the greatest existential threat to multicultural liberalism today is that the massive importation of Islamic persons to Canada through a carelessly generous immigration policy has not yielded the joyous reception that was expected.  Along with a general preference for lower immigration in general, polls consistently reveal Islam to be deeply unpopular.  A 2015 one found the religion's positive approval rating at a mere 15%, while another found 33% of Canadians supporting a ban on Muslim immigration altogether — a faction of the population higher than those who voted Conservative or NDP in the last election.  A survey last summer found 75% of Ontarians believed "Muslim immigrants have fundamentally different values," a statement the Toronto Star tendentiously took as proof of a "wave of Islamophobia."

The great existential threat to pacifist liberal foreign policy, meanwhile, has been the persistent existence of Radical Islamic terrorism, an enemy of the west that is deeply irrational in its hate.  Those who subscribe to fashionable anti-colonial action/reaction theories of foreign policy (in which the crimes of western imperialism spawn understandable backlash from the imperialized) have struggled for years to explain why radical Muslims from privileged backgrounds routinely feel the need to indiscriminately slaughter crowds of civilians — often those of their own nationality and religion — at schools, mosques, gay clubs, and rock concerts.

The conservative conclusion to all this (or perhaps just the "logical" one, since it's shared by a number of atheistic leftists) is that western nations should wage war against Islamic terrorist groups abroad, while exercising temperance and skepticism of Islam at home.  In practical terms, this entails doing at least two things Canada's current government has pointedly refused: bombing ISIS targets in Iraq and Syria, and curtailing Middle Eastern immigration (or at the very least not raising it to unprecedented highs with tens of thousands of fresh refugees every year).

The progressive conclusion, in contrast, has been to create an alternate universe containing problems more consistent with their worldview, then attempting to take credit for solving those.  Since 9/11, this has entailed repeating a steady refrain that our society is in the midst of an "Islamophobia" pandemic — the true crime of terrorism.

Thus, we get Liberal Motion 103, which describes Canada as a dystopia home to an "increasing public climate of hate and fear" born from the unchecked scourge of "Islamophobia" and demands House Heritage Committee craft a strategy to help Ottawa "develop a whole-of-government approach to reducing or eliminating" it.  M-103 also demands the state "take note" of something called petition e-411, a piece of writing that regurgitates the old saw that there exists a vast, almost incomprehensible canyon between Real Islam, the faith that has "contributed, and continue to contribute, to the positive development of human civilization" in "all areas of human endeavors," and that "infinitesimally small number of extremist individuals [who] have conducted terrorist activities while claiming to speak for the religion of Islam," which we should all just get over already, geez.

A parliamentary motion does not need to explicitly suppress speech to chill free expression.  I myself was recently unanimously denounced by Quebec's "national assembly" for writing some honest words about how Quebec society is perceived in the rest of Canada.  The purpose of my denunciation was obviously intimidation: it was a clear statement from the state that that if citizens say certain things there will be consequences, so they'd better not.

Such is the case with M-103.  You can either subscribe to the belief that the vague and broad crime of "Islamophobia" — which the motion, of course, does not even attempt to define — is rampaging across the Canadian countryside, sowing "fear and hatred," or you can be on the side of what the motion calls "systemic racism."  The purpose is quite obviously to intimidate those who may be inclined to think or say that radical Islamic violence has something to do with, you know, Islam, while simultaneously making it part of the official Canadian narrative that hysterical, bigoted fear of Islam has reached peak crisis in a country that can't import Muslim immigrants fast enough.

This is what it looks like to be misruled.

Written by J.J. McCullough

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Well, that took long enough. The phoney war phase of the New Democratic Party leadership race has finally come to an end.

Peter Julian, the B.C. MP and former finance critic, announced this week he's looking to lead the party, and formally kicked off his bid for the leadership.  He's the first one to do it, and it's been a long time coming.

The NDP have been in a bizarre limbo for nearly a year.  It was last April when the party decided to show Tom Mulcair the door at a policy convention in Alberta.  Mulcair has been leading the party since, with no one formally declared to replace him.

Mulcair had gambled that his message of centrist stoicism, coupled with the occasional mention of Tommy Douglas, would be enough to vault the NDP into government.  Sadly for the NDP, a plodding campaign content to play the balanced-budgets game, while waiving dumb "STOP HARPER" stop signs, wasn't what Canadians were looking for.

Mulcair's failure opened the party's perpetual wound: How centrist is too centrist?  There are two typical paths imagined for the NDP: it moves to the centre to try winning government, or it swings to the left as the conscience of the Commons.

Mulcair's party was one driving to the centre of the spectrum.  The glimmer on the horizon of electoral victory made the party too cautious, too soft, too anxious to look competent.  They got beat, badly, when they were outflanked by younger, sunnier, more reckless politician in Justin Trudeau.

Canada had enough of being led by the serious man with the bad ties and opted for something fresh.

Trudeau's particular zing, that careless whiff of glamour, has the unfortunate side effect of letting the NDP pass on confronting the peril they're in.  While the party was able to make clear it didn't want Mulcair, it didn't have to decide whether it wanted his centrist strategy.
The party has demurred from accepting there's something so existential at stake.  Julian's half-hour speech made no mention of the crisis that's facing the NDP.  He laid out proposals for free tuition, better housing, an end to pipelines, and true reconciliation with Canada's indigenous population.  He received the loudest cheers when he talked about Canada's need to speak out against politicians like Donald Trump.

But the broader vision of what the future of the NDP is, of where Julian will cast their lot, was absent.  In setting the tone for his campaign, the candidate put forward some specific policies, but no grand tableau.

This attitude could explain why it's taken so long for someone to pay their $30,000, submit the required signatures, and jump in the race.  The NDP split itself down the middle when it cast aside Mulcair, but offered no replacement when it did.  The party has continually lagged behind the Conservatives and the Liberals in quarterly fundraising figures, and will be led by its zombie leader for another seven months.

Add to that, the one place the party did win provincially is the one place it could never count on federally.  Rachel Notley may have won the premiership in Alberta, but the federal NDP is so anti-energy it would never gain traction in the province.  Speaking at the same convention as Mulcair was ousted, Notley practically begged the party to change its mind and embrace the workers of the oilsands.

What should have been a celebration of Notley's triumph in a deeply conservative province, was yet another awkward tiptoe around a cataclysmic division within the party.

It's a party willing to embrace the cause of manufacturing jobs, but quick to abandon the men and women extracting the natural resources.  The auto worker needs to be championed, but the oilsands miner should be shunned.  That one could not exist without the other is never mentioned.

These paradoxes need to be reconciled eventually.  The NDP cannot be the party of the left, while also trying for the responsible centre forever.  It can't settle its divisions with big orange hugs.

There's a chance this might doom the party to a return to perpetual third-party status.  Maybe the NDP is fated to be the conscience of Parliament once more.  But if they don't bother standing for something, what's the point of existing at all?

The leadership race needs to reckon with what the NDP is.  If they choose to ignore their plight, the choice they'll make is to be irrelevant.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


The Trudeau-Trump relationship could end up being closer to workable (Harper-Obama) than divisive (Diefenbaker-JFK)

TORONTO, Ont. / Troy Media/ It goes without saying that meetings between Canadian prime ministers and U.S. presidents have been historically significant.

Some were positive (Brian Mulroney and Ronald Reagan, Jean Chretien and Bill Clinton), some were negative (John Diefenbaker and John F. Kennedy, Pierre Trudeau and Ronald Reagan), and others went better than expected (Stephen Harper and Barack Obama).

Now that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and U.S. President Donald Trump have held their first meeting in Washington, what will be the future of Canada-U.S. relations?

Trump has been president for less than a month.  It's been a rollercoaster ride, from arguments with the media over the size of the audience that attended his inauguration to the ongoing legal challenge involving Executive Order 13769, "Protecting the Nation from Foreign Terrorist Entry into the United States."  He's inexperienced and still getting his feet wet in a job that few ever expected him to hold.

Trudeau obviously has more experience in terms of holding political office, yet he doesn't have a reputation of being a strong leader when it comes to international relations and matters of economic importance.  While he's likely more willing to look at briefing notes and listen to advice than his U.S. counterpart, his interpretation of key information is suspect in the minds of many.

What these two people discuss and decide will have a profound impact for years to come.  With roughly $541 billion in trade between Canada and the U.S. on the bargaining table, and the status of NAFTA up in the air, that's more than a little disconcerting.

There's no reason why Trudeau and Trump can't get along.

The president is a more dominant personality than the prime minister, but he's able to work with individuals from different walks of life.  The fact that he's not an ideologue (he's neither a conservative nor Republican) is also intriguing, because his agenda is personal, and not political.

In the long history of Canada-U.S. relations, that's unique.

Meanwhile, the prime minister is more personable than the president, which means he has the ability to read an individual and identify potential pitfalls.  He said in Halifax last month this relationship could be a "challenge" which is true, since Trump is very different than his predecessor, Barack Obama, and Canada's strategy is "to stay true to who we are."

Regardless, Trudeau stated both men "got elected on a commitment to help the middle class and we're going to be able to find common ground on doing the kinds of things that will help ordinary families right across the continent."

There is the common ground.

Trudeau and Trump's first bilateral was, as expected, a pleasant affair.  It was a feeling out process for both leaders, to build rapport and see what ideas and policies they could emphasize.

This could open the door to solid economic relations, rather than constant fears over an icy political relationship and looming trade war.  That's not to say issues concerning Trump's travel ban and renegotiating NAFTA won't cause tensions between the two countries; one hopes they'll find positive ways to work together and minimize the number of political bumps in the road.

If this were to happen, the Trudeau-Trump relationship could end up being closer to workable (Harper-Obama) than divisive (Diefenbaker-JFK).  How many people would have bet on this?

Photo Credit: People

Troy Media columnist and political commentator Michael Taube was a speechwriter for former prime minister Stephen Harper.

© 2017 Distributed by Troy Media


Justin Trudeau finally offered some greater elaboration late last week about why he decided to pull the plug on the electoral reform file, and the plaintive wails from the proponents of electoral reform were fairly predictable.  And despite the protests, I do think that Trudeau made some very salient points about the issues of stability of the country under different electoral rules, and certainly if we were to hold a referendum on the issue, as the Conservatives made a precondition for any movement on the file.

The question Trudeau asked in return to a woman who pressed the point about electoral reform while he was in Nunavut was "Do you think Kellie Leitch should have her own party?"  The usual suspects on social media responded with the same old sarcastic points like "Newsflash! Leitch is already running for the Conservative Party" without actually understanding why it would be a bigger issue for her to have her own party as opposed to leading the Conservative Party of Canada, and yes, there is a difference.

One of the biggest questions about what a move to proportional representation would mean in this country is whether any of our established "big tent" parties largely meaning the Conservatives and the Liberals would actually survive in a system that offers different rewards than the current one does.  In many ways, those "big tents" operate as coalitions already, bringing in different regional concerns and fiscal and social concerns in order to come up with a fairly cohesive policy framework that they can present to the public, and once in government, use that internal coalition to try and distribute the benefits that flow from it in ways that placate the various factions in a way that brings as much peace to the table while allowing that government to maintain the confidence of the Chamber.

The benefits of big tents, as has been long proven over the course of our history, is that it moderates the extremes in our politics.  In order to have a chance at gaining power and holding it, it's pushed our parties to the centre of the spectrum because that's how you win.  Where you straddle those lines is how you get enough seats to form government, especially with an electorate that is not especially tribal in their partisanship so as to create the kinds of permanent cleavages you see in some other countries.  It also moderates the various excesses of regional politics because the math simply isn't there to ignore or inflame regional grievances and gain or keep power in any real sense.

Have we had regional parties before?  Sure.  Have they formed governments or lasted as solid movements beyond a couple of electoral cycles?  No, and that's where a lot of the arguments against the current system start to fall apart.  For everyone who yells about the 1993 election and how the Bloc Québécois were able to become the official opposition while the Reform Party dominated the west, it ignores that the system largely self-corrected within a couple elections.  The Bloc's vote retreated as the protest politics that fuelled it died out, and the Reform Party realized that they couldn't make meaningful gains without being a national party, which eventually allowed for them to merge and create the modern Conservative Party, and it moderated their regional grievance-nursing in the process.  And while these same PR proselytizers insist that FPTP only gains by clustering regional votes and allows for governments to form without seats on some parts of the country (like the Liberals in Alberta or the Conservatives in Quebec), that makes a couple of mistakes in how they're conceptualizing things, namely that those parties don't make efforts to reach out to those regions (and the Liberals have made tremendous gains in Alberta, as the Conservatives have in Quebec), but it also assumes that elections are the only ways in which people get representation, as opposed to how our system actually works toward engagement such as through riding associations that feed people's concerns to their party caucuses in the House.  Your region can still have representation without having a seat in the Commons.

And this is where the fear of fringe parties starts to come in.  Under a PR system, the incentives for big tent parties to moderate extremes in order to win power are thrown out the window.  When the calculation is no longer how do you broaden your appeal to win enough seats to gain power, but rather how do you narrowly target enough voters to gain enough seats to win you leverage in a coalition, then we are likely to start seeing more regional and social cleavages, which would also include things like ethnic or religious parties (something the current system is moderating as there are very real voting blocs out there that respond to these impulses), and single-issue parties that could agitate around things like being anti-abortion or anti-immigration.  We also have a demonstrated history in this country about getting behind cults of personality, as with Rob Ford, and could possibly replicate itself with Kevin O'Leary (or Kellie Leitch, per Trudeau's suggestion).  Break up the Conservative Party into these fragments, and hive off enough Liberal voters into the various camps, and the big tents could find themselves a thing of the past, which is where those smaller, more fringe parties start to hold more sway, and that could be the start of bigger problems.  Not all PR countries are made up of nice left-wing coalitions, and there are enough far-right and populist forces rising in Europe right now to demonstrate the dangers of these fringe voices getting closer to power.

It could be that this may not happen.  We could have coalitions that behave more like big-tent parties and things could stay largely unchanged from they are now.  Or they might not.  Trudeau is not blind to this possibility, and at least has taken the responsibility for making this call, and we shouldn't dismiss this out of hand.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Normally, when a leader of the Opposition's chief of staff resigns, there's plenty of speculation.  Did he quit?  Was he fired?  Why do politicians and staffers keep using that "to spend time with his family" excuse?

None of these questions was asked when Patrick Brown's chief of staff hit the bricks recently.  You would have to be an extremely dedicated follower of Ontario provincial politics, and PC Party of Ontario screw-ups specifically, to have even noticed.

That's because Ontarians have become so used to the PC Party dropping that ball that it barely even registers.  This is in the same province where the Maple Leafs lose habitually, and they still draw more attention than the Ontario PC's.  And those two organizations have even been run by some of the same people!

How did the Ontario PC's become so incredibly boring and bad at what they do, especially since the Liberals are almost, but not quite as terrible?

Laziness

Pretty much everyone agrees that the Ontario Liberals are at death's door, even many Ontario Liberals themselves.  What the PCPO does with this fact, however, is assume power is just going to fall into their laps.

If I had to come up with one image to describe the PCPO approach to winning government, I would ask you to think about that guy you know who spends all his time chasing after women and thinks it's their problem when they notice his considerable flaws and reject him.  The PCPO is That Guy.

Here's the problem: That Guy gets lucky every so often, so he's going to keep on doing what he's doing without improving.  The PCPO only has to get lucky ONCE and they will be back in power- and what's worse, they think they will be there forever, because in their minds, they were never supposed to LOSE government back in 2003.

The PCPO doesn't need to win to make money

You know how I said the PCPO has been managed by the same people who run the Toronto Maple Leafs?  And you also know how the Leafs make tons of money every year without winning the Stanley Cup or, mostly, making it to the playoffs?

Now, I don't want to imply that the PCPO is….gasp…more interested in making money off gullible, naive, and overly trusting Ontarians than they are in winning government.  I'm just saying that if you were pulling down as much money as the PCPO was, maybe you wouldn't be as hungry or desperate to win as you need to be.

The message is EVERYTHING

Every so often you will read some whiny editorial in the Toronto Sun or some other sympathetic news outlet about how if only the PCPO would stick to the message of 'it's the economy stupid' they would be able to stroll lazily back into government but wouldn't you know it?  Some idiot keeps mucking everything up by getting distracted by some social issue.  Arrrrrgh.

So this is why you get a leader like Patrick Brown.  What the PCPO powerbrokers have wanted for years is someone who will do exactly what they're told without needing to be coached.

Here's the problem with that: The powerbrokers themselves are the ones that get distracted because a) hate for the Liberals keeps them alive and they want a chance to embarrass them for a change, and b) sticking to message is boring. And this is why we get faith based schools, 10,000 public sector jobs, sex-ed flipflops, etc….but when that happens, you can always blame the membership and say "they wanted this policy!"

Provincial parties are franchises

Hey you know who you didn't hear much from during Kevin O'Leary's recent highly publicized spitting match with Kathleen Wynne?  Patrick Brown, that's who.  Not just because of the usual media blockade, but because it creates unpleasant message confusion if a frontrunner for the federal leadership and a provincial leader are commenting on the same issue.

Yes, if you haven't noticed, the federal party looooves to meddle in the affairs of the provincial parties, right down to the fact that former MP's well versed in the CPC's message control get tapped to lead.  First with Jim Prentice and now Jason Kenney in Alberta, Brian Pallister (more successfully) in Manitoba, and of course Brown himself.

Want more examples?  Just try having your provincial party convention during a federal election.  Or, if you want to run for a nomination, the best thing you could do is have a spouse who works for the federal party already.

There are limits, however.  Just because you were a federal member of Parliament or a cabinet minister doesn't mean that you can run for a nomination in a riding that you've never represented and win.  For now.

Finally- the PCPO can't think of a single original solution to a problem

Among the dreariest experiences I've had in my life is attempting to design policy for the PCPO.

Not only did none of it ever make it into the platform (which is written by staffers and powerbrokers, but that's another story), but the entire process tended to be driven by the question of how can the party do what the Liberals are doing, but better?

If you take this task on, chances are you'll be looking at the "mandate letters" written by the Premier to her Ministers and trying to design solutions to those very same problems that will appeal to various segments of the base- Red Tories, so-cons, libertarians, and so on.  All (in many cases) without speaking to a single person from one of those groups.  Or, you'll be asked to look at what other jurisdictions- jurisdictions other than Ontario- are trying, and plagiarize it holus bolus.

As safe as this is, it means that everything the PCPO comes up with is either copying the Liberals, reacting to the Liberals, or trying something that has no business being tried in Canada.  Then, when the election comes around and voters start telling candidates that "all the parties are the same!", the campaign managers can't figure out why…..

So as you can see, the PCPO has a lot of bad habits.  But, even though I complain about them a lot, it isn't actually hard to fix what's wrong with the party. Unfortunately, the worst thing you can do when you're not a PCPO powerbroker is give advice, but tune in next time when I do it anyway!

Written by Josh Lieblein

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


J.J. McCullough has really done it now.  An anglophone outsider criticizing Quebec is a big no-no sacrilege.  Interlopers couldn't possibly understand the incredible (inferiority) complex of solitudinous Quebec.

Yet J.J. had the brazen temerity to pen a blasphemous piece for the Washington Post entitled "Why does 'progressive' Quebec have so many massacres?" on February 1.

I've never met or spoken with fellow Loonie Politics columnist McCullough.  But I first came across his work when he was a guest on a CANADALAND podcast.  My first impression was he was a very articulate, aplomb, and garrulous conservative, which of course left the progressive hosts of the show stunned with cognitive dissonance.  I wondered, only for a brief moment, why McCullough wasn't a regular on TV panels and a columnist for a mainstream national publication.  But of course in Canada, real talent and provocative ideas are pushed to the margins, while boring conformists tow the line in praising the detrimental welfare state of Canada.  Anyone who strays from the Laurentian elites' garrison mentality is banished from the mainstream conversation.  That's why most panels typically have three or four pundits holding the exact same agreeable position.  I would hazard a guess that's also why McCullough is writing for a top American paper instead of one of our own.

In McCullough's column, he lists six high-profile and politically charged massacres or attempted massacres that have happened in Quebec since he was born in 1984.  He then has the gall to infer that Quebec may not be such the progressive and welcoming utopia the Canadian elite tout it to be, and that perhaps, ironically, it is its progressive policies which led Quebec to be more prone to massacres committed by alienated maniacs.  McCullough's theory maybe difficult to prove, but when one looks at Quebec's ideological problems and basket case economy the theory isn't that farfetched.

Then McCullough, foreseeing the backlash to come, explains how it's "deeply taboo" to criticize Quebec.  He cites Jan Wong's ostracization by the Laurentian elite (she was denounced unanimously by Canadian Parliament) after she posited in 2006 a similar theory to that of McCullough's.  Ironically enough, one could argue subsequent events like shootings and racist Parti Quebecois policies within the province have largely vindicated Wong.  McCullough then mentions the infamous 2010 cover story published by Maclean's that asserted Quebec was easily the most corrupt province.  Again, the Laurentian elite denounced the fair criticism as libelous, and again, if it hadn't already been in plain sight, Maclean's was vindicated by the bombshell Charbonneau Commission.

McCullough's piece was an important take down of the false mainstream narrative propagated by the Canadian chattering classes that the Quebec City massacre was proof Canada has an Islamophobia problem.  Politicizing the event, these shameless media hanger-ons made leaping jumps in logic, claiming Donald Trump and Marine Le Pen were partly to blame for the attacker's senseless act of violence because he had liked these two political figures on Facebook.  (Never mind that the mass murderer also liked the Parti Quebecois and New Democratic Party of Canada.)  These are the same commentators and politicians who insist Islam has nothing to do with Islamic terrorism, and always deny the connection when the next slaughter of innocents in the name of Allah takes place.  And they will support silencing fair criticism of Islam by giving their approval for the Liberal's anti-Islamophobia motion, further desecrating free speech in this country.

Yes, the doublethink is incroyable, and it's remarkable they can propose such an absurd theory and then in turn be so affronted by McCullough's more grounded logic.

However, it wasn't a surprise when Quebec politicians had an inquisition into McCullough's piece and "responded" to what was "beneath" them.  The Quebec legislature took the time to unanimously pass a motion to condemn and demand the columnist's remarks be rectified.  The government of Quebec then wrote a bizarre letter to the executive editor of the Washington Post, refuting McCullough's "baseless claims" on a province that is "inclusive and outward looking."  The letter then invited the Washington Post to "assign more reporters" to get a "better understanding of Quebec."  One can only hope the paper calls the government on its bluff and sends several investigative journalists to La Belle Province to help dredge up the beastly rot beneath the varnished veneer.  These journalists would be guaranteed a warm welcome by attentive politicians and police monitoring their every move.

On top of the surreal condemnation of the entire Quebec government, Canadian Heritage Minister and Montrealer Melanie Joly was also troubled by McCullough's column, saying it had "unacceptable points."  I was coincidentally interviewing Joly's press secretary last week for a couple of other stories and decided to ask him what the minister meant by her words.

"We never referred to the Washington Post piece as anything other than an opinion… So, obviously, again, freedom of expression is super important to us.  Our government denounced the comments that we believed unfairly portrayed Quebecers, and because our government is convinced of Quebec's attachment to inclusion and openness.  It was really about public, open discussion.  We never asked for things to be retracted.  And the conversation is still happening," said Heritage press secretary Pierre-Olivier Herbert by phone.

Governments taking time out of their busy schedules to denounce and condemn journalists seems like a misuse of their time and energy.  And if they genuinely wanted to have a conversation about the opinions and ideas expressed by the author, then why won't they respond to his amusing open letter or emails?  Why don't they confront the actual ideas put forth?

What is even more amusing is that these politicians' trying to belittle the unrepentant McCullough and rectify and suppress his views are only going having the opposite effect.  The actions of the Quebec government gave McCullough endless publicity not only domestically, but also in foreign publications like Breitbart and The Daily Caller and many others.  From my observations on Twitter, McCullough has also gained hundreds of new followers and been requested to do quite a few interviews.  Apparently Quebec politicians haven't heard of the Streisand effect.

As politicians talk moonshine about McCullough's work, it only emboldens provocateur writers like himself to instinctively become more feral.  I'm eager to see the next bee he'll put in haughty Quebec's bonnet.

Written by Graeme C. Gordon

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Canadian polls on immigration have revealed consistent opinions for eons: the majority of us want to see our country's intake capped or lowered, and we want those who do come to be assimilated into the Canadian mainstream.  Yet every time these boringly common opinions are made public reporters still feel the need to affect great shock.

"Canadians may not be as tolerant of refugees and immigrants as they think, a new study concludes," wrote reporter David Aikin for Postmedia the other day.  "Study finds Canadians aren't as tolerant of immigrants as we like to think" agreed the Huffington Post's Emma Paling.

They were responding to some poll data released this week by academics Michael Donnelly and Peter Lowewn as part of a larger study on Canadian attitudes towards immigration.

The results were not surprising.  58% of Canadians agreed "too many immigrants don't seem to feel connected to Canadian society," while over 60% said "people who come to Canada should change their behavior to be more like Canadians."

A particularly interesting section asked voters from the different parties what they would think about a candidate for prime minister who espoused various pro or anti-immigration policies.  Liberal and NDP voters said they would be less likely to support a candidate advocating significant immigrant hikes, while Conservatives said — albeit barely — that they would be more inclined to back a candidate proposing an end to immigration, period.

Again, these opinions have been voiced consistently.  A 2016 poll found 68% of Canadians believe immigrants should "do more to fit in."  A 2015 poll found 46% believe the current immigration rate is too high.  A 2013 poll found 73% backing idea of immigration limits.

Yet every time, the mainstream media reaction suggests "we" should somehow be startled by these findings, which apparently contradict how "we" conceptualize Canadian attitudes towards immigration.  But as that old joke about the Lone Ranger goes, "who's 'we,' Kemosabe?"

The narrative that Canadians blindly love immigration, and have no reservations whatsoever about its social and cultural impact, is a storyline elite ideologues in this country have invented from whole cloth.  It serves to rationalize generations of radical pro-immigration policies that have originated from Ottawa despite little public demand.

At some point, something has to give.  To paraphrase John Kerry, Canada can either be a democracy or it can be a country of record-high immigration, but it cannot be both.  A StatsCan study released last month concluded that by 2036 Ottawa policy will have successfully created a new majority population, with immigrants and their children comprising "between 44.2 And 49.9 per cent" of the national population.  That will represent a demographic coup unparalleled in history, a blunt imposition of unpopular policy to its most extreme consequence (Canada has the highest per capita rate of immigration in the G7, tied with Germany).

If that characterization makes you uneasy, imagine a similar situation playing out in a different policy realm.  Imagine reams of polls suggesting Canadians did not want privatized health care, yet Canada nevertheless being on track to abolish all provincial insurance plans within 20 years.

Thankfully, there are signs Canada's political class may be beginning a gentle u-turn.  Immigration has become a relatively open topic of conversation in the post-Kenney federal Conservatives, with would-be leaders Maxime Bernier, Stephen Blaney, and Erin O'Toole all calling for lower numbers.  Even aggressively moderate voices in the party, such as Michelle Rempel, are now choosing to contrast their own views on immigration with the "fling the doors wide open" approach of the Trudeau Liberals (who, in fairness, also elected to level Canada's immigration intake at Harper rates, rather than hike them, as some voices wanted).

For this, ample credit must be given to Kellie Leitch — and her recently-departed campaign manager Nick Kouvalis — who repeatedly cited poll data to justify their decision to put a pro-assimilation agenda at the front of their "surprisingly" successful Tory leadership campaign.  Dr. Leitch is expected to unveil an even more comprehensive immigration agenda soon, which will almost certainly include a call for lower numbers.

Canada's journalistic and political establishment is terrified of Donald Trump, and the thought of an immigration critic getting elected here explains why there's been such a noticeable increase in propaganda insisting "we" have created the world's most immigrant-welcoming nation with no anxieties about immigration here, no siree.

Yet in the background, our politicians are slowly reorienting their behavior around reality.

Photo Credit: Reader's Digest Canada

Written by J.J. McCullough

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.