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The past few days have exposed a strange dynamic in our expectations about how a lot of people think things should work in a time of pandemic, versus the reality of those situations.  There has been a demand that the Chief Medical Officers of Health start to grab power and make orders for areas of their jurisdiction when their political masters won't, and there are others who think that whatever advice these CMOHs give should somehow be binding on the governments that they serve.  In light of the furore over the Ontario Auditor General's report, and the leaks coming out of the Alberta government with regards to their CMOH's advice, the confusion over the roles seems to be greater than ever.  The urge for technocracy is coming from plenty of directions, and it's an impulse we should resist.

Something that plenty of Canadians and apparently Ontario's AG and most especially members of the media appear to have difficulty grasping is that advisors advise and ministers decide.  This isn't unique to the current pandemic situation it's a long-standing issue, such as when the federal government commissioned an expert panel to present options, and the media kept demanding to know what options the panel recommended, and they couldn't get their heads around the panel saying that they weren't making recommendations, but presenting options, which was their role because ministers decide.  The moment the panel presenting the options says that they prefer one over the other then they become cover for that government.  And we know that governments love nothing more than to launder their accountability in any way they possibly can, be it through expert advice or votes in the Commons that spread the culpability around.

Responsible Government is premised on the notion that the government is to be held to account by the legislature for their decisions and their conduct.  The civil service gets to give them "fearless advice," and the government gets to be politically accountable for the decisions that arise from that advice they also get to take the praise, but also the blame.  That way, Parliament can hold them to account by granting or withdrawing confidence, and voters can decide whether to keep them in office for another parliament, or boot them and let someone else take charge for a while.  That's also one of the reasons why the advice that governments are being given tends to be behind closed doors so that it can both be fearless because they don't have to worry about it showing up in the news with their names on it, but also to focus the accountability on the Cabinet because they are making the decision, and not the civil service or their advisors, like the CMOHs.

But herein becomes part of the problem of our current situation while people want these CMOHs to have a more active hand in making the decisions around how to combat the pandemic, we are seeing a number of governments who are content to ignore that advice and then hide behind the CMOH and say that they are taking their advice, or at the very least taking that advice into consideration.  Much of the time, these premiers are lying about the advice that they received, and pretending that the decisions that they are taking is based on the advice that they didn't actually receive or take, and giving people the impression that the CMOH is the problem.

This puts those CMOHs into a difficult position they are advisors, not decision-makers, and they don't have to face the electoral consequences of their decision-making, but at the same time, they don't have the ability to publicly disclose the extent of what that advice was.  This means that when the government makes their decisions, the CMOHs have to stick to the lines and try to do the best they can to mitigate it as best they can, often doing their best behind the scenes to change the minds of those premiers and ministers.  If they did disclose that advice or spoke out against the premiers, they would soon find themselves out of a job, and even more difficult is whether or not they feel that they have been so misrepresented by the government that they feel duty-bound to resign on principle an even more difficult choice when there is a pandemic, and they have the knowledge that comes with being at the centre of things since the beginning, and that their departure could cost lives because of the time needed to find a replacement and get that replacement up to speed on the file.

Nevertheless, one imagines that if we weren't in a pandemic that some of these CMOHs would have resigned in protest by now given how their advice has been mischaracterized by certain premiers and we know that because of this AG report, and the leaks that have come out (which will cause longer-term damage to how governments operate, but that's a discussion for another column).  When the Harper government lied about the Chief Statistician giving the okay to their plans to eliminate the mandatory long-form census, he resigned on a point of principle because they had used him as a shield for their irresponsible plans.  But the current CMOHs may feel like they have less latitude to resign on similar points of principle right now, which only emboldens these premiers to keep lying and hiding behind the supposed advice they're being given.

But this brings us back to the notion about accountability.  As much as we want to know what the closed-door advice has been, it should largely be irrelevant in the grand consideration because the government is ultimately culpable for the decisions that were made, regardless of what the advice was.  It's also why we should resist the impulse for technocratic decision-making by those CMOHs, because we can't hold them to account for those decisions if we empower them to overrule their political masters.  If we think that these premiers' policies are going to lead to people's deaths and rest assured, they are in some provinces then we should be focusing on pressuring those premiers to change course, and not on trying to divine what kind of advice they're receiving.

Photo Credit: CBC News

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Politics is all about symbols.  Ask Jimmy Carter.

Remember him?  He was one of the very few one-term presidents.  Usually, presidents get elected for two terms.  It's pretty hard to be defeated after just one.

Carter, a Democrat, was defeated in 1980 by something that happened in 1979.  Forty-one years ago this month, a gang of jihadist Iranian students stormed the US Embassy and seized 52 American citizens and diplomats who worked there.  They were held hostage for 444 days.

Four hundred and forty-four interminable days.  Every night on the news, on every broadcast, newsreaders would somberly remind millions of Americans that it was day whatever of the Iranian hostage crisis.  It happened night after night after night.  The networks even had special graphics made up for it.

And it all ended Jimmy Carter's presidency.  The hostages were only released at the precise moment that his Republican challenger, Ronald Reagan, was sworn in as President of the United States.

In politics, it's never one thing that kills you.  It's an accumulation of things notably, an accumulation of bad luck.  The Iranian hostage crisis was like that.

So is the growing vaccine scandal in Canada.  It doesn't have a name yet, but it is growing.

The scandal, as everyone knows by now (or should), is this: our allies are going to start vaccinating their citizens in a matter of days.

The British have more than 1000 vaccination locations that will be operating seven days a week across Great Britain, starting next week.  Two weeks after that, the Americans will commence vaccinating millions of their citizens every single month.

The Germans and other allies, too, will kickstart massive vaccination programs in the month of December.

In Canada, none of that is going to be happening.  In fact, in Canada, the federal government can't even tell us when we will be receiving a life-saving anti-COVID 19 jab.

A deal with China fell through in May.  A plan to build a National Research Council vaccine manufacturing facility in Quebec was also a spectacular failure.

And, now, we have now learned that the federal government has no Plan B.  We are in line, reportedly, behind 2.5 billion other people in other nations.  They will receive the vaccine first.  Not us.

December 2020: that is when Justin Trudeau may start to see a political doomsday clock clicking down on him, and his government.

In that month, Canadians will start to see some thing that no amount of cheery Trudeau morning spin will obscure: citizens in other countries receiving the vaccine.  With each passing day, with each snippet of footage showing relieved  folks resuming normal lives, Justin Trudeau's reelection prospects will start to shrink.  Dramatically.

For the past four years, Trudeau has greatly benefited from comparisons to US president Donald Trump.  On ethics, on race relations, on just about any issue, Trump has always managed to make Trudeau look good.

That is no longer the case.  Whatever his failings, Trump and his administration instituted Operation Warp Speed: a massive and integrated effort to get vaccines delivered to state governments.  And from there, into the arms of American healthcare workers and the most vulnerable.

If he has any legacy at all, it will be that: Donald Trump actually delivered the vaccine to Americans pretty quickly.  So did Boris Johnson in Britain and Angela Merkel in Germany.

Justin Trudeau?  He has indisputably and spectacularly dropped the ball.  He had months to develop and implement a plan to ensure the Canadians receive the same vaccines that our allies are going to be getting, at the same time.  He failed.

Is this Justin Trudeau's Jimmy Carter moment?  We shall see.

He has survived many other scandals the Aga Khan scandal, the SNC-Lavalin scandal, the WE charity scandal.  He has had more lives than a cat.

But his nine lives may be running out.  His luck may be running out.

Ask Jimmy Carter, he'll tell you: when really bad news is repeated night after night after night, it's someone else writing your political epitaph.

Justin Trudeau's failure to get a vaccine for Canadians may well be his.

[Warren Kinsella is a former Chief of Staff to a federal Liberal Minister of Health.]

Photo Credit: CTV News

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.