LP_468x60
on-the-record-468x60-white

Things are finally looking rosy for the long-suffering Ontario Progressive Conservative Party.

Its arch nemesis, the Liberal Party, is sinking in the polls; its brain trust recently released a well-received, allegedly attack-proof policy platform, and its leader, Patrick Brown, even sports a nifty new haircut.

All signs which surely point to an easy PC victory in next year's Ontario election.

Or do they?

I mean, if the past few years have taught us anything, it's that nothing in politics is certain.

Besides, at this stage it's actually impossible to accurately judge the PC party's battle readiness.

I know it's trite to say this, but campaigns do matter.

The fact is we won't really know how Brown's team will perform in action until the election actually kicks into high gear.

Until then we have only questions.

Questions like: How will the PCs deal with the media if it turns hostile?  Is Brown any good on the campaign trail?  Do the PCs possess the strategic flexibility to adapt their tactics if faced with changing circumstances?  (As they say in the military, no plan survives contact with the enemy.)

On the other hand, while mystery surrounds the PCs, we know lots of things for certain about Premier Kathleen Wynne's Liberals, i.e. we know for certain they're a tough, battle-hardened and shrewd bunch; we also know for certain their political combat speciality is to pinpoint and then to mercilessly and relentlessly exploit an opponent's weaknesses.

Recall how the Liberals made mincemeat out of poor old Tim Hudak.

Of course, in the next election, the Liberals — tarnished by scandals and led by an unpopular leader — will be massive underdogs, but that only make them more desperate and desperate political parties usually do desperate things.

I fully expect, for instance, the Liberals will wage the nastiest most savage political ad campaign in Canadian history.

But, I hear you saying, haven't the PCs wisely inoculated themselves against any sort of Liberal negative attack by adopting an ideology-free, totally inoffensive, mind-numbingly bland policy agenda, known as the "People's Guarantee"?

And yes, certainly that's the obvious strategic rationale behind the "People's Guarantee" (which come to think of it, sounds like the slogan for a used car salesman).

Columnist Andrew Coyne called the PC policy agenda "mush", he's right; but the point is, mush is hard to attack.

But if you really think a mushy PC agenda will prevent the Liberals from going negative, think again.

Indeed, one of the most basic rules of politics is "If you can't attack the message, then attack the messenger."

And in this case that means attacking Brown.

His personality, his character, his religion, his values, his past associations, his hobbies, the way he treats his pets all will be put through a Liberal party media meat grinder.

By the time the Liberals are finished with him, Brown will look like a woman-hating, bible-thumping, gun-nutting, environment-despoiling, poor-person-despising, Vladimir-Putin-supporting, Donald-Trump-wannabe.

In short, they'll unleash hell on the guy.

And don't kid yourself; such an attack could impact voter attitudes.

But just as importantly it could also impact Brown.

If he responds to negative attacks by getting defensive or by going off message or by losing his composure, he'll hurt his cause.

What's more, if a Liberal assault does erode voter support for Brown, the PC party will have no choice but to fight fire with fire and hit Wynne with a negative attack of its own.

And this raises more questions.

One question is tactical: Does the PC team have the needed brawling skills to take on the Liberals in a political street fight?

One question is strategic: If the PCs and Liberals become engulfed in a negative mud-throwing contest, will that repel voters, will it maybe cause them to consider a more positive electoral option, e.g. the NDP?

Who knows?

And that's basically my point; there are lots of unknown variables floating around, variables that can quickly change the balance of power during the next election.

If that sounds like I'm painting a pessimistic picture for the PCs, believe me, that's not my intention.

In fact, all things considered, PC party supporters have many reasons to be optimistic about their chances.

All I'm saying here is don't plan that victory parade just yet.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


As more government bills move to the Senate, the push for independent senators to sponsor them grows.  If things were normal in the Senate, it would be a member of the government's caucus who did this job but there are government caucus members.  And when it comes to bills introduced in the Senate by the government, it would normally be up to the Government Leader in the Senate to be their sponsor as a member of cabinet who could be the point person on accountability.  Well, that doesn't happen here either.

While on paper, Senator Peter Harder remains the Government Leader in the Senate (though he may style himself otherwise), he is not a member of Cabinet (despite still getting support from the Privy Council Office as a cabinet minister would, and despite attending Cabinet committee meetings "as required"), and he has eschewed the task of doing the sponsorship of government bills with the exception of the first couple.  It's a curious sort of legal fiction that is put into place in order to maintain the notion that the Senate is to be more independent, as though dismantling some of the structures around Responsible Government as it can be exercised in the chamber is the way to go about it.  What it ends up doing, however, is creating more confusion around how accountability is supposed to flow.

The notion that independent senators are supposed to sponsor government bills has immediately opened them up to criticism that they're not really independents that, as (largely) Trudeau appointees, they are just crypto-Liberals doing the bidding of the man who appointed them, much as was the accusation of nominally partisan senators for the bulk of our post-Confederation history.  Those independent senators have immediately responded by saying that just because they're sponsoring the bill it doesn't mean that they're wedded to it, that some of them come into it looking to amend it right away, and generally with the notion that they're just there to shepherd the bill though the process.  But it's a position that I find a little troubling because it doesn't sound a lot like actual sponsorship of a bill.  In some cases, the very sponsors sound more like chief critics of a bill, which really confuses the debate, but more than that, it confuses any sense of accountability.

Where does accountability flow for a bill in the Senate if not with the government?  There is nobody from Cabinet who can answer on behalf of the bill, which is a pretty important consideration.  Government bills come from Cabinet as a whole Cabinet solidarity is a Thing and an important Thing in our system.  As I have repeatedly pointed out with the current drama over Bill Morneau and the introduction of Bill C-27 on federally regulated pensions, sponsorship of a bill doesn't mean that the minister as an individual is doing it out of personal interest, but rather because they have to answer on behalf of the department that it affects, and if they were shuffled out and a new minister shuffled into that same portfolio, they would pick up where the previous minister left off, because the bill is reflective of the will of Cabinet as a whole, and the minister's job is to answer for the department.

When it comes to the Senate, there remains the important consideration that someone can answer on behalf of Cabinet on a bill to ensure there is a flow of accountability.  Harder is supposed to be that someone, but has eschewed that responsibility.  Ministers still appear before committee, but it's limited to an hour or two, and Cabinet otherwise remains outside of the debate, and this is especially the case for government bills that are introduced in the Upper Chamber.  With no one from Cabinet there to shepherd the bill, and leaving that instead to an independent senator who is supposed to be free of the influence of the government, it means that the accountability gap grows, and this should be concerning because the role of Parliament, of which the Senate is a component, is to hold government to account.  It could also be argued that budget bill should also be sponsored in the Senate by the Government Leader rather than just a member of the government caucus because it deals with the requests for funds, vital for the continued operation of government.  But that's not what happens anymore.

With this in mind, it bears asking why Harder and his office need their $1.5 million budget, and numerous staff, when they're neither managing a caucus, nor doing the legislative groundwork in the chamber things that previous Government Leaders would do on the same allocation, which Harder demanded.  Plenty of senators are asking what this money is for, and I find myself curious as well.  It also makes one wonder if Harder is shirking the duties that he should be fulfilling in the role as Government Leader, regardless of whether or not he styles himself that way.  But you can't both represent the government and be independent (or non-aligned, as he is listed on the Senate's standings) it's just like being half-pregnant.  And that's partly why the demand for independent senators to sponsor government bills is perverse.

There would be no actual conflict for Trudeau to give the Senate more independence while still maintaining the proper roles of having a Government Leader that is in Cabinet and which acts as the conduit for accountability in fact, it would mean more independence for those senators because they're not being co-opted to sponsor bills on behalf of the government.  The Leader of the Government in the Senate is not the leader of the Senate, and people shouldn't be confusing the two something that Trudeau gives the impression of with this particular fiction that is being perpetuated.  We can have both a more independent Senate and proper lines of accountability so what is keeping us from doing so?

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


 

As expected, U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Wednesday his plan to move the American embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, in recognition of the latter city as Israel's capital.  Echoing carefully worded statements from the governments of Francethe United Kingdom and Germany, a spokesperson for Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland had this to say in response:

Canada's long-standing position is that the status of Jerusalem can be resolved only as part of a general settlement of the Palestinian-Israeli dispute.  This has been the policy of consecutive governments, both Liberal and Conservative.  We are strongly committed to the goal of a comprehensive, just and lasting peace in the Middle East, including the creation of a Palestinian state living side-by-side in peace and security with Israel.

NDP leader Jagmeet Singh was more strident, describing the move as "counterproductive" and calling for the government to tell Trump how "divisive" it was.  On the other hand, Opposition Leader Andrew Scheer took an even lighter hand than the Liberal government, with a spokesperson saying only that "it's up to sovereign governments to make decisions about where they will locate their foreign embassies."  Both leaders' bases may have hoped for unequivocal support for either Israel or Palestine.  They should not have expected anything besides the status quo.

At home, Trudeau could have gotten away with sticking a thumb in Trump's eye.  As of September, Trump's approval rating among Canadians stood at 17%.  Many of the 72% who disapprove view him as narrow-minded, self-absorbed, impulsive the embodiment of all their problems with America itself.  Trudeau has had opportunities to aim directly at Trump before, and turned them down; when Trump announced a ban on travel from six majority-Muslim countries, Trudeau said only that Canada remained welcoming to immigrants.  He is aware that Trump would not take kindly to any statement he could interpret as a personal insult.  Anything that lowers Trump's esteem for Canada could bend his mind even further toward scrapping NAFTA, still our most important source of market access.  With NAFTA's future already up in the air, this is one trade gamble Trudeau can be sure not to take.  For all the talk of Canada as an "honest broker" in the Mideast, our economic and defensive dependence on the U.S. is at the heart of our approach to foreign relations.

For many Conservatives, Trump is right to recognize Jerusalem, regardless of our overall relationship with his administration.  They believe Jerusalem is Israel's capital, full stop, and Canada has a moral obligation to say so.  In an interview with the Canadian Jewish News, former diplomat Norman Spector speculated that if Stephen Harper were still prime minister today, he "would have followed" Trump's move.  Yet Harper never called for Canada to move its embassy while he was in power, despite frequently going out of his way to demonstrate deeper support for Israel than then-President Barack Obama if only in his rhetoric.  The slow-and-steady Harper did not overplay Canada's hand, even if he wanted to.

Even while treading lightly with the U.S., Canada has been seeking stronger ties with Europe and Asia.  Moving in lockstep with U.S. foreign policy, which can shift dramatically depending on the government of the day, would put those relationships at risk.  Trump has often been eager to contradict long-standing policy, no matter how his changes impact international alliances.  If we are to maintain our alliances, we must commit to stability in the face of U.S. volatility.

With all of this in mind, there was only the Canadian government could avoid compromising our access to America, our international reputation, and political goodwill at home: by doing absolutely nothing.  It may be a predictable and risk-averse option, but with competing interests at stake, predictability may be best.  That means sticking to calls for nothing less than comprehensive, lasting Mideast peace.

Photo Credit: National Geographic

Written by Jess Morgan

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Years ago I came across a line attributed to Rudyard Kipling that if you go into the jungle, you must know what size beast you are.  I've never been able to source it properly, but if I ever do, I'll definitely send a copy to Justin Trudeau, whose effortless swinging from vine to foreign vine just ran into a giant surly panda.

Actually his travels through the international jungle have run into a series of dangerous animals.  It's not his fault they're out there.  He didn't elect Donald Trump with his perplexing nativist hostility to NAFTA.  Nor is he responsible for Vladimir Putin, Bashir al-Assad or any number of other nasty foreign leaders.  But it is foolish and vain for him to regard this jungle as a garden whose inhabitants are tame creatures much smaller than himself.

It is probably a conceit of leaders worldwide that their nation matters more abroad than it does.  I'm sure voters from Latvia to Mozambique like being told their homeland is a significant international player.  Hence Barack Obama's cliché that virtually every ally he visited "punches above its weight"; whether even slightly sincere, it was a crowd-pleaser everywhere.  And Canadian leaders from Pearson to Harper boasted that we were an "energy superpower" or a "moral superpower" or the world needed more Canada and was eagerly awaiting the next sanctimonious shipment.

There's another, related unattractive Trudeau trait that contributes to his international perplexities.  While he seems genuinely nice and well-meaning, it is striking how his attitudes on any issue you can think of align nicely with prevailing domestic winds.  He apologizes tearfully for things now very much out of fashion, but you won't ever hear him regretting the number of abortions in Canada or infringements on the conscience rights of Christians.  He never champions unpopular causes.

It was also true of his father, whose 1967 claim that "The only constant factor to be found in my thinking over the years has been opposition to accepted opinions" ranks among the least self-aware remarks ever made by a politician, which takes some doing.

It would be wrong to call Trudeau Jr. a bully and after his boxing match with Sen. Brazeau he cannot be mistaken for a coward.  But he is used to operating from a position of strength, where he can charm and when that fails push and get his way fairly easily.  And when he is obliged to back down, for instance on electoral reform, he does so with a singular lack of grace.

His instinct for aligning himself with the winning side helps explain his flattery of Donald Trump once the latter was elected, and his unseemly eagerness to get along with the apparently rising power of China.  And while it might seem paradoxically to combine obsequiousness with conceit, an unconscious habit of successful association with the powerful can easily lead a person to overestimate their own power and, sometimes, overreach badly in consequence.

Thus in NAFTA negotiations, Trudeau sought to impose conditions on the White House when a realistic appraisal of his situation would have led him to seek find allies in Congress and various statehouses to restrain Trump's appalling instincts.  Then he torpedoed a Trans-Pacific Partnership summit leaving allies wondering not so much what just happened as who he thinks he is, casting aside an important geopolitical counterweight to China's growing ambition and assertiveness as if Canada needed no such thing unlike timid herbivores like Australia or Japan.  After which he went to China apparently believing launching free trade talks on our terms was a done deal, and couldn't seem to process the reality that he wound up humiliated by leaders even more convinced the world should kowtow to them.

That Chinese president Xi Jinping and his cronies openly intend to restore China's position of global cultural, economic and military leadership it never even occupied, proving that hubris and a badly skewed sense of proportion about the international jungle afflicts big beasts too.  But they are more immediately dangerous if you are smaller.

Canada is not unimportant.  We are 38th in global population, but in the top fifth of 233 on the UN list, more than half of whom have fewer people than greater Toronto.  We rank somewhere between 10th (nominal) and 17th (purchasing power) in total GDP and 35th per capita, while many who rank higher in the latter are oil sheikdoms or banking havens.  If we cared to, we could even field armed forces whose quality more than made up for their size.

In short, we matter.  But we cannot dictate to the world.  Nobody can.  And if anyone could, it wouldn't be us but the United States or, its leaders believe, China.

If Trudeau realized he was a medium-sized beast, he would adopt a more reasonable and cooperative attitude.  Instead he swaggers about ignoring danger and annoying friends.  And the law of the jungle is not forgiving of such conduct.

Photo Credit: Jeff Burney Loonie Politics

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


What is it with the Conservatives that makes them so unable to do something without being ridiculous.

I could be talking about all sorts of things, but in this case I'm referring to the motion put forward this week by the federal party, looking to condemn the government for its handling of returning ISIS fighters.

The motion culminated days of hammering at the Liberals' for their policy of trying to reintegrate people who have gone abroad to fight with the terror group.

Moved by Tory MP Pierre Paul-Hus, the motion says the government should:

"(a) Condemn the horrific acts committed by ISIS;

"(b) Acknowledge that individuals who joined ISIS fighters are complicit in these horrific acts and pose a danger to Canadians;

"(c) Call on the government to bring to justice and prosecute any ISIS fighter returning to Canada; and

"(d) Insist that the government make the security and protection of Canadians its priority, rather than the reintegration of ISIS fighters."

So, there's basically two halves to this.  The first half is the Tories want the government to say ISIS is bad and people who like ISIS are bad.  The second half is that bad people should be locked up, presumably forever.

It's a glossy way of passing over an actual problem, though.  What do you do with these people?  You can't lock someone up based just on their travel itinerary, at least not for very long.  You need actual evidence of wrongdoing, and it's rather tough to go all CSI on a foreign battlefield.

Tories seem to take a certain pleasure in punishing criminals.  They don't really care there's a whole raft of evidence showing this just makes things worse.  But all of that is a bit academic.  This isn't about evidence of effectiveness or any of that sort of stuff.  It feels good to throw people in prison, goddamnit, so let's throw more in.

But let's assume we're able to imprison people travelling abroad to do a bit of terror tourism.  Eventually, they're going to get out.

Now we're stuck with someone who in one way or another gets off on violence against civilians.  And that's… not great.

This is where the opposition to rehabilitation and reintegration is so foolish.  Someday, these people will need to be brought back into society.  Locking them up isn't good enough.  That's not what a country of rights and laws does.

But all of this argument rests on the idea the Tories were arguing in good faith.  Friends, I have bad news, they were not.

(Let's for a second go out on a very long limb and assume that good-faith debate is a thing that happens in the House of Commons on occasion.  And that enough Liberals might agree with the Tories to vote against their own party if the case was made well enough.  A fantasy of sorts, for argument's sake.)

This week's debate had nothing to do with "keeping Canadians safe" or cracking the skulls of evildoers or whatever.  This was a game of optics.  A legislative bit of trickery, some yea-or-nay tomfoolery, to get the Liberals to "vote for ISIS" or some other scurrilous bullshit.

The debate didn't matter, because the Tories loaded the dice.  Before the thing even started, the Tories made sure to add a little poison pill, one that I left out in my earlier rundown of the motion.  Because, this wasn't just a debate about the efficacy of the Liberals' reintegration plan, because there was also a clause that condemned the government for paying Omar Khadr for his mistreatment at the hands of the U.S. government*.

I left that out earlier.  The motion finished with the, ahem, flourish (italics my own): "Insist that the government make the security and protection of Canadians its priority, rather than the reintegration of ISIS fighters, or the unnecessary financial payout to a convicted terrorist, like Omar Khadr."

So, this is a political play, nothing more.  Someone decided it would be a good to put on a pamphlet mailed to your house some day that "Justin Trudeau is soft on ISIS, look how he votes!"

The Conservatives will make noise about wanting to stomp out terrorism, and use this motion as proof of their commitment.  But they're not committed, because they don't mean it.  They can't.  If that happened, they wouldn't have the government voting against their motion.  And there goes the whole strategy.

There's nothing sincere here.  It's not an honest effort to do anything.  This isn't a plan to make you safer, it's PR.

Until they do something serious, there's no reason to treat them as serious people.

***

* There's perhaps space somewhere to debate the merits of the Khadr payout, but not here.  To be brief on where I stand: you can't accept your citizens have fundamental rights and then go violating them willy nilly.  He was wronged, and he was compensated for that.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


A recent incident at the University provides a glimpse of what the future may hold for Canadian post-secondary education and it ain't pretty

At one time, universities respected free speech and the exchange of different ideas.  Intellectual discourse and thought-provoking debates were viewed as healthy, vibrant and treasured.

Unfortunately, speech isn't nearly as free on today's university campuses.  Intolerance of opposing philosophies, and hurt feelings among the hordes of special interest groups, have come to define modern institutions of higher learning.

A recent incident at Wilfrid Laurier University in Waterloo, Ont., provided a glimpse of what the future may hold for Canadian post-secondary education and it ain't pretty.

Lindsay Shepherd, a graduate student in communications, wanted to create an intellectually stimulating atmosphere for her two tutorials.  So she showed a five-minute video clip from a current affairs program, TVO's The Agenda with Steve Paikin, which featured a debate about gender-neutral pronouns.

One of the panelists was University of Toronto psychology professor Jordan Peterson.  He's made a name for himself for opposing the use of non-gendered pronouns.  Whether you agree or disagree with his position, it's a view that's worth further discussion and debate in a democratic society.

For Shepherd who, as it happens, disagrees with the professor it seemed like the perfect tool for a teaching assistant to use on a university campus.  Or so she thought.

An unnamed student launched a complaint about this video.  Shepherd was accused of violating her university's gender and sexual violence policy.  This led to a meeting with Prof. Nathan Rambukkana (her supervisor), Prof. Herbert Pimlott and Adria Joel, who manages the Gendered Violence Prevention and Support program.

Shepherd recorded this, shall we say, academic inquisition in full view of her accusers.  Although initially hesitant to release the audio, since it could jeopardize her academic future, she opted to let the truth set her free.

At one stage, Rambukkana inquired whether Shepherd was "one of Jordan Peterson's students," like this was some sort of a set-up (she wasn't).  He ranted that Peterson was a member of the alt-right (he's not) and holds intolerant points of view (he doesn't seem to, but that's a matter of interpretation).

Shepherd's retort to her supervisor was clear and concise: "But can you shield people from those ideas?  Am I supposed to comfort them and make sure that they are insulated away from this? … Because to me, that is so against what a university is about.  So against it.  I was not taking sides.  I was presenting both arguments."

Incredulously, Shepherd's neutrality wasn't acceptable to this trio of woe.  When she suggested, "In a university all perspectives are valid," Rambukkana responded, "That's not necessarily true" and bizarrely claimed her decision not to take sides was "like neutrally playing a speech by Hitler."

Moreover, the video clip supposedly contravened university policy by causing harm to "trans students" and creating a "toxic climate."  Shepherd was even told her decision violated Bill C-16, which amended to the Canadian Human Rights Act with respect to hate propaganda and gender identification.  That's nonsense, since that section has nothing to do with transgender pronouns and/or discussions in university classrooms.

The reaction of the political right and left was nearly simpatico: Wilfrid Laurier University had made a mockery of free speech.

In the face of such heavy criticism, the institution was forced to apologize.

Shepherd has correctly questioned the sincerity of this apology based on her traumatic experience.  She recently said at a rally, "I never thought we would get to the point in a society where showing a clip from The Agenda with Steve Paikin in a classroom would end up as an international news story and an institutional scandal."

The preposterous and rather loony views of several Canadian academics qualified to teach young minds should raise an army of red flags among free speech defenders and average citizens.

Let's hope students who have to deal with future anti-free speech incidents are just as brave as Lindsay Shepherd.

Troy Media columnist and political commentator Michael Taube is also a Washington Times contributor, Canadian Jewish News columnist, and radio and TV pundit.  He was also a speechwriter for former Prime Minister Stephen Harper.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


For weeks, we've been enduring the constant faux-outrage over Bill Morneau's assets, and the escalating ridiculousness of the myriad of supposed offences that he has committed.  That the Conservatives escalated things to the point of demanding Morneau's resignation last week while not able to provide much in the way of concrete examples as to why he should shouldn't come as a surprise, because demands for resignations are rote and part of the outrage script.  And when pressed for a reason, any reason, why Morneau should exit cabinet, the excuses returned to his mandate letter.

You might recall that in his high-minded (and indeed, sanctimonious) manner, Trudeau declared that his ministers were going to ride that white horse of transparency and accountability, and they were going to mean it by observing the highest ethical standards in everything they did.

"As noted in the [Ethical] Guidelines, you must uphold the highest standards of honesty and impartiality, and both the performance of your official duties and the arrangement of your private affairs should bear the closest public scrutiny.  This is an obligation that is not fully discharged by simply acting within the law," Trudeau wrote.

In other words, you must not only be seen to be avoiding a conflict of interest, but you might also avoid the appearance of such a conflict.

As with so many of Trudeau's well-intentioned but ultimately foolish decisions, this one opened the door to the opposition and critics in the media to abuse the provision to attack them.  He handed the cudgel to his enemies and invited them to hit him about the face and neck with it.  It was, ultimately, a self-inflicted wound.

We saw it play out for months with the stories over supposed "cash-for-access" fundraisers, which, in truth, were not actually cash-for-access in the abusive way that we had seen in Ontario, where ministers went to people who were trying to get an audience with them and shook them down for tens of thousands of dollars at fundraisers.  None of that happened at the federal level, but a combination of mediocre reporting, combined with mendacious framing devices, gave this appearance that the government was for sale for $1500 increments.  It's laughable on the face of it, especially when compared to the free-for-all of political fundraising in most of the provinces, and even more so when compared to the United States, but damn it, the Globe and Mail needed a scandal to push.

And as with the requirement that even the appearance of impropriety be avoided, the Globe and the opposition each lined up weak evidence in such a manner as to make it look like there was some shady business going on.  And then, as with Morneau now, the allegations were all ridiculous on the face of it someone who wanted approval for a bank attended a fundraiser and it was approved!  (Never mind that it's a decision of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions, the timing was too suspicious).  Or how a Chinese businessman with canola interests attended a fundraiser, and lo and behold, when Trudeau went to China, he got the issue around canola imports resolved.  Obviously a quid pro quo err, except that it was the same position that every Canadian farmer was hoping for because the Chinese demands around restricting canola imports were bogus, and it would only have been a scandal if Trudeau had acceded to the Chinese demands.

But throughout that situation, as with Moreau now, we kept hearing the same thing that "this doesn't pass the smell test."  Never mind that in any of the cases, the facts couldn't even support the notion that it didn't pass the smell test, which is what Trudeau kept asserting when he answered questions about it.  Not that it mattered, because they kept insisting that it didn't avoid the "appearance" of a conflict, and hence, there was a problem.

And this notion of appearances is really where this all rests that Trudeau gave a direction like that was in hindsight fairly boneheaded because anyone can make anything up and say "smell test" or "appearance," and you have an attack that will get traction or print.  And it's so easy to do, as we've seen repeatedly with the current Morneau faux-outrages, where mind-numbing headlines would appear day after day, about how Morneau was somehow in a conflict with the Bombardier loan because Morneau Shepell had a contract with them, or how he was somehow in a conflict because the Bank of Canada contracted their services (never mind that the Bank is pretty fierce about protecting their independence), or any of the other departments or agencies.  Taking the cake was the manufactured notion that he needed to get the clearance of the Ethics Commissioner to table Bill C-27, never that doing so would violate both cabinet confidence and parliamentary privilege.  The fact that the accusations were utterly ridiculous didn't matter all they needed to was say that there was an "appearance" of conflict.

So this is where we are now, and we're likely to keep seeing these kinds of stories once the Morneau outrage finally dies down and we learn that the only actual sin that he committed was forgetting to mention that the villa he disclosed was in a holding company, for which he paid the $200 fine.  Trudeau has made a number of ill-thought-out promises, whether it was around electoral reform, making ministers' offices open to Access to Information requests, or these demands around ethical guidelines.  And because they're his own poor promises coming around to bite him, he's been especially inept at creating any kind of communications strategy to deal with them.  If anything, this may be his Achilles heel, more than any one action his government has taken.  But it also means that we'll be dealing with this same pattern of faux scandal, disingenuous examination, and certain media outlets playing along in order to try and score a hit, for the remaining years of this parliament.  And all the while, the practice of accountability remains occluded for the sake of "appearances."  What a way to run a parliament.

Photo Credit: J.J. McCullough Loonie Politics

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


The New Democratic Party is engulfed in stormy weather on the Atlantic Coast.  The four provinces, which were showing lots of promises for the social-democrats not that long ago, are now a huge challenge for the orange team.

On Monday Nov. 27, PEI NDP Leader Mike Redmond's by-election campaign failed to capture the imagination of the voters in Charlottetown-Parkdale, finishing dead-last with less than 10% of the vote.  The NDP Leader failed to even match the vote totals and support share obtained by the party's candidate in the 2015 election.

In the summer of 2013, with Redmond at the helm, PEI New Democrats looked poised for a major breakthrough on the Island.  The party was firmly in the second place in the polls, within striking distance of the governing Liberals, and climbing.

Redmond's NDP peaked too soon as the party slipped downward all the way through the 2015 general election, electing no one while the Green Party made history by electing party Leader Peter Bevan-Baker.  The PEI NDP could console itself with the fact that, with 11% of the vote, it had received more support than the Greens, had tripled its vote share, and had broken the previous record of 8% established by the party under the leadership of Dr. Herb Dickieson in 2000 an election which saw Dickieson lose his seat.  Dickieson remains the first and only member of the New Democratic Party to ever sit in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island.

It is unclear at this point how Redmond can continue to lead the PEI NDP.  The defeat in the by-election doesn't bode well at all for Redmond and his party.

Meanwhile in Nova Scotia, a province that was governed by the NDP not that long ago, a major schism is fracturing the party.  Last weekend, Party president Bill Matheson and vice-president Judy Swift both resigned their positions.

Swift blames her departure on the actions and attitude of leader Gary Burrill.  Burrell ran successfully for the Party leadership in February 2016.  In an email obtained by The Coast, Swift criticizes Burrill's "judgment, his fiscal prudence, his understanding of and respect for the Party's processes and his over-reliance on the opinions of a small group of loyalists."

"His focus on what he believes to be a 'mission' — which might otherwise be a good characteristic — has become a liability which blinds him to his own shortcomings and hypocrisy," Swift wrote.  "It has led him to inhabit a Trump-like world of alternate facts."

Woooah.  Disagreements and debates are a vital part of a democratic party, and certainly New Democrats are known for passionately debating the issues.  But this is another level.  Burill's loyalists will say that the comparison with Trump is completely over-the-top, and that's probably the case.  Burrill himself is reacting with grace and humility.  But this is not the kind of discussion that can help rebuild the party.  In the 2017 Nova Scotia general election, Burill's NDP lost 5 points overall but was able to remain at 7 seats, in 3rd  place.

Next door in New Brunswick, the party has a new Leader following the Dominic Cardy era.  Jennifer McKenzie, an engineer by training, was acclaimed as leader on August 10, 2017.  Cardy had also been acclaimed party leader in 2011 but only after the other candidate, Pierre Cyr, was disqualified from the party's leadership election.

As leader, Cardy recruited several prominent former Conservative and Liberal politicians, hoping for instant credibility with the electorate.  The move was accompanied by similar policy decisions.  This was criticised by many New Democrats, including former party leader Allison Brewer, who ended up endorsing the Green Party during the 2014 election.  Still, under Cardy's leadership, the NDP received 13% of the vote in the provincial election, an all-time high for the NDP/CCF brand in New Brunswick.  But, just like what would happen in PEI eight months later, the NDP failed to elect a candidate, and despite getting only half the votes the NDP received, it is the Green Party that elected its leader in the legislature.

McKenzie's arrival gave the NDP a slight uptick in the opinion polls, ahead of the Greens, but the party is still below the level reached under Cardy's leadership, including in the 2014 election.  With less than a year to go, the party's strategy will be to focus on electing McKenzie to the legislature.  Smartly, Jennifer McKenzie will try to reclaim the Saint John Harbour riding.  The NDP held this riding for fourteen years, under then-leader Elizabeth Weir.  She resigned her seat in 2005 and the party has not held a seat since.  The riding is currently the only one in Saint John held by the Liberals, but former cabinet minister Ed Doherty is not running again.  The opening is there for McKenzie's NDP.

Finally, Newfoundland and Labrador New Democratic Party Leader Earle McCurdy stepped down at the end of September.  McCurdy had been Leader since March 2015, when he won the race with 68% support on the first ballot to succeed Lorraine Michael.

Lorraine Michael is the most successful leader in the party's history.  The 2011 election saw Michael's NDP win 5 seats and obtain 25% support.  It wasn't enough for the NL NDP to form the official opposition, as the Liberals ended up with 6 seats with half the votes.  Still, things were looking up and the NDP was regularly at the top of the polls between the summer of 2012 and 2013.

That's when things went south.  In October 2013, Lorraine Michael faced a revolt from her caucus, who called for a leadership election to be held in 2014.  Michael was shocked and felt betrayed, and rightly so.  This lead to a very public fight within the NDP, resignations from the executive and a very divided caucus.  MHAs Gerry Rogers and George Murphy backtracked and supported Michael, while MHAs Dale Kirby and Chris Mitchelmore stood behind their actions.

Michael agreed to a leadership review at the next annual general meeting of the party, but that wasn't enough for Kirby and Mitchelmore, who left to sit as Independent MHAs.  The sabotage was perfectly executed, the NDP  fell in the polls from the 30s to the low-teens, and the saboteurs were rewarded: Kirby and Mitchelmore joined the Liberal Party in February 2014.  In May 2014, Michael received the support of 75% of delegates at the party's convention.  The damage was done however:  Michael stepped down in the New Year, after the party performed poorly in four by-elections.  McCurdy took over, and during the 2015 election, McCurdy's NDP lost half of its support from the previous election, electing only two candidates.  Still, McCurdy's NDP climbed back in the polls in the spring of 2016, all the way to first place with 38%, but that didn't last, the party has collapsed back to the mid-teens and the trend was not good for McCurdy.  Now he is gone, too.

One of the party's two MHAs, Gerry Rogers, says she is interested in running for the leadership job while the other MHA, former leader Lorraine Michael, has agreed to serve as interim Leader.  The party could use a real leadership race this time around.  Thankfully for the NL NDP, the Green Party is not currently in any shape in Newfoundland and Labrador for now.  There is however an attempt at resurrection by a former NDP member.  What happened in PEI and New Brunswick could very well happen on the Rock as well.

The headwinds are strong for New Democrats in Atlantic Canada.  There have been a lot of shipwrecks already.  Will anyone weather the storm?

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Conservatives of Canada unite; you have nothing to lose but the chains of socialism!

Ok, paraphrasing Karl Marx is probably not the best way to rally conservatives.

But please bear with me here, because I'm trying to get across an important point regarding the future of Canada's conservative movement.

And that point is this: if conservatism is to survive as a vibrant philosophy, if it's to hold off the incoming waves of progressive leftism, if it's to survive as a force in the 21st century, then conservatives of different shades, and types and tribes, need to start respecting each other.

And when I say "conservatives", I mean that in the loosest sense of the term, i.e. I'm talking about libertarians, social conservatives, business conservatives, populists, and Red Tories.

In other words, just about the whole gamut of mainstream "right wingism."

Traditionally, of course, all these clans that make up the conservative family don't really get along all that well, mainly because each group has its own perspective, its own agenda, and its own priorities.

Libertarians promote individual freedom, social conservatives defend moral and cultural values, populists resent the Establishment's callousness, and Red Tories are the "Peace Order and Good Government," guys.

In fact, these conservative groups are often so discordant that the only really effective way to coalesce them into something approaching a unified force is to frighten them into closing ranks.

That's to say you need to find a common enemy or common threat, someone or something, all conservatives hate or fear.

Throughout the Cold War, conservatives had such a common enemy: The Soviet Union.

It was this Soviet threat which allowed former US president Ronald Reagan to unite conservatives of all stripes under his banner, since he branded himself as the supreme champion of anti-communism.

But when the Soviet Union fell apart, so did the anti-communist conservative coalition.

And ever since then it's been difficult to put the pieces back together again.

Indeed, if anything conservative tribes are drifting further and further apart, to the point where we seem to be tottering on the brink of an intra-conservative civil war.

OK, maybe that's a bit dramatic, but every time I venture into the realm of social media, I see libertarians mocking social conservatives, social conservatives deriding Red Tories, Red Tories insulting populists and populists denouncing libertarians.

And the tone keeps getting nastier, derided opponents quickly become stereotypes, stereotypes become caricatures.

It's a problem.

Yes, snarkily attacking someone on Twitter you think is wrong-headed can be emotionally satisfying, but such attacks also serve to weaken the overall conservative movement, undermining its voice.

And soon a strong and united conservative voice will be needed in this country.

Why?

Well, if nothing else, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has moved the political centre of gravity in Canada to the left.

Even worse, he is popularizing socialism.

Deficits, taxes, big costly national programs are all now celebrated.

But even that's not the real problem.

What's truly troubling is that while Trudeau is whetting the public's appetite for bigger and costlier government, in the end he won't be able to meet the expectations he's building up.

I say that because Trudeau practices what I call "Boutique Socialism," a brand of socialism designed to please trendy progressives but not to frighten Canada's ruling elites.

Simply put, the prime minister is a thoroughly establishment politician and that constrains his socialist impulses.

And sooner or later, the NDP is going to figure this out; they will realize that the best way to defeat the Trudeau Liberals is to outflank them on the left.

That means they will emulate America's Bernie Sanders or the UK's Jeremy Corbyn and offer Canadians a full-blown brand of socialism, a socialism Trudeau is prepping Canadians to accept.

And when this happens, Canada's conservatives will have to ready to fight for the values we hold in common.

Part of that readiness means a willingness to ally with other conservative tribes.

Now that doesn't mean conservatives will have to like each other or to agree on every single issue, but it does mean we should at least respect each other's points of view.

After all, if my dire prediction about the rise of a radical left in this country is correct, we're going to need each other.

So let me conclude with a non-Marxist quote, from ancient Roman Publilius Syrus, who said "Where there is unity there is always victory".

So let's work on that unity.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Twice a year, shortly before Parliament rises for their summer or winter breaks, the push to pass as many bills as possible inevitably happens, and every single time, the crunch hits the Senate in a particularly hard way because the Commons tends to expect the Senate to pass those bills before they too rise, which is often a week or so later.  This year is no different.

What is different this time, however, is the way in which the legislative agenda is being managed in the Senate.  Over the past several weeks, the number of bills on the Senate's Order Paper has been piling up, in part because the Government Leader in the Senate err, "government representative," Senator Peter Harder, has by all accounts not been engaged in negotiation with the other Senate caucuses in order to work out timelines to get them passed.  This is going to be further complicated by the fact that one of these government bills is the bill to legalize recreational cannabis, and the bill's sponsor wants a special process to consider that bill, which could further slow it down if they get into a protracted debate around that very question.

What is particularly of concern, however, is the question of amendments in this time crunch.  The Commons is slated to rise on Friday, December 15th, but as is custom, it will likely rise on the Wednesday, shortly after the last caucus meeting of the year (which also ensures that all MPs are in town for their caucus Christmas parties).  That means that if there are going to be any amendments to go back to the Commons, they need to be basically passed and back to the Commons within a week.  There are about eight or nine government bills currently on the Senate's Order Paper, but some of them still haven't passed second reading.  And if Harder thinks that he can get them all through the process with the requisite level of thoughtful scrutiny that he is confident that the Senate can provide, that's going to be a tough order even with the Senate sitting extra days.

There is the added wrench in the works in that the committees were all just reconstituted as well, which is a process that basically shut them down for a week, which further delayed things.  And while they're still getting back up and running with new chairs and new memberships, my sources have told me that Harder's office seemed to have been oblivious to this particular complication in their plans to move legislation forward, which once again gives rise to the question of what the staff that he's accumulated with his $1.5 million budget are actually doing.  Questions could be raised about the kind of procedural advice that they're offering him given that last week he attempted to move a pre-study motion on the budget implementation bill.  The problem?  That the point of pre-study in the Senate is to get amendments to the Commons while they are still engaged in their own committee study, so that those amendments can be incorporated at that stage.  When Harder moved for the Senate to engage in pre-study, the bill had already moved to report stage in the Commons, meaning that the time to introduce amendments had passed, making pre-study redundant.  Senate Liberal leader Joseph Day pointed this out, and Harder's motion was defeated, which points to the fact that there is a lack of understanding about how things are supposed to work.

And let's make no mistake there are some complications to these bills going to committee, such as the fact that it's been pointed out that the Statistics Act changes being put through never got the mandatory parliamentary review as to whether the 2005-era changes to consent around release of personal data in 92-years' time was still workable.  Or the fact that there are omnibus bills now in the Senate the budget implementation bill, the Transport Modernization Act and the cannabis bill all of which may have demands to be split apart.  Oh, and another complicating factor to the agenda is the fact that the newly nominated Lobbying and Official Languages Commissioners will need to also be vetted by the Senate next week, which will take up even more time.

And if there are amendments?  Well, then we can expect the usual song and dance about how nobody wants to inconvenience the Commons once they rise, and this happens as we approach every break.  Senators are threatened that if they send amendments back after the Commons has risen for the break, it will cost hundreds of thousands of dollars to recall the Commons to deal with them, and isn't it terrible that they would be so cavalier with taxpayers' money (as though MPs doing their jobs in Ottawa a little longer than they expected is some kind of a scandal).

But this is where the rhetoric around the new "independent" Senate starts to break down.  For as much as Justin Trudeau, and even Senator Harder, proclaim that they want to give the Senate the time and space to be thoughtful and deliberate in their study of legislation, when it comes close to the end of a sitting, suddenly that sentiment turns to the demand that the Senate become a rubber stamp, churning through bills as quickly as possible so that everything can get royal assent before the break.  We saw this with the budget implementation bill in June, where Trudeau and his House Leader, Bardish Chagger, suddenly decided that the Senate isn't allowed to amend money bills (which is false), and that doing so would violate the "rights and privileges" of the House of Commons (but they have thus far refused to spell out which rights or privileges they would be violating, even when directly asked).  The Senate is only thoughtful and independent until it becomes a problem, and then they are supposed to bow down to the will of the Commons unquestioningly.  We get that you want to go home for Christmas, but you did promise that the Senate was supposed to be more independent.  It's time to pick a lane.

Photo Credit: Ottawa Tourism

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.