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As we approach the next election, it's quickly becoming clear that the main division that the Liberals and the Conservatives plan to battle one another about is which party is being more divisive than the other.  We've already seen hints from prime minister Justin Trudeau that he plans to make this an issue, as he used the occasion of his "nomination" (acclamation) to say that he plans to highlight "positive politics" while taking jabs at Conservative leader Andrew Scheer for exploiting fear and division.  Scheer, meanwhile, accused Trudeau of smearing anyone who disagrees with him.  And on it goes.

Part of the problem is that the lesson that so many Conservatives took from the last election was that they needed to be conscious of tone something that was echoed in the choice of Scheer as party leader, when he promised to be Stephen Harper with a smile.  But in order to cast himself as the positive one (and he keeps going on about offering a supposed "positive vision" of conservative politics) is that he needs to contrast himself with Trudeau's own brand of positive politics, and to do that, he has to create a narrative that Trudeau is really the divisive one between the two of them.  I'm pretty sure that tone was not the only real issue that brought down the Conservatives in 2015 a tired government that was resorting to snitch lines and nib bans to create wedge issues that they could exploit goes a little beyond just tone and the inability to learn that lesson is partially driving this need to recast the Liberals as the bullies.

Some of this is manifesting itself in the insistence that it's the Liberals who are engaged in identity politics, which is being depicted as the real source of division in our political discourse.  Much of this is hyperbolic nonsense while Maxime Bernier was shitposting about radical multiculturalism and extreme diversity without actually providing examples of what this is, or delivering proof that there is some kind of actual cultural balkanization in Canada (when the opposite is true multiculturalism as a policy has been an extremely effective way of integrating newcomers into Canadian culture and has greatly reduced incidents of extremism), Scheer was essentially nodding along, not disavowing anything Bernier actually said but insisting that he was the one staying out of "identity politics," never mind that he engages in it all the time.

And what kinds of "identity politics" are the Liberals apparently engaged in?  They've worked to address historic wrongs (something the Conservatives also did) but on a more accelerated timeline, so much so that their critics insist that they're apologizing too much and just putting on a show complete with crocodile tears.  They've also worked to address inequality and systemic barriers facing people due to race, ethnicity, gender, and sexual orientation, and that includes reforming appointment processes in order to achieve greater representation and diversity in Governor-in-Council appointed positions something that their critics insist is just virtue signalling and doesn't have any meaningful impact, or is just the creation of quotas that demean members of those disadvantaged groups.

At the same time, the Conservatives have played their own version of identity politics, which disavowing these Liberal actions intrinsically plays into, precisely because it privileges the straight white male status-quo.  When Bernier's shitposts started winking to white nationalists winking that they picked up on and amplified these were not forcefully rebuffed by Scheer, who simply insisted that the Conservatives have a record of diversity by having a number of ethno-cultural "firsts" in Canadian politics as though a single member of a community achieving office is enough to break down systemic racism, and does not at all call out Bernier's comments for what they were.  And when the birth tourism resolution at the policy convention was passed on the weekend, which is absolutely pandering to a moral panic for the sake of throwing red meat to the xenophobes in the party's base, the Conservatives insist that the public outcry that resulted was just the Liberals being divisive again (though, to be fair, some Liberals did misrepresent what the policy resolution was, falsely saying that this was about stripping existing citizenships when it wasn't), never mind that some of their own MPs raised objections.

But what is probably the biggest example of crying "divisive" was Trudeau's response to the racist heckler at that event just over a week ago.  Despite the fact that the woman was using inflammatory language around "your illegal immigrants," and the fact that Trudeau didn't call out her racism until after she started deploying the racist term "les Québécois de souche" (something the Anglophone media in this country had a hard time depicting the nuance of), Scheer and the Conservatives went to bat for the woman, who is a publicly avowed racist and member of far-right groups, by trying to insist that she was "just trying to ask a question about the budget" (she wasn't) and that Trudeau shuts down criticism by "smearing people."  Indeed, the Conservative social media brigade immediately started deploying memes that said "Vote Liberal or you're a racist" in order to amplify the point.

To recap Trudeau called out the racism of an avowed racist he didn't even actually call her a racist (as Scheer and others have insisted), but said "your racism has no place here."  This, in Scheer's estimation, is a grievous smear that is designed by Trudeau as part of his campaign to be divisive.  This, while Scheer's entire media strategy lies around, misrepresentations, and shitposts is absolutely geared toward using the same kinds of divisive language that he insists that Trudeau is the person who is the only one guilty of doing so.  The fact that he would try to and give succour to racists by diminishing their actions in an attempt to try and cast Trudeau as a bully who will say anything to sow division shows just how amoral he's willing to be in order to score cheap points.  It has this childish air of screaming "I'm not being divisive, you're being divisive," while actively engaging in divisive language and behaviour.  But he's convinced that this is the way to win the next election, and I dread that it's only going to get far worse before the polls open.

Photo Credit: National Observer

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.


The last defeated leadership candidate of a federal party who slammed the door to create his own party was Jean-François Fortin.  Fortin was a Bloc Quebecois MP who tried to replace Gilles Duceppe after the 2011 debacle.  Fortin considered running again for the party leadership in 2014 after the previous winner, Daniel Paillé, resigned for health reasons.  Fortin decided against it and instead supported André Bellavance.  Two months after Mario Beaulieu's upset victory over Bellavance, Fortin quit the Bloc and shortly after announced the creation of Strength in Democracy.

When Fortin announced the creation of Strength in Democracy, he had an MP along with him: NDP defector Jean-François Larose.  During the election, Fortin added another MP to his stable of 17 candidates, Manon Perreault.  She had been kicked out of the NDP after being convicted for mischief.  They were all defeated in the 2015 election and the party dissolved a year later.

Is this the fate awaiting Maxime Bernier's Coming Soon Party?

The Libertarian renegade who narrowly lost the leadership of the Conservative Party to Andrew Scheer has embarked on a risky path that could very well lead him to political oblivion.

So, is Maxime Bernier serious?  He is serious enough that many prominent Conservatives, like Rachel Curran, a senior adviser to former Prime Minister Stephen Harper then and now, has thrown in the towel on twitter:

Yes, Bernier has built a large following: the Mad Max Club has lots of members, but will they all follow him in the Coming Soon Party?  He has showed his capacity to raise money during the leadership race, out fundraising his rivals.  But to win a general election, you need to raise around 40 million dollars.  That is a completely different scale.

Bernier has most definitely a sense for news, as proven by the last two weeks of political coverage.  But strategically, leaving right before the Conservative convention was not smart, as he deprived himself of an entire weekend of dramatic coverage.  Here he was, standing alone in the bland Charles Lynch room of the National Press Gallery on Parliament Hill.

Bernier would have been better off to attend the Convention and put on a big show about the issues he identified as key to his political being.  He would have attracted tons of media coverage, built some support and could have staged a spectacular walk-off with other like-minded delegates.  He would have also derailed the entire Convention, which tactically would have also benefitted him.  Because if the Coming Soon Party is ever to take off, it will presumably have to do so at the expense of the Conservative Party of Canada.

Still, Bernier has learned from Donald Trump's permanent twitter campaign and seems intent on importing the model to Canada.  He has given very few interviews over the past few weeks.  But he will give even fewer over the next week, as his office stated he was going on vacation.  Not quite a momentum building move.

Last summer, Abacus Data polled Canadians about a possible Bernier-led libertarian-based conservative party.  Only 2% of Canadians responded that they would vote for such a party.  Fast forward one year, with Bernier making his move.  Abacus went back in the field: the Coming Soon Party is now polling at 13%, and is even in second place in Quebec, ahead of the Conservatives, the NDP and the Bloc.  That would be more than enough to allow Justin Trudeau to win again.

Coming Soon: Mad Max and the Division of the Right.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by columnists and contributors are the author’s alone. They do not inherently or expressly reflect the views, opinions and/or positions of our publication.