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Guilbeault throws cold water on new pipeline, says we have enough already

Mark Carney waves to a photographer followed by his Quebec lieutenant Steven Guilbeault  following an announcement in Montreal on April 4, 2025.

OTTAWA — Minister of Canadian Identity Steven Guilbeault said Wednesday that Ottawa’s stalled progress on oil and gas pipelines isn’t a threat to national unity because demand for pipelines is petering out on its own.

“The Canadian energy regulator, as well as the International Energy Agency, are telling us that probably by 2028, 2029, demand for oil will peak globally and it will also peak in Canada,” Guilbeault told reporters in Ottawa, when asked about whether pipelines will continue to be a source of friction between Alberta and the federal government.

Estimates of when

global demand for oil

will peak vary widely, from later in the 2020s to after 2050.

“So… before we start talking about building an entirely new pipeline, maybe we should maximize the use of existing infrastructure,” said Guilbeault.

Guilbeault claimed that the Liberal government-bankrolled Trans Mountain Expansion Project (TMX) was currently operating at “about 40 per cent capacity,” a figure that was quickly disputed

by energy analysts online

.

TMX’s total utilization for the last eight months of 2024 was

77 per cent of capacity

, according to company documents.

Kent Fellows, an economist at the University of Calgary, said that running pipelines at full capacity shouldn’t be an objective for policymakers.

“There’s no reason to desire any Canadian pipeline run at 100 per cent capacity all the time. A pipeline that is consistently full is like a road that is consistently gridlocked,” said Fellows.

“Minister Guilbeault’s characterization of the current system misrepresents … the economic value of excess capacity that allows for optionality.”

Guilbeault’s comments

were also panned by

Joseph Mancinelli, Canadian Director of the Labourers International Union of North America (LiUNA).

“It is a shame to see (Guilbeault) remain in cabinet with the same old rhetoric that is counterproductive, especially at a time where Canada must show strong leadership and invest in our energy potential,” wrote Mancinelli on social media.

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith said on Tuesday

that she was disappointed

by the inclusion of both Guilbeault and his former undersecretary Julie Debrusin in the Liberals’ post-election cabinet, calling both “anti-oil and gas.”

Guilbeault, a longtime environmental activist, spent more than three years as environment minister before being reassigned in March.

He’s often

been a lightning rod

for Albertan frustrations over Liberal net-zero policies targeting the province’s oil and gas sector.

Prime Minister Mark Carney, Guilbeault’s boss, said in an interview Tuesday that

he’s willing to green light

a new oil and gas pipeline if an interprovincial consensus exists for one.

He also said that he’s willing to make changes to key Liberal climate policies, such as Bill C-69 and the federal emissions cap, to get the ball rolling on oil and gas development.

Carney has promised to make Canada a clean and conventional energy superpower.

Newly minted Energy Minister Tim Hodgson said Wednesday that he was excited to start working toward this objective.

“We look forward to building, and I look forward to digging in,” Hodgson told reporters in Ottawa on his way to a cabinet meeting.

Hodgson said he’d be travelling to Western Canada “very soon.”

National Post

rmohamed@postmedia.com

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