LP_468x60
ontario news watch
on-the-record-468x60-white
and-another-thing-468x60

This content is restricted to subscribers

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


 

I've got a lot of problems with you people.  And since December 23 is a Sunday, now you're going to hear about it.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau: You can't fall back on public opinion as a defence on one issue and disregard it on another.  Make up your mind.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, again: Remember when I pointed out how your version of feminism appeals almost entirely to middle- and upper-class white women?  This is a perfect example of your blind spot.

The chief of staff to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau: If you were doing your job correctly, with the discretion traditionally expected of high-level political staff, nobody would know your name.  Delete your account.

Opposition Leader Andrew Scheer: We'll probably never get on, you and I.  But what the hell was this?

Opposition critic Pierre Poilievre: In the wretched hive of hypocrisy that is the House of Commons, you may be the king termite.

Opposition critic Michelle Rempel: And you, the Tennille to Poilievre's Captain, need to make two resolutions for 2019: 1. Tone down your rhetoric about . . . well, tone down your rhetoric. 2. Stop talking about yourself.

NDP leader Jagmeet Singh: I actually can't think of one thing you did right this year, except perhaps for deciding to focus on housing.  And even then, I question your characterization of the problem as "national."  But, really, sticking to Burnaby South when there's a much better riding for you in Brampton suggests your instincts are sorely lacking.

People's Party leader Maxime Bernier: You broke my heart, Max.  You broke.  My.  Heart.

The Supreme Court of Canada: In siding with provincial liquor authorities over Canadian consumers, you have accomplished nothing but hinder progress toward a state of interprovincial economic freedom that should have been in place decades ago.  If your official duties require you to dress up as well-known Christmas figures, might I suggest this one?

Ontario Premier Doug Ford: Stop micro-managing.  In particular, stop micro-managing by firing people you don't like.  You're making Ontario look bad to potential investors.

The chief of staff to Ontario Premier Doug Ford: See entry re: the chief of staff to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

Montreal Mayor Valerie Plante: Easier said than done, perhaps, but you shouldn't apologize to anyone for addressing a crowd of mostly English-speaking tech professionals in English.

Manitoba Health Minister Cameron Friesen: Congratulations.  The Sid Davis Award for "dumbest comment made by an elected official regarding the legalization of cannabis" will arrive at your office in six to eight weeks.

Former Prime Minister Stephen Harper: Perhaps some people see no difference between patriotism and nationalism.  But you are not that stupid, so stop acting like it.

Staffers and ex-staffers of pretty much every significant party in Canada: If you had lives before you signed your minds away to your party, please do whatever it takes to get them back.  Nobody wants to see you kissing your boss's ass all over Facebook.  Ever.

Television and radio producers who book the above staffers and ex-staffers for panels: I've had your job before.  I know it's hard to get a lineup together by deadline.  But these people add nothing but party-approved pabulum to whatever debate they're having.

Albertans who think separation from Canada is feasible: You want us to believe that you can get off equalization, end sales taxes, end carbon taxes, and ensure the lowest business and personal taxes in North America, while simultaneously establishing your own police service, employment insurance plan, and public pension plan, funding both private and public schools at 100 percent, keeping all public services intact, setting a $45,000 standard of living, and being geographically cut off from any tidewater that could possibly be used to take your major revenue-generating resource to market.  I can take your anger seriously, but not much else.

Bylaw officials across Canada: There should be a higher threshold for violations than one complaint that happens to centre on finding something ugly.  Don't you have better bylaws to enforce?

Bombardier CEO Alain Bellemare: What's that?  You find it "incomprehensible" that a Canadian train operator might want a company other than yours to deliver a supply of cars reliably?  We don't.

This Hour Has 22 MinutesWhy do you still exist?

I'll be back with (no doubt) more grievances next year. Happy Festivus!

Written by Jess Morgan

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


Yogi Berra, the legendary ball player, coach and quipster, said once, "Never make predictions, especially about the future."

Allow me to ignore his advice and offer the following predictions for the year ahead in 2019 politics:

Justin Trudeau will be reelected with a slightly reduced majority government, losing several seats out West but mostly treading water in Ontario and gaining marginally in Quebec.  He'll face a brief scare when Jagmeet Singh defies expectations and goes the only direction his short-lived leadership has left (no pun intended): upwards in the polls.

In the end, however, Trudeau will recapture the crisp messaging around an ascendant middle class and stunning visuals that propelled him to an underdog victory in 2015.  He'll rediscover that mix of an aspirational, hopeful form of centre-left populism, which first let Canadians feel he was on their side.

Andrew Scheer, meanwhile, will generally hold his own, but his "aw shucks" demeanour will continue to give way to increasingly rough rhetoric.  But he'll wear this posture inauthentically; he is not naturally anything more than he seems, which is to say a mild-mannered, middle-of-the-pack career politician with a young family, a minivan, a mortgage and a slightly mischievous half grin.  Yet, he'll allow the darker elements of his party — and fear of Maxime Bernier catching lightning in the bottle and (to mix the metaphor) eating his lunch — to drag him to the right in ways he will be too inexperienced and too spineless to avoid.

Scheer's approach will be exacerbated by his inability to avoid being pulled into Premier Doug Ford's orbit.  Ford's outsized personality and Marvel's Kingpin-style approach to politics will constantly leave Scheer in a subservient role, like a kid brother or the big guy's sidekick.

For his part, Ford will hunker down over the holiday and try to get a game plan in place to govern the province without lurching from crisis to crisis.  He'll come out of the holiday more organised, but he'll mostly trade chaos for managed chaos.  Look for Ford to merge and break up regional municipal governments and to abolish the position of school trustee as part of his cost-saving measures.  Ford will also face increasing pressures to invest in health care, and he'll make a big show of supporting nurses and improving facilities at under-resourced hospitals across the province.

The Ontario NDP will begin to descend into a civil war over Andrea Horwath, with ambitious MPPs beginning to openly speculate whether she should be allowed to run for her fourth straight election defeat in 2022.  Their next party conference will be the milestone moment when Horwath either decides to move on, or to bring the simmering revolt out into the open by starring down her critics.  For our part, the Ontario Liberal Party will meet for our party conference in June, which will mark the official start of the race to become the new permanent leader.  Former transportation minister Steven Del Duca will confirm one of the worst-kept secrets in Ontario politics by entering the race as the frontrunner, with most of the remaining Liberal caucus members duking it out to see who will emerge from the pack as his principle opponent.

Jason Kenney, meanwhile, will have to walk through coals on the way to the Alberta Premier's office; he'll defeat Premier Rachel Notley, but she'll give Kenney heart palpitations with a vigorous, vanguard action to ensure her NDP wins a surprisingly strong Official Opposition role as the defenders of a progressive Alberta.

On the global stage, Donald Trump will face increasing legal jeopardy as Donald Jr is charged with multiple indictments and the Mueller probe begins to show tangible proof of the Trump campaign's complicity (and/or useful idiocy) with Russian attacks on American democracy.  The embattled president will turn on his vice-president, Mike Pence, accusing him of fermenting a coup, and the Democrats will be divided between House investigations and presidential campaigning.

In Britain, Theresa May will finally succumb to pressure and delay the Article 20 Brexit moment of truth by calling a referendum between remaining in the EU or accepting May's precarious deal, with the twist that the "remain" option must win a two-thirds majority to overturn the 2015 referendum result to leave.

All of this is to say — you should buy a subscription to Loonie Politics so we can continue to offer commentary like this, especially if I turn out to be right about any of these predictions.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


When the RCMP arrested Chinese financial giant Huawei's chief financial officer, Meng Wanzhou, as she was on a stopover in Vancouver, you knew there would be consequences.

The fact that Canada was merely following an extradition request from the Americans and was simply abiding by its international obligations would not wash with the Chinese authorities.

China was not surprisingly outraged and was quick to threaten Canada with "serious consequences".  Trade Minister Jim Carr must have been wearing rose-coloured glasses when he stated that the relationship with China was not affected by this episode.  Since then, the Chinese authorities have arrested not one, not two, but three Canadian citizens: former diplomat Michael Kovrig, travel agent Michael Spavor and a third one whose arrest was confirmed by Global Affairs Canada Tuesday, with no details being provided.

Make no mistake.  These arrests, certainly in the case of Kovrig and Spavor, were targeted and they were not a coincidence.

A little more surprising was the reaction of our American neighbours, for whom this arrest was made after all.   After having inserted an anti-China clause in the USMCA trade deal, US President Donald Trump said he would intervene in favour of Ms. Meng if it could lead to a trade deal with China.

Once again, Canada is caught between a rock and a hard place, trying to please the unpleasable giants.  While Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland had it right when she said that Canada was merely following the rule of law and that our partners should not try to politicize the process, that won't impress Donald Trump much.

What wouldn't have impressed the Donald either: if Canada had let Ms. Meng escape through "creative incompetence", as suggested by former Deputy Prime Minister John Manley in a recent interview on CTV's Question Period.  I'd expect the Donald would have gone ballistic if the Americans had found out about Canada's "creative incompetence".

The Liberal government is doing its best to claim there was no political interference.  But Communist Chinese officials do not believe it or perhaps do not care.  It is important to keep this in mind.  The thirst for the Chinese market cannot allow us to play these kinds of games.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.