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When people ask why Trudeau doesn't do something about some issue, many sarcastic replies spring to mind.  Including "Which of his past deeds make you want him to do anything else?"  But on foreign policy, from Keystone XL to Afghanistan, the problem is often that there's very little any Canadian prime minister can do about the state of the world.  We're just not big enough and certainly not properly armed.

The latter, you might say, is one thing Trudeau could fix.  And here I yield to snideness, asking whether the guy behind giving WE the job of handing out student grants, and now hiring Bombardier to take $150 million to do some unspecified thing at some unspecified time, is really the one to cut the Gordian knot of Canadian defence procurement.  Or the guy whose commitment to feminism included stamping out harassment in the military.

On the other hand, to be as fair to the man as possible, Canadian defence procurement is one issue where he would have trouble making it worse.  Inviting him to try would be asking for trouble.  But Canada's record here is so bad over so many decades that it would be unfair to say we lack influence in the world because Trudeau hasn't bought us fighter planes, combat or supply ships or even pistols.

Yes, we lack influence in the world because we do not have these things.  And no, he has not bought them.  But nor did his predecessors.  And nobody cared.  In Who Killed the Canadian Military? Jack Granatstein said it was every Prime Minister since Louis St. Laurent.  And none, because ultimately it was us, the citizens, who did not object as fewer and fewer troops got older and older gear, and who indeed would have howled had anyone tried to take money out of our social programs to fund some silly thing like defence.

As so often, it gets worse, and we all get to shoulder the blame.  Because the problem isn't just unwillingness to spend and inability to procure.  Behind it lies the conviction that we don't really need armed forces because we're so special.  One Prime Minister after another has declared that we possess a unique and mighty influence in the world because we're so Canadian.

The specifics vary.  Perhaps we're a moral superpower.  Perhaps we're an energy superpower.  Perhaps we're the bridge between East and West.  Perhaps the world needs more Canada.  Perhaps the world cares a lot about Canada.  Perhaps the world could find Canada on a map.

They don't normally use the phrase Barack Obama did about practically every ally he ever visited, that we "punch above our weight", because punching is brutal and archaic.  But we have these magic frown beams or some capacity to radiate "diplomatic pressure" against which mere armies and missiles are straw.

Guess what?  We don't.  Not because we aren't sufficiently Canadian that if China invaded we would apologize, or we aren't sufficiently smug, or some such thing.  Because these methods just don't work.  Frederick the Great once said that diplomacy without arms is like music without instruments.  And we have no band.

Or course we can still sing our own praises.  But to an empty hall when we go on a foreign tour.  Xi Jinping doesn't care.  Vladimir Putin doesn't care.  The Taliban don't care.  Bashir al-Assad doesn't care.  Joe Biden doesn't care.

It is true that Trudeau did not try to get Biden to change his mind on Keystone XL.  He pretended, a bit, because somebody told him he had to make some sort of feeble gesture in the direction of the West and oil industry jobs.  But Trudeau is a committed global warming activist and such people don't like pipelines because they don't like oil.  (Note to Alberta, the energy industry etc.: If you won't defend oil, forget defending pipelines.  It's like arguing for bongs but against marijuana.)

So yes, he could have told Biden change your mind or else.  But Biden would have said "Or else what?" (Or "Who is this guy?") and there would have been no answer.  The same is true of the Taliban.

I agree with Terry Glavin that we and the Americans should speak frankly, and think frankly, about the Pakistani government's malign role in Afghanistan's torment.  As Malcolm Muggeridge memorably said of Stalin's Holodomor, "Whatever else I may do or think in the future, I must never pretend that I haven't seen this."  But I'm far from sure the Americans can do much about it and I'm dead sure Canada can't.  And we won't get far pretending we haven't seen that one either.

We are of course a very wealthy nation.  And Trudeau is doing his best to prove that no amount of productive capacity can withstand the relentless assault of a government that is as clueless about economics as it is conceited, so again before calling on him to act on a problem be careful what you wish for.  But in any case butter doesn't win wars.

Geopolitics isn't Plants v. Zombies.  And if you asked Xi Jinping how much money he would require to stop repressing Hong Kong or Uighurs, he would say "Give me your whole GDP and we'll talk."  The Politburo is not for sale and neither is ISIL.

Many foreign actors aren't in it for the money and most of the rest don't understand economics any better than our leaders.  And even if they did, prosperity furnishes minimal foreign leverage.  Trade embargoes hurt us as much as them and paying Danegeld just brings more Danes.

If we had a navy and an air force people might pay some attention to us.  But not a lot.  Especially as most of the trouble-makers discussed above have nuclear weapons which we piously renounced half a century ago under the very real and very silly conviction that it would make us more powerful as if we were Obi-wan Kenobi or Jesus or something.

Trudeau may be a product of that conviction, and he may aid and abet it.  But he certainly isn't the guy to do something about it for many reasons including that he's also not the source of it.  We are.

Photo Credit: Marvel

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


All of the sudden, Quebec was painted orange.  It was a sight to see on the map.  Region after region, the landscape was changing.  No, this is not a reference to an NDP breakthrough in Quebec, not the 2011 orange wave and certainly not now.

Premier François Legault announced on Wednesday that the colour alert code would change for most of the province of Quebec on March 8th.  A few areas were already orange, and all other regions joined them, with an important exception: Montreal and surrounding areas remained firmly in the red zone, at maximum COVID-19 alert.  The variants are spreading, and spreading fast.

The curfew remains in place in the orange zones, mind you, at 9:30 PM as opposed to 8 PM.  Unless you have a dog, of course, which allows you to get out of your house after hours.

François Legault said this was a calculated risk.  Another one.  A step taken carefully by the Premier, after a round of weekend media interviews to celebrate… errr, commemorate the anniversary of the discovery of the first case of coronavirus in Quebec, on February 27, 2020.

A year later, despite the worst record in Canada, with a toll of more than 10,000 deaths, François Legault does not see how he could have done better.  He blames the deaths in the LRTs on the previous Liberal government.  The health care system's lack of capacity?  Liberal cuts.  "What more could I have done, given that we were the ones who were the most careful?" said Legault in an interview with le Journal de Québec.

But why have all of the other provinces performed better than Quebec?  Legault still blames the 2020 spring break, which was set earlier in the pandemic and caused a harder first wave in la Belle Province.  It's an easy answer, but one that doesn't explain fully why Quebec failed to act early and to react boldly, considering what we were witnessing at the time elsewhere in the world.

But François Legault readily admits that the crisis was not on his radar screen until March.  While there was some preparation at the Health Department, there was no sense of urgency early on.  In fact, the Director of Public Health, Dr. Horacio Arruda, was on a trip to Morocco until March 8th, where he was joking about the entrance of the coronavirus in Quebec "I told my people to wait until I come back before having our first case!"  Oh, so funny.

It's not until his return that Arruda decided he had to alert the Premier.  He had not been made aware of the risk before March 9th, on the eve of a budget that was already obsolete.  "It was during the month of March that I understood that it would hit very hard," Legault told La Presse.

Despite the fact that Quebec accounts for nearly half of all deaths in Canada, the CAQ government of Premier Legault has not been affected by this disastrous record: it remains the most popular in Canada.

The tone employed by Legault has helped.  He was going to be Premier Dad.  He is the good family father leading with candour and confidence, in whom Quebecers have confidence.  This has certainly contributed to the acceptance and limited pushback that we have known in Quebec, despite the incoherence, the slow pace, the flip flops and the buck passing.

François Legault has convinced Quebecers that he made his decisions for their own good, that he was doing his best and that indeed, there is nothing more he could have done.  Yet over 10,000 Quebecers are rolling in their graves, wishing he would have done more.  Because of course, more could have been done.

Photo Credit: CBC News

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.