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It all started so well for Denis Coderre.  On election day four years ago, he became his own meme overnight.  Winking and grinning, the mayor-to-be deposited his ballot into the box.

It's hard to believe, now that he's been shunted off the stage, but Coderre was at one point the face of a bright and shiny new day in Montréal.  That was then of course.  By the end of the mayoral campaign this weekend, Coderre seemed well past expired, insular, and bereft of ideas.  He was defeated by Valérie Plante, who'd only been in city council for a single term.

I think there's an important lesson here for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.  But it's not just a lesson in how fleeting popularity can be.  It's a lesson in how popularity can disconnect you from the very people who elected you.

For all intents and purposes, Coderre should have had no trouble hanging onto the mayor's job.  There's all sorts of big, progressive city-building projects in his accomplishments.  He knocked down an expressway to make a walkable boulevard, he championed environmentally friendly transit, brought in an electric commuter train, done much-needed maintenance everywhere, done plenty bureaucratic fat cutting.  There's all sorts of stuff there, for all kinds of people.  Yet he lost.

In many ways, people just got tired of him.  Every other week, it seemed, there was this or that big international spectacle.  Car races, and bridge lighting, and fireworks.  There were the $3-million granite stumps.  His tendency to wear goofy outfits and get up to showy mischief wore thin, after a time.

And behind his bombast, there was the scent of something off.  He spent millions to bring an electric car race to the streets of the city, then hid for months they had to give away huge swaths of the tickets to fill the stands. The Montréal police were caught spying on a reporter who was investigating a ticket Coderre once got.  (The mayor phoned the chief about that one, too.)

When asked who his favourite mayor was, he pointed to the man who brought Expo 67 to town, and launched a dizzying number of grand infrastructure projects, Jean Drapeau.  But he seemed to forget Montréal is in the process of massive construction projects to replace the crumbling concrete erected in Drapeau's era.  In my end of town, the Turcot interchange is being torn down and replaced, piece by piece.  The spaghetti tangle of concrete in the sky has been crumbling for years.  (For god's sake, don't do what I did and drive a convertible through the thing and then look above you.)

Drapeau's physical legacy is falling all around us and costing billions of dollars, while we're stuck taking increasingly byzantine detours, and that's the guy you most admire?  It belied a remarkable loss of touch with an electorate he once seemed to have such a feel for.

Then, worst of all, he made enemies of dog owners across the city with a slap-dash pit bull ban bylaw.  It had the added benefit of seeming like a tax grab, by forcing owners to register their pets in a city that was essentially indifferent in the months before.  It seemed like Coderre was looking to punish good dog owners for the sins of the bad.

And this is what really bodes ill for Trudeau.  For all his popularity, all his grand talk of change and a new sunny day, he's got little to show for it.  Simple promises like increased transparency have turned to farce.  Electoral reform?  A total crock.  Closing tax loopholes?  Botched that and made using the loophole sweeter.  Culture overhaul?  Netflix is going to spend some money (but probably not much in Québec).  Getting clean drinking water to reserves?  Nope.

So when the next election rolls around, what is Trudeau going to be able to say he accomplished?  He might have legalized cannabis by then.  He'll have put out a simplified a tax credit for families, and upped it when things got tough for him.  He'll have implemented a carbon tax regime that's hated out west.  He'll have stood on both sides of the pipeline issue, satisfying no one.  He'll have created an infrastructure bank.  He'll have had a normal handshake with Donald Trump.

Compared to the broad sweep of his election agenda, you have to wonder what happened to the vision.

Coderre and Trudeau have a lot in common.  Upon their ascension, each seemed like a clean break from the past, a breath of fresh air.  But over time, Coderre found a way to whittle away his popularity.  Style, he found, is something that can only take you so far.

And the two suffer from a certain arrogance, each borne from the opposite circumstance, but it leads to the same place.  For Coderre his arrogance was from the cocksure knowledge that he had a vision for the city, and his vision was correct.  An arrogance of action, if you will.  Trudeau's arrogance is the mirror image of that.  The prime minister is arrogant by way of inaction.  The government has continued down the smiling path of constant positivity in a way that suggests they are accomplishing great deeds, while actually doing very little.

Trudeau has frittered away two years, venting his own political capital.  There's time for him to avoid the fate of Coderre, but he'll have to learn from the mistakes of his time in office.

Hope has not yet faded away.  But to see a way to a second term, he'll have to look past the fog of his own popularity to the rocky shoal that awaits him.

Here's hoping he can learn from a man who's run aground before.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Payette's disrespectful comments tarnish her position as Queen Elizabeth II's federal viceregal representative

It only took one speech for new Canadian Gov. Gen. Julie Payette to confirm why some columnists and pundits (including me) were lukewarm about her nomination in the first place.

"Oh, but she's an astronaut and a scientist," crowed her enthusiastic support base during the dog days of summer.  "She'll bring a fresh new outlook and diverse opinions to an old, staid ceremonial position."

I could certainly go for some old, staid representation right now.

Anything would be better than Payette's politically-charged diatribe last week to the Canadian Science Policy Conference.  The Governor General deviated from her speaking notes (one assumes and hopes) and went rogue on several occasions.

"Can you believe that still today in learned society," she said, "in houses of government, unfortunately, we're still debating and still questioning whether humans have a role in the Earth warming up or whether even the Earth is warming up, period?"

She said she was dismayed "we are still debating and still questioning whether life was a divine intervention or whether it was coming out of a natural process let alone, oh my goodness, a random process."

To top it off, she mockingly exclaimed, "so many people I'm sure you know many of them still believe, want to believe, that maybe taking a sugar pill will cure cancer, if you will it!"  Or that people believe that "every single one of the people here's personalities can be determined by looking at planets coming in front of invented constellations."

Who knew our new Governor General was a graduate of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's prestigious school for the dramatic arts?

Payette's disrespectful comments tarnish her respectful, ceremonial and constitutional position as Queen Elizabeth II's federal viceregal representative.  It's not her place, or her role, to attack Canadians who don't believe in some or all of the science surrounding climate change, hold a different opinion in the creation-evolution debate, have doubts about modern medicine or enjoy astrology.

Moreover, Payette's statements fly directly in the face of free speech and free expression.  While some Canadians don't respect these cherished values as much as their American cousins, it's long been an important principle for the success and survival of western democratic thought.

While the Governor General has the right to her intolerant views about others, she must grant that same right to people of opposing views who she finds ill-informed.  To paraphrase the late U.S. columnist Nat Hentoff, it has to be free speech for me and thee.

Instead, she has infuriated religious Canadians and free-thinking individuals of all political stripes and walks of life.  And she's only been on the job since Oct. 3.

Trudeau doesn't seem terribly concerned about this controversy and has strongly defended her statements.  "I am extraordinarily proud of the strength and the story of our Governor General, Julie Payette, who has never hidden away her passion for science and her deep faith that knowledge, research and the truth is a foundation for any free, stable, successful society," he recently said.  "And I applaud the firmness with which she stands in support of science and the truth."

Alas, Trudeau doesn't seem to understand his version of the truth is somewhat different than other versions in his native land.  This includes political opponents and, whether he cares to admit it or not, political proponents.

Is this a one-time outburst by the Governor General?  You would hope so.  But Trudeau has clearly opened the invisible door for her with respect to just about anything under the sun.

If this trend continues, there's one option (albeit a massive long shot) that frustrated Canadians could consider doing.

The Governor General traditionally serves for a five-year term.  But it's actually unfixed and done "at Her Majesty's pleasure."

Maybe the Queen would be pleased to become more informed about her controversial Canadian representative.  Just sayin'.

Troy Media columnist and political commentator Michael Taube was a speechwriter for former prime minister Stephen Harper.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


By now most political observers and pundits would agree that there are two major fronts in a campaign.  There's the general political war, which involves fundraising, polling, nominations and getting your message and vote out, and the culture war, which is about traditional values versus progressive values.

The tendency of most of these pundits is to emphasize the first war over the second.  For them, getting caught up in cultural crossfires can only hurt your campaign and are best avoided.

Like these other pundits, I made this same mistake when I predicted, a year ago, that the Trump campaign was toast after he was forced to apologize for comments where he all but endorsed sexually harassing women in the infamous "grab her by the p***y" tape.

Now at the time I thought myself more savvy than the old schoolers who had written Trump off months ago.  I acknowledged the existence of the culture war and Trump's willingness to fight that war when others wouldn't.  I even knew that there were many men  and women who agreed with his comments, as disgusting as they were.

But I underestimated how important it was to these people that Trump was actually fighting, even if he was losing at that point.  Even if he apologized and walked back his comments the one time, all the other times that he didn't gave him a credibility amongst cultural warriors that would endure, and has endured despite an absolutely brutal first year as President.

Now, the people running Patrick Brown, Jason Kenney and Andrew Scheer's campaigns watch the same political developments worldwide as I do.  The editorial boards at the Star and the Globe and the Post count the same number of lies that pass Trump's lips as I do.  And the Liberals continue to to decry Trump's attempts to divide as they practice their own version of the culture war, from soaking the rich over tax loopholes to having Trudeau dress up as Superman for Halloween.

Everyone, even people in consensus-building Canada knows this cultural war is being fought.  It's just that the Conservatives either don't or won't fight it.

So on a given day you will find in your inbox a breathless missive from the Conservatives federally or from your local provincial affiliate decrying tax hikes, thumping their chests about how much money they raised this quarter or how many members they've signed up, or broadcasting favourable polling results.

You're not going to find any emails from them addressing questions raised by their progressive opponents over Patrick Brown's voting record as an MP, Jason Kenney's comments on gay-straight alliances or Andrew Scheer's decision to choose Hamish Marshall as his campaign manager.

And it's not because they forgot or the issue hasn't crossed their minds, either.  They know full well that these are problems and big ones at that.  They just really, really don't want to talk about them because they have no interest in fighting the culture war.  Why?  Because they know they'll get pummelled.

If this seems strange to you, consider that ten years ago the Conservatives had no interest in fighting the battle for Canada's minority communities.  The pat answer was, "They don't vote for us," and that was all there was to it.  You can still find plenty of Conservatives who still don't see a need to set foot in certain parts of their ridings, and it's only because Kenney himself, or Rob Ford, or Stephen Harper showed them it was possible that they're willing to consider doing it.  (I can only imagine what it must have been like to float the idea of a female Conservative, or a Conservative on the LGBTQ spectrum in days of yore, and the ongoing battles that still take place on those fronts.)

But while a Canadian Conservative in 2017 may win the minority vote, LGBTQ vote, Indigenous vote or votes from women, they are batting zero when it comes to the culture war.  Wile E. Coyote has a better track record when it comes to catching the Road Runner than Canadian Conservatives do when it comes to winning the culture war.

Why did John Tory lose over faith based schools in 2007?  Culture war.

Why did a blog post about gay people burning in a lake of fire destroy the Wild Rose in 2012?  Culture war.

Even by 2015, Stephen Harper himself was barely further along on the culture war learning curve than he was when photographed wearing the infamous leather vest and cowboy hat at the Calgary Stampede.  Sure, he played the piano with a cover band and tried getting his picture taken with Nickelback and Wayne Gretzky, but one wayward line about "old stock Canadians" torpedoed all of that, to say nothing of the party's stance on the niqab, on the Barbaric Cultural Practices Hotline, and on Syrian refugees.

And while Conservatives are busy getting trounced on the culture war, the Liberals have been winning so much that it's a wonder that they don't get tired of winning.

We need look no farther than Governor General Julie Payette's recent pronouncements on religion and science to show how far the Liberals have moved the line down the field as far as cultural issues are concerned.  Robyn Urback's pronouncement that the GG is supposed to be neutral misses the point.  As far as Canadians are concerned, these statements ARE neutral.  Religion is a fantasy, more women should be in politics because it's the current year, and "debates" on abortion, climate change and immigration are settled.  These are no longer controversial opinions because no arguments refuting them are offered and taken seriously by the Conservative brain trust or the membership.

And so complete is the Liberal victory on the culture war battlefield that Conservative surrender has become baked into Canadian culture at large.

Written by Josh Lieblein

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


The debate about how the Senate should audit its members has been a live one since the height of the expenses scandal typified by the trial of Senator Mike Duffy.  In his report, the Auditor General was horrified by the notion that senators were judging senators and making up their own rules, and wanted to have a completely external audit committee that would oversee the expenses going forward.

As I've written about in this space several times, that kind of a suggestion should be a non-starter because Parliament is self-governing, and instituting an external body to do that kind of oversight is detrimental to that very notion.  That the Government Leader in the Senate err, "government representative," Senator Peter Harder, has signed onto this particular vision of accountability and tried to scour the length and breadth of other Westminster parliaments in order to prove his point ignoring the different constitutional or statutory frameworks and then going so far as to ensuring that his vision of an independent oversight body that wouldn't have binding authority, was a bit of a confused mess.  And that, unfortunately, is something that we've come to expect from Harder and his office, who still seem to be having a difficult time in grasping some of the finer intricacies of how the institution operates.

Where this debate has progressed is in at the Senate's internal economy committee, which is in the middle of changing up its leadership thanks to the recent round of committee shuffling that happened at the end of last week as the interim order to accommodate the new senators expired.  As part of this shake-up in order to rebalance committee representation and leadership to better represent the changed make-up of the Senate with so many independents now in the chamber, the Independent Senators Group (ISG) has been given control of the Senate's internal economy committee, with former Liberal Senator Larry Campbell now being given that chair.

As was reported in the Hill Times on Monday, the issue of the proposed Senate Committee on Audit and Oversight is one where the proposal going forward would have the five-member committee's membership be comprised entirely of senators, who would hire and direct an external auditor to review the expenses of senators and senate administration, with the reports being public and published.  The new committee would be separate from Internal Economy and report directly to the Chamber, while its membership would be barred from also sitting on the Internal Economy committee a laudable idea.

This goes entirely against the wishes of Auditor General Michael Ferguson and Senator Harder, and while much of what is proposed looks good on the surface, I nevertheless find myself a bit queasy by the fact that the proposed make-up of this committee is entirely internal to the Senate, without any outside membership.  The reason that's concerning is because it certainly makes it look like senators haven't entirely taken to heart the lessons of the expenses scandal, and that it looks a little too much like they are protecting their own interests.

It's why I think that the Senate has to rethink the proposed membership, and to go back to the idea floated by former ISG facilitator, Senator Elaine McCoy, back when the expenses scandal was raging.  McCoy looked to the House of Lords in the UK for their audit committee solution, which translated in to Canadian terms would see three senators on the five-member committee, while still retaining two external members to provide some of the oversight that the public demands.  McCoy's suggestion is that those external members include an auditor as well as a former judge who can help to adjudicate disputes that come up around expenses much like former Supreme Court of Canada Justice Ian Binnie continues to do for the Senate post-Auditor General's report.

Having three members out of five be Senators would be important it keeps control of the committee within Parliament, and ensures that it respects the self-governing nature of the institution.  That self-governing ability is important because it ensures that the Senate retains the ability to discipline its own members part of the privileges that the chamber enjoys under the constitution, and ensures the separation of powers between Parliament and the courts.  This is one of the reasons why a totally independent audit committee would be a problem constitutionally, since it would blur that separation of powers, making Parliament's ability to be self-governing a problem going forward.  (This issue is going to be a very big sticking point in the Commons as the Federal Court challenge regarding the NDP satellite offices goes ahead, as the decision MPs made to have their Board of Internal Economy be a statutory rather than parliamentary body could have a very real impact on their ability to claim parliamentary privilege and to maintain the separation of powers as the Court feels that it can weigh in on the Board's decisions).

Conservative Senator David Wells, the former chair of Internal Economy, favoured the five-senator model of the committee's make-up, but given the changing membership of the committee, the debate over the audit committee's make-up will happen in earnest.  This make-up will certainly be an optics problem because there will always be suggestions that its reports won't be credible.  Having external members of the committee will help to mitigate that appearance, especially if they are credible individuals like an auditor and a former judge.

As the ISG now takes over the chair committee and a greater proportional say as to what goes on, it will be up to them to weigh in and decide how they want the audit committee's make-up to go ahead.  One hopes that they won't be swayed by Harder's plans, which will damage the Senate going ahead, while one suspects that they will reject the Conservatives' proposal by virtue of their genesis a pattern that is emerging in how the Senate is operating these days.  This decision could very well have lasting repercussions for the Senate and Parliament itself, so let's hope they make the right, balanced choice of a mixed three-senator, two-external member committee.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Is Denis Coderre in trouble?

A poll is showing that his main opponent, Projet Montreal's Valérie Plante, is now leading the Mayoral race by two points in voting intentions 39 to 37.  That is quite a change from the first poll, published in June, that gave Denis Coderre a 14-point lead over Plante, but the trends have been against him since.

Why is Coderre's campaign faltering?  Is it, as polling firm CROP's president Alain Giguère suggests, that the ongoing, multiple construction sites and the resulting congestion on Montreal roads has people concluding that it's time for change?  Perhaps.

But there is more to it.  For the past year, Coderre has been behaving like it was obvious he was going to win.  His style is abrasive to many, my way or the highway, and on many files, he has not exactly been actively listening to his citizens.  Worse, he called the Montreal police chief to complain that La Presse's columnist Patrick Lagacé was pestering him about a traffic ticket   which lead to an investigation that included monitoring the telephone activities of Lagacé.  Indeed, his relationships with the media have been acrimonious, with reports of intimidation tactics and threats to ensure strict control of information.  The net result is that over half of Montrealers describe Coderre as arrogant.

His campaign messaging has mostly been about keeping a steady hand at the wheel.  Coderre's strategy has been to boast about his long political experience and his connections with powerful people, may they be political or business leaders.

Yet, his ambitious projects have not inspired the city like he had hoped.  The infamous E formula race clogged the downtown core and Coderre won't reveal how many tickets were sold.  There is a sentiment of a chronic lack of transparency, culminating with Coderre removing the visitors' registry from City Hall, allowing his guests to come and go with no traces.

To top it all, many federalist voters are suspicious at the openly separatist slate running on Coderre's ticket, including former Bloc MP Réal Ménard, former PQ MNAs Scott McKay and Elsie Lefebvre, and Hadrien Parizeau, the grandson of former Premier Jacques Parizeau.

Meanwhile, Plante is running on freshness.  She surprised many 8 months ago when, casting herself as a "Happy Warrior", beat the odds and defeated her more experienced opponent for the leadership of Projet Montreal.  She's tapping into a new mood, into people looking for a different style of leadership.  She's young, smiling, energetic, and environmentally conscious while not being afraid to speak truth-to-power, with a no-nonsense way of looking at the different issues.  Projet Montreal is playing up her lack of experience as an asset, hoping she will become the city's first female mayor.  Her signature proposal, a new metro line dubbed the Pink Line, would open the first subway stations on the island since 1988.  Coderre's attacks on Plante's platform being unrealistic have fallen flat.

And more importantly, voters have no more patience with experienced politicians who are not delivering.  And voters are no longer afraid to jump into the unknown.  Quebec did it with Layton.  Alberta did it with Notley.  Canada did it with Trudeau.  The Americans did it with Trump.  France did it with Macron.  Montrealers might very well do it with Plante. 

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


You would think that the number of pundits reaching for their fainting couches on Wednesday night, when news spread that Governor General Julie Payette made supposedly derisive comments about climate deniers and creationists in a speech to a group of scientists that evening, that we were on the verge of a constitutional crisis.  "How dare she comment on things that are under debate?" came the aggrieved cries, as pearls were clutched.

One of the most aggravating parts of this whole incident is the refrain from my learned fellow pundits is that the country's vice-regal is supposed to be a "figurehead" who shall refrain from any and all statements that could possibly be construed as controversial.  She should, apparently, be a mannequin, or at most, an animatronic puppet who can deliver pre-packaged sentiments about how great Canada is, and something about maple leaves and puppies.  Which is completely wrong.

But first, Payette's comments.  Part of the problem is that they were reported over Twitter and elsewhere in text form, without seeing the tone in which they were delivered.  The inferences of tone came from the Canadian Press reporter who relayed them, and who didn't give the full context of what it was that Payette was saying.  And as with anything, context is what matters.

Yes, Payette was somewhat incredulous that there are houses of government in learned societies where climate denial is being discussed, and creationism.  But what seems to have escaped most of her critics is that these kinds of discussions are not happening in Canada, and that this was more likely a reference to our neighbours to the south.  Here, all mainstream parties have accepted that climate change is man-made and the policy differences are in how to deal with this.  Payette did not comment on those policies.  Likewise, creationism is not a public policy debate in Canada there are no provinces for whom it is mandated in their curriculum, unlike again, in the United States.  These are not live public policy issues in Canada, and are not partisan issues for which she should steer clear.  Likewise, I'm not aware of any parties who have taken a position that Canadians should live according to their horoscopes, or that placebos combined with wishing and hoping are acceptable medical practices.  These are not policy debates, and it's galling that mainstream pundits in Canada seem to be implying that they are.

The other part that the commentariat missed, if they bothered to watch the whole clip, is that Payette was bringing up the problems where misinformation is amplified by social media in a way that is largely unprecedented, and that is why there needs to be vigilance by the crowd of scientists that she was addressing.

"Democracy and society have always gained from learned debate, whether it is political, scientific, or economical, but we have to remain vigilant, and we cannot let ourselves fall into complacency," said Payette.  "We must to be vocal, all the time, everywhere, every single one of us, so that we can deconstruct misinformation and don't end up in an echo chamber where we just end up listening to what we want to hear."

I'm not sure what part of this is objectionable.  I don't think she was actually mocking religion given that creationism is a belief held by a narrow slice of mainstream religions, and there are many including mainstream Catholics for whom evolution is accepted fact.  (Some people are also pointing out that she represents the Queen, who is the head of the Church of England, forgetting that Payette represents the Queen of Canada, who is not head of said Church.  That title belongs to the Queen of the UK, and yes, that distinction matters).  Meanwhile, we seem to be proving her point by taking part of what she said out of context and then rattling it around the echo chamber of punditry so that we can have a chance to tut-tut at her and let her know that she's wrong.

It should also be noted that Justin Trudeau didn't help the situation when he was asked about the comments and he said that he was proud that she stood up for science, but neither did the media in trying to torque her actual message into some kind of scandal.  The appearance that Trudeau and Payette are a tag team is none too savoury for our system of government, but as with so many things these days, perception is being built by those who are trying to create sensation for the sake of driving clicks, and that's having a detrimental effect on democracy because it's amplifying the same kind of selective misinformation that Payette was calling on her listeners to deconstruct.

As for the calls that Payette guard her tongue in order to preserve her role as figurehead, that needs to be smacked down because the GG, like the Queen, is not a "figurehead."  They still have actual political powers that can be used, and in the GG's case in particular in Canada, is called upon to decide who gets to form a government.  Just months ago, we saw how vital this vice-regal role was after the fairly inconclusive results of the BC election, where that province's lieutenant governor had to make a call in the face of the howls of partisans and two-bit pundits who shouted demands at her in the face of the advice that she was receiving from the incumbent premier.

We appoint our vice-regal representatives because we have to be confident in their judgment, and that they will exercise their powers in a constitutionally appropriate manner, while making it clear that yes, they do have discretionary powers.  Payette is clearly someone for whom we have appointed for her accomplishments, and because we believe that she will have the good judgment in using those discretionary powers.  If we wanted to appoint a mannequin to the role who would simply smile, nod, and sign bills on request, then we wouldn't bother with finding exemplary individuals for the role, but settle for media darlings instead.  That's not the case, and we should stop pretending otherwise.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


The new United Conservative Party leader is laser-focused on defeating the Alberta NDP and it would be unwise to bet against him

Albertans won't head back to the polls until May 2019.  Nevertheless, the narrative for the province's 30th general election has just become clearer.

Jason Kenney, the last Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta leader, was elected as the leader of the new United Conservative Party last weekend.  He received 35,623 votes, or 61.2 per cent of eligible voters.  Brian Jean, the last Wildrose Party leader, earned 18,336 votes (31.5 per cent), followed by Calgary lawyer Doug Schweitzer at 4,273 votes (7.3 per cent).

It's been an incredible run for Kenney, one of the more successful Canadian politicians over the past two decades.

A one-time executive assistant to then-Saskatchewan Liberal Party leader Ralph Goodale, he quickly shifted to political conservatism in his university days.  He served as the Alberta Taxpayers Association's executive director, and later president and chief executive officer of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation.

Kenney won his first election as a Reform Party of Canada candidate in the riding of Calgary Southeast (now Calgary Midnapore) in 1997.  He was re-elected five times under the Canadian Alliance and Conservative Party of Canada banners, and never came close to losing.

He would hold several prominent cabinet roles for then-prime minister Stephen Harper.  The list includes: secretary of state for Multiculturalism and Canadian Identity (2007-2008), minister of Citizenship, Immigration and Multiculturalism (2008-2013), minister of Employment and Social Development (2013-2015), and minister of Defence (2015).

Kenney was one of the few Harper cabinet ministers trusted enough to handle his own affairs.  He was intelligent, articulate, witty and consistently stayed on message.  He defended fiscal and social conservative principles to their very cores, and built wide-reaching ethnic outreach programs like no other.  On the rare occasions when he got into slight difficulty, which happens to the best of us, he pushed back, made his points and moved forward.

Some people are tailor-made for political success.  Kenney is one of them.

When he made the jump to provincial politics, he continued to achieve his goals.  He won the Progressive Conservative leadership with an astonishing 75.4 per cent of the vote (in spite of concerns about a delegated vote).  He also built a working relationship with Jean, a former federal colleague, and they succeeded in uniting the right in Alberta.

Now that the UCP leadership is under his belt, he'll run in a byelection in Calgary-Lougheed after MLA Dave Rodney stepped aside.

Kenney is laser-focused on defeating the Alberta NDP and it would be unwise to bet against him.

While New Democratic Premier Rachel Notley won the 2015 provincial election fair and square, few would argue it was anything other than a massive protest vote against four decades of PC rule.  Alberta's politics and demographics have changed in recent years but the province had no history or infatuation with left-wing politics and still doesn't.

It was almost a carbon copy of Bob Rae and the Ontario NDP's 1990 victory.  You vote out of anger against the politics-as-usual crowd one night, then wake up the next morning and realize, "What in God's name did I just do?"

Albertans, for their part, elected an NDP government that eliminated the single rate tax, passed a carbon tax, promoted publicly-funded child care and increased the minimum wage.  There seem to be many drunken sailors spending taxpayer dollars in the provincial legislature.

Would Kenney do anything like this?  Absolutely not.  This political tour de force has long been a champion of limited government, lower taxes, and greater individual rights and freedoms.  He would, therefore, reverse course and make Alberta a fiscally prudent province that respects taxpayers once more.

There's still two years to go in Notley's mandate and an election to fight.  Nothing is ever guaranteed in politics.

But to call Kenney a potential premier-in-waiting doesn't seem too far off the mark.

Troy Media columnist and political commentator Michael Taube was a speechwriter for former prime minister Stephen Harper.

© 2017 Distributed by Troy Media

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Last week the narrative seemed to be that Premier Kathleen Wynne's approval ratings and re-election chances had suddenly been resurrected from rock bottom because the Sudbury bribery trial was thrown out by the judge presiding over the case.

According to some journalists "a huge weight" has been lifted off Wynne's shoulders in her re-election bid because of the judge's decision.  Of course, the charges against Wynne's former deputy chief of staff (and now election campaign manager) Patricia Sorbara being thrown out by the judge was definitely some much needed good news for the Premier, but don't buy into the hype that this was what has been the main reason for her unprecedented unpopularity.

As some astute political observers have known all along, the Sudbury bribery allegations were only brought to court because of the release of surreptitiously recorded audio of Sorbara and a local Sudbury Liberal kingmaker offering a former Liberal candidate potential favours to step aside.  It was clear from the get go that there was no explicit job or monetary offer made to the former candidate — thereby no bribe — and that the case against the two Liberal aides would go nowhere.  For that reason it is a bit odd that the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario wasted money on attack ads tying Wynne to this already fizzled out scandal, especially when a former lawyer like PCPO leader Patrick Brown surely knew the charges wouldn't stick.  But political attack dogs don't care about details, the optics were more than juicy enough to bite.

But that's neither here nor there when looking at Wynne's atrocious approval ratings over the past year.

Wynne's government is mainly dogged because she is disliked as Premier by a majority of the electorate for her record as the leader of Ontario.  And it's not hard to see why.

First and foremost, the Liberal government's disastrous botching of Ontario hydro has finally dealt a heavy price to Wynne because Ontarians' electricity bills steadily climbed over the past few years.  Wynne's band-aid solution, known as the eerily euphemistic Fair Hydro Plan has not done much to quell voters' dissatisfaction with being hosed on their electricity bills.  Even though Ontarians supposedly get an average of 25 per cent off their bills in the short term, in the long term they will again skyrocket and the whole plan will cost Ontarians tens of billions of dollars in additional interest.  The Liberals also spent $2 million on outside accountants to cook up a scheme to keep the additional debt off the next couple budgets so they can dishonestly claim they've balanced the budget.  Then there's the whole part where Ontarians are now bombarded by $5.5 million in Fair Hydro Plan ads — not including all of the other government ads also ubiquitous on airwaves and online — that don't mention the true cost or the added debt, instead painting a rosy future.  Then add the selling off of most of Hydro One and the continued locked-in, wasteful green energy contracts and it's no surprise Wynne has plumbed new depths of unpopularity.

It's as the popular expression goes: it's the economy, stupid.  As much as the media, Bay Street, and Liberals everywhere continue to claim the economy is booming, on Main Street the average Canadian has not noticed the new warmth of the so-called hot economy.  Perhaps that is especially true of Ontario, where the Liberals in the last fourteen years have saddled the province with virtually unmanageable debt and sold out the province's interests in signing lucrative green energy contracts to their friends.  To further scare away business, Wynne introduced a cap-and-trade carbon tax scheme, adding to the unattractiveness of a jurisdiction with already off-the-dial electricity costs.

So, when Wynne suddenly starts clinging to well-liked politicians like Senator Bernie Sanders — someone she was trashing just last year â€” in her desperate bid for reelection, no-one should be duped into thinking she herself is popular again.  When Wynne overreacts to Brown misspeaking about her standing trial by suing him, everyone should see it for what it is: an incredibly unpopular Premier's last-ditch and pathetic effort to try and regain the moral high ground.  When Wynne starts throwing around unaffordable goodies like a $15 minimum wage and a guaranteed income it should be seen as nothing more than the equivalent of a rich kid with Daddy's credit card trying to buy friends.  To try and frame the end of the Sudbury bribery trial as some sort of exoneration of Wynne and the beginning of her comeback is to completely lose the plot.

Written by Graeme C. Gordon

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


As the interim order to expand Senate committees expires on Tuesday, and new rules come into place around who can form a caucus in the Senate, there is a bit of a shakeup going on with how those committees are organizing themselves.  With the Independent Senators Group now firmly in the plurality in the Chamber, the demands that they start shouldering a greater responsibility on committees is ramping up.

Back in early December, the Senate groups came together and agreed to an interim order that would expand committees by an additional three members each in order to accommodate the arrival of new independent senators who otherwise wouldn't be allowed to take committee spots until the session expired via either a prorogation or the dissolution of Parliament for an election.  This order expires on October 31st, which means that committees are set to return to their original sizes of either nine or twelve members, depending on the committee.

At the time of this writing, negotiations between the caucuses were still ongoing as to how they planned to return to those previous sizes, and what kind of distribution will be granted between the various caucuses (as the ISG will now officially be deemed a caucus with new rules changes that also come into effect at the same time).  And some of those negotiations have been testy, based on what I've heard from my sources.

One of the proposals floated had been for each caucus to eliminate one member from each committee, which would bring them back down to the original size, and with a distribution where the percentages roughly mirror those in the chamber.  That means that on a twelve-member committee, it would be five Independents, five Conservatives, and two Liberals; and on a nine-member committee it would be four-four-one.

What I've heard is that the ISG's leadership initially balked at this proposal, and demanded that they get half of the seats on committees because they wanted to include not only their current members, but also the future senators that have yet to be appointed (there are currently ten vacancies, and will soon be an eleventh as Conservative Senator Kelvin Ogilvie reaches his age of mandatory retirement next month), as well as those unaffiliated senators who haven't joined the ISG and that figure includes the three senators on the government representative team.  I will note that this particular demand doesn't make a lot of sense given that just two weeks ago, the ISG passed a rule that they have to approve of any new members by a 60 percent threshold, which would seem to indicate that they're not taking it for granted that all new senators would join their group automatically.  My understanding is that they eventually backed down from this demand, but the final disposition remains to be seen.

The fact that the ISG now has the plurality in the chamber cemented with by the fact that former Conservative Senators Stephen Greene and Josée Verner joined them, and on Monday, Liberal Senator Paul Massicotte left the caucus to join the ISG means that they are also looking to control the committees that have the real power in the Senate when it comes to operational matters internal economy, and likely the rules committee as well.  And this is where things will really start to get interesting, and partly why I suspect they were trying to ensure that they were afforded half of the seats on committees.

The fact that the Independents will start to control those fundamental committees means that they will get to start reshaping the Senate in their own image starting with getting an increased budget for their operations, but also with changing the Rules of the Senate in order to start shaping the modernization with an eye toward taking away any role that partisan caucuses play.  I haven't yet heard whether the ISG plans to take on the role of the opposition in the Senate given that there hasn't been an Official Opposition designation in the chamber to date given that it tended to only be constituted of two parties until recently and whether they would look to take over that suite of offices in the Centre Block dedicated to that role.

Suffice to say, I am curious to see how quickly they are looking to start flexing their muscles on those committees, whatever the final distribution may be.  I'm also curious to see how long it is before some of the partisan senators Senate Liberals especially start feeling bent out of shape over the demands of the ISG.  I will say that I am very worried that there will be a march toward marginalizing some of the very experienced voices in the Senate because they represent the "old way" of being appointed.  We've seen this kind of attitude already from Senator Peter Harder who made the remark on Power & Politics one night, and was forced to apologize to those partisan senators for impugning that they were of a lesser quality than those appointed by the new "merit-based" appointment process.

While yes, this is an exciting time in the Senate, and we are seeing a renewed vigour in the institution, I worry that there will be a desire to drive a lot of change very quickly without giving the institution time to adjust, which will cause an already stressed body even more strain.  While the new spirit of independence is all well and good, we can't be too quick to dismiss what has come before, and the role that partisan senators play both within the chamber from a Westminster perspective, as well as within their respective national caucuses (although this is now only the case for the Conservatives).  Too much independence in the Senate can be a dangerous thing, whether it's by making it easier to co-opt the "loose fish" model that many are looking for, or whether it's by empowering a group without a democratic mandate to move beyond the complimentary role of the Chamber.  How they reshape the committees will offer us clues as to what comes next.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


This week, Samara Canada released a report titled "No One is Listening: Incivility in the 42nd Parliament and How to Fix It."  As could be expected, it's full of terrible tales of just how awful heckling is, and how it's ruining our parliamentary democracy, and the likes.  But for as alarmist as the report is, it does actually make some needed recommendations.

The report is based on surveys with sitting MPs, and about a quarter of them responded, in demographics that roughly line up with the makeup of the current House of Commons. 53 percent said that heckling is a problem, while 16 percent find it beneficial.  Two-thirds admit to heckling themselves (but this number is likely under-reported especially among the Liberal ranks).  There are the usual concerns that they believe the public thinks badly of it.

More interestingly are some of the figures about why they heckle some 72 percent of MPs say that they do it to "correct a perceived untruth," while 15 percent feel that it increases accountability in the Commons.  At the same time, 36 percent see it as a form of harassment.  There is also a split between rookies and experienced MPs, where 60 percent of rookies feel that it's a problem, and half would like to see it abolished.  Among more experienced MPs, however, only 19 percent would like to see it abolished.

Additionally, the leadership role of parties on reducing heckling was also measured, with some 81 percent of Liberals having been formally advised by their party about heckling, 50 percent of New Democrats, and 22 percent of Conservatives.  This is fairly reflective of what I've observed in the Gallery on a daily basis, where the Liberals have been largely restrained but by no means silent along with having been banned from applause for the most part.  While the NDP made a big deal of civility and not heckling at the start of the 41st parliament in 2011, that was broken on many an occasion, and they are far more vocal now than they ever have been and they do love their applause.  The Conservatives are consistently the most vocal, and the most cautioned by the Speaker for their behaviour.

I will laud the report for at least admitting that there is no golden age of civility in our politics.  "Disruption has always been a part of Parliament.  In the early years after Confederation, MPs meowed like cats, made music to drown out other Members, and (at least once) set off firecrackers in the House."  Nevertheless, memories are short, and while some veteran MPs did mention that it used to be worse and it really did, not that many years ago in the Harper era we are often regaled with the tales of rookies who feel harassed by such behaviour.

But this is where the context needs to come into the conversation, because when we talk about heckling, what we're really talking about is Question Period, which is 45 minutes out of a sitting day.  That's it.  The rest of the day, whether in the droning that passes for debate in the Chamber, or with the work on committees, it's really quite dull.  Crashingly dull in some cases, to the point of being on the verge of an outbreak of narcolepsy.  To say that heckling is a problem writ-large is not true, and I think it always must be qualified that we are talking about the one time of day when all MPs get together and perform a bit of political theatre.

And we need to reinforce is that this is theatre.  And as much as we worry about the public or the school children who occasionally pass through the galleries, we need to do a better job of explaining to Canadians about that fact that much of the disagreement and rancour is for show, that the vast majority of these MPs are very collegial, and friendships are forged across party lines all the time.  While part of this behaviour is about playing up for the cameras, much of it is sportsmanlike there is a definite spirit of showing support for your party in the questions they ask and answers that they deliver (though with the Liberal applause ban, that has abated on the answer side).  In fact, that air of team spirit is why both the Conservatives and NDP have refused to implement their own applause bans.

And I will note that yes, there are instances of personal of discriminatory remarks as part of the heckling, and those should be dealt with, but they tend to be a small proportion of the crosstalk.  I have rarely ever heard it personally, and I'm in the gallery every single day more than any MP or even the Speaker.  If it happens, it should be dealt with by the Speaker, party leadership or even peers.  But the vast majority of it is in response to prepared scripts that are being delivered, and beyond heckling being a grand parliamentary tradition (provided that it's witty we really, really do need to do better on that front), I do think it's a laudable goal to try and knock people from those scripts in an era of message control and pabulum masquerading as answers.

Which brings me to the recommendations in the report.  Most of them are useful and things that I have been recommending as ways to improve the way the House of Commons operates in general getting rid of speaking lists, giving more time for questions and answers, getting rid of the prepared scripts, and ensuring that the camera angles are not tightly focused on whoever is speaking, but rather getting reaction shots and wide shots in order to get a better sense of what goes on.  The one recommendation that I will flatly denounce, however, is the notion of changing up the seating configuration so that backbenchers are mixed around from all parties so as to break-up the sympathetic responses from teammates.

Ours is an oppositional system for a reason it enforces accountability, and creates clear delineations between the government and Her Majesty's Loyal Opposition.  The placement of government to the Speaker's right, and the head of the Mace pointing to the government, are deeply symbolic traditions that, even if you preserved the front benches for those reasons while mixing up the backbenches, you destroy the spirit of our system.  Our system is partisan.  We have parties for a very good and defined reason, and to try and break that up because of some squeamishness around heckling is fuzzy-headed logic that seeks to take the lifeblood out of what little excitement there is in politics.  Things have improved, and could probably improve a bit more, but the improvements we need are about the quality of crosstalk, and not to smother it entirely.

Photo Credit: Macleans

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.